Gernot J. Müller

University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics

Professor of Economics

Mohlstrasse 36

D-72074 Tuebingen, 72074

Germany

  • University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

53

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489

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467

Scholarly Papers (53)

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1.

News and Uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey Evidence and Short-Run Economic Impact

Downloads 1,338 (25,296)
Citation 18

News and Uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey Evidence and Short-Run Economic Impact

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 20-12R
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 15 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 27 Dec 2021
Alexander Dietrich, Keith Keuster, Gernot J. Müller and Raphael Schoenle
University of Tübingen, University of Bonn, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Brandeis University
Downloads 1,337 (24,896)
Citation 18

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COVID-19, consumer expectations, survey, news shocks, uncertainty, monetary policy

News and Uncertainty About COVID-19: Survey Evidence and Short-Run Economic Impact

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16766
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 11 Feb 2022
Alexander Dietrich, Keith Keuster, Gernot J. Müller and Raphael Schoenle
University of Tübingen, University of Bonn, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Brandeis University
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Consumer expectations, Large shock, monetary policy, survey, uncertainty

2.

Proximity to War: The Stock Market Response to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Downloads 937 (42,229)
Citation 5

Proximity to War: The Stock Market Response to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP17185
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 06 Apr 2022 Last Revised: 06 Jun 2022
Jonathan Federle, Andre Meier, Gernot J. Müller and Victor Sehn
LMU Munich, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and LMU Munich School of Management
Downloads 930 (42,027)
Citation 18

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Rare disasters, Proximity Penalty, War, Military Spillovers, International Conflicts, Russia, Ukraine, Trade, Neighbors

Proximity to War: The Stock Market Response to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP17185
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 27 May 2022 Last Revised: 23 Jun 2022
Jonathan Federle, Gernot J. Müller, André Meier and Victor Sehn
LMU Munich, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, European University Institute and LMU Munich School of Management
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International Conflicts, Military Spillovers, Neighbors, Proximity Penalty, Rare Disasters, Russia, Trade, Ukraine, war

3.

Current Account Dynamics in OECD and EU Acceding Countries - an Intertemporal Approach

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 May 2004
Matthieu Bussière, Marcel Fratzscher and Gernot J. Müller
Banque de France, DIW Berlin and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 664 (66,981)
Citation 34

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Current account, habit persistence, liquidity constraints, panel regressions, acceding countries

4.

Big G

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Citation 1

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Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 20-04, Fama-Miller Working Paper, University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-36
Number of pages: 96 Posted: 10 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 28 Sep 2023
Lydia Cox, Gernot J. Müller, Ernesto Pasten, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
Harvard University, Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Toulouse 1 - Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), Brandeis University and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 538 (86,176)
Citation 2

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Government spending, federal procurement, granularity, sectoral heterogeneity, fiscal policy transmission, monetary policy

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CESifo Working Paper No. 8229
Number of pages: 90 Posted: 22 Apr 2020
Lydia Cox, Gernot J. Müller, Ernesto Pasten, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
Harvard University, Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Toulouse 1 - Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), Brandeis University and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 33 (769,225)

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government spending, federal procurement, granularity, sectoral heterogeneity, fiscal policy transmission, monetary policy

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FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 20-15
Number of pages: 92 Posted: 23 Jun 2020
Lydia Cox, Gernot J. Müller, Ernesto Pastén, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
Harvard University, Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, Central Bank of Chile, Brandeis University and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 20 (883,519)

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Government Spending, Federal Procurement, Granularity, Sectoral Heterogeneity, Fiscal Policy Transmission, Monetary Policy

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NBER Working Paper No. w27034
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 28 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 15 May 2022
Lydia Cox, Gernot J. Müller, Ernesto Pastén, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
Harvard University, Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, Central Bank of Chile, Brandeis University and University of Chicago - Finance
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CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14625
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 08 May 2020
Lydia Cox, Gernot J. Müller, Ernesto Pastén, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
Harvard University, Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, Central Bank of Chile, Brandeis University and University of Chicago - Finance
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federal procurement, fiscal policy transmission, government spending, granularity, monetary policy, sectoral heterogeneity

5.

The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment

Downloads 507 (93,837)
Citation 41

The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 6780
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 06 Feb 2018
Benjamin Born, Gernot J. Müller, Moritz Schularick and Petr Sedlacek
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Bonn - Department of Economics and University of Oxford
Downloads 506 (93,105)
Citation 1

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economic nationalism, Brexit, natural experiment, synthetic control method, anticipation effects, economic policy uncertainty, expectations-augmented vector autoregression

The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12454
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 01 Dec 2017 Last Revised: 02 Jul 2018
Benjamin Born, Gernot J. Müller, Moritz Schularick and Petr Sedlacek
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Bonn - Department of Economics and University of Oxford
Downloads 1 (1,066,983)
Citation 23
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Brexit, European Union, policy uncertainty, synthetic control method

6.

Productivity Shocks, Budget Deficits and the Current Account

ECB Working Paper No. 509
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 25 Aug 2005
Matthieu Bussière, Marcel Fratzscher and Gernot J. Müller
Banque de France, DIW Berlin and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 466 (103,860)
Citation 28

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Current account, productivity, investment, budget deficit

7.

Fleshing Out the Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Output Composition and the Role of Financial Frictions

ECB Working Paper No. 500
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 28 Jul 2005
André Meier and Gernot J. Müller
International Monetary Fund and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 204 (247,763)
Citation 6

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Monetary Policy, Output Composition, Financial Frictions, Minimum Distance Estimation

8.

Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Policy, and Macroeconomic Stability

Downloads 197 (255,795)
Citation 95

Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Policy, and Macroeconomic Stability

IMF Working Paper No. NO.12/33
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 02 Feb 2012
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 192 (261,495)
Citation 18

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Zero Lower Bound, Risk Premium, Sovereign Risk, Sovereign Debt

Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Policy, and Macroeconomic Stability

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8779
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 31 Jan 2012
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 5 (1,033,859)
Citation 25
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fiscal policy, monetary policy, risk premium, sovereign risk, zero lower bound

9.

Floats, Pegs and the Transmission of Fiscal Policy

Downloads 194 (259,290)
Citation 14

Floats, Pegs and the Transmission of Fiscal Policy

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 11-9
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 24 Feb 2011
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 190 (263,978)
Citation 6

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Fiscal policy,Monetary policy, Exchange rate regime, Long-term rates, New Keynesian models

Floats, Pegs and the Transmission of Fiscal Policy

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8180
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 18 Jan 2011
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 3
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Exchange rate regimes, Fiscal Policy, Long-term rates, Monetary Policy, New-keynesian models

10.

Global Risk and the Dollar

Downloads 187 (268,132)
Citation 4

Global Risk and the Dollar

ECB Working Paper No. 2021/2628
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 18 Dec 2021
Georgios Georgiadis, Gernot J. Müller and Ben Schumann
European Central Bank (ECB), University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 186 (269,169)

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Bayesian proxy structural VAR, counterfactual, global risk shocks, minimum relative entropy, US dollar exchange rate

Global Risk and the Dollar

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16245
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 14 Jul 2021 Last Revised: 09 Nov 2021
Georgios Georgiadis, Gernot J. Müller and Ben Schumann
European Central Bank (ECB), University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Free University of Berlin (FUB)
Downloads 1 (1,066,983)
Citation 4
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Bayesian proxy structural VAR, counterfactual, financial channel, minimum relative entropy, monetary policy, risk shocks, safe-haven currencies, trade channel, Us dollar

11.

The Exchange Rate Insulation Puzzle

ECB Working Paper No. 2021/2630
Number of pages: 101 Posted: 21 Dec 2021
Giancarlo Corsetti, Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Keuster, Gernot J. Müller and Sebastian Schmidt
University of CambridgeCentre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), University of Bonn, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 166 (297,217)
Citation 6

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exchange-rate disconnect, exchange-rate regime, external shock, insulation, international spillovers

12.

Sovereign Risk and the Effects of Fiscal Retrenchment in Deep Recessions

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 11-43
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 27 Sep 2011
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 148 (327,181)
Citation 6

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fiscal consolidation, monetary policy, zero lower bound, risk premium, sovereign risk channel

13.

The Worst of Both Worlds: Fiscal Policy and Fixed Exchange Rates

Downloads 147 (328,964)
Citation 3

The Worst of Both Worlds: Fiscal Policy and Fixed Exchange Rates

CESifo Working Paper No. 7922
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 27 Nov 2019
Benjamin Born, Francesco D'Ascanio, Gernot J. Müller and Johannes Pfeifer
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and University of Cologne
Downloads 146 (331,347)

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downward nominal wage rigidity, government spending shocks, exchange rate peg, real exchange rate, output, non-linear effects, asymmetric adjustment

Mr. Keynes Meets the Classics: Government Spending and the Real Exchange Rate

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14073
Number of pages: 79 Posted: 23 Oct 2019 Last Revised: 14 May 2021
Benjamin Born, Francesco D'Ascanio, Gernot J. Müller and Johannes Pfeifer
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and University of Cologne
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Citation 2
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14.

Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations

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Citation 10

Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations

Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 11/2017
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 02 Jun 2017
Zeno Enders, Michael Kleemann and Gernot J. Müller
University of Heidelberg, CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) - Ifo Institute and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 97 (450,072)
Citation 2

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undue optimism, optimism shocks, noise shocks, animal spirits, business cycles, nowcast errors, VAR

Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 4548
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 22 Jan 2014
Zeno Enders, Michael Kleemann and Gernot J. Müller
University of Heidelberg, CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) - Ifo Institute and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 50 (652,674)

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undue optimism, optimism shocks, noise shocks, animal spirits, business cycles, nowcast errors, VAR, long-run restrictions

Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11521
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 26 Sep 2016
Zeno Enders, Michael Kleemann and Gernot J. Müller
University of Heidelberg, CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) - Ifo Institute and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 4
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animal spirits, Business Cycles, noise shocks, nowcast errors, optimism shocks, Undue optimism, VAR

15.

Fiscal Stimulus with Spending Reversals

Downloads 141 (340,039)
Citation 37

Fiscal Stimulus with Spending Reversals

IMF Working Paper No. 09/106
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Giancarlo Corsetti, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 130 (363,208)
Citation 12

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Fiscal Stimulus with Spending Reversals

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7302
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Jul 2009
Giancarlo Corsetti, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 11 (975,862)
Citation 2
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consumption, Fiscal policy transmission, monetary policy, real exchange rate, real interest rates, sticky prices

16.

Is the New Keynesian Phillips Curve Flat?

ECB Working Paper No. 809
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 19 Sep 2007
Keith Kuester, Gernot J. Müller and Sarah Stölting
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and European University Institute
Downloads 129 (364,091)
Citation 1

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Price Rigidities, New Keynesian Phillips Curve, Cost-push shocks, GMM estimation

17.

What Accounts for the Changes in U.S. Fiscal Policy Transmission?

ECB Working Paper No. 582
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 03 Feb 2006
Florin Ovidiu Bilbiie, André Meier and Gernot J. Müller
University of Oxford, International Monetary Fund and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 102 (431,873)
Citation 15

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Government Spending, Asset Market Participation, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, DSGE, Vector Autoregression, Minimum Distance Estimation

18.

Firm Expectations and Economic Activity

CESifo Working Paper No. 7623
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 09 May 2019
Zeno Enders, Franziska Huennekes and Gernot J. Müller
University of Heidelberg, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 83 (492,584)
Citation 2

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expectations, firms, survey data, propensity score matching, business cycle, news, noise, incorrect optimism

19.

Risk Sharing in Currency Unions: The Migration Channel

Downloads 79 (507,136)

Risk Sharing in Currency Unions: The Migration Channel

CESifo Working Paper No. 8982
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 05 Apr 2021
Wilhelm Kohler, Gernot J. Müller and Susanne Wellmann
University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and University of Tuebingen
Downloads 79 (512,695)
Citation 1

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Risk Sharing in Currency Unions: The Migration Channel

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16178
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 14 Jul 2021
Wilhelm Kohler, Gernot J. Müller and Susanne Wellmann
University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and University of Tuebingen
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20.

Different No More: Country Spreads in Advanced and Emerging Economies

Downloads 64 (569,242)
Citation 3

Different No More: Country Spreads in Advanced and Emerging Economies

CESifo Working Paper No. 8083
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 12 Feb 2020
Benjamin Born, Gernot J. Müller, Johannes Pfeifer and Susanne Wellmann
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Cologne and University of Tuebingen
Downloads 64 (578,022)
Citation 5

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country spreads, country risk, interest-rate shocks, financial crisis, business cycle, spread shocks, average treatment effect

Different No More: Country Spreads in Advanced and Emerging Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14392
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 11 Feb 2020
Benjamin Born, Gernot J. Müller, Johannes Pfeifer and Susanne Wellmann
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Cologne and University of Tuebingen
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Citation 1
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Average treatment effect, Business cycle, Country risk, Country spreads, financial crisis, Interest-rate shocks, Spread shocks

21.

Has the Euro Changed the Business Cycle?

Downloads 56 (607,496)
Citation 8

Has the Euro Changed the Business Cycle?

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 29 Jul 2012
Philip Jung, Zeno Enders and Gernot J. Müller
University of Bonn, University of Heidelberg and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 50 (652,674)

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Has the Euro Changed the Business Cycle?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9233
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 01 Feb 2013
Zeno Enders, Philip Jung and Gernot J. Müller
University of Heidelberg, University of Bonn and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 6 (1,025,061)
Citation 6
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cross-country spillovers, EMU, euro, European business cycles, exchange rate regime, monetary policy, optimum currency area

22.

Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area

Downloads 55 (612,575)
Citation 25

Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area

IMF Working Paper No. 13/227
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 10 Dec 2013
Keith Kuester, Giancarlo Corsetti, Gernot J. Müller and Andreas Billmeier
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, European University Institute, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Middle East and Central Asia Department
Downloads 55 (623,985)
Citation 4

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Sovereign debt, Euro Area, Fiscal risk, Risk premium, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, Economic models, Sovereign risk channel, monetary union, zero lower bound, risk premium, pooling of sovereign risk, government spending, fiscal stance, spending cuts, tax revenue, fiscal multiplier, aggregate demand, government expenditure, public debt, fiscal expansion, fiscal stress, fiscal austerity, public finances, fiscal impulse, fiscal outlook, fiscal response, fiscal policies, government deficit, fiscal stances, tax systems, fiscal risks, government budget, fiscal deficits, taxation, fiscal transfer, public expenditures, budget constraint, primary expenditure, fiscal theory, fiscal limits, expansion

Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9723
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 08 Nov 2013
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 8
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euro area, monetary union, pooling of sovereign risk, risk premium, sovereign risk channel, zero lower bound

23.

Multilateral Economic Cooperation and the International Transmission of Fiscal Policy

Downloads 36 (726,789)
Citation 3

Multilateral Economic Cooperation and the International Transmission of Fiscal Policy

NBER Working Paper No. w17708
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 31 Dec 2011 Last Revised: 22 May 2022
Giancarlo Corsetti and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 32 (777,297)
Citation 1

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Multilateral Economic Cooperation and the International Transmission of Fiscal Policy

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8748
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 20 Jan 2012
Giancarlo Corsetti and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (1,042,259)
Citation 1
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Financial Crisis, Fiscal Policy Coordination, Government spending, Spillover effects

24.

Firm Expectations and Economic Activity

ECB Working Paper No. 2021/2621
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 04 Dec 2021
Zeno Enders, Franziska Hünnekes and Gernot J. Müller
University of Heidelberg, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 33 (748,186)
Citation 4

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business cycle, news, noise, propensity score matching, survey data

25.

A HANK2 Model of Monetary Unions

DIW Berlin Discussion Paper No. 2044
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 10 Jul 2023
Christian Bayer, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Gernot J. Müller and Fabian Seyrich
University Bonn, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Free University of Berlin (FUB)
Downloads 32 (755,717)

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HANK2, OCA theory, Two-country model, monetary union, spillovers, monetary policy, heterogeneity, inequality, households

26.

Firm Expectations and News: Micro V Macro

CESifo Working Paper No. 10192
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 18 Jan 2023
Benjamin Born, Zeno Enders, Manuel Menkhoff, Gernot J. Müller and Knut Niemann
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Heidelberg, CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) - Ifo Institute, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and University of Tübingen
Downloads 31 (763,395)

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firm expectations, survey, overreaction, underreaction, micro news, macro news, island illusion, business cycle

27.

Is Large-Scale Rapid Cov-2 Testing a Substitute for Lockdowns? The Case of Tuebingen

IZA Discussion Paper No. 14334
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 15 May 2021
Marc Diederichs, Peter Kremsner, Timo Mitze, Gernot J. Müller, Dominik Papies, Felix Schulz and Klaus Wälde
Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, University of Tübingen, University of Southern Denmark, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz and Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz - Gutenberg School of Economics and Management
Downloads 25 (811,207)

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28.

Debt Consolidation and Fiscal Stabilization of Deep Recessions

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7649
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 08 Feb 2010
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 23 (828,532)
Citation 10
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consolidation, exit strategy, fiscal multiplier, Fiscal policy, fiscal stabilization, monetary policy, zero lower bound

29.

Is Large-Scale Rapid CoV-2 Testing a Substitute for Lockdowns?

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 26 Aug 2021
Marc Diederichs, René Glawion, Peter G. Kremsner, Timo Mitze, Gernot J. Müller, Dominik Papies, Felix Schulz and Klaus Wälde
Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, University of Hamburg, Lambaréné Medical Research Center (CERMEL), Lambaréné, University of Southern Denmark, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz and Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz - Gutenberg School of Economics and Management
Downloads 21 (846,149)
Citation 1

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30.

The External Costs of War

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 20 Sep 2023
Jonathan Federle, André Meier, Gernot J. Müller, Willi Mutschler and Moritz Schularick
LMU Munich, European University Institute, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Kiel Institute for the World Economy /Sciences Po Paris
Downloads 12 (932,143)

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Interstate Wars, Inflation, Distance, Recession, Spillovers, International Transmission, Monetary Policy

31.

Cross-Border Spillovers from Fiscal Stimulus

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7535
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 17 Nov 2009
Giancarlo Corsetti, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 10 (951,589)
Citation 6
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debt consolidation, Fiscal policy, international spillovers, monetary policy

32.

What Determines Government Spending Multipliers?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9010
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 28 Sep 2012
Giancarlo Corsetti, Andre Meier and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 6 (986,994)
Citation 5
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exchange rate regime, financial crisis, fiscal policy, fiscal rules, government spending, Multiplier, public finances

33.

The Macroeconomic Impact of Trump

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13798
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 29 Jul 2019 Last Revised: 15 Mar 2021
Benjamin Born, Gernot J. Müller, Moritz Schularick and Petr Sedlacek
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, University of Bonn - Department of Economics and University of Oxford
Downloads 4 (1,002,372)
Citation 5
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34.

Global Banking and International Business Cycles

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7972
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 25 Aug 2010
Zeno Enders, Robert Kollmann and Gernot J. Müller
University of Heidelberg, ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (1,002,372)
Citation 20
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bank capital requirements, credit losses, global banking, global financial crisis, international business cycles

35.

Does Trade Integration Alter Monetary Policy Transmission?

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Does Trade Integration Alter Monetary Policy Transmission?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8026
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 22 Nov 2010
Tobias J. Cwik, Gernot J. Müller and Maik H. Wolters
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Kiel Institute for the World Economy - IFW
Downloads 3 (1,050,233)
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exchange rate channel, monetary policy transmission, open economy, strategic complementarity, trade integration

Does Trade Integration Alter Monetary Policy Transmission?

CFS Working Paper No. 2008/29
Posted: 25 Sep 2008
Tobias J. Cwik, Gernot J. Müller and Maik H. Wolters
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Kiel Institute for the World Economy - IFW

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Open Economy, Trade Integration, Exchange Rate Channel, Strategic Complementarity, Exchange Rate Pass-Through

36.

The Coronavirus Stimulus Package: How Large is the Transfer Multiplier?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14600
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 08 May 2020 Last Revised: 27 May 2022
Christian Bayer, Benjamin Born, Ralph Luetticke and Gernot J. Müller
University of Bonn, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University College London and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 10
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CARES Act, conditional transfer, Coronavirus, COVID-19, Fiscal policy, lockdown, Quarantine, Stimulus, transfer multiplier

37.

Exchange Rate Regimes and Fiscal Multipliers

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8986
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 28 Sep 2012
Benjamin Born, Falko Juessen and Gernot J. Müller
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Dortmund - Department of Economics and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 7
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exchange rate regimes, fiscal multiplier, fiscal policy, monetary policy, New Keynesian model, Panel VAR

38.

The Expectations Channel of Climate Change: Implications for Monetary Policy

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15866
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 15 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 04 Feb 2022
Alexander Dietrich, Gernot J. Müller and Raphael Schoenle
University of Tübingen, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Brandeis University
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climate change, Disasters, Households Expectations, Media focus, monetary policy, Natural rate of interest, Paradox of Communication, survey

39.

Exchange Rate Undershooting: Evidence and Theory

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13597
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Gernot J. Müller, Martin Wolf, Martin Wolf, Martin Wolf, Martin Wolf and Thomas Hettig
University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)University of BonnUniversity of Vienna - Department of EconomicsUniversity of St. Gallen and University of Tuebingen
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Forward Exchange Rate, Forward premium puzzle, information effect, Information Frictions, monetary policy, Spot Exchange Rate, UIP puzzle

40.

Does Austerity Pay Off?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10425
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 17 Feb 2015
Benjamin Born, Gernot J. Müller and Johannes Pfeifer
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and University of Mannheim - School of Economics (VWL)
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Citation 8
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austerity, default premium, fiscal policy, fiscal stress, local projections, panel VAR, sovereign risk

41.

Currency Risk in Currency Unions

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9635
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 09 Sep 2013
Alexander Kriwoluzky, Gernot J. Müller and Martin Wolf
University of Bonn - Faculty of Law & Economics, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Financial Times
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currency risk, Currency union, default, euro, exit, fiscal deficits, Greek crisis, irreversibility, spreads

42.

A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis

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A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8814
Number of pages: 101 Posted: 01 Mar 2012
Volker Wieland, Tobias J. Cwik, Gernot J. Müller, Sebastian Schmidt and Maik H. Wolters
University of Frankfurt, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, Goethe University Frankfurt and Kiel Institute for the World Economy - IFW
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Citation 2
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fiscal policy, Macroeconomic models, model comparison, model uncertainty, monetary policy, policy rules, robustness

A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis

Posted: 10 Feb 2012
Volker Wieland, Tobias J. Cwik, Gernot J. Müller, Sebastian Schmidt and Maik H. Wolters
University of Frankfurt, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics, Goethe University Frankfurt and Kiel Institute for the World Economy - IFW

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macroeconomic models, model uncertainty, policy rules, robustness, monetary policy, fiscal policy, model comparison

43.

Habit Formation and Fiscal Transmission in Open Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8035
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 22 Nov 2010
Olivier Cardi and Gernot J. Müller
Université Paris II - Panthéon-Assas - ERMES and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Current Account, Fiscal Policy, Habit formation, Investment

44.

Twin Deficits, Openness and the Business Cycle

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6492
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 02 Jun 2008
Giancarlo Corsetti and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 4
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Business Cycle, Fiscal Policy, Openness, Twin Deficits

45.

The Exchange Rate Insulation Puzzle

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15689
Number of pages: 84 Posted: 11 Feb 2021
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Keuster, Gernot J. Müller and Sebastian Schmidt
European University Institute, University of Bonn, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and European Central Bank (ECB)
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46.

Uncertainty Shocks in Currency Unions

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15579
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 23 Dec 2020
Benjamin Born, Gernot J. Müller and Johannes Pfeifer
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and University of Cologne
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47.

The Lockdown Effect: A Counterfactual for Sweden

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14744
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 20 May 2020 Last Revised: 15 Mar 2021
Benjamin Born, Alexander Dietrich and Gernot J. Müller
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, University of Tübingen and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 3
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48.

Monetary Policy Announcements and Expectations: Evidence from German Firms

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13916
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 20 Aug 2019
Zeno Enders, Franziska Huennekes and Gernot J. Müller
University of Heidelberg, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU) and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 27
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European Central Bank, Firm expectations, information effect, Monetary policy announcements, survey data

49.

Fixed on Flexible: Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes after the Great Recession

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12197
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 11 Aug 2017
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Benign coincidence, Currency union, Exchange rate, Exchange rate peg, external shock, Fiscal Multiplier, great recession, zero lower bound

50.

Fiscal Policy Coordination in Currency Unions at the Effective Lower Bound

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11780
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 17 Jan 2017
Thomas Hettig and Gernot J. Müller
University of Tuebingen and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Citation 8
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coordination, Currency union, effective lower bound, EMU, Fiscal policy, optimal policy, terms-of-trade externality

51.

The Case for Flexible Exchange Rates in a Great Recession

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11432
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 16 Aug 2016
Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester and Gernot J. Müller
European University Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics
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Benign coincidence, Exchange rate, external shock, External-demand multiplier, Fiscal Multiplier, great recession, zero lower bound

52.

Exit Expectations and Debt Crises in Currency Unions

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10817
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 16 Sep 2015
Alexander Kriwoluzky, Gernot J. Müller, Martin Wolf, Martin Wolf, Martin Wolf and Martin Wolf
Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)University of BonnUniversity of Vienna - Department of EconomicsUniversity of St. Gallen
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Citation 8
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currency union, euro crisis, exit, fiscal policy, redenomination premium, regime-switching model, sovereign debt crisis

53.

How Do Fiscal and Technology Shocks Affect Real Exchange Rates? New Evidence for the United States

CFS Working Paper No. 2008/22
Posted: 18 Jul 2008
Zeno Enders, Gernot J. Müller and Almuth Scholl
University of Heidelberg, University of Tuebingen - Department of Economics and Goethe University Frankfurt

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Real Exchange Rate, Terms of Trade, International Transmission Mechanism, Government Spending Shocks, Technology Shocks, VAR, Sign Restrictions