Joan Paredes

European Central Bank

Sonnemannstrasse 22

Frankfurt am Main, 60314

Germany

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

13

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1,565

SSRN CITATIONS
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in Total Papers Citations

36

CROSSREF CITATIONS

274

Scholarly Papers (13)

1.

Inflation Expectations and Their Role in Eurosystem Forecasting

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021/264
Number of pages: 146 Posted: 23 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, National Bank of Belgium, Bank of Estonia, Bulgarian National Bank, Bank of Estonia, Bank of Finland - Research, Czech National Bank, Bank of Finland, National Bank of Denmark, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank, Deutsche Bundesbank, University of Oxford, Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Greece, National Bank of Poland, Bank of Italy, National Bank of Poland, Latvijas Banka, Bank of Portugal - Economic Research Department, Latvijas Banka, Národná banka Slovenska, Bank of Lithuania, Bank of Slovenia, Banque centrale du Luxembourg, European Central Bank (ECB), De Nederlandsche Bank, Banco de España, De Nederlandsche Bank and Sveriges Riksbank
Downloads 338 (154,059)

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anchoring, forecasting, Inflation expectations, macroeconomics, monetary policy

2.

Review of Macroeconomic Modelling in the Eurosystem: Current Practices and Scope for Improvement

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021267
Number of pages: 193 Posted: 23 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 22 Mar 2023
European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, Bank of Finland - Research, Central Bank of Cyprus, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Banque de France, National Bank of Belgium, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), Central Bank of Ireland, De Nederlandsche Bank - Monetary and Economic Policy Department, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank, European Central BankECB, Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, Bank of Finland, Bank of Slovenia, De Nederlandsche Bank - Research Department, National Bank of Belgium, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Bank of Finland, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Finland - Research, Deutsche Bundesbank, Deutsche Bundesbank - Economics Department, Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Portugal and Université Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne
Downloads 224 (233,883)
Citation 5

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central banking., econometric modelling, forecasting and simulation, monetary policy

A Quarterly Fiscal Database for the Euro Area Based on Intra-Annual Fiscal Information

ECB Working Paper No. 1132
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 14 Dec 2009
European Central Bank, University of Castilla-La Mancha and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 107 (432,530)
Citation 7

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Euro area, Fiscal policies, Interpolation, Unobserved Components models, Mixed frequencies

A Quarterly Fiscal Database for the Euro Area Based on Intra-Annual Fiscal Information

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0935
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 17 Jan 2010
European Central Bank, University of Castilla-La Mancha and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 78 (532,396)
Citation 65

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Euro area, Fiscal policies, Interpolation, Unobserved Components models, Mixed-frequencies

Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the US: An Empirical Assessment

ECB Working Paper No. 1133
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 12 Dec 2009
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España, Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility, European Central Bank and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 87 (497,563)
Citation 5

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Euro area, SVAR, Fiscal Shocks, Fiscal multipliers

Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the US: An Empirical Assessment

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0930
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 29 Dec 2009
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España, Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility, European Central Bank and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 55 (643,096)
Citation 4

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euro area, svar, fiscal shocks, fiscal multipliers

5.

Fiscal Multipliers in the Euro Area

Bank of Italy Occasional Paper
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 15 Jan 2012
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España, Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility, European Central Bank and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 140 (351,969)

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Euro area, SVAR, Fiscal Shocks, Fiscal multipliers

6.
Downloads 112 (416,071)
Citation 51

Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters?

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1508
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 26 Mar 2015
European Central Bank, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 71 (562,440)
Citation 52

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policy credibility, fiscal policy, forecasting

Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters?

ECB Working Paper No. 1834
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 09 Aug 2015
European Central Bank, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 40 (739,495)

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policy credibility; fiscal policy; forecasting; learning

Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10553
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 27 Apr 2015
European Central Bank, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 1 (1,093,300)
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fiscal policy, forecasting, policy credibility

7.

Forecasting Fiscal Time Series Using Mixed Frequency Data

ECB Working Paper No. 1550
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 19 Jun 2013
Brunel University London, European Central Bank and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 101 (448,010)
Citation 6

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Fiscal policy, Mixed frequency data, Short-term forecasting, Aggregated vs. disaggregated forecast

8.

Density Forecasts of Inflation: A Quantile Regression Forest Approach

ECB Working Paper No. 2023/2830
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 15 Jul 2023
Michele Lenza, Inès Moutachaker and Joan Paredes
European Central Bank (ECB), National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) and European Central Bank
Downloads 89 (489,558)

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Inflation, Non-linearity, Quantile Regression Forest

9.

Combining Bayesian VARs with Survey Density Forecasts: Does it Pay Off?

ECB Working Paper No. 2021/2543
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 04 May 2021
European Central Bank, KU Leuven - Department of Economics, European Central Bank and Free University of Bozen-Bolzano - Faculty of Economics and Management
Downloads 83 (511,061)
Citation 5

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10.

Mind the Gap: A Multi-Country BVAR Benchmark for the Eurosystem Projections

ECB Working Paper No. 2227 (2019); ISBN 978-92-899-3489-3
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 01 Feb 2019
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank
Downloads 46 (688,617)
Citation 2

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multi-country model, cross-checking, conditional forecast, euro area

11.

Subsidising Car Purchases in the Euro Area: Any Spill-Over on Production?

ECB Working Paper No. 2094
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 25 Aug 2017
Joan Paredes
European Central Bank
Downloads 42 (707,729)

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Bayesian GVAR, Fiscal Policy, Production, Automotive Industry, Spill-Overs

12.

Conditional Density Forecasting: A Tempered Importance Sampling Approach

ECB Working Paper No. 2022/2754
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 08 Dec 2022
Carlos Montes-Galdón, Joan Paredes and Elias Wolf
European Central Bank, European Central Bank and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 39 (728,068)

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Bayesian analysis, forecasting, importance sampling, inflation-at-risk

13.

GDP Revisions are Not Cool: The Impact of Statistical Agencies’ Trade-Off

ECB Working Paper No. 2023/2857
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 31 Oct 2023
Brunel University London, European Central Bank, European Central Bank and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 24 (854,260)

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news and noise, real-time data, revisions