Kirstin Hubrich

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW

Washington, DC 20551

United States

  • Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

19

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233

Scholarly Papers (19)

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1.

Melting Down: Systemic Financial Instability and the Macroeconomy

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 06 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 05 Mar 2015
Philipp Hartmann, Kirstin Hubrich, Manfred Kremer and Robert J. Tetlow
European Central Bank (ECB), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, European Central Bank (ECB) and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 256 (124,217)
Citation 13

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financial stability, systemic risk, macro-financial linkages, Markov switching VAR, non-linearities

2.

Forecasting Economic Aggregates by Disaggregates

Downloads 245 (129,900)
Citation 5

Forecasting Economic Aggregates by Disaggregates

ECB Working Paper No. 589
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 21 Mar 2006
David F. Hendry and Kirstin Hubrich
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 220 (143,941)

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Disaggregate information, predictability, forecast model selection, VAR, factor models

Forecasting Economic Aggregates by Disaggregates

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5485
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 11 May 2006
David F. Hendry and Kirstin Hubrich
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 25 (527,482)
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Disaggregate information, factor models, forecast model selection, predictability and VAR

3.

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises

Downloads 201 (157,049)
Citation 15

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises

ECB Working Paper No. 1728
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Sep 2014
Kirstin Hubrich and Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 83 (312,630)
Citation 1

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nonlinearity, Markov switching, financial crises, monetary policy

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises

FEDS Working Paper No. 2012-82
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 07 Jan 2013 Last Revised: 15 Jan 2013
Kirstin Hubrich and Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 82 (314,962)
Citation 15

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Nonlinearity, Markov switching, financial crises, monetary policy transmission, Bayesian econometrics

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 12 Jan 2013
Kirstin Hubrich and Robert J. Tetlow
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 36 (467,877)
Citation 5

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financial crises, monetary policy, nonlinearity, Markov switching, transmission

4.

Regional Inflation Dynamics within and Across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the Us

Downloads 142 (212,453)

Regional Inflation Dynamics within and Across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the Us

ECB Working Paper No. 681
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 26 Oct 2006
Kirstin Hubrich, Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino and Guenter W. Beck
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, European University Institute and Goethe University Frankfurt
Downloads 142 (212,954)
Citation 1

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Regional inflation dynamics, euro area and US, common factor models

Regional Inflation Dynamics within and Across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the US

CFS Working Paper No. 2007/01
Posted: 07 Mar 2007
Guenter W. Beck, Kirstin Hubrich and Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
Goethe University Frankfurt, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and European University Institute

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Regional Inflation Dynamics, Euro Area and US, Common Factor Model

5.

Forecasting Euro Area Inflation: Does Aggregating Forecasts by Hicp Component Improve Forecast Accuracy?

ECB Working Paper No. 247
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 02 Dec 2003
Kirstin Hubrich
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 99 (277,147)
Citation 2

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Euro area inflation, HICP subindex forecast aggregation, linear time series models

6.

Financial Shocks and the Macroeconomy: Heterogeneity and Non-Linearities

ECB Occasional Paper No. 143
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 12 Mar 2013
Kirstin Hubrich, Antonello D'Agostino, Marianna Cervena, Matteo Ciccarelli, Paolo Guarda, Markus Haavio, Philippe Jeanfils, Caterina Mendicino, Eva Ortega, Maria Teresa Valderrama and Marianna Valentinyine Endresz
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, European Stability Mechanism, National Bank of Slovakia, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque Centrale du Luxembourg, Bank of Finland - Research, National Bank of Belgium, Bank of Portugal, Bank of Spain, Research Department, Österreichische Nationalbank - Department of Economics and Magyar Nemzeti Bank
Downloads 77 (323,829)

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macro-financial linkages, financial shocks, lead-lag relationships, heterogeneity, cross-country spillovers, non-linearities

7.

Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets

Downloads 70 (341,743)
Citation 60

Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets

ECB Working Paper No. 1030
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 19 Mar 2009
Kirstin Hubrich and Kenneth D. West
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics
Downloads 54 (395,503)
Citation 9

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Out-of-sample, prediction, testing, multiple model comparisons, inflation forecasting

Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets

NBER Working Paper No. w14601
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 29 Dec 2008 Last Revised: 04 Jul 2010
Kirstin Hubrich and Kenneth D. West
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics
Downloads 16 (587,302)

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8.

Combining Disaggregate Forecasts or Combining Disaggregate Information to Forecast an Aggregate

ECB Working Paper No. 1155
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 10 Mar 2010
David F. Hendry and Kirstin Hubrich
University of Oxford - Department of Economics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 56 (382,812)
Citation 2

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Aggregate forecasts, disaggregate information, forecast combination, inflation

9.

On the Importance of Sectoral and Regional Shocks for Price-Setting

ECB Working Paper No. 1334
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 17 May 2011
Guenter W. Beck, Kirstin Hubrich and Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
Goethe University Frankfurt, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and European University Institute
Downloads 55 (386,048)

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Disaggregated prices, euro area regional and sectoral inflation, common factor models

10.

Forecasting Inflation with Gradual Regime Shifts and Exogenous Information

ECB Working Paper No. 1363
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 29 Jul 2011
Kirstin Hubrich, Timo Terasvirta and Andres Gonzalez
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Aarhus University - CREATES and Independent
Downloads 42 (432,446)

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Nonlinear forecast, nonlinear model, nonlinear trend, penalised likelihood, structural shift, time-varying parameter

11.

Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation - A Cure in Times of Crisis?

Downloads 39 (444,724)

Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation - A Cure in Times of Crisis?

FEDS Working Paper No. 2016-104
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 03 Jan 2017
Kirstin Hubrich and Frauke Skudelny
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 24 (533,896)

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Forecasting, Euro area inflation, Forecast combinations, Forecast evaluation

Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation: A Cure in Times of Crisis?

ECB Working Paper No. 1972
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 16 Jan 2017
Kirstin Hubrich and Frauke Skudelny
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 15 (594,227)

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forecasting, euro area inflation, forecast combinations, forecast evaluation

12.

Macroeconomic Implications of Oil Price Fluctuations: A Regime-Switching Framework for the Euro Area

FEDS Working Paper No. 2017-063
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 05 Jun 2017
Federic Holm-Hadulla and Kirstin Hubrich
European Central Bank (ECB) and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 38 (448,859)

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Regime Switching models, Inflation, Inflation expectations, Oil prices, Time-varying transition probabilities

13.

Macroeconomic Implications of Oil Price Fluctuations: A Regime-Switching Framework for the Euro Area

ECB Working Paper No. 2119, ISBN: 978-92-899-3053-6
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 04 Jan 2018
Federic Holm-Hadulla and Kirstin Hubrich
European Central Bank (ECB) and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 36 (457,335)

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regime switching models, time-varying transition probabilities, oil prices, inflation expectations, inflation

14.

A Predictability Test for a Small Number of Nested Models

Downloads 30 (485,124)
Citation 3

A Predictability Test for a Small Number of Nested Models

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 28 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 27 Oct 2016
Eleonora Granziera, Kirstin Hubrich and Hyungsik Roger Moon
Bank of Finland, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Southern California - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (573,843)
Citation 2

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Out-of sample, point-forecast evaluation, multi-model comparison, predictive ability, direct multi-step forecasts, fixed regressors bootstrap

A Predictability Test for a Small Number of Nested Models

ECB Working Paper No. 1580
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 12 Sep 2013
Eleonora Granziera, Kirstin Hubrich and Hyungsik Roger Moon
Bank of Finland, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Southern California - Department of Economics
Downloads 12 (615,868)

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out-of sample, point-forecast evaluation, multi-model comparison, predictive ability, direct multi-step forecasts, fixed regressors bootstrap

15.

Trade Consistency in the Context of the Eurosystem Projection Exercises: An Overview

ECB Occasional Paper No. 108
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 20 Mar 2010
Kirstin Hubrich and Tohmas Karlsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 21 (535,459)
Citation 1

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Trade projections, cross-country consistency, market shares, competitiveness

16.

On the Importance of Sectoral and Regional Shocks for Price-Setting

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8357
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 04 May 2011
Günter Beck, Kirstin Hubrich and Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
University of Siegen, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and European University Institute
Downloads 4 (645,772)
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common factor models, disaggregated prices, euro area regional and sectoral inflation

17.

Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the United States

Economic Policy, Vol. 24, Issue 57, pp. 141-184, January 2009
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 02 Jan 2009
Guenter W. Beck, Kirstin Hubrich and Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
Goethe University Frankfurt, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and European University Institute
Downloads 2 (663,083)
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18.

A Review of Systems Cointegration Tests

Econometric Reviews, Vol. 20, No. 3, pp. 247-318, 2001
Posted: 09 Feb 2005
Kirstin Hubrich, Helmut Luetkepohl and Pentti Saikkonen
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, European University Institute and University of Helsinki - Department of Statistics

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Systems cointegration tests, LR tests, nonparametric tests, asymptotic power, small sample simulations

19.

Estimation of a German Money Demand System - a Long-Run Analysis

Empirical Economics, Vol. 24, No. 1, 1999
Posted: 02 Mar 1999
Kirstin Hubrich
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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