Alexander Budzier

University of Oxford - Saïd Business School

Programme Director, MSc in Major Programme Management

Park End Street

Oxford, OX1 1HP

Great Britain

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

15

DOWNLOADS
Rank 1,279

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Top 1,279

in Total Papers Downloads

19,918

CITATIONS
Rank 32,895

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 32,895

in Total Papers Citations

6

Scholarly Papers (15)

1.

Should We Build More Large Dams? The Actual Costs of Hydropower Megaproject Development

Energy Policy, March 2014, pp.1-14.
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 11 Mar 2014 Last Revised: 24 Mar 2014
Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier and Daniel Lunn
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 3,794 (1,043)

Abstract:

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Large hydropower dams, Schedule & cost estimates, Cost benefit forecasting, Reference class forecasting, Outside view

2.

Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier than You Think

Harvard Business Review, vol. 89, no. 9, pp. 601-603
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 08 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 22 Nov 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 886 (4,903)
Citation 1

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IT projects, decision-making, risk

3.

Why Your IT Project Might Be Riskier than You Think

Harvard Business Review, Vol. 89, No. 9, 2011
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 29 May 2012
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 402 (56,353)
Citation 1

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IT projects, decision-making, risk

4.

Double Whammy – How ICT Projects Are Fooled by Randomness and Screwed by Political Intent

Saïd Business School Working Papers, Oxford: University of Oxford 34 pp.,
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2013
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 249 (57,240)
Citation 2

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5.

Overspend? Late? Failure? What the Data Say about IT Project Risk in the Public Sector

In Commonwealth Secretariat, ed., Commonwealth Governance Handbook 2012/13: Democracy, Development, and Public Administration, London: Commonwealth Secretariat, pp. 145-157
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 29 Jun 2014
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 220 (44,669)

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Public Sector, IT Project, Risk, Project Failure, Black Swans

6.

Making Sense of the Impact and Importance of Outliers in Project Management Through the Use of Power Laws

Proceedings of IRNOP (International Research Network on Organizing by Projects), At Oslo, Volume: 11, June 1, 2013
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 03 Jul 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 190 (38,866)

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IT project management, risk, outlier, rare events, power laws

7.

Report to the Independent Board Committee

Number of pages: 122 Posted: 02 Nov 2014 Last Revised: 11 Nov 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg, Tsung-Chung Kao and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Railroad Transportation & Engineering Center (RailTEC) and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 176 (113,086)

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Project management, cost management, schedule management, budget control, reference class forecasting

8.

The Risk of Risk Registers - Managing Risk is Managing Discourse Not Tools

Journal of Information Technology, Vol. 26, pp. 274-276, 2011
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 29 May 2012
Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 157 (121,627)

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risk, risk registers, boundary objects, fallacy of misplaced concreteness, false certainty, communicative rationality

9.

Double Whammy – How ICT Projects are Fooled by Randomness and Screwed by Political Intent

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 29 May 2012
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 90 (185,772)
Citation 2

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ICT projects, risk, cost overruns, schedule overruns, power laws, Black Swan

10.

ICT Project Risk as Pollution Belief - A Comparative Essay in Cultural Theory

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 29 May 2012
Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 66 (252,170)

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risk, information technology, projects, programs, cultural theories of risk, governmentality

11.

Perché un progetto IT può essere più rischioso di quanto si creda (Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier than You Think)

Harvard Business Review Italy, pp. 6-8.
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 10 (470,129)

Abstract:

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12.

Report for the Edinburgh Tram Inquiry

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 28 Mar 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 0 (136,065)

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risk assessment, risk management, infrastructure, megaprojects, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, planning fallacy, behavioral science

13.

Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, and Daniel Lunn, 2016, 'Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China,' Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 32, no. 3, autumn, pp. 360–390. DOI: 10.1093/oxrep/grw022.,
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 06 Sep 2016 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2016
Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier and Daniel Lunn
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 0 (19,102)

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infrastructure, economic growth, fragility, investment theory, China, transport, cost overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost–benefit analysis, optimism bias

14.

The Oxford Olympics Study 2016: Cost and Cost Overrun at the Games

Said Business School WP 2016-20
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 05 Jul 2016 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Allison Stewart and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 0 (755)

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Olympic Games, Olympics, cost, cost overrun, megaprojects, megaevents, megaproject management, economics, finance, strategic planning, urban planning, Rio 2016, IOC, Summer Games, Winter Games

15.

Big is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, and Daniel Lunn, 2017, "Big Is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale," in Bent Flyvbjerg, ed., The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management (Oxford: Oxford University Press), Chapter 4, pp. 60-95.
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 04 Mar 2016 Last Revised: 29 May 2017
Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier and Daniel Lunn
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 0 (12,957)

Abstract:

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Megaprojects, megaproject management, project management, fragility, scaling, economies of scale, cost overruns, schedule overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost-benefit analysis, welfare economics, debt management, large dams, hydroelectricity

Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 666    Citations: 0
1.

Why Do Projects Fail?

Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier, 2015, "Why Do Projects Fail?", Project Magazine, Summer.
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 26 Jan 2016
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 0

Abstract:

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project management, project planning, planning, management