Serhan Cevik

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street, N.W.

Washington, DC 20431

United States

  • International Monetary Fund (IMF)

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

37

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1,498

SSRN CITATIONS
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4

CROSSREF CITATIONS

18

Scholarly Papers (37)

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1.

The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

Downloads 452 ( 73,209)
Citation 7

The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

IMF Working Paper No. 11/156
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Serhan Cevik and Joshua Charap
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 388 (86,821)

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The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey

International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2015
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 02 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Joshua Charap
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 64 (398,424)

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Interest rates, Islamic banks, causality, time-varying volatility correlation

2.

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Downloads 146 (229,013)

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

IMF Working Paper No. 11/1
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 01 Feb 2011
Serhan Cevik and Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 146 (229,531)

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Agricultural commodities, Agricultural prices, Commodity price fluctuations, Consumption, Demand, Economic growth, Emerging markets, International liquidity, Oil prices, Oil sector, Supply

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Journal of Wine Economics, Vol. 9, No. 1, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Commodity Prices, Comovement, Crude Oil, Emerging Economies, Fine Wine, Global Growth

3.

Policy Coordination in Fiscal Federalism: Drawing Lessons from the Dubai Debt Crisis

IMF Working Paper No. 11/147
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 107 (289,219)

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Business cycles, Debt sustainability, Fiscal policy, Fiscal sustainability, Hydrocarbons, Natural resources, Public debt, United Arab Emirates

4.

Growing (Un)Equal: Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality in China and BRIC

IMF Working Paper No. 15/68
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 05 May 2015
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Universidad Central - Economics Department
Downloads 97 (310,858)

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Income inequality, China, Brazil, Russian Federation, India, Fiscal policy, Income distribution, Economic growth, Cross country analysis, Time series, Panel analysis, household income, poverty, poor, rural

5.

Libya Beyond the Revolution: Challenges and Opportunities

International Monetary Fund Middle East and Central Asia Department; ISBN: 978-1-61635-385-8
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 06 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2017
Ralph Chami, Ahmed I. Al-Darwish, Serhan Cevik, Joshua Charap, Susan Mary George, Borja Gracia, Simon Gray and Sailendra Pattanayak
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Yale University, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Independent
Downloads 90 (323,904)

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6.

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

Downloads 62 (399,780)

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 12/191
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 01 Nov 2012
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 62 (405,178)

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Credit Channel, Structural Var, Interest Rates On Loans, Currency Pegs, Bank Credit, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions, Money And Interest Rates

Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries

Middle East Development Journal, Vol. 5, No. 3, 2013
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

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Monetary Policy Transmission, Inflation, Credit Channel, Structural VAR

7.

Fiscal Consequences of Terrorism

IMF Working Paper No. 15/225
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2016
Serhan Cevik and John Ricco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 55 (423,465)

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tax, revenue, attacks, share, General, National Security and War, All Countries,

8.

Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility

IMF Working Paper No. 15/63
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 14 Apr 2015
Serhan Cevik, Richard D. F. Harris and Fatih Yilmaz
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Bristol and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 46 (457,309)
Citation 1

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Exchange rates, Foreign exchange market volatility, Econometric models, Exchange rate volatility, trade, emerging market, demographic, market economies, exchange rate fluctuations, emerging market economies, share, currency, bond, life expectancy, currencies

9.

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

Downloads 41 (478,442)
Citation 1

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

IMF Working Paper No. 14/45
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 10 Apr 2014
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 41 (488,273)
Citation 1

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Fiscal policy, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Cross country analysis, Economic models, fiscal reaction functions, fiscal policy volatility, budget balance, discretionary fiscal policy, primary budget balance, fiscal rules, fiscal behavior, public debt, budget constraint, budget deficits, fiscal sustainability, fiscal solvency, public finances, fiscal balance, taxation, fiscal positions, fiscal policy response, fiscal stimulus, fiscal impact, government spending, fiscal strategy, fiscal studies, fiscal policies, fiscal policy decisions, fiscal imbalances, fiscal outcomes, public expenditures, fiscal deficits, fiscal vulnerabilities, fiscal consolidation efforts, fiscal consequences, f

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 2, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

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Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Reaction Functions, Fiscal Policy Volatility

10.

Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/92
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 08 Jun 2013
Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Hossein Rahmati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 35 (505,832)

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Development, Libya, Economic growth, Nonoil sector, Financial intermediation, Production growth, Financial systems, Economic models, Time series, Financial development, cointegration, causality, VAR models, gdp per capita, financial system, gdp growth, growth rate, financial services, growth model, stock markets, financial resources, stock market, financial markets, financial sector, per capita income, financial globalization, money market, financial instruments, financial institutions, stock market liquidity, real gdp, financial economics, international financial statistics, financial stability

11.

The Day after Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

Downloads 35 (505,832)

The Day after Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/79
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Apr 2013
Carlos Caceres, Serhan Cevik, Ricardo Fenochietto and Borja Gracia
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department and Yale University
Downloads 35 (517,679)

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Fiscal policy, Libya, Hydrocarbons, Revenues, Fiscal sustainability, cyclical adjustment, permanent income hypothesis, fiscal rules, natural resources, public financial management, fiscal stance, primary deficit, fiscal position, fiscal balance, government spending, budget balance, primary budget balance, fiscal framework, primary budget deficit, fiscal impulse, budget deficit, fiscal policies, government budget, long-term fiscal sustainability, fiscal performance, fiscal policy rules, aggregate demand, fiscal strategy, government expenditure, budget constraint, government budget constraint, fiscal policy rule, public expenditure, fiscal policy management, fiscal responsibility, fiscal accou

The Day After Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya

Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 4, 2015
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Carlos Caceres, Serhan Cevik, Ricardo Fenochietto and Borja Gracia
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department and Yale University

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Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Sustainability, Fiscal Rules, Natural Resources, Public Financial Management

12.

Going Viral: A Gravity Model of Infectious Diseases and Tourism Flows

IMF Working Paper No. 20/112
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 26 (554,481)

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Economic growth, Economic recovery, Financial crises, Tourism, Gross domestic product, Infectious diseases, international tourism flows, gravity model, panel data, WP, Ebola, SARS, infectious disease, confirmed case

13.

This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds

IMF Working Paper No. 20/79
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 25 (560,728)

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14.

Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals

IMF Working Paper No. 20/22
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Feb 2020
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 24 (567,100)

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Real effective exchange rates, Economic growth, Economic forecasting, Real exchange rates, Personal income, Forecasting, tourist arrivals, Google Trends, time-series models, WP, ARIMA, tourist arrival, autoregressive, forecast model, time-series

15.

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults

IMF Working Paper No. 20/231
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 23 (573,397)

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16.

Desynchronized: The Comovement of Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles in the GCC

IMF Working Paper No. 11/286
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Dec 2011
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 21 (586,461)

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Business cycles, Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, Economic models, Hydrocarbons, Monetary unions

17.

Structural Transformation and Tax Efficiency

IMF Working Paper No. 19/30
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 08 Apr 2019
Serhan Cevik, Jan Gottschalk, Eric Hutton, Laura Jaramillo, Pooja Karnane and Moussé Sow
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Policy Development and Review Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund
Downloads 20 (593,031)

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Tax revenue, Financial statistics, Consumption taxes, Revenue measures, Economic growth, Structural transformation, tax efficiency, value-added tax, C-efficiency ratio, tax gap, non-tradable, vat rate, vat, government effectiveness

18.

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

Downloads 20 (593,031)

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 18/34
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 20 (612,871)

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Investment, Corporate income tax, leverage, firm performance

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm‐Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

Australian Economic Review, Vol. 51, Issue 3, pp. 351-367, 2018
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 17 Sep 2018
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
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19.

Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass-Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan

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Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass-Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan

IMF Working Paper No. 16/179
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 16 (642,339)

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Taxation, Pakistan, Excise taxes, Sales taxes, Tax policy, Consumer prices, Tax collection, Econometric models

Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass‐Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan

Review of Development Economics, Vol. 22, Issue 3, pp. e1-e15, 2018
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 29 Aug 2018
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 1 (771,900)
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20.

Death and Taxes: Does Taxation Matter for Firm Survival?

IMF Working Paper No. 19/78
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Jun 2019
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 15 (626,668)

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Tax revenue, Tax burdens, Tax systems, Tax reforms, Tax regimes, Firm survival, effective marginal tax rate, total factor productivity, tax policy, firm-specific, capital intensity, TFP, probability of failure, survival probability

21.

Unlocking Pakistan's Revenue Potential

IMF Working Paper No. 16/182
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 15 (626,668)

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Tax revenues, Pakistan, Revenue administration, Tax elasticity, Tax policy

22.

Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances Lessons from Moldova

IMF Working Paper No. 14/233
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 06 Feb 2015
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 15 (626,668)

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Vertical fiscal imbalances, Moldova, Public finance, Government expenditures, Fiscal decentralization, Econometric models, Time series, Panel analysis, subnational governments, revenues, central government, municipalities, transfers, tax, municipality, revenue mobilization, tax revenues, budget balance, central government budget, mayor, fiscal policy, fiscal constraints, current expenditures, ministry, revenue collection, mayors, ministry of finance, taxation, revenue sharing, intergovernmental fiscal relations, fiscal performance, local expenditure, tax policy, town, budget constraint, policy objectives, tax instruments, size of municipalities, taxes, revenue sources, policy formulation, po

23.

Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism

IMF Working Paper No. 20/243
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and Manuk Ghazanchyan
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 13 (640,994)

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24.

You are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out

IMF Working Paper No. 19/80
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 02 Jun 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 12 (648,182)

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Economic growth, Private investments, Capital formation, Foreign investment, Public investments, Fixed investment, state-owned enterprises, crowding-out effect, firm-level analysis, SOEs, private fixed investment, given sector, market concentration, SOE

25.

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

IMF Working Paper No. 13/2
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 28 Feb 2013
Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Hossein Rahmati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 12 (648,182)

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Civil conflict, Developing countries, Economic growth, Economic models, External shocks, Transition economies, conflict recurrence risk, dynamic panel estimation, geography, growth, institutions, structural reforms

26.

Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean

IMF Working Paper No. 20/21
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 28 Feb 2020
Serhan Cevik and Vibha Nanda
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 11 (655,410)

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Financial statistics, Fiscal policy, Economic growth, Deficit financing, Financial crises, Debt sustainability, fiscal reaction function, fiscal solvency, WP, debt-to-GDP ratio, debt-to-GDP, output gap, primary balance, policy stance

27.

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

Downloads 11 (655,410)

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

IMF Working Paper No. 13/78
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 Apr 2013
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University
Downloads 11 (681,585)

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Inflation, Libya, Monetary policy, Fiscal policy, Economic models, Inflation, money supply, exchange rate pass-through, international sanctions

Hitchhiker's Guide to Inflation in Libya

International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Vol. 7, No. 1, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and Katerina Teksoz
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Columbia University

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Inflation, Money Supply, Exchange Rate Pass-Through, International Sanctions

28.

Back to the Future: Fiscal Rules for Regaining Sustainability

IMF Working Paper No. 19/242
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 03 Dec 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 10 (662,526)

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Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, Fiscal indicators, Economic policy, Economic growth, sustainability, procyclicality, debt, fiscal rules, WP, debt-to-GDP ratio, debt-to-GDP, countercyclical, output gap, primary balance

29.

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

Downloads 10 (662,526)
Citation 1

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

IMF Working Paper No. 19/70
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 25 Apr 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 10 (689,357)
Citation 1

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Economic stabilization, Fiscal policy, National budgets, Budgetary policy, Fiscal stimulus, procyclicality, structural budget balances, fiscal rules, output gap, countercyclical, budget balance, fiscal operation, rule-based

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility

Asian‐Pacific Economic Literature, Vol. 33, Issue 1, pp. 33-47, 2019
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 03 May 2019
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
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30.

Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality

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Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality

IMF Working Paper No. 20/32
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 12 Mar 2020
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Universidad Central - Economics Department
Downloads 8 (705,169)

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Income inequality, Economic reforms, Economic growth, Demographic indicators, Income distribution, fiscal policy, transition economies, WP, Gini coefficient, Gini, transition economy, control variable, financial development

Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality

Review of Development Economics, Vol. 24, Issue 1, pp. 238-253, 2020
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Jun 2020
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa‐Caro
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
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fiscal policy, income distribution, income inequality, transition economies

31.

Smooth Operator: Remittances and Fiscal Shocks

IMF Working Paper No. 17/165
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 09 Aug 2017
Kimberly Beaton, Serhan Cevik and Reza Yousefi
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 8 (677,039)

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Remittances, Remittances, Consumption smoothing, fiscal shocks, social spendin, Kimberly Beaton, Serhan Cevik and Seyed Reza Yousefi, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Business Cycles, Household

32.

A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators

International Monetary Fund Technical Guidance Note, 2012
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 04 Nov 2017
Ralph Chami, Yasser Abdih, Alberto Behar, Serhan Cevik, Davide Furceri, Nick Janus and Paul Zimand
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 7 (684,408)

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Unemployment, projections, template, labor market

33.

Dirty Money: Does the Risk of Infectious Disease Lower Demand for Cash?

IMF Working Paper No. 20/255
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 6 (691,708)

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34.

Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence and Inflation in the Caribbean

IMF Working Paper No. 19/197
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 08 Nov 2019
Serhan Cevik and Tianle Zhu
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 3 (714,517)

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Real effective exchange rates, Central bank independence, Central bank autonomy, Exchange rate regimes, Monetary policy, Macroeconomic trilemma, monetary independence, exchange rate flexibility, inflation, WP, GMM, exchange rate regime, control variable, fixed exchange rate regime, Caribbean country

35.

Size Matters: Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances in Moldova

Empirica, Vol. 44, No. 2, 2017
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Vertical Fiscal Imbalance, Fiscal Decentralization, Subnational Governments

36.

Without Oil, How Do Gulf Countries Move? Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles

Journal of Economic Integration, Vol. 29, No. 2, 2014
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik
International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Business Cycles, Business Cycle Synchronization, Band-Pass Filter, Concordance

37.

No Buck for the Bang: Revisiting the Military-Growth Nexus

Empirica, Forthcoming
Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Serhan Cevik and John Ricco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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Military Spending, Economic Growth, Institutions, External and Internal Threats