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Industrial Revolution, Malthusian trap, Time-Varying Vector Autoregression, Unified Growth Theory
Bilateral Agreements, Switzerland, Free Movement of Persons, Economic Policy
VAR, sign restrictions, financial shocks, external finance premium, housing, uncertainty
industrial revolution, Malthusian trap, time-varying vector autoregression, Unified Growth Theory
Industrial Revolution, Malthusian Trap, Time-Varying, Vector Autoregression, Unified Growth Theory
inflation expectation formation, time-varying parameters, Bayesian methods, disagreement, media coverage, stochastic volatility
Time-Varying VAR, Inflation, Public Deficits
Information acquisition, Uncertainty, Expectation formation, Firms, Households.
Information acquisition, Uncertainty, Stake Size, Firms, Households,
information acquisition, uncertainty, stake size, firms, households
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Swiss franc/euro exchange rate floor, survey based impulse responses, macroeconomic shock identification, structural micro data, disaggregation
Uncertainty, Shock, Firms, Survey, Vignette, Expectations, Investment, Employment, Production
data revisions, state space form, linear constraints, correlated shocks, Bayesian econometrics, current account statistics, Switzerland
Survey based impulse responses, survey experiments, macroeconomic shock identification, firm level data, oil price shock
Uncertainty Shocks, Real-Time Data, Rational Forecast Error, System of National Accounts, Employment Protection Legislation
Uncertainty Shocks, Real-Time Data, Rational Forecast Error, Employment Protection Legislation, System of National Accounts
1931 financial crisis, banking, Bayesian factor analysis, currency, Great Depression, international business cycle transmission
