Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Professor

2003 Sheridan Road

Evanston, IL 60208

United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

55

DOWNLOADS
Rank 40,177

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 40,177

in Total Papers Downloads

1,511

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 616

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 616

in Total Papers Citations

448

CROSSREF CITATIONS

1,250

Scholarly Papers (55)

1.

Economic Analysis of Social Interactions

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 05 May 2000 Last Revised: 19 Sep 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 180 (212,333)
Citation 38

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2.

First- and Second-Order Subjective Expectations in Strategic Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence

Games and Economic Behavior, Vol. 81, 2013
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 22 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2015
Charles F. Manski and Claudia Neri
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of St. Gallen
Downloads 65 (428,741)
Citation 5

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decision-making, beliefs, subjective expectations, experiments

3.

Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Mar 2004 Last Revised: 23 Oct 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 65 (428,741)
Citation 3

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4.

How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence (Sentiment)? Evidence from the Michigan Survey of Consumers

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 29 Aug 2003 Last Revised: 16 Aug 2021
Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski
Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 65 (428,741)
Citation 7

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5.

Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 09 Jun 2005 Last Revised: 31 May 2021
Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski
Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 62 (439,163)
Citation 94

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6.

Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 20 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2021
Joseph Engelberg, Charles F. Manski and Jared Williams
University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of South Florida
Downloads 59 (449,843)
Citation 14

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7.

Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 26 Jul 2010 Last Revised: 15 Oct 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 56 (461,032)

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8.

Social Security Expectations and Retirement Savings Decisions

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 17 Jan 2002 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2021
Jeff Dominitz, Charles F. Manski and Jordan Heinz
Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Independent
Downloads 52 (476,533)
Citation 1

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9.

Measuring Consumer Uncertainty about Future Inflation

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 21 Dec 2009
Carnegie Mellon University, Northwestern University - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 48 (493,137)
Citation 19

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inflation expectations, forecast uncertainty, wage expectations, probabilistic survey questions

10.

Academic Ability, Earnings, and the Decision to Become a Teacher: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Dec 2001 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 45 (506,328)

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11.

"Will Social Security Be There for You?": How Americans Perceive Their Benefits

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 23 Jun 2003 Last Revised: 11 Apr 2021
Jeff Dominitz, Jordan Heinz and Charles F. Manski
Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Independent and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (519,966)

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 28 Oct 2008
Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski
Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 20 (670,282)
Citation 1

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Nov 2008 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2010
Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski
Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (694,011)

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 18 Dec 2008
Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski
Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (823,997)
Citation 17
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Choice probabilities, stated choices, WTP for electricity reliability

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

International Economic Review, Vol. 51, Issue 2, pp. 421-440, May 2010
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 26 May 2010
Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski
Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (823,997)
Citation 5
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13.

Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 19 Jun 2004 Last Revised: 14 Aug 2021
Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics
Downloads 39 (534,378)
Citation 11

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14.

Eliciting Student Expectations of the Returns to Schooling

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 Aug 2000 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2021
Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski
Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 33 (565,714)
Citation 12

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15.

Precise or Imprecise Probabilities? Evidence from Survey Response on Late-Onset Dementia

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 05 Aug 2019 Last Revised: 20 Nov 2021
University of Michigan at Ann ArborBocconi University, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Cornell University
Downloads 32 (571,167)

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16.

Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2021
Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski
Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 31 (576,765)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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17.

Worker Perceptions of Job Insecurity in the Mid-1990s: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 03 May 1999 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski and John D. Straub
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 30 (582,509)
Citation 2

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18.

Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 04 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 17 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 29 (588,506)
Citation 1

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19.

Private and Social Incentives for Fertility: Israeli Puzzles

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 07 Jun 2002 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2021
Charles F. Manski and Joram Mayshar
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics
Downloads 28 (594,691)

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20.

The Mixing Problem in Program Evaluation

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 14 Jun 2000 Last Revised: 30 May 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 27 (600,893)
Citation 3

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21.

Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations: with Application to Randomized Experiments

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 17 Mar 2000 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 27 (600,893)
Citation 13

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22.

Deterrence and the Death Penalty: Partial Identification Analysis Using Repeated Cross Sections

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 23 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 12 Sep 2021
Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics
Downloads 26 (607,383)

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23.

Adaptive Minimax-Regret Treatment Choice, with Application to Drug Approval

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 24 Aug 2007 Last Revised: 17 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 26 (607,383)

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24.

Bounding the Predictive Values of Covid-19 Antibody Tests

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 26 May 2020 Last Revised: 22 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 25 (614,042)

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25.

Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 May 2006 Last Revised: 30 Jun 2021
Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski
Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 25 (614,042)
Citation 22

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26.

Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise

Number of pages: 78 Posted: 24 May 2017
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 24 (620,887)
Citation 21

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27.

Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 08 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 16 Oct 2021
William A. Brock and Charles F. Manski
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 24 (620,887)

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28.

Fractional Treatment Rules for Social Diversification of Indivisible Private Risks

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 12 Dec 2005 Last Revised: 27 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 24 (620,887)

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29.

Measuring Pension-Benefit Expectations Probabilistically

Labour, Vol. 20, No. 2, pp. 201-236, June 2006
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 02 Jun 2006
Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski
Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 23 (627,764)
Citation 17
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30.

Using Studies of Treatment Response to Inform Treatment Choice in Heterogeneous Populations

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 03 Nov 2000 Last Revised: 22 Sep 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 23 (627,764)
Citation 18

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31.

The Lure of Incredible Certitude

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 22 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 22 (634,806)
Citation 2

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32.

Vaccination Planning Under Uncertainty, with Application to Covid-19

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 08 Feb 2021 Last Revised: 23 Sep 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (641,875)

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33.

Estimating the Covid-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 20 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Cornell University
Downloads 21 (641,875)
Citation 36

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34.

Partial Prescriptions for Decisions with Partial Knowledge

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 10 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 19 (656,119)

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35.

Partial Identification of Counter Factual Choice Probabilities

International Economic Review, Vol. 48, Issue 4, pp. 1393-1410, November 2007
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 13 Dec 2007
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (663,338)
Citation 6
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36.

Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 May 2014 Last Revised: 02 Jun 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (670,541)

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37.

Identification of Preferences and Evaluation of Income Tax Policy

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 21 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 08 Jul 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 16 (677,904)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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38.

Vaccine Approvals and Mandates Under Uncertainty: Some Simple Analytics

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 03 Sep 2014 Last Revised: 31 Oct 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 13 (700,909)

Abstract:

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39.

How Do Right-to-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping with Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 09 Nov 2015 Last Revised: 18 Oct 2021
Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics
Downloads 11 (716,633)
Citation 8

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40.

Econometrics for Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched by Haavelmo and Wald

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 31 Dec 2019 Last Revised: 03 Sep 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 10 (724,453)

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41.

Improving Clinical Guidelines and Decisions Under Uncertainty

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 09 Oct 2017 Last Revised: 06 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 10 (724,453)

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42.

When Consensus Choice Dominates Individualism: Jensen&Apos;S Inequality and Collective Decisions Under Uncertainty

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 21 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 17 Jun 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 10 (724,453)

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43.

Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing Covid-19 Drugs

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 10 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 30 Jul 2021
Charles F. Manski and Aleksey Tetenov
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Geneva
Downloads 9 (732,439)

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44.

Tail and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement Study

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 02 May 2018 Last Revised: 09 Aug 2021
University of Michigan at Ann ArborBocconi University, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Cornell University - Department of Economics
Downloads 9 (732,439)
Citation 10

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45.

Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 07 Jul 2012 Last Revised: 07 Oct 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 9 (732,439)

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46.

Meta-Analysis for Medical Decisions

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 04 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 09 Sep 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 7 (748,342)

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47.

Addressing Partial Identification in Climate Modeling and Policy Analysis

Number of pages: 64 Posted: 08 Feb 2021 Last Revised: 19 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski, Alan Sanstad and Stephen DeCanio
Northwestern University - Department of Economics, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB)
Downloads 4 (771,686)
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48.

The 2009 Lawrence R. Klein Lecture: Diversified Treatment Under Ambiguity

International Economic Review, Vol. 50, No. 4, pp. 1013-1041, November 2009
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 28 Oct 2009
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (771,686)
Citation 1
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49.

Credible Ecological Inference for Personalized Medicine: Formalizing Clinical Judgment

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Sep 2016 Last Revised: 16 May 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 3 (779,675)

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50.

Probabilistic Prediction for Binary Treatment Choice: With Focus on Personalized Medicine

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 11 Oct 2021 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (789,095)
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51.

Towards Reasonable Patient Care Under Uncertainty

Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 38, Issue 2, pp. 227-245, 2020
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 06 May 2020
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 0 (818,037)
Citation 4
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52.

Survey Measures of Family Decision Processes for Econometric Analysis of Schooling Decisions

Economic Inquiry, Vol. 56, Issue 1, pp. 81-99, 2018
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Dec 2017
Pamela Giustinelli and Charles F. Manski
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and Northwestern University - Department of Economics
Downloads 0 (818,037)
Citation 3
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53.

Choosing Treatment Policies Under Ambiguity

Posted: 31 Aug 2011
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Abstract:

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54.

Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome

Posted: 17 Jul 2002
Charles F. Manski and Elie T. Tamer
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Harvard University

Abstract:

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55.

Regressions, Short and Long

Posted: 17 Jul 2002
Philip J. Cross and Charles F. Manski
Georgetown University - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Abstract:

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