Author Page for Paul A. Weller

1.

Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2011-001B

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 05 Jan 2011 Last Revised: 26 Jul 2011

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 1,842 (8,052)

Citation 76

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2.

Price Trends and Patterns in Technical Analysis: A Theoretical and Empirical Examination

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 20 Mar 2007

Paul A. Weller, Geoffrey C. Friesen and Lee M. Dunham

University of Iowa - Department of Finance, University of Nebraska at Lincoln - Department of Finance and Creighton University - College of Business Administration

Downloads 1,300 (14,125)

Citation 7

Abstract:

3.

Quantifying Cognitive Biases in Analyst Earnings Forecasts

Downloads 977 ( 21,782)

Citation 18

2

Quantifying Cognitive Biases in Analyst Earnings Forecasts

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 03 Feb 2003

Geoffrey C. Friesen and Paul A. Weller

University of Nebraska at Lincoln - Department of Finance and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 573 (44,820)

Citation 18

Abstract:

Quantifying Cognitive Biases in Analyst Earnings Forecasts

Journal of Financial Markets, Forthcoming

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 14 Dec 2005

Geoffrey C. Friesen and Paul A. Weller

University of Nebraska at Lincoln - Department of Finance and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 404 (69,571)

Citation 18

Abstract:

4.

Intraday Technical Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 99-016A

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 05 Nov 1999

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 789 (29,564)

Citation 26

Abstract:

5.

Lessons from the Evolution of Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies

Downloads 728 ( 32,989)

2

Lessons from the Evolution of Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies

Midwest Finance Association 2012 Annual Meetings Paper

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Sep 2011

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 506 (52,606)

Abstract:

Lessons from the Evolution of Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2011-021D

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 24 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 11 Apr 2013

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 222 (134,023)

Abstract:

6.

The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market

Downloads 615 ( 41,347)

2

The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2006-046B

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 08 Aug 2006

Christopher J. Neely, Paul A. Weller and Joshua Ulrich

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and affiliation not provided to SSRN

Downloads 615 (40,759)

Citation 20

Abstract:

The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 44, April 2009

Posted: 18 May 2009

Christopher J. Neely, Paul A. Weller and Joshua Ulrich

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and affiliation not provided to SSRN

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7.

Technical Analysis and Central Bank Intervention

Downloads 493 ( 54,948)

Citation 22

2

Technical Analysis and Central Bank Intervention

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 97-002C

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 25 Sep 2000

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 493 (54,337)

Citation 22

Abstract:

Technical Analysis and Central Bank Intervention

Journal of International Money and Finance

Posted: 05 Jan 2001

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Abstract:

8.

Technical Trading Rules in the European Monetary System

Downloads 376 ( 76,240)

2

Technical Trading Rules in the European Monetary System

Working Paper No. 97-015c

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 21 Dec 1998

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 376 (75,595)

Citation 21

Abstract:

Technical Trading Rules in the European Monetary System

Journal of International Money and Finance, June 1999, pp.429-58

Posted: 22 Dec 1998

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

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9.

Moral Hazard and the U.S. Stock Market: Analyzing the 'Greenspan Put'?

Institute for International Economics Working Paper No. 02-01

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 16 Feb 2002

Marcus H. Miller, Paul A. Weller and Lei Zhang

University of Warwick - Department of Economics, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Downloads 242 (123,358)

Citation 14

Abstract:

10.

Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Reexamination

Downloads 231 (129,295)

Citation 11

2

Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Reexamination

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 97-010D

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 25 Sep 2000

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 231 (128,817)

Citation 11

Abstract:

Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Reexamination

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 35, No. 4, December 2000

Posted: 05 Jan 2001

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Abstract:

11.

Moral Hazard and the Us Stock Market: Analysing the 'Greenspan Put'

Downloads 228 (130,970)

Citation 14

2

Moral Hazard and the Us Stock Market: Analysing the 'Greenspan Put'

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 20 Oct 2001

Marcus H. Miller, Paul A. Weller and Lei Zhang

University of Warwick - Department of Economics, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Downloads 195 (151,773)

Citation 14

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Moral Hazard and the Us Stock Market: Analysing the 'Greenspan Put'

Economic Journal, Vol. 112, pp. C171-C186, 2002

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 20 Nov 2002

Marcus H. Miller, Paul A. Weller and Lei Zhang

University of Warwick - Department of Economics, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Downloads 33 (453,776)

Citation 14

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Abstract:

12.

Central Bank Intervention With Limited Arbitrage

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2006-033B

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 16 May 2006

Christopher J. Neely and Paul A. Weller

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

Downloads 69 (324,503)

Abstract:

13.

Moral Hazard and the Us Stock Market: The Idea of a 'Greenspan Put'

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3041

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 25 Nov 2001

Marcus H. Miller, Paul A. Weller and Lei Zhang

University of Warwick - Department of Economics, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Downloads 27 (471,229)

Citation 15

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Abstract:

14.

The Predictive Power of Head-and-Shoulders Price Patterns in the U.S. Stock Market

Journal of Financial Econometrics, Vol. 5, Issue 2, pp. 243-265, 2007

Posted: 16 Jun 2008

N. Eugene Savin, Paul A. Weller and Janis Zvingelis

University of Iowa - Henry B. Tippie College of Business - Department of Economics, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and Mesirow Financial Investment Management

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15.

The Predictive Power of 'Head-and-Shoulders' Price Patterns in the U.S. Stock Market

Journal of Financial Econometrics, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 243-265, 2007

Posted: 18 Apr 2007

N. Eugene Savin, Paul A. Weller and Janis Zvingelis

University of Iowa - Henry B. Tippie College of Business - Department of Economics, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and Mesirow Financial Investment Management

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16.

Stochastic Saddlepoint Systems, Stabilization Policy and the Stock Market

JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS AND CONTROL, 19, 1995

Posted: 04 May 2000

Marcus H. Miller and Paul A. Weller

University of Warwick - Department of Economics and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

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17.

The Advantage to Hiding One's Hand: Speculation and Central Bank Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market

JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, August 1997

Posted: 25 Nov 1996

Utpal Bhattacharya and Paul A. Weller

Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (HKUST) - HKUST School of Business and Management and University of Iowa - Department of Finance

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18.

Is Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market Profitable?: A Genetic Programming Approach

Posted: 20 Nov 1996

Christopher J. Neely, Paul A. Weller and Robert Dittmar

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Iowa - Department of Finance and Citigroup, Inc. - CitiMortgage

Paul A. Weller

University of Iowa - Department of Finance

John F. Murray Professor of Finance

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Scholarly Papers (18)

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Moral Hazard and the Us Stock Market: Analysing the 'Greenspan Put'

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Moral Hazard and the Us Stock Market: The Idea of a 'Greenspan Put'

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