Robert J. Tetlow

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Senior Advisor - Monetary Affairs

20th and C Streets, NW

Washington, DC 20551

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

19

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CITATIONS
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98

Scholarly Papers (19)

1.

Melting Down: Systemic Financial Instability and the Macroeconomy

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 06 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 05 Mar 2015
European Central Bank (ECB), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, European Central Bank (ECB) and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 246 (123,548)
Citation 6

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financial stability, systemic risk, macro-financial linkages, Markov switching VAR, non-linearities

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises

FEDS Working Paper No. 2012-82
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 07 Jan 2013 Last Revised: 15 Jan 2013
Kirstin Hubrich and Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 80 (306,460)
Citation 10

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Nonlinearity, Markov switching, financial crises, monetary policy transmission, Bayesian econometrics

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises

ECB Working Paper No. 1728
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Sep 2014
Kirstin Hubrich and Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 79 (308,841)

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nonlinearity, Markov switching, financial crises, monetary policy

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 12 Jan 2013
Kirstin Hubrich and Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 34 (457,573)
Citation 5

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financial crises, monetary policy, nonlinearity, Markov switching, transmission

3.

Optimal Control of Large, Forward-Looking Models: Efficient Solutions and Two Examples

FEDS Working Paper No. 99-51
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 08 Jun 2000
Frederico Finan and Robert J. Tetlow
affiliation not provided to SSRN and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 120 (231,832)
Citation 4

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optimal control, mathematical programs, simple rules

Robust Monetary Policy with Misspecified Models: Does Model Uncertainty Always Call for Attenuated Policy?

FEDS Working Paper No. 2000-28
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 11 Sep 2000
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 106 (254,876)
Citation 7

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model uncertainty, robust control, monetary policy, Stackelberg games

Robust Monetary Policy with Misspecified Models: Does Model Uncertainty Always Call for Attenuated Policy?

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Posted: 11 Sep 2000
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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model uncertainty, robust control, monetary policy, Stackelberg games

5.
Downloads 77 (310,463)
Citation 22

Optimal Policy Projections

FEDS Working Paper No. 2005-34
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 05 Oct 2005
Lars E. O. Svensson and Robert J. Tetlow
Stockholm School of Economics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 54 (379,301)

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Optimal monetary policy, forecasts, judgment

Optimal Policy Projections

NBER Working Paper No. w11392
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 06 Jul 2005 Last Revised: 19 Aug 2010
Lars E. O. Svensson and Robert J. Tetlow
Stockholm School of Economics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 23 (517,998)
Citation 1

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6.

Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robust Responses to Model Uncertainty

FEDS Working Paper No. 2002-09
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 11 Feb 2002
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 76 (312,851)
Citation 3

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Uncertainty, robust control, learning, mathematical programs

7.

Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: The Fed from 1996 to 2003

FEDs Series Working Paper No. 2006-08, ECB Working Paper No. 610
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 20 Apr 2005
Robert J. Tetlow and Brian Ironside
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Reserve Board - Division of Research and Statistics
Downloads 71 (325,039)
Citation 1

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Monetary policy, uncertainty, macro-economic modeling, real-time analysis

8.

Simplicity Versus Optimality: The Choice of Monetary Policy Rules When Agents Must Learn

Federal Reserve Board FEDS Paper No. 99-10
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 14 Jun 1999
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 68 (332,836)
Citation 14

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9.
Downloads 40 (422,276)

Robustifying Learnability

ECB Working Paper No. 593, FEDS Working Paper No. 2005-58
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 06 Jan 2006
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 40 (431,207)

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monetary policy, learning, E-stability, learnability, robust control

Robustifying Learnability

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp. 296-316, February 2009
Posted: 28 Jan 2009
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Reserve Board

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monetary policy, learning, E-stability, learnability, robust control

10.

Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy

FEDS Working Paper No. 2018-059
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 21 Feb 2019
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 33 (451,141)

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Stochastic simulation, Mismeasurement, Monetary policy, Policy analysis, Uncertainty

11.

Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: 'Robust' Policies Put to the Test

FEDS Working Paper No. 2010-15
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 14 Mar 2011
Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 33 (451,141)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Monetary policy, model uncertainty, real-time analysis

12.

The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy - Recent Changes and New Questions

FEDS Working Paper No. 2013-76
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 31 May 2017
William B. English, David Lopez-Salido and Robert J. Tetlow
Government of the United States of America - Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 19 (525,157)
Citation 2

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13.

Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: The Fed from 1996-2003

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5305
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 30 Dec 2005
Brian Ironside and Robert J. Tetlow
Federal Reserve Board - Division of Research and Statistics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 19 (525,157)
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Monetary policy, uncertainty, real-time analysis

14.

Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: ‘Robust’ Policies Put to the Test

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 08 May 2010
Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 18 (530,948)
Citation 1

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Monetary policy, model uncertainty, real-time analysis

15.

Publication Preview Source Simplicity versus Optimality: The Choice of Monetary Policy Rules when Agents Must Learn

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 25, 2001
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 18 Dec 2018
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Reserve Board
Downloads 1 (649,034)

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16.

The Monetary Policy Response to Uncertain Inflation Persistence

FED Notes No. 2018-08-29
Posted: 26 Sep 2018 Last Revised: 21 Feb 2019
Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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Inflation Targeting and Target Instability

International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 4, No. 4, pp. 151-192, December 2008, FEDS Working Paper No. 2000-01
Posted: 11 Sep 2000 Last Revised: 20 Oct 2015
Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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monetary policy, inflation targeting, macroeconomic modeling, computational methods

Inflation Targeting and Target Instability

International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 4, No. 4, pp. 151-192, December 2008
Posted: 28 Jan 2009
Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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monetary policy, inflation targeting, macroeconomic modeling, expectations formation

18.

Errors in the Measurement of the Output Gap and the Design of Monetary Policy

FEDS Working Paper No. 99-45
Posted: 12 Dec 1999
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Federal Reserve Board - Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and affiliation not provided to SSRN

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19.

Government Debt and Deficits in Canada: A Macro Simulation Analysis

Working Paper 95-4
Posted: 25 Aug 1998
Tiff Macklem, David Rose and Robert J. Tetlow
affiliation not provided to SSRN, QED Solutions and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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