Richard Startz

UCSB

Department of Economics

University of California

Santa Barbara, CA 93106-9210

United States

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    • Tel: 805-893-2895
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

29

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261

Scholarly Papers (29)

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1.

Inequality and Race: Models and Policy

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 10 May 1999
Shelly J. Lundberg and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) and UCSB
Downloads 331 (97,467)

Abstract:

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2.

Spurious Inference in the Garch(1,1) Model When it is Weakly Identified

Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Vol. 11, No. 1, 2007
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 07 Jun 2006
Jun Ma, Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Northeastern University - Department of Economics, Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 224 (146,535)

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weak identification, GARCH, conditional heteroskedasticity

3.

Feasible Generalized Least Squares Using Machine Learning

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 10 May 2017 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2018
Steve Miller and Richard Startz
University of Colorado at Boulder and UCSB
Downloads 212 (154,327)
Citation 1

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Heteroskedasticity, Support Vector Regression, Weighted Regression

4.

Binomial Autoregressive Moving Average Models with an Application to U.S. Recessions

Center for Statistics in the Social Sciences Working Paper No. 56
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Mar 2006
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 189 (171,652)
Citation 1

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time series, binary dependent variable, ARMA, BARMA, Gibbs sampling

5.

Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? a Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence

NBER Working Paper No. w2795
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 16 Jun 2004 Last Revised: 23 Aug 2010
Myung Jig Kim, Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Hanyang University, Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 178 (181,147)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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6.

How Should an Economist Do Statistics?

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 27 Nov 2013
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 170 (188,508)

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hypothesis testing, Bayes law

7.

Race, Information, and Segregation

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 30 Apr 1999
Shelly J. Lundberg and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) and UCSB
Downloads 168 (190,449)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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8.

Permanent and Transitory Components of Business Cycles: Their Relative Importance and Dynamic Relationship

International Finance Div. Discussion Paper No. 703
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 22 Jun 2001
Chang-Jin Kim, Jeremy Piger and Richard Startz
Korea University, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 156 (202,837)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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asymmetry, economic fluctuations, Markov-switching

9.

The Yield Curve Through Time and Across Maturities

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 12 Mar 2007
Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang
UCSB and Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University
Downloads 149 (210,751)

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term structure of interest rates, Nelson-Siegel yield curve, trend-cycle decomposition

10.

On the Present Value Model in a Cross Section of Stocks

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 01 Apr 2014
Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang
UCSB and Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University
Downloads 123 (244,957)

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present value model, stock price, discount rate

11.

Information and Racial Exclusion

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1389
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 09 Nov 2004
Shelly J. Lundberg and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) and UCSB
Downloads 106 (272,648)

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race, segregation, discrimination, imperfect information, search

12.

Measuring the NAIRU with Reduced Uncertainty: A Multiple Indicator-Common Component Approach

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 25 Sep 2004
Arabinda Basistha and Richard Startz
West Virginia University - College of Business & Economics and UCSB
Downloads 103 (278,088)
Citation 13

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NAIRU, unemployment, inflation, parametric uncertainty, filtering uncertainty

13.

Litigant Resources and the Evolution of Legal Precedent

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 21 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 16 Jan 2012
Richard Startz and Albert Yoon
UCSB and University of Toronto - Faculty of Law
Downloads 102 (281,868)
Citation 1

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Litigation, Legal Precedent, Litigation Costs

14.

A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market

NBER Working Paper No. w2818
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 Mar 2004 Last Revised: 15 Sep 2010
Christopher M. Turner, Richard Startz and Charles R. Nelson
Black Rock Financial Management, Inc., UCSB and Dept of Economics
Downloads 91 (301,386)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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15.

The Tradeoff between Inflation and the Real Economy: Forward-Looking Behavior and the Inflation Premium

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 14 Nov 2005
Erika Gulyas and Richard Startz
University of Washington and UCSB
Downloads 73 (343,859)

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Phillips curve, inflation expectations, inflation premium, tradeoff between inflation and aggregate demand, real and nominal bonds

16.

Partial Adjustment as Optimal Response in a Dynamic Brainard Model

University of Washington Economics Working Paper No. UWEC-2003-20
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 07 Oct 2003
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 68 (357,544)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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17.

The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 09 Feb 2004
Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 67 (360,389)
Citation 12

Abstract:

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Weak identification, hypothesis testing

18.

Nonexponential Discounting: A Direct Test and Perhaps a New Puzzle

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 11 Dec 2008 Last Revised: 07 Aug 2012
Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang
UCSB and Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University
Downloads 65 (366,004)
Citation 1

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Intertemporal consumer choice, discounting, hyperbolic discounting, consumption CAPM

19.

Robust Estimation of ARMA Models with Near Root Cancellation

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 29 Jun 2013
Timothy Cogley and Richard Startz
Leonard N. Stern School of Business - Department of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 49 (418,167)

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ARMA, near root cancellation, bayesian

20.

Are Consumers Forward-Looking?

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 Jun 2007
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 49 (418,167)
Citation 1

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consumption, forward-looking behavior, rational expectations, PSID

21.

Growth States and Shocks

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 28 Apr 1999
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 46 (429,311)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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22.

The Path to an Economics PhD

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 23 Jun 2017
Garrison Schlauch and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) - Department of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 34 (479,462)

Abstract:

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Economics PhD

23.

Is it One Break or Ongoing Permanent Shocks That Explains U.S. Real GDP?

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 29 Jun 2013
Sui Luo and Richard Startz
University of Washington - Economics and UCSB
Downloads 34 (479,462)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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GDP, trend break, difference stationary, trend stationary

24.

The Next Hundred Years of Growth: Growth and Convergence

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Oct 2016 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2016
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 28 (509,659)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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growth, Markov-switching

25.

The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and its T-Ratiowhen the Instrument is a Poor One

NBER Working Paper No. t0069
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 27 Jun 2007 Last Revised: 11 Sep 2010
Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 23 (538,505)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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26.

Illustrating the Implicit BIC Prior

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 29 Jun 2013
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 14 (595,347)

Abstract:

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Bayesian Information Criterion, BIC, priors

27.

How Research Goes Astray: Paths and Equilibria

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 21 May 2019
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 13 (601,941)

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Research, multiple equilibria, science

28.

Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator

NBER Working Paper No. t0068
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 27 Jun 2007 Last Revised: 10 Sep 2010
Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 13 (601,941)
Citation 8

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29.

A Market‐Based Framework for Quantifying Displaced Production from Recycling or Reuse

Journal of Industrial Ecology, Vol. 20, Issue 4, pp. 719-729, 2016
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 25 Aug 2016
Trevor Zink, Roland Geyer and Richard Startz
Loyola Marymount University - College of Business Administration, University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) - Donald Bren School of Environmental Science & Management and UCSB
Downloads 1 (693,203)
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Abstract:

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avoided burden, displaced production, industrial ecology, life cycle assessment (LCA), partial equilibrium analysis, recycling