Leonid Grinin

National Research University Higher School of Economics

Myasnitskaya street, 20

Moscow, Moscow 119017

Russia

Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting

Deputy Director

Rozhdestvenka 12

Moscow, 107031

Russia

http://www.sociostudies.org/ecbsf/

Volgograd Center for Social Research

senior research fellow

Russia, 400079, Volgograd, Kirova street, 143

Volgograd, 400079

Russia

http://www.socionauki.ru/authors/grinin_l/

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

26

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2,770

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Top 17,597

in Total Papers Citations

2

CROSSREF CITATIONS

50

Scholarly Papers (26)

1.

Transformation of Sovereignty and Globalization

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 11 Aug 2009
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 365 (87,185)
Citation 1

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sovereignty, globalization, world political process, reduction of sovereignty

2.

The Role of an Individual in History: A Reconsideration

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 01 Feb 2011
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 341 (94,225)
Citation 2

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Great Man, Individual, Role of Individual, Antiquity, Middle Ages, Renaissance, Enlightenment, Providentialism, determinism, Carlyle, Sydney Hook, Outstanding Personality, Factor of Situation

3.

Will the Global Crisis Lead to Global Transformations? The Global Financial System: Pros and Cons

Journal of Globalization Studies, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 70-89, 2010
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 17 Jul 2010 Last Revised: 27 Feb 2011
Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev
National Research University Higher School of Economics and Russian State University for the Humanities
Downloads 227 (144,494)

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global crisis, global financial system, financial revolution, financial technologies, pension funds, social funds, medium-length economic cycles, Juglar cycles, international order

4.

‘People of Celebrity’ as a New Social Stratum and Elite

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 09 Aug 2009
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 189 (171,511)
Citation 1

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celebrity, social strata, information society

5.

The Role of the Individual in History

Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Vol. 78, No. 1, pp. 64–69, 2008
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 27 Dec 2009 Last Revised: 21 Jan 2010
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 173 (185,545)

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individual, outstanding individual, social prerevoiutionary crisis, revolution

6.

A Mathematical Model of Juglar Cycles and the Current Global Crisis

HISTORY OF MATHEMATICS: PROCESSES AND MODELS OF GLOBAL DYNAMICS, pp. 138-187, Leonid Grinin, Peter Herrmann, Andrey Korotayev, Arno Tausch, eds., Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2010
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 28 Nov 2010
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 167 (191,232)

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business cycles, Juglar cycles, crises, current crisis, financial globalization, phases of business cycles, macroeconomic dynamics, depression, stagnation, boom, overheating, upswing, bust, recession

7.

Kondratieff Waves in the World System Perspective

Kondratieff Waves, Dimensions and Prospects at the Dawn of the 21st Century, ISSN: 2305-3461. Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2012
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 03 Nov 2012
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 152 (207,116)

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cyclical dynamics, Juglar cycles, Kondratieff waves, K-waves, World System, long waves, phases of long waves, world economic, Nikolay Kondratieff, world GDP, technological innovation, core and periphery, leading sector, technological system, technological style

8.

Complex Chiefdom: Precursor of the State or its Analogue?

Social Evolution & History, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 234-273, 2011
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 25 Aug 2011
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 131 (233,386)

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chiefdom, society, Hawaii, Kamehameha, state

9.

The Urbanization and Political Development of the World System: A Comparative Quantitative Analysis

HISTORY & MATHEMATICS: HISTORICAL DYNAMICS AND DEVELOPMENT OF COMPLEX SOCIETIES, P. Turchin, L.E. Grinin, V.C. de Munck, A.V. Korotayev, eds., pp. 115–153, Moscow: KomKniga, 2006
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 15 Oct 2009
Andrey Korotayev and Leonid Grinin
Russian State University for the Humanities and National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 126 (240,385)

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urbanization, state formation, population growth, world urban population

10.

The Inflation and Deflationary Trends in the Global Economy, or 'The Japanese Disease' is Spreading

Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 5, Number 2 / November 2014, pp. 152-173
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 30 Apr 2015
Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev
National Research University Higher School of Economics and Russian State University for the Humanities
Downloads 114 (258,732)

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inflation, deflation, quantitative easing, prices, investments, center, periphery, the Japanese economy, demand, economic laws

11.

Chiefdoms and their Analogues: Alternatives of Social Evolution at the Societal Level of Medium Cultural Complexity

Social Evolution & History, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 276-335, 2011
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 25 Aug 2011
Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev
National Research University Higher School of Economics and Russian State University for the Humanities
Downloads 90 (303,200)

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evolution, society, complexity, pre-state, analogues, monosettlement, polysettlement, chiefdom, social aromorphoses, state, formation

12.

Will the Global Crisis Lead to Global Transformations? The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions

Journal of Globalization Studies, Vol. 1, No. 2. pp. 166-183, 2010
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 28 Feb 2011
Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev
National Research University Higher School of Economics and Russian State University for the Humanities
Downloads 88 (307,511)
Citation 1

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global crisis, the World System, World System leader, global hegemony, center, periphery, global governance, national sovereignty

13.

Macroevolution of Technology

Evolution: Development within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms. Edited by: Leonid E. Grinin, Аndrey V. Korotayev. Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2013. Pp. 143-178
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 18 Oct 2013
Leonid Grinin and Anton Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics and Volgograd Center for Social Research
Downloads 87 (309,736)

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production revolution, production principle, historical process, the Agrarian Revolution, the Industrial Revolution, the Cybernetic Revolution, controllable systems, biotechnology, medicine, nanotechnology, technology

14.

Interaction between Kondratieff Waves and Juglar Cycles

Kondratieff Waves. Juglar – Kuznets – Kondratieff. Yearbook / Edited by Leonid E. Grinin, Tessaleno C. Devezas, and Andrey V. Korotayev. – Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2014. – 416 p. Pp. 25-95
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 19 Aug 2016
Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev
National Research University Higher School of Economics and Russian State University for the Humanities
Downloads 76 (335,851)

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medium-term cycles, Juglar cycles, long cycles of Kondratieff, long waves, downswing phase, upswing phase, crisis, resources, business strategies, generations of businessmen

15.

Political Development of the World System: A Formal Quantitative Analysis

HISTORY & MATHEMATICS: HISTORICAL DYNAMICS AND DEVELOPMENT OF COMPLEX SOCIETIES, P. Turchin, L.E. Grinin, V.C. de Munck and A.V. Korotayev, eds., pp. 63–114, Moscow, KomKniga, 2006
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 27 Dec 2009
Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev
National Research University Higher School of Economics and Russian State University for the Humanities
Downloads 74 (340,965)

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state, developed state, mature state, territory controlled

16.

The Tiger and the Dragon - Development Models and Perspectives of India and China

Journal of Globalization Studies. Vol. 4, Num. 1, May 2013, pp. 5–31
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 18 May 2013
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 61 (377,700)

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China, India, globalization, the Third World, East Asian model, Chinese model, Indian model, emerging economies, struggle against poverty, authoritarianism, democracy, centre, periphery

17.

The Star-Galaxy Era of Big History in the Light of Universal Evolutionary Principles

Teaching & Researching Big History: Exploring a New Scholarly Field / Edited by Leonid E. Grinin, David Baker, Esther Quaedackers, and Andrey V. Korotayev. – Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House. Pp. 163–187, 2014
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 11 Jun 2014
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 60 (380,788)

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Star-Galaxy Era, cosmic phase of Big History, laws of evolution, universal evolutionary principles, Universe, preadaptations, Evolutionary Studies, evolutionary selection, additive and substitutive models of evolution, large-scale structures of Universe, gas-dust clouds, non-uniformity concentration

18.

Biological and Social Phases of Big History: Similarities and Differences of Evolutionary Principles and Mechanisms

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 05 Jul 2011
Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev and Alexander Markov
National Research University Higher School of Economics, Russian State University for the Humanities and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 58 (387,117)
Citation 1

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Big History, macroevolution, social, biological, aromorphosis, heredetary, Hallpike, organism, evolution, Darwin

Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System

Journal of Globalization Studies, Vol. 7, Num. 2, pp. 11-31
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 11 Jul 2017
Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev
National Research University Higher School of Economics and Russian State University for the Humanities
Downloads 42 (453,683)

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the sixth Kondratieff wave, the sixth technological paradigm, Cybernetic Revolution, population ageing, world finance, pension funds, human capital, developed countries, developing countries

Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System

Posted: 12 Feb 2018
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics

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the sixth Kondratieff wave, the sixth technological paradigm, Cybernetic Revolution, population ageing, world finance, pension funds, human capital, developed countries, developing countries

20.

Aromorphoses in Biological Аnd Social Evolution: Some General Rules for Biological and Social Forms of Macroevolution

Social Evolution & History, Vol. 8, No. 2, September 2009
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 18 Jan 2010
Alexander Markov, Andrey Korotayev and Leonid Grinin
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Russian State University for the Humanities and National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 38 (461,282)

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macroevolution, aromorphosis, organic systems, evolutionary biology

21.

State and Socio-Political Crises in the Process of Modernization

Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History, 3(1)
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 23 Jan 2013
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 36 (469,996)

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nation-building, state, fragile state, state collapse, World-system crisis

22.

Cosmic Evolution and Universal Evolutionary Principles

Evolution: From Big Bang to Nanorobots/Edited by Leonid E. Grinin and Andrey V. Korotayev. – Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House Pp. 20–45, 2015
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 14 Jul 2017
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 32 (488,555)

Abstract:

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Star-Galaxy Era, cosmic phase of Big History, laws of evolution, universal evolutionary principles, Universe, preadaptations, Evolutionary Studies, evolutionary selection, additive and substitutive models of evolution, large-scale structures of Universe, gas-dust clouds, non-uniformity concentration

23.

Chinese Joker in the World Pack

Journal of Globalization Studies, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 7-24, 2011
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 03 Mar 2012
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Downloads 31 (493,447)

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Chinese model, East-Asian model, resource expenditure, growth limits, inflation, economic superpower, World-System leader

24.

How Global Can Be Global Future? (Introduction)

Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Global Transformations and Global Future. Yearbook / Edited by Leonid E. Grinin, Ilya V. Ilyin, Peter Herrmann, and Andrey V. Korotayev. – Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House. Pp. 5–9
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 14 Jul 2017
National Research University Higher School of Economics, Independent, EURISPES and Russian State University for the Humanities
Downloads 12 (608,401)

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25.

The Processes of Systemic Integration in the World System

Journal of Globalization Studies, Volume 8, Number 1, May 2017
Posted: 16 Feb 2018
Leonid Grinin
National Research University Higher School of Economics

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Systemic Boundaries, Technology, Afroeurasian World-System, Mathematical Modeling, Demography, Population, History of Globalization, World System, Domesticates

26.

The Cybernetic Revolution and Historical Process

Social Evolution & History. Vol. 14 No. 1, March 2015 125–184
Posted: 16 Feb 2018
Anton Grinin and Leonid Grinin
Volgograd Center for Social Research and National Research University Higher School of Economics

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Production, Technological Development, Cybernetic Revolution, Self-Regulation