Serhan Cevik

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street, N.W.

Washington, DC 20431

United States

  • International Monetary Fund (IMF)

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

41

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2,069

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 31,517

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12

CROSSREF CITATIONS

15

Scholarly Papers (41)

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1.

The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

Downloads 482 ( 77,518)
Citation 8

The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Serhan Cevik and Joshua Charap
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 394 (97,337)

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The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2015
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 02 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Joshua Charap
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 88 (371,683)

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Interest rates, Islamic banks, causality, time-varying volatility correlation

2.

Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 161 (238,223)

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3.

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Downloads 151 (251,363)

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 01 Feb 2011
Serhan Cevik and Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 151 (252,000)

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Agricultural commodities, Agricultural prices, Commodity price fluctuations, Consumption, Demand, Economic growth, Emerging markets, International liquidity, Oil prices, Oil sector, Supply

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Journal of Wine Economics, Vol. 9, No. 1, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Commodity Prices, Comovement, Crude Oil, Emerging Economies, Fine Wine, Global Growth

4.

Libya Beyond the Revolution: Challenges and Opportunities

International Monetary Fund Middle East and Central Asia Department; ISBN: 978-1-61635-385-8
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 06 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2017
Ralph Chami, Ahmed I. Al-Darwish, Ahmed I. Al-Darwish, Serhan Cevik, Joshua Charap, Susan Mary George, Borja Gracia, Simon Gray and Sailendra Pattanayak
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF)Government of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia - Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Yale University, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 138 (270,088)

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5.

Policy Coordination in Fiscal Federalism: Drawing Lessons from the Dubai Debt Crisis

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 112 (314,707)

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Business cycles, Debt sustainability, Fiscal policy, Fiscal sustainability, Hydrocarbons, Natural resources, Public debt, United Arab Emirates

6.

Growing (Un)Equal: Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality in China and BRIC

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 05 May 2015
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Universidad Central - Economics Department
Downloads 99 (342,043)

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Income inequality, China, Brazil, Russian Federation, India, Fiscal policy, Income distribution, Economic growth, Cross country analysis, Time series, Panel analysis, household income, poverty, poor, rural

7.

This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 82 (384,439)

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8.

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

Downloads 63 (443,861)

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 01 Nov 2012
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 63 (450,011)

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Credit Channel, Structural Var, Interest Rates On Loans, Currency Pegs, Bank Credit, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions, Money And Interest Rates

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

Middle East Development Journal, Vol. 5, No. 3, 2013
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Inflation, Credit Channel, Structural VAR

9.

Fiscal Consequences of Terrorism

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2016
Serhan Cevik and John Ricco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 58 (462,036)

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tax, revenue, attacks, share, General, National Security and War, All Countries,

10.

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 56 (469,553)
Citation 1

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11.

Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 14 Apr 2015
Serhan Cevik, Richard D. F. Harris and Fatih Yilmaz
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Bristol, School of Accounting and Financeaffiliation not provided to SSRN and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 48 (502,273)
Citation 1

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Exchange rates, Foreign exchange market volatility, Econometric models, Exchange rate volatility, trade, emerging market, demographic, market economies, exchange rate fluctuations, emerging market economies, share, currency, bond, life expectancy, currencies

12.

Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 47 (506,632)

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13.

Pandemics and Firms: Drawing Lessons from History

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 43 (524,841)

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14.

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

Downloads 42 (529,651)
Citation 1

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 10 Apr 2014
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 42 (540,639)
Citation 1

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Fiscal policy, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Cross country analysis, Economic models, fiscal reaction functions, fiscal policy volatility, budget balance, discretionary fiscal policy, primary budget balance, fiscal rules, fiscal behavior, public debt, budget constraint, budget deficits, fiscal sustainability, fiscal solvency, public finances, fiscal balance, taxation, fiscal positions, fiscal policy response, fiscal stimulus, fiscal impact, government spending, fiscal strategy, fiscal studies, fiscal policies, fiscal policy decisions, fiscal imbalances, fiscal outcomes, public expenditures, fiscal deficits, fiscal vulnerabilities, fiscal consolidation efforts, fiscal consequences, f

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 2, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

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Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Reaction Functions, Fiscal Policy Volatility

15.

Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 08 Jun 2013
Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Hossein Rahmati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 39 (544,223)

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Development, Libya, Economic growth, Nonoil sector, Financial intermediation, Production growth, Financial systems, Economic models, Time series, Financial development, cointegration, causality, VAR models, gdp per capita, financial system, gdp growth, growth rate, financial services, growth model, stock markets, financial resources, stock market, financial markets, financial sector, per capita income, financial globalization, money market, financial instruments, financial institutions, stock market liquidity, real gdp, financial economics, international financial statistics, financial stability

16.

The Day after Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

Downloads 37 (554,405)

The Day after Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Apr 2013
Carlos Caceres, Serhan Cevik, Ricardo Fenochietto and Borja Gracia
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department and Yale University
Downloads 37 (567,034)

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Fiscal policy, Libya, Hydrocarbons, Revenues, Fiscal sustainability, cyclical adjustment, permanent income hypothesis, fiscal rules, natural resources, public financial management, fiscal stance, primary deficit, fiscal position, fiscal balance, government spending, budget balance, primary budget balance, fiscal framework, primary budget deficit, fiscal impulse, budget deficit, fiscal policies, government budget, long-term fiscal sustainability, fiscal performance, fiscal policy rules, aggregate demand, fiscal strategy, government expenditure, budget constraint, government budget constraint, fiscal policy rule, public expenditure, fiscal policy management, fiscal responsibility, fiscal accou

The Day After Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 4, 2015
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Carlos Caceres, Serhan Cevik, Ricardo Fenochietto and Borja Gracia
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department and Yale University

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Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Sustainability, Fiscal Rules, Natural Resources, Public Financial Management

17.

Contagion of Fear: Is the Impact of COVID-19 on Sovereign Risk Really Indiscriminate?

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Belma Ozturkkal
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Kadir Has University Istanbul, Turkey
Downloads 36 (559,705)

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18.

Going Viral: A Gravity Model of Infectious Diseases and Tourism Flows

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 31 (587,032)

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Economic growth, Economic recovery, Financial crises, Tourism, Gross domestic product, Infectious diseases, international tourism flows, gravity model, panel data, WP, Ebola, SARS, infectious disease, confirmed case

19.

Dirty Money: Does the Risk of Infectious Disease Lower Demand for Cash?

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 27 (611,520)

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20.

Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Manuk Ghazanchyan
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 26 (618,056)

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21.

Death and Taxes: Does Taxation Matter for Firm Survival?

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Jun 2019
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 26 (618,056)

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Tax revenue, Tax burdens, Tax systems, Tax reforms, Tax regimes, Firm survival, effective marginal tax rate, total factor productivity, tax policy, firm-specific, capital intensity, TFP, probability of failure, survival probability

22.

Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Feb 2020
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 25 (624,716)

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Real effective exchange rates, Economic growth, Economic forecasting, Real exchange rates, Personal income, Forecasting, tourist arrivals, Google Trends, time-series models, WP, ARIMA, tourist arrival, autoregressive, forecast model, time-series

23.

Structural Transformation and Tax Efficiency

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 08 Apr 2019
Serhan Cevik, Jan Gottschalk, Eric Hutton, Laura Jaramillo, Pooja Karnane and Moussé Sow
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Policy Development and Review Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund
Downloads 24 (631,667)

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Tax revenue, Financial statistics, Consumption taxes, Revenue measures, Economic growth, Structural transformation, tax efficiency, value-added tax, C-efficiency ratio, tax gap, non-tradable, vat rate, vat, government effectiveness

24.

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

Downloads 22 (645,655)
Citation 2

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 22 (666,093)

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Investment, Corporate income tax, leverage, firm performance

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm‐Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

Australian Economic Review, Vol. 51, Issue 3, pp. 351-367, 2018
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 17 Sep 2018
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 0
Citation 2
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25.

Desynchronized: The Comovement of Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles in the GCC

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Dec 2011
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 22 (645,655)

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Business cycles, Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, Economic models, Hydrocarbons, Monetary unions

26.

Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass-Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan

Downloads 20 (659,819)

Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass-Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 19 (689,629)

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Taxation, Pakistan, Excise taxes, Sales taxes, Tax policy, Consumer prices, Tax collection, Econometric models

Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass‐Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan

Review of Development Economics, Vol. 22, Issue 3, pp. e1-e15, 2018
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 29 Aug 2018
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 1 (851,429)
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27.

Unlocking Pakistan's Revenue Potential

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 20 (659,819)

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Tax revenues, Pakistan, Revenue administration, Tax elasticity, Tax policy

28.

Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances Lessons from Moldova

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 06 Feb 2015
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 17 (681,696)

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Vertical fiscal imbalances, Moldova, Public finance, Government expenditures, Fiscal decentralization, Econometric models, Time series, Panel analysis, subnational governments, revenues, central government, municipalities, transfers, tax, municipality, revenue mobilization, tax revenues, budget balance, central government budget, mayor, fiscal policy, fiscal constraints, current expenditures, ministry, revenue collection, mayors, ministry of finance, taxation, revenue sharing, intergovernmental fiscal relations, fiscal performance, local expenditure, tax policy, town, budget constraint, policy objectives, tax instruments, size of municipalities, taxes, revenue sources, policy formulation, po

29.

Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 28 Feb 2020
Serhan Cevik and Vibha Nanda
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 14 (704,512)

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Financial statistics, Fiscal policy, Economic growth, Deficit financing, Financial crises, Debt sustainability, fiscal reaction function, fiscal solvency, WP, debt-to-GDP ratio, debt-to-GDP, output gap, primary balance, policy stance

30.

Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality

Downloads 13 (712,493)

Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 12 Mar 2020
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Universidad Central - Economics Department
Downloads 13 (739,296)

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Income inequality, Economic reforms, Economic growth, Demographic indicators, Income distribution, fiscal policy, transition economies, WP, Gini coefficient, Gini, transition economy, control variable, financial development

Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality

Review of Development Economics, Vol. 24, Issue 1, pp. 238-253, 2020
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Jun 2020
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa‐Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
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fiscal policy, income distribution, income inequality, transition economies

31.

Back to the Future: Fiscal Rules for Regaining Sustainability

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 03 Dec 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 13 (712,493)

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Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, Fiscal indicators, Economic policy, Economic growth, sustainability, procyclicality, debt, fiscal rules, WP, debt-to-GDP ratio, debt-to-GDP, countercyclical, output gap, primary balance

32.

You are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 02 Jun 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 13 (712,493)

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Economic growth, Private investments, Capital formation, Foreign investment, Public investments, Fixed investment, state-owned enterprises, crowding-out effect, firm-level analysis, SOEs, private fixed investment, given sector, market concentration, SOE

33.

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

Downloads 13 (712,493)
Citation 1

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 25 Apr 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 13 (739,296)
Citation 1

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Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, National budgets, Budgetary policy, Fiscal stimulus, procyclicality, structural budget balances, fiscal rules, output gap, countercyclical, budget balance, fiscal operation, rule-based

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

Asian‐Pacific Economic Literature, Vol. 33, Issue 1, pp. 33-47, 2019
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 03 May 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
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34.

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

Downloads 13 (712,493)

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 Apr 2013
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 13 (739,296)

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Inflation, Libya, Monetary policy, Fiscal policy, Economic models, Inflation, money supply, exchange rate pass-through, international sanctions

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Vol. 7, No. 1, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

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Inflation, Money Supply, Exchange Rate Pass-Through, International Sanctions

35.

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 28 Feb 2013
Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Hossein Rahmati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 13 (712,493)

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Civil conflict, Developing countries, Economic growth, Economic models, External shocks, Transition economies, conflict recurrence risk, dynamic panel estimation, geography, growth, institutions, structural reforms

36.

Smooth Operator: Remittances and Fiscal Shocks

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 09 Aug 2017
Kimberly Beaton, Serhan Cevik and Reza Yousefi
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 10 (736,291)

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Remittances, Remittances, Consumption smoothing, fiscal shocks, social spendin, Kimberly Beaton, Serhan Cevik and Seyed Reza Yousefi, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Business Cycles, Household

37.

A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators

International Monetary Fund Technical Guidance Note, 2012
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 04 Nov 2017
Ralph Chami, Yasser Abdih, Alberto Behar, Serhan Cevik, Davide Furceri, Nick Janus and Paul Zimand
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 8 (752,498)

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Unemployment, projections, template, labor market

38.

Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence and Inflation in the Caribbean

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 08 Nov 2019
Serhan Cevik and Tianle Zhu
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 5 (776,618)

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Real effective exchange rates, Central bank independence, Central bank autonomy, Exchange rate regimes, Monetary policy, Macroeconomic trilemma, monetary independence, exchange rate flexibility, inflation, WP, GMM, exchange rate regime, control variable, fixed exchange rate regime, Caribbean country

39.

Size Matters: Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances in Moldova

Empirica, Vol. 44, No. 2, 2017
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Vertical Fiscal Imbalance, Fiscal Decentralization, Subnational Governments

40.

Without Oil, How Do Gulf Countries Move? Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles

Journal of Economic Integration, Vol. 29, No. 2, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Business Cycles, Business Cycle Synchronization, Band-Pass Filter, Concordance

41.

No Buck for the Bang: Revisiting the Military-Growth Nexus

Empirica, Forthcoming
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and John Ricco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Military Spending, Economic Growth, Institutions, External and Internal Threats