Travis J. Berge

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Economist

20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW

Washington, DC 20551

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

6

DOWNLOADS

241

CITATIONS
Rank 27,068

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 27,068

in Total Papers Citations

9

Scholarly Papers (6)

1.

Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Model Averaging and Selection Over the Business Cycle

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Working Paper No. 13-05
Posted: 09 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 28 Nov 2015
Travis J. Berge
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Abstract:

Business cycle turning points; recessions; variable selection; boosting; Bayesian model averaging; probabilistic forecasts

2.

The Classification of Economic Activity

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 05 Nov 2009 Last Revised: 04 Mar 2013
Travis J. Berge and Oscar Jorda
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of California, Davis - Department of Economics
Downloads 60 (286,835)
Citation 7

Abstract:

3.

Currency Carry Trades

NBER Working Paper No. w16491
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 Oct 2010 Last Revised: 04 Nov 2010
Travis J. Berge, Oscar Jorda and Alan M. Taylor
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of California, Davis - Department of Economics and University of California, Davis - Department of Economics
Downloads 47 (306,285)
Citation 1

Abstract:

4.

Has Globalization Increased the Synchronicity of International Business Cycles?

Economic Review, Third Quarter 2012, pp. 5-39
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 26 Oct 2012
Travis J. Berge
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 33 (343,656)
Citation 1

Abstract:

International business cycles

5.

A Chronology of International Business Cycles Through Non-Parametric Decoding

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 08 Nov 2010
Hsieh Fushing, Shu-Chun Chen, Travis J. Berge and Oscar Jorda
University of California, Davis - Department of Statistics, Academia Sinica - Institute of Mathematics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of California, Davis - Department of Economics
Downloads 27 (366,767)

Abstract:

decoding, hierarchical factor segmentation, network analysis, business cycles

6.

Understanding Survey Based Inflation Expectations

FEDS Working Paper No. 2017-046
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 Apr 2017
Travis J. Berge
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 0 (381,507)

Abstract:

Informational efficiency, Phillips curve, Survey based inflation expectations, Boosting, Inflation forecasting, Machine learning