Author Page for Charles F. Manski

1.

Economic Analysis of Social Interactions

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 05 May 2000 Last Revised: 19 Sep 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 180 (212,333)

Citation 38

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2.

First- and Second-Order Subjective Expectations in Strategic Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence

Games and Economic Behavior, Vol. 81, 2013

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 22 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2015

Charles F. Manski and Claudia Neri

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of St. Gallen

Downloads 65 (428,741)

Citation 5

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3.

Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Mar 2004 Last Revised: 23 Oct 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 65 (428,741)

Citation 3

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4.

How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence (Sentiment)? Evidence from the Michigan Survey of Consumers

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 29 Aug 2003 Last Revised: 16 Aug 2021

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 65 (428,741)

Citation 7

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5.

Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 09 Jun 2005 Last Revised: 31 May 2021

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 62 (439,163)

Citation 94

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6.

Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 20 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2021

Joseph Engelberg, Charles F. Manski and Jared Williams

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of South Florida

Downloads 59 (449,843)

Citation 14

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7.

Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 26 Jul 2010 Last Revised: 15 Oct 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 56 (461,032)

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8.

Social Security Expectations and Retirement Savings Decisions

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 17 Jan 2002 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2021

Jeff Dominitz, Charles F. Manski and Jordan Heinz

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Independent

Downloads 52 (476,533)

Citation 1

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9.

Measuring Consumer Uncertainty about Future Inflation

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 21 Dec 2009

Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Charles F. Manski, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw

Carnegie Mellon University, Northwestern University - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Federal Reserve Bank of New York

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Citation 19

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10.

Academic Ability, Earnings, and the Decision to Become a Teacher: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Dec 2001 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 45 (506,328)

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11.

"Will Social Security Be There for You?": How Americans Perceive Their Benefits

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 23 Jun 2003 Last Revised: 11 Apr 2021

Jeff Dominitz, Jordan Heinz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Independent and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 42 (519,966)

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12.

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

Downloads 41 (524,703)

Citation 69

4

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 28 Oct 2008

Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski

Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 20 (670,282)

Citation 1

Abstract:

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Nov 2008 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2010

Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski

Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 17 (694,011)

Abstract:

Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 18 Dec 2008

Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski

Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 2 (823,997)

Citation 17

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

International Economic Review, Vol. 51, Issue 2, pp. 421-440, May 2010

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 26 May 2010

Asher Blass, Saul Lach and Charles F. Manski

Bank of Israel - Research Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 2 (823,997)

Citation 5

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13.

Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 19 Jun 2004 Last Revised: 14 Aug 2021

Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics

Downloads 39 (534,378)

Citation 11

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14.

Eliciting Student Expectations of the Returns to Schooling

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 Aug 2000 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2021

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 33 (565,714)

Citation 12

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15.

Precise or Imprecise Probabilities? Evidence from Survey Response on Late-Onset Dementia

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 05 Aug 2019 Last Revised: 20 Nov 2021

Pamela Giustinelli, Pamela Giustinelli, Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari

University of Michigan at Ann ArborBocconi University, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Cornell University

Downloads 32 (571,167)

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16.

Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2021

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 31 (576,765)

Citation 6

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17.

Worker Perceptions of Job Insecurity in the Mid-1990s: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 03 May 1999 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski and John D. Straub

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN

Downloads 30 (582,509)

Citation 2

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18.

Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 04 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 17 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 29 (588,506)

Citation 1

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19.

Private and Social Incentives for Fertility: Israeli Puzzles

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 07 Jun 2002 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2021

Charles F. Manski and Joram Mayshar

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics

Downloads 28 (594,691)

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20.

The Mixing Problem in Program Evaluation

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 14 Jun 2000 Last Revised: 30 May 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 27 (600,893)

Citation 3

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21.

Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations: with Application to Randomized Experiments

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 17 Mar 2000 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 27 (600,893)

Citation 13

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22.

Deterrence and the Death Penalty: Partial Identification Analysis Using Repeated Cross Sections

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 23 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 12 Sep 2021

Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics

Downloads 26 (607,383)

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23.

Adaptive Minimax-Regret Treatment Choice, with Application to Drug Approval

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 24 Aug 2007 Last Revised: 17 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 26 (607,383)

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24.

Bounding the Predictive Values of Covid-19 Antibody Tests

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 26 May 2020 Last Revised: 22 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 25 (614,042)

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25.

Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 May 2006 Last Revised: 30 Jun 2021

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 25 (614,042)

Citation 22

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26.

Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise

Number of pages: 78 Posted: 24 May 2017

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 24 (620,887)

Citation 21

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27.

Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 08 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 16 Oct 2021

William A. Brock and Charles F. Manski

University of Wisconsin, Madison - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 24 (620,887)

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28.

Fractional Treatment Rules for Social Diversification of Indivisible Private Risks

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 12 Dec 2005 Last Revised: 27 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 24 (620,887)

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29.

Measuring Pension-Benefit Expectations Probabilistically

Labour, Vol. 20, No. 2, pp. 201-236, June 2006

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 02 Jun 2006

Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski

Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 23 (627,764)

Citation 17

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30.

Using Studies of Treatment Response to Inform Treatment Choice in Heterogeneous Populations

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 03 Nov 2000 Last Revised: 22 Sep 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 23 (627,764)

Citation 18

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31.

The Lure of Incredible Certitude

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 22 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 22 (634,806)

Citation 2

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32.

Vaccination Planning Under Uncertainty, with Application to Covid-19

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 08 Feb 2021 Last Revised: 23 Sep 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 21 (641,875)

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33.

Estimating the Covid-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 20 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Cornell University

Downloads 21 (641,875)

Citation 36

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34.

Partial Prescriptions for Decisions with Partial Knowledge

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 10 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 19 (656,119)

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35.

Partial Identification of Counter Factual Choice Probabilities

International Economic Review, Vol. 48, Issue 4, pp. 1393-1410, November 2007

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 13 Dec 2007

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 18 (663,338)

Citation 6

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36.

Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 May 2014 Last Revised: 02 Jun 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 17 (670,541)

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37.

Identification of Preferences and Evaluation of Income Tax Policy

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 21 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 08 Jul 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 16 (677,904)

Citation 4

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38.

Vaccine Approvals and Mandates Under Uncertainty: Some Simple Analytics

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 03 Sep 2014 Last Revised: 31 Oct 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 13 (700,909)

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39.

How Do Right-to-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping with Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 09 Nov 2015 Last Revised: 18 Oct 2021

Charles F. Manski and John V. Pepper

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Virginia - Department of Economics

Downloads 11 (716,633)

Citation 8

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40.

Econometrics for Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched by Haavelmo and Wald

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 31 Dec 2019 Last Revised: 03 Sep 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 10 (724,453)

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41.

Improving Clinical Guidelines and Decisions Under Uncertainty

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 09 Oct 2017 Last Revised: 06 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 10 (724,453)

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42.

When Consensus Choice Dominates Individualism: Jensen&Apos;S Inequality and Collective Decisions Under Uncertainty

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 21 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 17 Jun 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 10 (724,453)

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43.

Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing Covid-19 Drugs

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 10 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 30 Jul 2021

Charles F. Manski and Aleksey Tetenov

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and University of Geneva

Downloads 9 (732,439)

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44.

Tail and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement Study

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 02 May 2018 Last Revised: 09 Aug 2021

Pamela Giustinelli, Pamela Giustinelli, Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari

University of Michigan at Ann ArborBocconi University, Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Cornell University - Department of Economics

Downloads 9 (732,439)

Citation 10

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45.

Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 07 Jul 2012 Last Revised: 07 Oct 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 9 (732,439)

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46.

Meta-Analysis for Medical Decisions

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 04 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 09 Sep 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 7 (748,342)

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47.

Addressing Partial Identification in Climate Modeling and Policy Analysis

Number of pages: 64 Posted: 08 Feb 2021 Last Revised: 19 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski, Alan Sanstad and Stephen DeCanio

Northwestern University - Department of Economics, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB)

Downloads 4 (771,686)

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48.

The 2009 Lawrence R. Klein Lecture: Diversified Treatment Under Ambiguity

International Economic Review, Vol. 50, No. 4, pp. 1013-1041, November 2009

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 28 Oct 2009

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 4 (771,686)

Citation 1

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49.

Credible Ecological Inference for Personalized Medicine: Formalizing Clinical Judgment

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Sep 2016 Last Revised: 16 May 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 3 (779,675)

Abstract:

50.

Probabilistic Prediction for Binary Treatment Choice: With Focus on Personalized Medicine

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 11 Oct 2021 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 2 (789,095)

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51.

Towards Reasonable Patient Care Under Uncertainty

Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 38, Issue 2, pp. 227-245, 2020

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 06 May 2020

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 0 (818,037)

Citation 4

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52.

Survey Measures of Family Decision Processes for Econometric Analysis of Schooling Decisions

Economic Inquiry, Vol. 56, Issue 1, pp. 81-99, 2018

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 05 Dec 2017

Pamela Giustinelli and Charles F. Manski

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Downloads 0 (818,037)

Citation 3

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53.

Choosing Treatment Policies Under Ambiguity

Posted: 31 Aug 2011

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

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54.

Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome

Posted: 17 Jul 2002

Charles F. Manski and Elie T. Tamer

Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Harvard University

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55.

Regressions, Short and Long

Posted: 17 Jul 2002

Philip J. Cross and Charles F. Manski

Georgetown University - Department of Economics and Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Charles F. Manski

Northwestern University - Department of Economics

Professor

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Scholarly Papers (55)

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

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Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability

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Measuring Pension-Benefit Expectations Probabilistically

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Partial Identification of Counter Factual Choice Probabilities

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Addressing Partial Identification in Climate Modeling and Policy Analysis

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The 2009 Lawrence R. Klein Lecture: Diversified Treatment Under Ambiguity

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Probabilistic Prediction for Binary Treatment Choice: With Focus on Personalized Medicine

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Towards Reasonable Patient Care Under Uncertainty

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Survey Measures of Family Decision Processes for Econometric Analysis of Schooling Decisions

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