Richard Startz

UCSB

Department of Economics

University of California

Santa Barbara, CA 93106-9210

United States

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    • Tel: 805-893-2895
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

31

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79

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256

Scholarly Papers (31)

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1.

Feasible Generalized Least Squares Using Machine Learning

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 10 May 2017 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2018
Steve Miller and Richard Startz
University of Colorado at Boulder and UCSB
Downloads 580 (76,341)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Heteroskedasticity, Support Vector Regression, Weighted Regression

2.

Inequality and Race: Models and Policy

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 10 May 1999
Shelly J. Lundberg and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) and UCSB
Downloads 384 (124,807)

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3.

The Path to an Economics PhD

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 23 Jun 2017
Garrison Schlauch and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) - Department of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 279 (175,887)

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Economics PhD

4.

Spurious Inference in the Garch(1,1) Model When it is Weakly Identified

Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Vol. 11, No. 1, 2007
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 07 Jun 2006
Jun Ma, Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Northeastern University - Department of Economics, Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 245 (200,225)

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weak identification, GARCH, conditional heteroskedasticity

5.

Binomial Autoregressive Moving Average Models with an Application to U.S. Recessions

Center for Statistics in the Social Sciences Working Paper No. 56
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Mar 2006
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 239 (205,041)
Citation 2

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time series, binary dependent variable, ARMA, BARMA, Gibbs sampling

6.

Race, Information, and Segregation

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 30 Apr 1999
Shelly J. Lundberg and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) and UCSB
Downloads 221 (221,100)
Citation 5

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7.

Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? a Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence

NBER Working Paper No. w2795
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 16 Jun 2004 Last Revised: 22 Aug 2022
Myung Jig Kim, Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Hanyang University, Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 202 (240,243)
Citation 15

Abstract:

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8.

How Should an Economist Do Statistics?

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 27 Nov 2013
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 187 (257,511)

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hypothesis testing, Bayes law

9.

Permanent and Transitory Components of Business Cycles: Their Relative Importance and Dynamic Relationship

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 22 Jun 2001
Chang-Jin Kim, Jeremy Piger and Richard Startz
Dept. of Economics, University of Washington, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 176 (271,608)
Citation 7

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asymmetry, economic fluctuations, Markov-switching

10.

The Yield Curve Through Time and Across Maturities

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 12 Mar 2007
Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang
UCSB and Virginia Tech
Downloads 158 (297,796)

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term structure of interest rates, Nelson-Siegel yield curve, trend-cycle decomposition

11.

On the Present Value Model in a Cross Section of Stocks

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 01 Apr 2014
Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang
UCSB and Virginia Tech
Downloads 146 (317,679)

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present value model, stock price, discount rate

12.

Litigant Resources and the Evolution of Legal Precedent

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 21 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 16 Jan 2012
Richard Startz and Albert Yoon
UCSB and University of Toronto Faculty of Law
Downloads 132 (343,870)
Citation 1

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Litigation, Legal Precedent, Litigation Costs

13.

Covid, Colleges, and Classes

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 02 Feb 2021
Danny Klinenberg and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) and UCSB
Downloads 127 (353,891)

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COVID, higher education

14.

Information and Racial Exclusion

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 09 Nov 2004
Shelly J. Lundberg and Richard Startz
University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) and UCSB
Downloads 125 (358,147)
Citation 1

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race, segregation, discrimination, imperfect information, search

15.

Measuring the NAIRU with Reduced Uncertainty: A Multiple Indicator-Common Component Approach

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 25 Sep 2004
Arabinda Basistha and Richard Startz
West Virginia University - College of Business & Economics and UCSB
Downloads 123 (362,469)
Citation 17

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NAIRU, unemployment, inflation, parametric uncertainty, filtering uncertainty

16.

A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market

NBER Working Paper No. w2818
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 Mar 2004 Last Revised: 15 Sep 2022
Christopher M. Turner, Richard Startz and Charles R. Nelson
Black Rock Financial Management, Inc., UCSB and Dept of Economics
Downloads 118 (373,627)
Citation 15

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17.

The Tradeoff between Inflation and the Real Economy: Forward-Looking Behavior and the Inflation Premium

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 14 Nov 2005
Erika Gulyas and Richard Startz
University of Washington and UCSB
Downloads 88 (455,874)

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Phillips curve, inflation expectations, inflation premium, tradeoff between inflation and aggregate demand, real and nominal bonds

18.

Partial Adjustment as Optimal Response in a Dynamic Brainard Model

University of Washington Economics Working Paper No. UWEC-2003-20
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 07 Oct 2003
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 82 (475,953)
Citation 1

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19.

Are Consumers Forward-Looking?

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 Jun 2007
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 81 (479,400)
Citation 1

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consumption, forward-looking behavior, rational expectations, PSID

20.

The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 09 Feb 2004
Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 80 (482,913)
Citation 12

Abstract:

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Weak identification, hypothesis testing

21.

Nonexponential Discounting: A Direct Test and Perhaps a New Puzzle

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 11 Dec 2008 Last Revised: 07 Aug 2012
Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang
UCSB and Virginia Tech
Downloads 78 (489,995)
Citation 1

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Intertemporal consumer choice, discounting, hyperbolic discounting, consumption CAPM

22.

Robust Estimation of ARMA Models with Near Root Cancellation

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 29 Jun 2013
Timothy Cogley and Richard Startz
Leonard N. Stern School of Business - Department of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 71 (516,527)

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ARMA, near root cancellation, bayesian

23.

Growth States and Shocks

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 28 Apr 1999
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 61 (558,723)
Citation 2

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24.

The Next Hundred Years of Growth: Growth and Convergence

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Oct 2016 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2016
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 50 (612,440)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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growth, Markov-switching

25.

Is it One Break or Ongoing Permanent Shocks That Explains U.S. Real GDP?

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 29 Jun 2013
Sui Luo and Richard Startz
University of Washington - Economics and UCSB
Downloads 48 (628,477)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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GDP, trend break, difference stationary, trend stationary

26.

The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and its T-Ratiowhen the Instrument is a Poor One

NBER Working Paper No. t0069
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 27 Jun 2007 Last Revised: 12 Mar 2023
Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 44 (645,405)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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27.

How Research Goes Astray: Paths and Equilibria

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 21 May 2019
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 29 (750,315)

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Research, multiple equilibria, science

28.

Illustrating the Implicit BIC Prior

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 29 Jun 2013
Richard Startz
UCSB
Downloads 28 (750,315)

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Bayesian Information Criterion, BIC, priors

29.

Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator

NBER Working Paper No. t0068
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 27 Jun 2007 Last Revised: 11 Mar 2023
Charles R. Nelson and Richard Startz
Dept of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 28 (750,315)
Citation 7

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30.

The Variance of Regression Coefficients When the Population Is Finite

Downloads 22 (797,441)

The Variance of Regression Coefficients When the Population Is Finite

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 28 Mar 2022
Richard Startz and Douglas G. Steigerwald
UCSB and University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB) - Department of Economics
Downloads 22 (823,801)

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regression coefficients, finite population

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finite population, regression coefficients

31.

Recessions, Recoveries, and Leverage

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 25 Apr 2023 Last Revised: 26 Apr 2023
Yu-Fan Huang, Sui Luo and Richard Startz
Capital University of Economics and Business, ISEM, Capital University of Economics and Business and UCSB
Downloads 13 (876,551)

Abstract:

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