Paulo Gonçalves

Università della Svizzera italiana

  • Università della Svizzera italiana

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

11

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2,739

SSRN CITATIONS

9

CROSSREF CITATIONS

4

Scholarly Papers (11)

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1.

System Dynamics Modeling of Humanitarian Relief Operations

Now titled Balancing Provision of Relief and Recovery with Capacity Building in Humanitarian Operations. Operations Management Research 4(1-2): 39-50, 2011, MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4704-08
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 04 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2013
Paulo Gonçalves
Università della Svizzera italiana
Downloads 1,268 (28,253)
Citation 7

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Humanitarian relief operations, complex systems, dynamics complexity, system dynamics, causal loop diagrams, simulation modeling

2.

Construction by Replacement: A New Approach to Simulation Modeling

System Dynamics Review 27(1): 64-90, 2011, MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4725-09
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 11 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2013
Thomas W. Malone, Paulo Gonçalves, James Hines, George Herman, John Quimby, James B. Rice, Mary Murphy-Hoye, James Patten and Hiroshi Ishi
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management, Università della Svizzera italiana, Ventana Systems, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Biology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Center for Transportation and Logistics, Intel Corporation, Patten Studio and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - MIT Media Laboratory
Downloads 379 (135,779)

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Simulation Modeling, Replacement, Specialization Hierarchy, Molecules, Tangible User Interface

3.

An Adaptive Research Approach to COVID-19 Forecasting for Regional Health Systems in England

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 19 Oct 2020 Last Revised: 03 May 2021
Lidia Betcheva, Feryal Erhun, Antoine Feylessoufi, Peter Fryers, Paulo Gonçalves, Houyuan Jiang, Paul Kattuman, Tom Pape, Anees Pari, Stefan Scholtes and Carina Tyrrell
University of Cambridge - Judge Business School, University of Cambridge - Judge Business School, University of Cambridge - Judge Business School, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Università della Svizzera italiana, University of Cambridge, University of Cambridge - Judge Business School, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, Government of the United Kingdom - Public Health England, University of Cambridge - Judge Business School and Government of the United Kingdom - Public Health England
Downloads 307 (170,404)
Citation 1

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COVID-19, scratch models, Bayesian estimation, time series modeling, system dynamics, scenario analysis, bed capacity, effective reproduction number

4.

Dealer Hoarding, Sales Push and Seed Returns: Characterizing the Interdependency between Dealer Incentives and Salesforce Management

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4694-08
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 04 Apr 2008
Paulo Gonçalves
Università della Svizzera italiana
Downloads 251 (209,133)
Citation 4

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Salesforce management, sales resource allocation, dealer hoarding, dealer incentives, sales targets, behavioral modeling, system dynamics

5.

Behavior Modes, Pathways and Overall Trajectories: Eigenvector and Eigenvalue Analysis of Dynamic Systems

System Dynamics Review 25(1): 35-62, 2009, MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4703-08
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 10 May 2008 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2013
Paulo Gonçalves
Università della Svizzera italiana
Downloads 203 (255,850)
Citation 4

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Formal model analysis, overall trajectories, behavior modes, eigenvectors, eigenvalues, eigenvalue elasticity, loop dominance, behavior contribution

6.

Do Managers Overreact When in Backlog? Evidence of Scope Neglect from a Supply Chain Experiment

Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 24(4):1997-2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2021.1072
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 03 Feb 2022 Last Revised: 02 Sep 2022
Rogelio Oliva, Huseyn Abdulla and Paulo Gonçalves
Mays Business School, Texas A&M University, Haslam College of Business, University of Tennessee, Knoxville and Università della Svizzera italiana
Downloads 91 (478,471)
Citation 2

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behavioral operations, decision analysis, supply chain, experiments

7.

Short-Term Bias and Strategic Misalignment in Operational Solutions: Perceptions, Tendencies, and Traps

Humanistic Management Network, Research Paper Series No. 19/15
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 20 May 2015 Last Revised: 09 Jun 2015
Rick Hardcopf, Paulo Gonçalves, Kevin Wayne Linderman and Elliot Bendoly
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities, Carlson School of Management, Students, Università della Svizzera italiana, University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - Department of Operations and Management Science and The Ohio State University
Downloads 75 (537,217)
Citation 1

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System dynamics, Strategy, Short-term, Tactics

8.

Impact of Joint Decisions and Cognitive Dissonance on Prepositioning (Newsvendor) Decisions

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 5021-13
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 09 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2021
Paulo Gonçalves and Jaime Andrés Castañeda
Università della Svizzera italiana and Universidad del Rosario
Downloads 75 (537,217)
Citation 3

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Behavioral Operations Management, Cognitive Dissonance, Debiasing, Inventory Prepositioning, Laboratory Experiments, Newsvendor Model, Pull-to-Center Effect

9.

Model Informed Health System Reorganization During Emergencies

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 17 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 22 Nov 2021
Paulo Gonçalves, Paolo Ferrari, Luca Crivelli and Emiliano Albanese
Università della Svizzera italiana, Università della Svizzera Italiana - Biomedical Faculty, (SUPSI) Scuola universitaria professionale della Svizzera italiana and Università della Svizzera italiana
Downloads 62 (594,134)

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Healthcare Operations Management, System Dynamics, Volume Flexibility, Participatory Systems Modeling, Health System Reorganization,COVID-19 response, Public Policy

10.

The Impact of Information Visibility on Ordering Dynamics in a Supply Chain: A Behavioral Perspective

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 20 Aug 2021
Paulo Gonçalves and Mohammad Moshtari
Università della Svizzera italiana and Tampere University
Downloads 17 (909,661)

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Bullwhip Effect, Information Sharing, Ordering Dynamics, Behavioral Causes, Information Visibility, Beer Game, Experiments.

11.

Exploring Retailer's Ordering Decisions under Delays

System Dynamics Review, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 08 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 12 Aug 2021
Sebastián Villa, Paulo Gonçalves and Santiago Arango
Anderson School of Management, University of New Mexico, Università della Svizzera italiana and National University of Colombia
Downloads 11 (969,158)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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order amplification, laboratory experiment, behavioral operations, supply chain management, demand bubbles, system dynamics