Author Page for Charles F. Manski

1.

Economic Analysis of Social Interactions

NBER Working Paper No. w7580

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 05 May 2000 Last Revised: 17 Oct 2010

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 171 (172,784)

Citation 352

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2.

Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets

NBER Working Paper No. w10359

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Mar 2004 Last Revised: 03 Sep 2009

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 60 (352,264)

Citation 34

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3.

How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence (Sentiment)? Evidence from the Michigan Survey of Consumers

NBER Working Paper No. w9926

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 29 Aug 2003 Last Revised: 04 Nov 2010

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 59 (355,158)

Citation 23

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4.

Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

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Citation 5

2

Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

NBER Working Paper No. w16207

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 26 Jul 2010

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 54 (376,405)

Abstract:

Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

The Economic Journal, Vol. 121, Issue 554, pp. F261-F289, 2011

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 24 Jul 2011

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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Citation 6

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5.

Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns

NBER Working Paper No. w11313

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 09 Jun 2005

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 55 (367,464)

Citation 347

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6.

Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters

NBER Working Paper No. w11978

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 20 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2010

Joseph Engelberg, Charles F. Manski and Jared Williams

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of South Florida

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Citation 63

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7.

First- and Second-Order Subjective Expectations in Strategic Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence

Games and Economic Behavior, Vol. 81, 2013

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 22 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2015

Charles F. Manski and Claudia Neri

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of St. Gallen

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Citation 14

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8.

Social Security Expectations and Retirement Savings Decisions

NBER Working Paper No. w8718

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 17 Jan 2002 Last Revised: 30 Jul 2002

Jeff Dominitz, Charles F. Manski and Jordan Heinz

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Independent

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Citation 9

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9.

Measuring Consumer Uncertainty about Future Inflation

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 415

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 21 Dec 2009

Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Charles F. Manski, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw

Carnegie Mellon University, Northwestern University - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Federal Reserve Bank of New York

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Citation 27

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10.

Academic Ability, Earnings, and the Decision to Become a Teacher: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972

NBER Working Paper No. w1539

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Dec 2001 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2010

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 43 (408,006)

Citation 12

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11.

"Will Social Security Be There for You?": How Americans Perceive Their Benefits

NBER Working Paper No. w9798

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 23 Jun 2003 Last Revised: 06 Aug 2014

Jeff Dominitz, Jordan Heinz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Independent and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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Citation 6

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12.

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

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Citation 26

4

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 28 Oct 2008

Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski

Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 18 (545,668)

Abstract:

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

NBER Working Paper No. w14451

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Nov 2008 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2010

Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski

Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 16 (558,433)

Abstract:

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7030

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 18 Dec 2008

Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski

Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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Citation 28

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

International Economic Review, Vol. 51, Issue 2, pp. 421-440, May 2010

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 26 May 2010

Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski

Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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Citation 32

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13.

Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence

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Citation 7

2

Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence

NBER Working Paper No. w11848

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 04 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 11 Apr 2010

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 19 (539,210)

Citation 15

Abstract:

Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence

Economic Journal, Vol. 116, No. 515, pp. F385-F401, November 2006

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 22 Nov 2006

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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14.

Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling

NBER Working Paper No. t0224

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 19 Jun 2004 Last Revised: 14 Aug 2010

Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics

Downloads 32 (452,141)

Citation 36

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15.

Eliciting Student Expectations of the Returns to Schooling

NBER Working Paper No. w4936

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 Aug 2000 Last Revised: 29 Jun 2010

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 32 (452,141)

Citation 77

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16.

Worker Perceptions of Job Insecurity in the Mid-1990s: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w6908

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 03 May 1999 Last Revised: 31 Jul 2000

Charles F. Manski and John D. Straub

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN

Downloads 29 (466,295)

Citation 12

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17.

Private and Social Incentives for Fertility: Israeli Puzzles

NBER Working Paper No. w8984

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 07 Jun 2002 Last Revised: 27 Oct 2010

Charles F. Manski and Joram Mayshar

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics

Downloads 26 (481,559)

Citation 4

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18.

Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w5690

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 03 Oct 2010

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 25 (487,052)

Citation 37

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19.

Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations: with Application to Randomized Experiments

NBER Working Paper No. t0242

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 17 Mar 2000 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2010

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 25 (487,052)

Citation 54

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20.

Deterrence and the Death Penalty: Partial Identification Analysis Using Repeated Cross Sections

NBER Working Paper No. w17455

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 23 Sep 2011

Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics

Downloads 23 (498,022)

Citation 8

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21.

Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment

NBER Working Paper No. w14378

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 08 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 14 Jul 2009

William A. Brock and Charles F. Manski

University of Wisconsin, Madison - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 23 (498,022)

Citation 3

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22.

Adaptive Minimax-Regret Treatment Choice, with Application to Drug Approval

NBER Working Paper No. w13312

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 24 Aug 2007 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2008

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 23 (498,022)

Abstract:

23.

Measuring Pension-Benefit Expectations Probabilistically

Labour, Vol. 20, No. 2, pp. 201-236, June 2006

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 02 Jun 2006

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 23 (498,022)

Citation 19

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24.

The Mixing Problem in Program Evaluation

NBER Working Paper No. t0148

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 14 Jun 2000

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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Citation 3

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25.

Fractional Treatment Rules for Social Diversification of Indivisible Private Risks

NBER Working Paper No. w11675

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 12 Dec 2005

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 21 (509,480)

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26.

Using Studies of Treatment Response to Inform Treatment Choice in Heterogeneous Populations

NBER Working Paper No. t0263

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 03 Nov 2000 Last Revised: 22 Sep 2010

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 21 (509,480)

Abstract:

27.

Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w4937

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 May 2006 Last Revised: 30 Jun 2010

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 20 (515,138)

Citation 103

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28.

Partial Prescriptions for Decisions with Partial Knowledge

NBER Working Paper No. w14396

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 10 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 13 Oct 2008

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 18 (526,804)

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29.

Partial Identification of Counter Factual Choice Probabilities

International Economic Review, Vol. 48, Issue 4, pp. 1393-1410, November 2007

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 13 Dec 2007

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 18 (526,804)

Citation 16

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30.

Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise

NBER Working Paper No. w23418

Number of pages: 78 Posted: 24 May 2017

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 17 (532,575)

Citation 16

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31.

The Lure of Incredible Certitude

NBER Working Paper No. w24905

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 22 Aug 2018

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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32.

Identification of Preferences and Evaluation of Income Tax Policy

NBER Working Paper No. w17755

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 21 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 24 Jan 2012

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 15 (544,172)

Citation 16

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33.

Vaccine Approvals and Mandates Under Uncertainty: Some Simple Analytics

NBER Working Paper No. w20432

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 03 Sep 2014 Last Revised: 10 Sep 2014

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 12 (562,165)

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34.

Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics

NBER Working Paper No. w20098

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 May 2014

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 12 (562,165)

Citation 4

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35.

How Do Right-to-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping with Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions

NBER Working Paper No. w21701

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 09 Nov 2015

Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics

Downloads 9 (580,637)

Citation 9

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36.

When Consensus Choice Dominates Individualism: Jensen's Inequality and Collective Decisions Under Uncertainty

NBER Working Paper No. w15172

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 21 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 12 Aug 2009

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 9 (580,637)

Citation 5

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37.

Tail and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement Study

NBER Working Paper No. w24559

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 02 May 2018

Pamela Giustinelli, Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari

Bocconi University, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Cornell University - Department of Economics

Downloads 7 (593,158)

Citation 2

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38.

Improving Clinical Guidelines and Decisions Under Uncertainty

NBER Working Paper No. w23915

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 09 Oct 2017

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 7 (593,158)

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39.

Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation

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2

Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation

NBER Working Paper No. w18204

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 07 Jul 2012 Last Revised: 17 Jul 2012

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 7 (619,156)

Abstract:

Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation

The Economic Journal, Vol. 124, Issue 576, pp. 359-376, 2014

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 23 May 2014

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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40.

Meta-Analysis for Medical Decisions

NBER Working Paper No. w25504

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 04 Feb 2019

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 4 (613,096)

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41.

Identification of Treatment Response with Social Interactions

The Econometrics Journal, Vol. 16, Issue 1, pp. S1-S23, 2013

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 13 Feb 2013

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 3 (621,025)

Citation 80

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42.

The 2009 Lawrence R. Klein Lecture: Diversified Treatment Under Ambiguity

International Economic Review, Vol. 50, No. 4, pp. 1013-1041, November 2009

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 28 Oct 2009

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 3 (621,025)

Citation 12

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43.

More on Monotone Instrumental Variables

Econometrics Journal, Vol. 12, Issue s1, pp. S200-S216, January 2009

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 04 Jul 2009

Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics

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44.

Credible Ecological Inference for Personalized Medicine: Formalizing Clinical Judgment

NBER Working Paper No. w22643

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Sep 2016

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 2 (630,944)

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45.

Survey Measures of Family Decision Processes for Econometric Analysis of Schooling Decisions

Economic Inquiry, Vol. 56, Issue 1, pp. 81-99, 2018

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Dec 2017

Pamela Giustinelli and Charles F. Manski

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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Citation 2

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46.

Choosing Treatment Policies Under Ambiguity

Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 3, pp. 25-49, 2011

Posted: 31 Aug 2011

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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47.

Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome

Econometrica, Vol. 70, pp. 519-546, 2002

Posted: 17 Jul 2002

Charles F. Manski and Elie T. Tamer

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Harvard University

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48.

Regressions, Short and Long

Econometrica, Vol. 70, pp. 357-368, 2002

Posted: 17 Jul 2002

Philip J. Cross and Charles F. Manski

Georgetown University - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Professor

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Scholarly Papers (48)

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Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

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Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence

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Measuring Pension-Benefit Expectations Probabilistically

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Partial Identification of Counter Factual Choice Probabilities

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The Lure of Incredible Certitude

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Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation

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Meta-Analysis for Medical Decisions

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Identification of Treatment Response with Social Interactions

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The 2009 Lawrence R. Klein Lecture: Diversified Treatment Under Ambiguity

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More on Monotone Instrumental Variables

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Survey Measures of Family Decision Processes for Econometric Analysis of Schooling Decisions

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