Serhan Cevik

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street, N.W.

Washington, DC 20431

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

77

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6,820

TOTAL CITATIONS
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Top 12,482

in Total Papers Citations

47

Scholarly Papers (77)

The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

IMF Working Paper No. 11/156
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Serhan Cevik and Joshua Charap
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 483 (123,282)

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The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2015
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 02 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Joshua Charap
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 140 (433,709)

Abstract:

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Interest rates, Islamic banks, causality, time-varying volatility correlation

2.

Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/286
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 508 (117,452)
Citation 1

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3.

Libya Beyond the Revolution: Challenges and Opportunities

International Monetary Fund Middle East and Central Asia Department; ISBN: 978-1-61635-385-8
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 06 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2017
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF)Government of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia - Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Yale University, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 436 (141,060)

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4.

Measuring Soft Power: A New Global Index

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/212
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 09 Oct 2024
Serhan Cevik and Tales Padilha
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 196 (325,588)

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Soft power, composite indicators, comparative analysis, principal component analysis, K-Means clustering, exchange rate volatility

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

IMF Working Paper No. 11/1
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 01 Feb 2011
Serhan Cevik and Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 193 (327,701)

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Agricultural commodities, Agricultural prices, Commodity price fluctuations, Consumption, Demand, Economic growth, Emerging markets, International liquidity, Oil prices, Oil sector, Supply

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Journal of Wine Economics, Vol. 9, No. 1, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Commodity Prices, Comovement, Crude Oil, Emerging Economies, Fine Wine, Global Growth

6.

This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds

IMF Working Paper No. 20/79
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 186 (340,072)

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7.

It's Never Different: Fiscal Policy Shocks and Inflation

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/098
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 May 2023
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 184 (343,450)
Citation 2

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Inflation, fiscal policy, public debt, output gap, local projections, fiscal policy shock, fiscal policy stance, monetary policy type, core CPI, inflation targeting policy, Fiscal stance, Fiscal space, Exchange rate arrangements, Global

8.

Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/087
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 22 May 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 180 (350,324)

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Climate change, natural disasters, inflation, growth, local projections, panel data, growth dynamics, influence inflation, impact of climate, food inflation, climate-economy nexus, Fiscal space, Global

9.

Growing (Un)Equal: Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality in China and BRIC

IMF Working Paper No. 15/68
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 05 May 2015
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Universidad Central - Economics Department
Downloads 169 (374,044)

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Income inequality, China, Brazil, Russian Federation, India, Fiscal policy, Income distribution, Economic growth, Cross country analysis, Time series, Panel analysis, household income, poverty, poor, rural

10.

Climate Change and Energy Security: The Dilemma or Opportunity of the Century?

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/174
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 22 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 152 (407,542)

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Climate change, energy security, carbon emissions, energy efficiency, Europe, transition economies, mitigating climate change, energy dependence, climate change adaptation, financing climate change mitigation, Greenhouse gas emissions, Energy conservation, Carbon tax, Global, Baltics

11.

Is Schumpeter Right? Fintech and Economic Growth

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/020
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 08 Feb 2024
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 142 (428,085)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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12.

This is Going to Hurt: Weather Anomalies, Supply Chain Pressures and Inflation

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/079
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 11 Apr 2024
Serhan Cevik and Gyowon Gwon
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord
Downloads 137 (440,361)

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Climate change, weather anomalies, temperature, supply chain pressures, inflation, structural VAR

13.

Policy Coordination in Fiscal Federalism: Drawing Lessons from the Dubai Debt Crisis

IMF Working Paper No. 11/147
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 136 (442,972)

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Business cycles, Debt sustainability, Fiscal policy, Fiscal sustainability, Hydrocarbons, Natural resources, Public debt, United Arab Emirates

14.

Here Comes the Change: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors in Post-Pandemic Inflation in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/241
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 29 Dec 2022
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord
Downloads 135 (445,532)

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Inflation, output gap, globalization, Phillips curve, dynamic factor model, fixed effect estimator, local projection method, inflation dynamics, consumer price inflation, fiscal policy response, inflation expectation, inflation process, commodity price, core CPI, Commodity prices, COVID-19, Energy prices, Global, Europe

15.

Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/287
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 129 (462,052)
Citation 4

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16.

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults

IMF Working Paper No. 20/231
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 118 (494,891)
Citation 7

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17.

Geopolitics and International Trade: The Democracy Advantage

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/021
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 08 Feb 2024
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 113 (511,310)

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Geopolitics, democracy, international trade, gravity model

18.

The Dark Side of the Moon? Fintech and Financial Stability

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/253
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 13 Dec 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 112 (514,751)
Citation 1

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Fintech, financial innovation, financial stability

19.

Is Inflation Good for Business? The Firm-Level Impact of Inflation Shocks in the Baltics, 1997-2021

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/043
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 07 Mar 2024
Serhan Cevik, Alice Fan and Sadhna Naik
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 103 (547,323)

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Inflation, firm performance, productivity, profitability, fixed investment, Baltics, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 12/191
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 01 Nov 2012
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 103 (552,428)
Citation 1

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Credit Channel, Structural Var, Interest Rates On Loans, Currency Pegs, Bank Credit, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions, Money And Interest Rates

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

Middle East Development Journal, Vol. 5, No. 3, 2013
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

Abstract:

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Inflation, Credit Channel, Structural VAR

21.

For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Inequality

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/103
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 07 Jun 2022
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 100 (562,642)
Citation 11

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22.

Fiscal Consequences of Terrorism

IMF Working Paper No. 15/225
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2016
Serhan Cevik and John Ricco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 97 (570,198)

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tax, revenue, attacks, share, General, National Security and War, All Countries,

23.

How Mumbo-Jumbo Conquered the World: Empirical Analysis of Conspiracy Theories

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 11 Jul 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 95 (577,826)

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Conspiracy theories; disinformation; income; education; institutions; internal and external threats

24.

Show Me the Money: Tracking Consumer Spending with Daily Card Transaction Data During the Pandemic

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/235
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 21 Dec 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 91 (593,607)

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Pandemic, consumer spending, card transactions, Baltics, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, euro area, transition economies, household consumption behavior, credit card transactions, stimulating consumer spending, government intervention, consumer spending pattern, credit card transaction data, COVID-19, Consumer credit, Consumption, Household consumption

25.

Rogue Waves: Climate Change and Firm Performance

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/102
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 07 Jun 2022
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 91 (593,607)
Citation 4

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Climate change, nonfinancial firms, corporate performance

26.

Climate Change Mitigation and Policy Spillovers in the EU's Immediate Neighborhood

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/246
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 06 Dec 2023
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 76 (659,386)

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Climate change, carbon emissions, climate change mitigation, carbon tax, Europe

27.

Breaking Bad: A Disaggregated Analysis of Inflation Inertia

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/167
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 12 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 76 (659,386)

Abstract:

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28.

Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility

IMF Working Paper No. 15/63
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 14 Apr 2015
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Bristol, School of Accounting and FinanceUniversity of Bristol, School of Accounting and Finance and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 76 (659,386)
Citation 1

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Exchange rates, Foreign exchange market volatility, Econometric models, Exchange rate volatility, trade, emerging market, demographic, market economies, exchange rate fluctuations, emerging market economies, share, currency, bond, life expectancy, currencies

29.

Chasing the Sun and Catching the Wind: Energy Transition and Electricity Prices in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/220
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 22 Nov 2022
Serhan Cevik and Keitaro Ninomiya
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 75 (664,246)

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Energy transition, renewables, electiricity prices, panel quantile regression, Europe, electricity price, quantile estimation result, electricity generation, dampening effect, Electricity, Renewable energy, Renewable resources, Oil prices, Global

30.
Downloads 73 (674,100)
Citation 1

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

IMF Working Paper No. 14/45
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 10 Apr 2014
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 73 (685,153)
Citation 1

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Fiscal policy, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Cross country analysis, Economic models, fiscal reaction functions, fiscal policy volatility, budget balance, discretionary fiscal policy, primary budget balance, fiscal rules, fiscal behavior, public debt, budget constraint, budget deficits, fiscal sustainability, fiscal solvency, public finances, fiscal balance, taxation, fiscal positions, fiscal policy response, fiscal stimulus, fiscal impact, government spending, fiscal strategy, fiscal studies, fiscal policies, fiscal policy decisions, fiscal imbalances, fiscal outcomes, public expenditures, fiscal deficits, fiscal vulnerabilities, fiscal consolidation efforts, fiscal consequences, f

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 2, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

Abstract:

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Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Reaction Functions, Fiscal Policy Volatility

31.

Long Live Globalization: Geopolitical Shocks and International Trade

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/225
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 02 Nov 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 72 (679,150)

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Globalization, international trade, gravity model, geopolitics

32.

Pandemics and Firms: Drawing Lessons from History

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/276
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 71 (684,218)
Citation 1

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33.

Bubble Detective: City-Level Analysis of House Price Cycles

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/033
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 23 Feb 2023
Serhan Cevik and Sadhna Naik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 70 (689,316)

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House prices, bubbles, recursive unit root test, city-level, Lithuania

34.

Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/92
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 08 Jun 2013
Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Hossein Rahmati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 69 (694,694)

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Development, Libya, Economic growth, Nonoil sector, Financial intermediation, Production growth, Financial systems, Economic models, Time series, Financial development, cointegration, causality, VAR models, gdp per capita, financial system, gdp growth, growth rate, financial services, growth model, stock markets, financial resources, stock market, financial markets, financial sector, per capita income, financial globalization, money market, financial instruments, financial institutions, stock market liquidity, real gdp, financial economics, international financial statistics, financial stability

The Day after Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/79
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Apr 2013
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department and Yale University
Downloads 64 (735,467)

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Fiscal policy, Libya, Hydrocarbons, Revenues, Fiscal sustainability, cyclical adjustment, permanent income hypothesis, fiscal rules, natural resources, public financial management, fiscal stance, primary deficit, fiscal position, fiscal balance, government spending, budget balance, primary budget balance, fiscal framework, primary budget deficit, fiscal impulse, budget deficit, fiscal policies, government budget, long-term fiscal sustainability, fiscal performance, fiscal policy rules, aggregate demand, fiscal strategy, government expenditure, budget constraint, government budget constraint, fiscal policy rule, public expenditure, fiscal policy management, fiscal responsibility, fiscal accou

The Day After Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 4, 2015
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department and Yale University

Abstract:

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Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Sustainability, Fiscal Rules, Natural Resources, Public Financial Management

36.

Corruption Kills: Global Evidence from Natural Disasters

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/220
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 02 Nov 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 62 (733,739)

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Corruption, institutions, natural disasters, fatalities

37.

Don't Look Up: House Prices in Emerging Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/236
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 21 Dec 2022
Serhan Cevik and Sadhna Naik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 61 (739,476)

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House prices, quantile regression, instrumental variable, emerging markets, Europe, price-dampening impact, quantile regression estimation, panel quantile regression approach, interest rate elasticity, regression approach, lower-price range, Housing prices, Long term interest rates, Short term interest rates, Income, Inflation

38.

Contagion of Fear: Is the Impact of COVID-19 on Sovereign Risk Really Indiscriminate?

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/263
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Belma Ozturkkal
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Kadir Has University
Downloads 61 (739,476)
Citation 1

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39.

Death and Taxes: Does Taxation Matter for Firm Survival?

IMF Working Paper No. 19/78
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Jun 2019
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 60 (745,637)
Citation 1

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Tax revenue, Tax burdens, Tax systems, Tax reforms, Tax regimes, Firm survival, effective marginal tax rate, total factor productivity, tax policy, firm-specific, capital intensity, TFP, probability of failure, survival probability

40.

Structural Transformation and Tax Efficiency

IMF Working Paper No. 19/30
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 08 Apr 2019
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Policy Development and Review Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund
Downloads 60 (745,637)

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Tax revenue, Financial statistics, Consumption taxes, Revenue measures, Economic growth, Structural transformation, tax efficiency, value-added tax, C-efficiency ratio, tax gap, non-tradable, vat rate, vat, government effectiveness

41.

Dirty Money: Does the Risk of Infectious Disease Lower Demand for Cash?

IMF Working Paper No. 20/255
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 59 (751,744)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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42.

Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals

IMF Working Paper No. 20/22
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Feb 2020
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 57 (764,444)

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Real effective exchange rates, Economic growth, Economic forecasting, Real exchange rates, Personal income, Forecasting, tourist arrivals, Google Trends, time-series models, WP, ARIMA, tourist arrival, autoregressive, forecast model, time-series

43.

Feeling Rich, Feeling Poor: Housing Wealth Effects and Consumption in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/256
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 13 Dec 2023
Serhan Cevik and Sadhna Naik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 56 (770,850)

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House prices, wealth effects, consumer spending, Europe

44.

Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism

IMF Working Paper No. 20/243
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Manuk Ghazanchyan
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 54 (784,145)

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45.

Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean

IMF Working Paper No. 20/21
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 28 Feb 2020
Serhan Cevik and Vibha Nanda
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 52 (797,975)

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Financial statistics, Fiscal policy, Economic growth, Deficit financing, Financial crises, Debt sustainability, fiscal reaction function, fiscal solvency, WP, debt-to-GDP ratio, debt-to-GDP, output gap, primary balance, policy stance

46.

Unlocking Pakistan's Revenue Potential

IMF Working Paper No. 16/182
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 51 (805,130)

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Tax revenues, Pakistan, Revenue administration, Tax elasticity, Tax policy

47.

Going Viral: A Gravity Model of Infectious Diseases and Tourism Flows

IMF Working Paper No. 20/112
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 50 (812,299)
Citation 5

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Economic growth, Economic recovery, Financial crises, Tourism, Gross domestic product, Infectious diseases, international tourism flows, gravity model, panel data, WP, Ebola, SARS, infectious disease, confirmed case

48.

Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances Lessons from Moldova

IMF Working Paper No. 14/233
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 06 Feb 2015
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 46 (842,786)

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Vertical fiscal imbalances, Moldova, Public finance, Government expenditures, Fiscal decentralization, Econometric models, Time series, Panel analysis, subnational governments, revenues, central government, municipalities, transfers, tax, municipality, revenue mobilization, tax revenues, budget balance, central government budget, mayor, fiscal policy, fiscal constraints, current expenditures, ministry, revenue collection, mayors, ministry of finance, taxation, revenue sharing, intergovernmental fiscal relations, fiscal performance, local expenditure, tax policy, town, budget constraint, policy objectives, tax instruments, size of municipalities, taxes, revenue sources, policy formulation, po

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/78
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 Apr 2013
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 46 (862,974)

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Inflation, Libya, Monetary policy, Fiscal policy, Economic models, Inflation, money supply, exchange rate pass-through, international sanctions

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Vol. 7, No. 1, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

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Inflation, Money Supply, Exchange Rate Pass-Through, International Sanctions

50.

Desynchronized: The Comovement of Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles in the GCC

IMF Working Paper No. 11/286
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Dec 2011
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 46 (842,786)

Abstract:

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Business cycles, Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, Economic models, Hydrocarbons, Monetary unions

51.

Dirty Dance: Tourism and Environment

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/178
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 26 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 43 (867,018)

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Tourism, climate change, CO2 emissions, energy intensity, mitigation, adaptation, tourism constitute, impact of tourism, share of carbon dioxide, climate change mitigation, climate change vulnerability, Greenhouse gas emissions, Caribbean, Global

52.

Waiting for Godot? The Case for Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in Small Island States

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/179
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 22 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 41 (892,838)

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Climate change, decarbanization, energy efficiency, mitigation, adaptation, carbon tax, green financing

53.

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 18/34
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 41 (884,047)

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Investment, Corporate income tax, leverage, firm performance

54.

Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass-Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan

IMF Working Paper No. 16/179
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 41 (884,047)

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Taxation, Pakistan, Excise taxes, Sales taxes, Tax policy, Consumer prices, Tax collection, Econometric models

55.

Smooth Operator: Remittances and Fiscal Shocks

IMF Working Paper No. 17/165
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 09 Aug 2017
Kimberly Beaton, Serhan Cevik and Reza Yousefi
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 39 (901,912)

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Remittances, Remittances, Consumption smoothing, fiscal shocks, social spendin, Kimberly Beaton, Serhan Cevik and Seyed Reza Yousefi, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Business Cycles, Household

56.

Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/120
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 20 Jun 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 38 (910,946)

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Structural reforms, environment, green growth, panel data, local projection, environmental policy

57.

Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality

IMF Working Paper No. 20/32
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 12 Mar 2020
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Universidad Central - Economics Department
Downloads 38 (910,946)

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Income inequality, Economic reforms, Economic growth, Demographic indicators, Income distribution, fiscal policy, transition economies, WP, Gini coefficient, Gini, transition economy, control variable, financial development

58.

Back to the Future: Fiscal Rules for Regaining Sustainability

IMF Working Paper No. 19/242
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 03 Dec 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 38 (910,946)

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Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, Fiscal indicators, Economic policy, Economic growth, sustainability, procyclicality, debt, fiscal rules, WP, debt-to-GDP ratio, debt-to-GDP, countercyclical, output gap, primary balance

59.

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

IMF Working Paper No. 13/2
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 28 Feb 2013
Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Hossein Rahmati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 37 (920,321)

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Civil conflict, Developing countries, Economic growth, Economic models, External shocks, Transition economies, conflict recurrence risk, dynamic panel estimation, geography, growth, institutions, structural reforms

60.

Promise (Un)Kept? Fintech and Financial Inclusion

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/131
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 15 Jul 2024
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 36 (929,697)

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Fintech, financial innovation, financial inclusion

61.

You are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out

IMF Working Paper No. 19/80
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 02 Jun 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 36 (929,697)

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Economic growth, Private investments, Capital formation, Foreign investment, Public investments, Fixed investment, state-owned enterprises, crowding-out effect, firm-level analysis, SOEs, private fixed investment, given sector, market concentration, SOE

62.

A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators

International Monetary Fund Technical Guidance Note, 2012
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 04 Nov 2017
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 36 (929,697)

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Unemployment, projections, template, labor market

63.

Good Will Hunting: Do Disasters Make Us More Charitable?

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/022
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 15 Feb 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 35 (939,283)

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Natural disasters, COVID-19 pandemic, charitable giving, donations, genorosity, prosocial behavior, card transactions, Baltics, Estonia, Latvia, Lithania, credit card transactions, government welfare program, real-time analysis, government intervention, pandemic shock, COVID-19, Consumer credit, Total expenditures, Global

64.

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

IMF Working Paper No. 19/70
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 25 Apr 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 34 (949,125)
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Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, National budgets, Budgetary policy, Fiscal stimulus, procyclicality, structural budget balances, fiscal rules, output gap, countercyclical, budget balance, fiscal operation, rule-based

65.

Reaching (Beyond) the Frontier: Energy Efficiency in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/198
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Oct 2023
Serhan Cevik and Kelly Gao
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 32 (969,219)
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Energy consumption, energy efficiency, stochastis frontier analysis, Europe

66.

Far More than a Shot in the Arm: Vaccines and Consumer Spending

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/081
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 03 May 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 31 (979,535)

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Pandemic, COVID-19, vaccination, household behavior, consumer spending, card transactions, Baltics, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, vaccine rollout, credit card transactions, vaccination deployment, government intervention, vaccination effort, Consumer credit, Household consumption

67.

Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence and Inflation in the Caribbean

IMF Working Paper No. 19/197
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 08 Nov 2019
Serhan Cevik and Tianle Zhu
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 28 (1,011,910)
Citation 1

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Real effective exchange rates, Central bank independence, Central bank autonomy, Exchange rate regimes, Monetary policy, Macroeconomic trilemma, monetary independence, exchange rate flexibility, inflation, WP, GMM, exchange rate regime, control variable, fixed exchange rate regime, Caribbean country

68.

Chasing the Dream: Industry-Level Productivity Developments in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/258
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Jan 2025
Serhan Cevik, Sadhna Naik and Keyra Primus
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 27 (1,023,083)

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Total factor productivity, technology, R&D, innovation, human capital, Europe

69.

Prometheus Unbound

IMF Working Paper No. 2025/044
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 26 Feb 2025
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 20 (1,120,177)

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Fintech, financial innovation, technological change

70.

Shocked: Electricity Price Volatility Spillovers in Europe

IMF Working Paper No. 2025/007
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 15 Jan 2025
Serhan Cevik and Yueshu Zhao
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 18 (1,132,884)

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Electricity prices, Volatility, Spillovers, Gravity model, Renewable energy, Electricity market reform, Europe

71.

Navigating Minefields and Headwinds: National Security, Demographic Shifts, Climate Change and Fiscal Policy in Lithuania

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/201
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 07 Oct 2024
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 16 (1,158,692)

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Military spending, interest rates, climate change, demographics, pension, healthcare, tax policy, fiscal sustainability, Lithuania

72.

Peering Through the Fog of Uncertainty: Out-of-Sample Forecasts of Post-Pandemic Tourism

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/070
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 05 Apr 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 16 (1,158,692)

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Infectious diseases, tourism flows, gravity model, predictability, out-of-sample forecasting

73.

Mind the Gap: City-Level Inflation Synchronization

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/166
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 12 Sep 2022
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 14 (1,184,172)

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Inflation synchronization, subnational, transition economies, Lithuania

74.

Dining and Wining During the Pandemic? A Quasi-Experiment on Tax Cuts and Consumer Spending in Lithuania

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/188
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 28 Nov 2023
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 13 (1,196,906)

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Tax policy, value-added tax, consumer spending, pandemic, difference-in-differences, Lithuania, VAT reduction, credit card transactions, consumer spending in Lithuania, novel dataset, consumer spending category, COVID-19, Consumer credit, Consumption, Europe, Baltics

75.

Size Matters: Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances in Moldova

Empirica, Vol. 44, No. 2, 2017
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Vertical Fiscal Imbalance, Fiscal Decentralization, Subnational Governments

76.

Without Oil, How Do Gulf Countries Move? Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles

Journal of Economic Integration, Vol. 29, No. 2, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Business Cycles, Business Cycle Synchronization, Band-Pass Filter, Concordance

77.

No Buck for the Bang: Revisiting the Military-Growth Nexus

Empirica, Forthcoming
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and John Ricco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Military Spending, Economic Growth, Institutions, External and Internal Threats