Alexander Budzier

University of Oxford - Saïd Business School

Programme Director, MSc in Major Programme Management

Park End Street

Oxford, OX1 1HP

Great Britain

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

16

DOWNLOADS
Rank 1,249

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Top 1,249

in Total Papers Downloads

20,529

CITATIONS
Rank 32,948

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 32,948

in Total Papers Citations

6

Scholarly Papers (16)

1.

The Oxford Olympics Study 2016: Cost and Cost Overrun at the Games

Said Business School WP 2016-20
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 05 Jul 2016 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Allison Stewart and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 6,849 (752)

Abstract:

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Olympic Games, Olympics, cost, cost overrun, megaprojects, megaevents, megaproject management, economics, finance, strategic planning, urban planning, Rio 2016, IOC, Summer Games, Winter Games

2.

Should We Build More Large Dams? The Actual Costs of Hydropower Megaproject Development

Energy Policy, March 2014, pp.1-14.
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 11 Mar 2014 Last Revised: 24 Mar 2014
Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier and Daniel Lunn
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 5,735 (1,043)

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Large hydropower dams, Schedule & cost estimates, Cost benefit forecasting, Reference class forecasting, Outside view

3.

Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier than You Think

Harvard Business Review, vol. 89, no. 9, pp. 601-603
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 08 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 22 Nov 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 2,423 (4,653)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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IT projects, decision-making, risk

4.

Big is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, and Daniel Lunn, 2017, "Big Is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale," in Bent Flyvbjerg, ed., The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management (Oxford: Oxford University Press), Chapter 4, pp. 60-95.
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 04 Mar 2016 Last Revised: 29 May 2017
Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier and Daniel Lunn
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 1,312 (12,905)

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Megaprojects, megaproject management, project management, fragility, scaling, economies of scale, cost overruns, schedule overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost-benefit analysis, welfare economics, debt management, large dams, hydroelectricity

5.

Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, and Daniel Lunn, 2016, 'Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China,' Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 32, no. 3, autumn, pp. 360–390. DOI: 10.1093/oxrep/grw022.
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 06 Sep 2016 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2016
Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier and Daniel Lunn
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 1,158 (15,649)

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infrastructure, economic growth, fragility, investment theory, China, transport, cost overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost–benefit analysis, optimism bias

6.

Making Sense of the Impact and Importance of Outliers in Project Management Through the Use of Power Laws

Proceedings of IRNOP (International Research Network on Organizing by Projects), At Oslo, Volume: 11, June 1, 2013
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 03 Jul 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 617 (38,289)

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IT project management, risk, outlier, rare events, power laws

7.

Overspend? Late? Failure? What the Data Say about IT Project Risk in the Public Sector

In Commonwealth Secretariat, ed., Commonwealth Governance Handbook 2012/13: Democracy, Development, and Public Administration, London: Commonwealth Secretariat, pp. 145-157
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 29 Jun 2014
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 548 (44,725)

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Public Sector, IT Project, Risk, Project Failure, Black Swans

8.

Why Your IT Project Might Be Riskier than You Think

Harvard Business Review, Vol. 89, No. 9, 2011
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 29 May 2012
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 461 (55,622)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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IT projects, decision-making, risk

9.

Double Whammy – How ICT Projects Are Fooled by Randomness and Screwed by Political Intent

Saïd Business School Working Papers, Oxford: University of Oxford 34 pp.
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2013
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 455 (56,577)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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10.

Report to the Independent Board Committee

Number of pages: 122 Posted: 02 Nov 2014 Last Revised: 11 Nov 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg, Tsung-Chung Kao and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Railroad Transportation & Engineering Center (RailTEC) and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 245 (114,428)

Abstract:

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Project management, cost management, schedule management, budget control, reference class forecasting

11.

The Risk of Risk Registers - Managing Risk is Managing Discourse Not Tools

Journal of Information Technology, Vol. 26, pp. 274-276, 2011
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 29 May 2012
Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 232 (121,481)

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risk, risk registers, boundary objects, fallacy of misplaced concreteness, false certainty, communicative rationality

12.

Report for the Edinburgh Tram Inquiry

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 28 Mar 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 230 (123,673)

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risk assessment, risk management, infrastructure, megaprojects, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, planning fallacy, behavioral science

13.

Double Whammy – How ICT Projects are Fooled by Randomness and Screwed by Political Intent

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 29 May 2012
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 143 (186,524)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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ICT projects, risk, cost overruns, schedule overruns, power laws, Black Swan

14.

ICT Project Risk as Pollution Belief - A Comparative Essay in Cultural Theory

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 29 May 2012
Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 95 (252,324)

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risk, information technology, projects, programs, cultural theories of risk, governmentality

15.

Perché un progetto IT può essere più rischioso di quanto si creda (Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier than You Think)

Harvard Business Review Italy, pp. 6-8.
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 23 (465,793)

Abstract:

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16.

Ten Heuristics that Make Leaders of Projects and Programs Successful

Number of pages: 24
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 3

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Masterbuilder, heuristics, project management, program management, leadership

Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 700    Citations: 0
1.

Why Do Projects Fail?

Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier, 2015, "Why Do Projects Fail?", Project Magazine, Summer.
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 26 Jan 2016
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 700

Abstract:

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project management, project planning, planning, management