Serhan Cevik

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street, N.W.

Washington, DC 20431

United States

  • International Monetary Fund (IMF)

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

64

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4,065

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 18,045

in Total Papers Citations

55

CROSSREF CITATIONS

15

Scholarly Papers (64)

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1.

The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

Downloads 547 (87,986)
Citation 12

The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

IMF Working Paper No. 11/156
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Serhan Cevik and Joshua Charap
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 425 (118,073)

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The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2015
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 02 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Joshua Charap
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 122 (392,278)

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Interest rates, Islamic banks, causality, time-varying volatility correlation

2.

Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/286
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 417 (121,919)

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3.

Libya Beyond the Revolution: Challenges and Opportunities

International Monetary Fund Middle East and Central Asia Department; ISBN: 978-1-61635-385-8
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 06 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2017
Ralph Chami, Ahmed I. Al-Darwish, Ahmed I. Al-Darwish, Serhan Cevik, Joshua Charap, Susan Mary George, Borja Gracia, Simon Gray and Sailendra Pattanayak
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF)Government of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia - Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Yale University, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 299 (175,377)

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4.

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Downloads 175 (292,247)

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

IMF Working Paper No. 11/1
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 01 Feb 2011
Serhan Cevik and Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 175 (292,099)

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Agricultural commodities, Agricultural prices, Commodity price fluctuations, Consumption, Demand, Economic growth, Emerging markets, International liquidity, Oil prices, Oil sector, Supply

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Journal of Wine Economics, Vol. 9, No. 1, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Commodity Prices, Comovement, Crude Oil, Emerging Economies, Fine Wine, Global Growth

5.

Here Comes the Change: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors in Post-Pandemic Inflation in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/241
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 29 Dec 2022
Mahir Binici, Samuele Centorrino, Serhan Cevik and Gyowon Gwon
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord
Downloads 129 (374,567)

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Inflation, output gap, globalization, Phillips curve, dynamic factor model, fixed effect estimator, local projection method, inflation dynamics, consumer price inflation, fiscal policy response, inflation expectation, inflation process, commodity price, core CPI, Commodity prices, COVID-19, Energy prices, Global, Europe

6.

Policy Coordination in Fiscal Federalism: Drawing Lessons from the Dubai Debt Crisis

IMF Working Paper No. 11/147
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 122 (390,688)

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Business cycles, Debt sustainability, Fiscal policy, Fiscal sustainability, Hydrocarbons, Natural resources, Public debt, United Arab Emirates

7.

This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds

IMF Working Paper No. 20/79
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 116 (405,271)

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8.

Growing (Un)Equal: Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality in China and BRIC

IMF Working Paper No. 15/68
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 05 May 2015
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Universidad Central - Economics Department
Downloads 114 (410,501)

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Income inequality, China, Brazil, Russian Federation, India, Fiscal policy, Income distribution, Economic growth, Cross country analysis, Time series, Panel analysis, household income, poverty, poor, rural

9.

Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/087
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 22 May 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 111 (418,589)

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Climate change, natural disasters, inflation, growth, local projections, panel data, growth dynamics, influence inflation, impact of climate, food inflation, climate-economy nexus, Fiscal space, Global

10.

Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/287
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 100 (450,834)
Citation 2

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11.

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

Downloads 82 (510,790)

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 12/191
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 01 Nov 2012
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 82 (516,119)

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Credit Channel, Structural Var, Interest Rates On Loans, Currency Pegs, Bank Credit, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions, Money And Interest Rates

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

Middle East Development Journal, Vol. 5, No. 3, 2013
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Inflation, Credit Channel, Structural VAR

12.

Climate Change and Energy Security: The Dilemma or Opportunity of the Century?

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/174
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 22 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 78 (526,071)

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Climate change, energy security, carbon emissions, energy efficiency, Europe, transition economies, mitigating climate change, energy dependence, climate change adaptation, financing climate change mitigation, Greenhouse gas emissions, Energy conservation, Carbon tax, Global, Baltics

13.

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults

IMF Working Paper No. 20/231
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 78 (526,071)
Citation 5

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14.

Fiscal Consequences of Terrorism

IMF Working Paper No. 15/225
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2016
Serhan Cevik and John Ricco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 77 (530,043)

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tax, revenue, attacks, share, General, National Security and War, All Countries,

15.

It's Never Different: Fiscal Policy Shocks and Inflation

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/098
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 May 2023
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 74 (546,335)
Citation 2

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Inflation, fiscal policy, public debt, output gap, local projections, fiscal policy shock, fiscal policy stance, monetary policy type, core CPI, inflation targeting policy, Fiscal stance, Fiscal space, Exchange rate arrangements, Global

16.

Show Me the Money: Tracking Consumer Spending with Daily Card Transaction Data During the Pandemic

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/235
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 21 Dec 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 70 (559,019)

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Pandemic, consumer spending, card transactions, Baltics, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, euro area, transition economies, household consumption behavior, credit card transactions, stimulating consumer spending, government intervention, consumer spending pattern, credit card transaction data, COVID-19, Consumer credit, Consumption, Household consumption

17.

Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility

IMF Working Paper No. 15/63
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 14 Apr 2015
Serhan Cevik, Richard D. F. Harris and Fatih Yilmaz
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Bristol, School of Accounting and FinanceUniversity of Bristol, School of Accounting and Finance and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 65 (581,335)
Citation 1

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Exchange rates, Foreign exchange market volatility, Econometric models, Exchange rate volatility, trade, emerging market, demographic, market economies, exchange rate fluctuations, emerging market economies, share, currency, bond, life expectancy, currencies

18.

Breaking Bad: A Disaggregated Analysis of Inflation Inertia

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/167
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 12 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 61 (600,065)

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19.

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

Downloads 60 (604,915)
Citation 1

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

IMF Working Paper No. 14/45
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 10 Apr 2014
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 60 (615,212)
Citation 1

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Fiscal policy, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Cross country analysis, Economic models, fiscal reaction functions, fiscal policy volatility, budget balance, discretionary fiscal policy, primary budget balance, fiscal rules, fiscal behavior, public debt, budget constraint, budget deficits, fiscal sustainability, fiscal solvency, public finances, fiscal balance, taxation, fiscal positions, fiscal policy response, fiscal stimulus, fiscal impact, government spending, fiscal strategy, fiscal studies, fiscal policies, fiscal policy decisions, fiscal imbalances, fiscal outcomes, public expenditures, fiscal deficits, fiscal vulnerabilities, fiscal consolidation efforts, fiscal consequences, f

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 2, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

Abstract:

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Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Reaction Functions, Fiscal Policy Volatility

20.

Pandemics and Firms: Drawing Lessons from History

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/276
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 58 (615,209)

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21.

For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Inequality

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/103
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 07 Jun 2022
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 56 (625,456)
Citation 3

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22.

The Day after Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

Downloads 53 (641,652)

The Day after Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/79
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Apr 2013
Carlos Caceres, Serhan Cevik, Ricardo Fenochietto and Borja Gracia
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department and Yale University
Downloads 53 (654,373)

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Fiscal policy, Libya, Hydrocarbons, Revenues, Fiscal sustainability, cyclical adjustment, permanent income hypothesis, fiscal rules, natural resources, public financial management, fiscal stance, primary deficit, fiscal position, fiscal balance, government spending, budget balance, primary budget balance, fiscal framework, primary budget deficit, fiscal impulse, budget deficit, fiscal policies, government budget, long-term fiscal sustainability, fiscal performance, fiscal policy rules, aggregate demand, fiscal strategy, government expenditure, budget constraint, government budget constraint, fiscal policy rule, public expenditure, fiscal policy management, fiscal responsibility, fiscal accou

The Day After Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 4, 2015
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Carlos Caceres, Serhan Cevik, Ricardo Fenochietto and Borja Gracia
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department and Yale University

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Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Sustainability, Fiscal Rules, Natural Resources, Public Financial Management

23.

Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/92
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 08 Jun 2013
Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Hossein Rahmati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 52 (647,213)

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Development, Libya, Economic growth, Nonoil sector, Financial intermediation, Production growth, Financial systems, Economic models, Time series, Financial development, cointegration, causality, VAR models, gdp per capita, financial system, gdp growth, growth rate, financial services, growth model, stock markets, financial resources, stock market, financial markets, financial sector, per capita income, financial globalization, money market, financial instruments, financial institutions, stock market liquidity, real gdp, financial economics, international financial statistics, financial stability

24.

Don't Look Up: House Prices in Emerging Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/236
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 21 Dec 2022
Serhan Cevik and Sadhna Naik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 46 (681,983)

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House prices, quantile regression, instrumental variable, emerging markets, Europe, price-dampening impact, quantile regression estimation, panel quantile regression approach, interest rate elasticity, regression approach, lower-price range, Housing prices, Long term interest rates, Short term interest rates, Income, Inflation

25.

Death and Taxes: Does Taxation Matter for Firm Survival?

IMF Working Paper No. 19/78
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Jun 2019
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 46 (681,983)
Citation 1

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Tax revenue, Tax burdens, Tax systems, Tax reforms, Tax regimes, Firm survival, effective marginal tax rate, total factor productivity, tax policy, firm-specific, capital intensity, TFP, probability of failure, survival probability

26.

Bubble Detective: City-Level Analysis of House Price Cycles

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/033
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 23 Feb 2023
Serhan Cevik and Sadhna Naik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 44 (694,539)

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House prices, bubbles, recursive unit root test, city-level, Lithuania

27.

Contagion of Fear: Is the Impact of COVID-19 on Sovereign Risk Really Indiscriminate?

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/263
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Belma Ozturkkal
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Kadir Has University Istanbul, Turkey
Downloads 44 (694,539)

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28.

Structural Transformation and Tax Efficiency

IMF Working Paper No. 19/30
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 08 Apr 2019
Serhan Cevik, Jan Gottschalk, Eric Hutton, Laura Jaramillo, Pooja Karnane and Moussé Sow
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Policy Development and Review Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund
Downloads 44 (694,539)

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Tax revenue, Financial statistics, Consumption taxes, Revenue measures, Economic growth, Structural transformation, tax efficiency, value-added tax, C-efficiency ratio, tax gap, non-tradable, vat rate, vat, government effectiveness

29.

Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals

IMF Working Paper No. 20/22
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Feb 2020
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 42 (707,355)

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Real effective exchange rates, Economic growth, Economic forecasting, Real exchange rates, Personal income, Forecasting, tourist arrivals, Google Trends, time-series models, WP, ARIMA, tourist arrival, autoregressive, forecast model, time-series

30.

Dirty Money: Does the Risk of Infectious Disease Lower Demand for Cash?

IMF Working Paper No. 20/255
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 40 (720,944)
Citation 2

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31.

Unlocking Pakistan's Revenue Potential

IMF Working Paper No. 16/182
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 40 (720,944)

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Tax revenues, Pakistan, Revenue administration, Tax elasticity, Tax policy

32.

Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism

IMF Working Paper No. 20/243
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Manuk Ghazanchyan
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 39 (727,673)

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33.

Going Viral: A Gravity Model of Infectious Diseases and Tourism Flows

IMF Working Paper No. 20/112
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 39 (727,673)
Citation 4

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Economic growth, Economic recovery, Financial crises, Tourism, Gross domestic product, Infectious diseases, international tourism flows, gravity model, panel data, WP, Ebola, SARS, infectious disease, confirmed case

34.

Chasing the Sun and Catching the Wind: Energy Transition and Electricity Prices in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/220
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 22 Nov 2022
Serhan Cevik and Keitaro Ninomiya
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 38 (734,777)

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Energy transition, renewables, electiricity prices, panel quantile regression, Europe, electricity price, quantile estimation result, electricity generation, dampening effect, Electricity, Renewable energy, Renewable resources, Oil prices, Global

35.

Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean

IMF Working Paper No. 20/21
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 28 Feb 2020
Serhan Cevik and Vibha Nanda
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 36 (749,009)

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Financial statistics, Fiscal policy, Economic growth, Deficit financing, Financial crises, Debt sustainability, fiscal reaction function, fiscal solvency, WP, debt-to-GDP ratio, debt-to-GDP, output gap, primary balance, policy stance

36.

Rogue Waves: Climate Change and Firm Performance

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/102
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 07 Jun 2022
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 34 (763,662)
Citation 1

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Climate change, nonfinancial firms, corporate performance

37.

Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances Lessons from Moldova

IMF Working Paper No. 14/233
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 06 Feb 2015
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 34 (763,662)

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Vertical fiscal imbalances, Moldova, Public finance, Government expenditures, Fiscal decentralization, Econometric models, Time series, Panel analysis, subnational governments, revenues, central government, municipalities, transfers, tax, municipality, revenue mobilization, tax revenues, budget balance, central government budget, mayor, fiscal policy, fiscal constraints, current expenditures, ministry, revenue collection, mayors, ministry of finance, taxation, revenue sharing, intergovernmental fiscal relations, fiscal performance, local expenditure, tax policy, town, budget constraint, policy objectives, tax instruments, size of municipalities, taxes, revenue sources, policy formulation, po

38.

Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/120
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 20 Jun 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 33 (771,251)

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Structural reforms, environment, green growth, panel data, local projection, environmental policy

39.

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 18/34
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 33 (771,251)

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Investment, Corporate income tax, leverage, firm performance

40.

Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass-Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan

IMF Working Paper No. 16/179
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 32 (778,920)

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Taxation, Pakistan, Excise taxes, Sales taxes, Tax policy, Consumer prices, Tax collection, Econometric models

41.

Desynchronized: The Comovement of Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles in the GCC

IMF Working Paper No. 11/286
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Dec 2011
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 32 (778,920)

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Business cycles, Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, Economic models, Hydrocarbons, Monetary unions

42.

A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators

International Monetary Fund Technical Guidance Note, 2012
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 04 Nov 2017
Ralph Chami, Yasser Abdih, Alberto Behar, Serhan Cevik, Davide Furceri, Nick Janus and Paul Zimand
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 30 (794,713)

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Unemployment, projections, template, labor market

43.

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

IMF Working Paper No. 19/70
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 25 Apr 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 27 (819,140)
Citation 1

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Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, National budgets, Budgetary policy, Fiscal stimulus, procyclicality, structural budget balances, fiscal rules, output gap, countercyclical, budget balance, fiscal operation, rule-based

44.

How Mumbo-Jumbo Conquered the World: Empirical Analysis of Conspiracy Theories

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 11 Jul 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 26 (827,650)

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Conspiracy theories; disinformation; income; education; institutions; internal and external threats

45.

Back to the Future: Fiscal Rules for Regaining Sustainability

IMF Working Paper No. 19/242
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 03 Dec 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 26 (827,650)

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Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, Fiscal indicators, Economic policy, Economic growth, sustainability, procyclicality, debt, fiscal rules, WP, debt-to-GDP ratio, debt-to-GDP, countercyclical, output gap, primary balance

46.

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

Downloads 26 (827,650)

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/78
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 Apr 2013
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 26 (852,989)

Abstract:

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Inflation, Libya, Monetary policy, Fiscal policy, Economic models, Inflation, money supply, exchange rate pass-through, international sanctions

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Vol. 7, No. 1, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

Abstract:

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Inflation, Money Supply, Exchange Rate Pass-Through, International Sanctions

47.

Smooth Operator: Remittances and Fiscal Shocks

IMF Working Paper No. 17/165
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 09 Aug 2017
Kimberly Beaton, Serhan Cevik and Reza Yousefi
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 25 (836,222)

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Remittances, Remittances, Consumption smoothing, fiscal shocks, social spendin, Kimberly Beaton, Serhan Cevik and Seyed Reza Yousefi, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Business Cycles, Household

48.

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

IMF Working Paper No. 13/2
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 28 Feb 2013
Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Hossein Rahmati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 25 (836,222)

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Civil conflict, Developing countries, Economic growth, Economic models, External shocks, Transition economies, conflict recurrence risk, dynamic panel estimation, geography, growth, institutions, structural reforms

49.

Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality

IMF Working Paper No. 20/32
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 12 Mar 2020
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Universidad Central - Economics Department
Downloads 24 (845,027)

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Income inequality, Economic reforms, Economic growth, Demographic indicators, Income distribution, fiscal policy, transition economies, WP, Gini coefficient, Gini, transition economy, control variable, financial development

50.

You are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out

IMF Working Paper No. 19/80
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 02 Jun 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 23 (853,919)

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Economic growth, Private investments, Capital formation, Foreign investment, Public investments, Fixed investment, state-owned enterprises, crowding-out effect, firm-level analysis, SOEs, private fixed investment, given sector, market concentration, SOE

51.

Far More than a Shot in the Arm: Vaccines and Consumer Spending

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/081
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 03 May 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 19 (891,292)

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Pandemic, COVID-19, vaccination, household behavior, consumer spending, card transactions, Baltics, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, vaccine rollout, credit card transactions, vaccination deployment, government intervention, vaccination effort, Consumer credit, Household consumption

52.

Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence and Inflation in the Caribbean

IMF Working Paper No. 19/197
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 08 Nov 2019
Serhan Cevik and Tianle Zhu
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 19 (891,292)
Citation 1

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Real effective exchange rates, Central bank independence, Central bank autonomy, Exchange rate regimes, Monetary policy, Macroeconomic trilemma, monetary independence, exchange rate flexibility, inflation, WP, GMM, exchange rate regime, control variable, fixed exchange rate regime, Caribbean country

53.

Long Live Globalization: Geopolitical Shocks and International Trade

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/225
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 02 Nov 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 18 (901,027)

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Globalization, international trade, gravity model, geopolitics

54.

Dirty Dance: Tourism and Environment

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/178
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 26 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 17 (910,794)

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Tourism, climate change, CO2 emissions, energy intensity, mitigation, adaptation, tourism constitute, impact of tourism, share of carbon dioxide, climate change mitigation, climate change vulnerability, Greenhouse gas emissions, Caribbean, Global

55.

Waiting for Godot? The Case for Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in Small Island States

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/179
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 22 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 17 (910,794)

Abstract:

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Climate change, decarbanization, energy efficiency, mitigation, adaptation, carbon tax, green financing

56.

Good Will Hunting: Do Disasters Make Us More Charitable?

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/022
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 15 Feb 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 16 (920,558)

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Natural disasters, COVID-19 pandemic, charitable giving, donations, genorosity, prosocial behavior, card transactions, Baltics, Estonia, Latvia, Lithania, credit card transactions, government welfare program, real-time analysis, government intervention, pandemic shock, COVID-19, Consumer credit, Total expenditures, Global

57.

Reaching (Beyond) the Frontier: Energy Efficiency in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/198
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Oct 2023
Serhan Cevik and Kelly Gao
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 11 (970,268)

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Energy consumption, energy efficiency, stochastis frontier analysis, Europe

58.

Corruption Kills: Global Evidence from Natural Disasters

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/220
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 02 Nov 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 10 (979,525)

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Corruption, institutions, natural disasters, fatalities

59.

Peering Through the Fog of Uncertainty: Out-of-Sample Forecasts of Post-Pandemic Tourism

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/070
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 05 Apr 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 8 (997,189)

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Infectious diseases, tourism flows, gravity model, predictability, out-of-sample forecasting

60.

Mind the Gap: City-Level Inflation Synchronization

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/166
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 12 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 8 (997,189)

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Inflation synchronization, subnational, transition economies, Lithuania

61.

Dining and Wining During the Pandemic? A Quasi-Experiment on Tax Cuts and Consumer Spending in Lithuania

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/188
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 28 Nov 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 0 (1,057,954)

Abstract:

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Tax policy, value-added tax, consumer spending, pandemic, difference-in-differences, Lithuania, VAT reduction, credit card transactions, consumer spending in Lithuania, novel dataset, consumer spending category, COVID-19, Consumer credit, Consumption, Europe, Baltics

62.

Size Matters: Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances in Moldova

Empirica, Vol. 44, No. 2, 2017
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract:

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Vertical Fiscal Imbalance, Fiscal Decentralization, Subnational Governments

63.

Without Oil, How Do Gulf Countries Move? Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles

Journal of Economic Integration, Vol. 29, No. 2, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract:

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Business Cycles, Business Cycle Synchronization, Band-Pass Filter, Concordance

64.

No Buck for the Bang: Revisiting the Military-Growth Nexus

Empirica, Forthcoming
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and John Ricco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Abstract:

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Military Spending, Economic Growth, Institutions, External and Internal Threats