Atif Ansar

University of Oxford - Said Business School

Programme Director, MSc in Major Programme Management

Park End Street

Oxford, OX1 1HP

Great Britain

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

13

DOWNLOADS
Rank 3,080

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 3,080

in Total Papers Downloads

20,192

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 15,542

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 15,542

in Total Papers Citations

46

CROSSREF CITATIONS

40

Scholarly Papers (13)

1.

Should We Build More Large Dams? The Actual Costs of Hydropower Megaproject Development

Energy Policy, March 2014, pp.1-14.
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 11 Mar 2014 Last Revised: 24 Mar 2014
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 7,726 (1,521)
Citation 14

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Large hydropower dams, Schedule & cost estimates, Cost benefit forecasting, Reference class forecasting, Outside view

2.

How to Solve Big Problems: Bespoke Versus Platform Strategies

Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 610, July 2022, 127919
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 02 Jun 2022 Last Revised: 15 Jun 2022
Atif Ansar and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen
Downloads 3,914 (4,804)

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Platforms, megaprojects, major projects, strategy, public policy, space missions, rocket launches, payload, cost overruns, speed-to-market, scalability, scale-up

3.

Five Things You Should Know about Cost Overrun

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, vol. 118, December 2018, pp. 174-190
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 06 Oct 2018
University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, Cranfield University, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, University of Oxford - Department of Statistics, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 2,372 (10,788)
Citation 9

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cost overrun, cost underestimation, cost forecasting, root causes of cost overrun, behavioral science, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, delusion, deception, moral hazard, agency, reference class forecasting, de-biasing

4.

Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, and Daniel Lunn, 2016, 'Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China,' Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 32, no. 3, autumn, pp. 360–390. DOI: 10.1093/oxrep/grw022.
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 06 Sep 2016 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2016
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 1,934 (14,945)
Citation 9

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infrastructure, economic growth, fragility, investment theory, China, transport, cost overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost–benefit analysis, optimism bias

5.

Big is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, and Daniel Lunn, 2017, "Big Is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale," in Bent Flyvbjerg, ed., The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management (Oxford: Oxford University Press), Chapter 4, pp. 60-95.
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 04 Mar 2016 Last Revised: 29 May 2017
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 1,812 (16,531)
Citation 5

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Megaprojects, megaproject management, project management, fragility, scaling, economies of scale, cost overruns, schedule overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost-benefit analysis, welfare economics, debt management, large dams, hydroelectricity

6.

Big Is Fragile: Why the UK Government Should Not Approve the Hinkley Point C Nuclear Power Station

Petroleum Review, Vol. 70, No. 834, pp. 37-40, July 2016
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 06 Sep 2016
Atif Ansar and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen
Downloads 850 (49,928)

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Nuclear Power, Energy, Finance, Economics, Investment Fragility, Viability

7.

On De-Bunking 'Fake News' in the Post-Truth Era: How to Reduce Statistical Error in Research

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 10 Jul 2019
University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, Cranfield University, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 525 (92,986)
Citation 3

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public investment, transportation infrastructure, project management, behavioral science, statistical error, signal and noise, optimism bias, planning fallacy, Hiding Hand

8.
Downloads 476 (104,744)
Citation 3

Damming the Rivers of the Amazon Basin

Nature, Vol. 546, p. 363–369, June 2017 DOI:10.1038/nature22333
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 19 Jun 2017
University of Texas at Austin, Hobart and William Smith Colleges - Department of Environmental Studies, University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB), Texas A&M University, University of Arizona, National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), Texas A&M University, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), Duke University, University of California, Berkeley, University of California, Berkeley, Federal University of Amazonas - UFAM, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen and São Paulo State University (UNESP)
Downloads 370 (138,978)

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Damming the Rivers of the Amazon Basin

Edgardo M. Latrubesse, Eugenio Y. Arima, Thomas Dunne, Edward Park, Victor R. Baker, Fernando M. d’Horta, Charles Wight, Florian Wittmann, Jansen Zuanon, Paul A. Baker, Camila C. Ribas, Richard B. Norgaard, Naziano Filizola, Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg & Jose C. Stevaux (2017).
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 19 Jun 2017
University of Texas at Austin, Hobart and William Smith Colleges - Department of Environmental Studies, University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB), Texas A&M University, University of Arizona, National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), University of Texas at Austin, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), Duke University, University of California, Berkeley, University of California, Berkeley, Federal University of Amazonas - UFAM, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen and São Paulo State University (UNESP)
Downloads 106 (436,860)

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9.

Banking Sector Restructuring Program in Kazakhstan – BTA Bank JSC

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 29 May 2015 Last Revised: 02 Jun 2015
Atif Ansar and Ariell Ahearn
University of Oxford - Said Business School and Oxford University
Downloads 378 (136,820)

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Bank restructuring, sovereign-debt crisis, financial crisis, sovereign default, Kazakhstan

10.

Ending the Flood of Megadams

Bent Flyvbjerg and Atif Ansar, 2014, "Ending the Flood of Megadams," The Wall Street Journal, March 18.
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 27 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg and Atif Ansar
University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 96 (464,785)
Citation 1

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energy policy, energy planning, dams, hydroelectric power, development policy, development planning, management, planning

11.

A Platform Approach to Space Exploration

Harvard Business Review, November, 2022
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 14 Dec 2022
Atif Ansar and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen
Downloads 95 (467,992)

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12.

Defining and Measuring the “Market for Brands”: Are Emerging Economies Catching Up?

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) Economic Research Working Paper Series No. 21
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 03 May 2023
University of Oxford, University of Oxford - Said Business School and World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)
Downloads 14 (943,296)

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Brands, branding, trademarks, licensing, franchising, mergers and acquisitions, emerging economies, intellectual property

13.

The Fate of Ideals in the Real World: A Long View on Philip Selznick's Classic on the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA)

International Journal of Project Management, Forthcoming
Posted: 27 Sep 2017
Atif Ansar
University of Oxford - Said Business School

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TVA and the Grass Roots, Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), Philip Selznick, Social Ideals, Temporary Organizations, Megaprojects, Institutional Theory, Goal Displacement, Values Depletion, Outputs versus Outcomes