University of Washington - The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington - The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of British Columbia (UBC) - School of Population and Public Health, University of Washington - The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington - The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington and affiliation not provided to SSRN