Menzie David Chinn

University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

Professor of Public Affairs

1180 Observatory Drive

Madison, WI 53706-1393

United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

116

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Scholarly Papers (116)

1.

Do High Oil Prices Presage Inflation? The Evidence from G-5 Countries

UC Santa Cruz Economics Working Paper No. 561; SCCIE Working Paper No. 04-04
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 09 Mar 2004
Michael LeBlanc and Menzie David Chinn
U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) - Economic Research Service (ERS) and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 1,576 (10,470)

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inflation, Phillips curve, oil prices, exchange rates

2.

The Predictive Characteristics of Energy Futures: Recent Evidence for Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline and Heating Oil

UCSC Economics Working Paper No. 490
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 29 Oct 2001
Menzie David Chinn, Michael LeBlanc and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) - Economic Research Service (ERS) and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 1,231 (15,466)

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futures, energy, forecasting, efficient markets hypothesis

Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?

UC Santa Cruz Economics Working Paper No. 521; UC Santa Cruz International Economics Working Paper No. 02-16, HKIMR Working Paper No. 12/2005
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 09 Feb 2004
Menzie David Chinn, Yin-Wong Cheung and Antonio I. Garcia Pascual
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department
Downloads 781 (29,669)

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exchange rates, monetary model, productivity, interest rate parity, behavioral equilibrium exchange rate model, forecasting performance

Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 20 Oct 2008
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Antonio I. Garcia Pascual
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department
Downloads 92 (277,021)

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exchange rates, monetary model, productivity, interest rate parity, purchasing power

Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?

IMF Working Paper No. 04/73
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Antonio I. Garcia Pascual
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department
Downloads 76 (311,985)

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exchange rates, monetary model, productivity, interest rate parity, purchasing power parity, forecasting performance

Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?

NBER Working Paper No. w9393
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 19 Dec 2002 Last Revised: 31 Oct 2010
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Antonio I. Garcia Pascual
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department
Downloads 55 (370,901)

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A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time

MIT Sloan Working Paper No. 4414-03
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 27 Feb 2003
Kristin J. Forbes and Menzie David Chinn
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 834 (27,094)

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Trade Linkages, Bank Lending, Factor Models, Financial Integration, Interdependence

A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time

NBER Working Paper No. w9555
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 15 Mar 2003 Last Revised: 01 Nov 2010
Kristin J. Forbes and Menzie David Chinn
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 38 (433,776)

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ICT Use in the Developing World: An Analysis of Differences in Computer and Internet Penetration

NET Institute Working Paper No. 06-03
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 12 Oct 2006
Menzie David Chinn and Robert W. Fairlie
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California, Santa Cruz - Department of Economics
Downloads 531 (49,733)

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ICT Use in the Developing World: An Analysis of Differences in Computer and Internet Penetration

IZA Discussion Paper No. 2206
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 31 Jul 2006
Menzie David Chinn and Robert W. Fairlie
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California, Santa Cruz - Department of Economics
Downloads 155 (187,087)

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technology, development, digital divide, Internet, computers

ICT Use in the Developing World: An Analysis of Differences in Computer and Internet Penetration

NBER Working Paper No. w12382
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 03 Aug 2006 Last Revised: 16 Nov 2014
Menzie David Chinn and Robert W. Fairlie
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California, Santa Cruz - Department of Economics
Downloads 38 (433,776)

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ICT Use in the Developing World: An Analysis of Differences in Computer and Internet Penetration

Review of International Economics, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 153-167, February 2010
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 18 Jan 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Robert W. Fairlie
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California, Santa Cruz - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (655,418)
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The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide: A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1305; Yale University Economic Growth Center Discussion Paper No. 881; UC Santa Cruz Economics Working Paper No. 562
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 10 Mar 2004
Menzie David Chinn and Robert W. Fairlie
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California, Santa Cruz - Department of Economics
Downloads 567 (45,697)

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Computers, Internet, digital divide, infrastructure, pricing, regulation

The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide: A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration

NBER Working Paper No. w10686
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 14 Sep 2004 Last Revised: 30 Jul 2014
Menzie David Chinn and Robert W. Fairlie
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California, Santa Cruz - Department of Economics
Downloads 52 (380,845)

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The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide: A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration

Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 59, No. 1, pp. 16-44, 2007
Posted: 29 Feb 2008
Menzie David Chinn and Robert W. Fairlie
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California, Santa Cruz - Department of Economics

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JEL classifications: O30, L96

Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper No. 430
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 09 Mar 1999
Yin-Wong Cheung and Menzie David Chinn
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 538 (48,897)

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Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders

NBER Working Paper No. w7417
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 19 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 02 Apr 2001
Yin-Wong Cheung and Menzie David Chinn
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 65 (340,645)

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8.

Currency Traders and Exchange Rate Dynamics: A Survey of the U.S. Market

Department of Economics Working Paper No. 457, CESifo Working Paper Series No. 251
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 08 Feb 2001
Yin-Wong Cheung and Menzie David Chinn
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 555 (47,596)

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9.

What Do We Know About Recent Exchange Rate Models? In-Sample Fit and Out-Sample Performance Evaluated

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 902; University of California Santa Cruz: Center for International Economics Working Paper No. 03-13
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 10 Apr 2003
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Antonio I. Garcia Pascual
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department
Downloads 508 (53,231)

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Exchange Rates, Monetary Model, Productivity, Interest Rate Parity, Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model, Forecasting Performance

10.
Downloads 506 ( 53,488)

The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper No. 2009-016
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 21 Oct 2009
Menzie David Chinn and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 333 (87,608)

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futures, energy, petroleum, natural gas, heating oil, gasoline, precious metals, base metals, agricultural commodities, forecasting, efficient markets hypothesis, backwardation, contango

The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 Mar 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 145 (197,903)

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Futures, Energy, Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil, Gasoline, Precious Metals, Base Metals, Agricultural Commodities, Forecasting, Efficient Markets Hypothesis

The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures

NBER Working Paper No. w15830
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Mar 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 28 (481,158)

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Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?

G7 CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES: SUSTAINABILITY AND ADJUSTMENT, Richard Clarida, ed., University of Chicago Press, Forthcoming, KSG Working Paper No. RWP05-064, La Follette School Working Paper Series No. 2006-001
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 27 Sep 2005
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 444 (62,332)

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reserve currency, international currency, inflation, financial depth

Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?

NBER Working Paper No. w11510
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 14 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 20 Jun 2012
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 34 (451,240)

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12.
Downloads 471 ( 58,584)

China's Current Account and Exchange Rate

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2587
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 19 Mar 2009
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 398 (71,140)

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China's Current Account and Exchange Rate

NBER Working Paper No. w14673
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 25 Jan 2009 Last Revised: 06 Aug 2010
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 73 (319,542)

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13.

The Measurement of Real Effective Exchange Rates: A Survey and Applications to East Asia

UCSC Center for International Economics Working Paper No. 02-9
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 24 Aug 2002
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 457 (60,769)

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real effective exchange rate, overvaluation, competitiveness, stationarity, cointegration

Traders, Market Microstructure and Exchange Rate Dynamics

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper No. 431
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 04 Mar 1999
Yin-Wong Cheung and Menzie David Chinn
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 384 (74,213)

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Traders, Market Microstructure and Exchange Rate Dynamics

NBER Working Paper No. w7416
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 11 Jun 2000 Last Revised: 17 Apr 2008
Yin-Wong Cheung and Menzie David Chinn
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 50 (387,642)

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15.

Measuring Misalignment: PPP and East Asian Currencies in the 1990's

UCSC Department of Economics Working Paper No. 398
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 16 Oct 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 428 (65,819)

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Capital Account Liberalization, Institutions and Financial Development: Cross Country Evidence

UC Santa Cruz Center for International Economics Working Paper No. 02-11
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 15 Aug 2002
Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 331 (88,246)

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financial development, capital controls, financial liberalization, legal institutions

Capital Account Liberalization, Institutions and Financial Development: Cross Country Evidence

NBER Working Paper No. w8967
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 30 May 2002 Last Revised: 27 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 92 (277,021)

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17.

Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons

UC Santa Cruz Economics Working Paper No. 460
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 27 Dec 2000
Menzie David Chinn and Guy Meredith
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 405 (70,368)

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China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan: A Quantitative Assessment of Real and Financial Integration

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 851
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 28 Feb 2003
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 346 (83,897)

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Uncovered Interest Parity, Real Interest Parity, Purchasing Power Parity, Exchange Rates, Capital Mobility, Market Integration

China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan: A Quantitative Assessment of Real and Financial Integration

HKIMR Working Paper No. 15/2003, China Economic Review, 2003
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 27 Aug 2007
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 57 (364,450)

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uncovered interest parity, real interest parity, purchasing power parity, exchange rates, capital mobility, market integration

19.

Fiscal Multipliers

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper No. 2015-002
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 31 Jan 2013
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 375 (76,934)

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fiscal, spending, taxes, deficits, debt, crowding out, Ricardian equivalence, crowding out, portfolio balance, monetary reaction function

What Matters for Financial Development? Capital Controls, Institutions, and Interactions

UC Santa Cruz SCCIE Working Paper No. 05-03
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 22 Mar 2005
Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 278 (106,857)

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Financial development, capital controls, financial liberalization, legal institutions, sequence of liberalization

What Matters for Financial Development? Capital Controls, Institutions, and Interactions

NBER Working Paper No. w11370
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 04 Jul 2005 Last Revised: 28 Jul 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 47 (398,425)

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21.

The Empirical Determinants of the Euro: Short and Long Run Perspectives

UC Santa Cruz Economics Working Paper No. 458
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 27 Dec 2000
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 322 (91,606)

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The 'Impossible Trinity' Hypothesis in an Era of Global Imbalances: Measurement and Testing

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper Series No. 2012-007
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 02 Jun 2012
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 302 (97,781)

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Impossible trinity, international reserves, financial liberalization, exchange rate regime

The 'Impossible Trinity' Hypothesis in an Era of Global Imbalances: Measurement and Testing

Review of International Economics, Vol. 21, Issue 3, pp. 447-458, 2013
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 16 Jul 2013
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
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23.
Downloads 299 ( 99,285)

The Overvaluation of Renminbi Undervaluation

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1918, HKIMR Working Paper No. 11/2007
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 27 Feb 2007
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 256 (116,578)

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absolute purchasing power parity, exchange rates, real income, capital controls, currency misalignment

The Overvaluation of Renminbi Undervaluation

NBER Working Paper No. w12850
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 24 Jan 2007 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2010
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 43 (413,407)

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A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates: Determinants, Overvaluation, Trade Flows and Competitive Devaluation

Open Economies Review, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 15 Sep 2005
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 210 (142,191)

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Real effective exchange rate, overvaluation, competitiveness, stationarity

A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates: Determinants, Overvaluation, Trade Flows and Competitive Devaluation

NBER Working Paper No. w11521
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 15 Sep 2005 Last Revised: 26 Jun 2010
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 87 (287,174)

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Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries: An Empirical Exploration

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 14 Mar 2003
Menzie David Chinn and Eswar S. Prasad
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 167 (175,535)

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Current account, net foreign assets, savings, investment, panel regressions, capital controls

Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries: An Empirical Exploration

IMF Working Paper No. 00/46
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 Jan 2006
Menzie David Chinn and Eswar S. Prasad
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 84 (293,666)

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Current account variation, structural and macroeconomic determinants, saving-investment balance

Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries: An Empirical Exploration

NBER Working Paper No. w7581
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 11 Apr 2000 Last Revised: 17 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Eswar S. Prasad
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 37 (438,115)

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Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries: An Empirical Exploration

Journal of International Economics, Forthcoming
Posted: 14 Mar 2003
Menzie David Chinn and Eswar S. Prasad
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management

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Current account, net foreign assets, savings, investment, panel regressions, capital controls

26.

Whither the Yen? Implications of an Intertemporal Model of the Yen/Dollar Rate

UCSC Econ WP 6-95-321
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 11 Oct 1995
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 274 (109,102)

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The Euro May over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency

HKS Working Paper No. RWP08-016
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 14 Apr 2008
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 206 (144,777)

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Economics - International Economics, International Trade and Finance

The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency

NBER Working Paper No. w13909
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 04 Apr 2008 Last Revised: 05 Jul 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 61 (352,130)

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Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons During the Post-Bretton Woods Era

UCSC Center for International Economics Working Paper
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 04 Jul 2002
Menzie David Chinn and Guy Meredith
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 223 (134,090)

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Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons During the Post-Bretton Woods Era

NBER Working Paper No. w11077
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 22 Feb 2005 Last Revised: 21 Nov 2013
Menzie David Chinn and Guy Meredith
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 36 (442,421)

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29.

The Financial Crisis, Rethinking of the Global Financial Architecture, and the Trilemma

ADBI Working Paper No. 213
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 21 Apr 2010
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 234 (128,322)

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trilemma policy, capital outflows, investment channel, Asia

30.

Measuring Renminbi Misalignment: Where do We Stand?

HKIMR Working Paper No.24/2010
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 12 Oct 2010
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 219 (136,829)

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Absolute Purchasing Power Parity, China, Currency Misalignment, Sampling Uncertainty, Data Revision

31.

Volatility and the Cross-Section of Returns on FX Options

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 28 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 21 May 2019
Ian W. Marsh, Jessica James, Jonathan Fullwood and Menzie David Chinn
City University London - Sir John Cass Business School, Risk Advisory Group, Bank of England and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 210 (143,807)

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Options returns, implied volatility, straddles, foreign exchange

Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma

La Follette School Working Paper No. 2010-009
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 23 Mar 2010
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 100 (262,198)

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Impossible trinity, international reserves, financial liberalization, exchange rate, FDI flows

Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma

Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series No. 180
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 29 May 2010
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 75 (314,443)

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Impossible trinity, international reserves, financial liberalization, exchange rate, FDI flows

Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma

NBER Working Paper No. w15876
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 05 Apr 2010 Last Revised: 13 Apr 2010
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 14 (567,884)

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The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and its Determinants

UC Santa Cruz International Economics Working Paper No. 03-16; UC Santa Cruz Economics Working Paper No. 552, HKIMR Working Paper No. 07/2005
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 12 Nov 2003
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 147 (195,673)

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uncovered interest parity, real interest parity, purchasing power parity, exchange rates, capital mobility, market integration

The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and its Determinants

NBER Working Paper No. w10047
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 28 Oct 2003
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 37 (438,115)

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34.

Long-Horizon Uncovered Interest Rate Parity

NBER Working Paper No. w6797
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 30 Nov 1998 Last Revised: 11 Oct 2010
Guy Meredith and Menzie David Chinn
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 155 (186,758)

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35.

Global Spillovers and Domestic Monetary Policy

BIS Working Paper No. 436
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 27 Feb 2014
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 152 (189,923)

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balance sheet, money supply, portfolio balance, forward guidance, yield curve, spreads, signaling, capital flows, rebalancing

Current Account Balances, Financial Development and Institutions: Assaying the World 'Savings Glut'

La Follette School Working Paper No. 2005-023
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 06 Nov 2005
Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 107 (250,035)

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Current account, net foreign assets, savings glut, investment drought, panel regressions, capital controls, institutional development

Current Account Balances, Financial Development and Institutions: Assaying the World "Savings Glut"

NBER Working Paper No. w11761
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 07 Feb 2006 Last Revised: 22 Aug 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 43 (413,407)

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37.
Downloads 148 (194,165)

A Forensic Analysis of Global Imbalances

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper No. 2011-007
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 31 Mar 2011
Menzie David Chinn, Barry Eichengreen and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 127 (220,165)

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A Forensic Analysis of Global Imbalances

NBER Working Paper No. w17513
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 15 Oct 2011 Last Revised: 01 Dec 2013
Menzie David Chinn, Barry Eichengreen and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (523,071)

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38.

Exchange Rate Arrangements in the Americas: Lessons from East Asia?

UCSC International Economics Working Paper No. 01-17
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 26 Mar 2002
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 147 (195,184)

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39.

China’s Current Account and Exchange Rate

HKIMR Working Paper No.14/2009
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 139 (204,201)

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40.

The Rise of the 'Redback' and the People's Republic of China's Capital Account Liberalization: An Empirical Analysis of the Determinants of Invoicing Currencies

ADBI Working Paper 473
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 10 Apr 2014
Hiro Ito and Menzie David Chinn
Portland State University - Department of Economics and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 135 (209,052)

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RMB internationalization, capital account liberalization, US dollar, export invoicing, currency invoicing, settlement currency

41.
Downloads 131 (214,230)

On the Won and Other East Asian Currencies

UCSC Dept. of Economics WP 387
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 21 Jan 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 117 (234,363)

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On the Won and Other East Asian Currencies

NBER Working Paper No. w6671
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 12 Nov 1998 Last Revised: 10 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 14 (567,884)

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42.

The Predictive Content of Energy Futures: An Update on Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil and Gasoline

NBER Working Paper No. w11033
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 03 Feb 2005 Last Revised: 04 Nov 2014
Menzie David Chinn, Michael LeBlanc and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) - Economic Research Service (ERS) and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 130 (215,517)

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43.

The Compatibility of Capital Controls and Financial Development: A Selective Survey and Empirical Evidence

UCSC International Economics Working Paper No. 02-10
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Oct 2002
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 128 (218,074)

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44.

Financing U.S. Debt: Is There Enough Money in the World - and at What Cost?

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper No. 2010-015
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 15 Aug 2010
John Kitchen and Menzie David Chinn
Government of the United States of America - Department of the Treasury and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 124 (223,383)

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budget deficit, government debt, net international investment position, current account, interest rates

45.

Menu Costs and Nonlinear Reversion to Purchasing Power Parity Among Developed Countries

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper No. 498
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 30 Oct 2001
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 118 (231,815)

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exchange rates, purchasing power parity, menu costs

46.

The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve Across Countries and Time

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper No. 2010-002
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 Jan 2010
Kavan Kucko and Menzie David Chinn
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 111 (242,239)

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yield curve, term premium, expectations hypothesis of the term premium, industrial production, recession

47.

Macroeconomic Management and Financial Stability: The Implications for East Asia

IMPACT AND COHERENCE OF OECD COUNTRY POLICIES ON ASIAN DEVELOPING ECONOMIES, Kiichiro Fukasaku, Masahiro, Kawai, Michael Plummer, eds., Forthcoming, La Follette School Working Paper Series No. 2004-001, http://www.lafollette.wisc.edu/publications/workingpapers
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 16 Sep 2005
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 110 (243,832)

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Macroeconomic linkages, trade flows, financial integration, international financial architecture, international adjustment

48.

Measuring Misalignment Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990s

IMF Working Paper No. 99/120
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 108 (247,006)

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exchange rate purchasing power parity overvaluation cointegration

Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks: Evidence from a Panel of 14 Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 97/66
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 66 (337,856)

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Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks: Evidence from a Panel of 14 Countries

NBER Working Paper No. w5709
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 13 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 03 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Louis D. Johnston
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and College of Saint Benedict (CSB) and Saint John's University (SJU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (417,324)

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Exchange Rate Prediction Redux: New Models, New Data, New Currencies

ECB Working Paper No. 2018
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 13 Feb 2017
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department and University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics
Downloads 81 (300,234)

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Exchange Rates, Monetary Model, Interest Rate Parity, Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model, Forecasting Performance

Exchange Rate Prediction Redux: New Models, New Data, New Currencies

NBER Working Paper No. w23267
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 27 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 05 Apr 2017
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn, Antonio Pascual and Yi Zhang
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, Barclays - Macro Research and University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (523,071)
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51.
Downloads 102 (257,024)

Fin De Siecle Real Interest Parity

UCSC Dept. of Econ. Working Paper No. 482
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 26 Oct 2001
Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 81 (300,234)

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Fin De Siecle Real Interest Parity

NBER Working Paper No. w7880
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 01 Sep 2000 Last Revised: 19 Oct 2010
Eiji Fujii and Menzie David Chinn
Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (523,071)

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52.

Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 02/130
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 02 Feb 2006
Jaewoo Lee and Menzie David Chinn
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 101 (258,763)

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real exchange rate, current account, intertemporal models, permanent and temporary shocks

53.

The Illusion of Precision and the Role of the Renminbi in Regional Integration

HKIMR Working Paper No. 18/2006
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 22 Aug 2007
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 100 (260,469)

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exchange rate policy, regional integration, market integration, purchasing power parity, Balassa-Samuelson, currency misalignment

Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined

Review of World Economics, 2005
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Sep 2005
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 44 (409,535)

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imports, exports, elasticities, competitiveness, unit labor costs

Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined

UC Santa Cruz Economics Working Paper No. 525; Santa Cruz Center for International Economics Working Paper No. 02-17
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 Jan 2003
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (438,115)

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imports, exports, elasticities, competitiveness, unit labor costs

Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined

NBER Working Paper No. w9521
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 04 Mar 2003 Last Revised: 31 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (542,058)

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55.

The Euro and the Productivity Puzzle: An Alternative Interpretation

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper No. 501
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 30 Oct 2001
Menzie David Chinn and Ron Alquist
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and AQR Capital Management LLC
Downloads 93 (273,035)

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A Faith-Based Initiative: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?

HKIMR Working Paper No.12/2009
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 08 Apr 2009
Menzie David Chinn and Shang-Jin Wei
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 59 (358,126)

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Floating Exchange Rate, Fixed Exchange Rate, Current Account Imbalances, Real Exchange Rates

A Faith-Based Initiative: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?

NBER Working Paper No. w14420
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 23 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 24 Oct 2008
Menzie David Chinn and Shang-Jin Wei
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 25 (498,418)

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A Faith-Based Initiative: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7076
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 17 Feb 2009
Menzie David Chinn and Shang-Jin Wei
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 6 (621,334)
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current account imbalances, fixed exchange rate, floating exchange rate, real exchange rate

57.

How Do Uk-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?

NBER Working Paper No. w7524
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Mar 2000 Last Revised: 15 Oct 2010
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Ian W. Marsh
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and City University London - Sir John Cass Business School
Downloads 90 (278,764)

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58.

Central Banking: Perspectives from Emerging Economies

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper Series, No. 2014-006
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 21 Jul 2014
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 89 (280,771)

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central bank, emerging markets, monetary policy, inflation targeting

59.

Free to Flow? New Results on Capital Mobility Amongst the Developed Countries

UC Santa Cruz Center for International Economics Working Paper No. 02-20
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 24 Feb 2003
Rita Madarassy Akin and Menzie David Chinn
University of California, Santa Cruz and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 86 (286,820)

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capital mobility, uncovered interest parity, real interest parity

60.

Evidence on Financial Globalization and Crises: Global Imbalances

La Follette School Working Paper Series No. 2011-002
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 10 Feb 2011
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 83 (293,120)

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Current account, net foreign assets, saving glut, investment drought, panel regressions, capital controls, institutional development

The Current Account and the Real Exchange Rate: A Structural VAR Analysis of Major Currencies

NBER Working Paper No. w6495
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 25 May 2006
Jaewoo Lee and Menzie David Chinn
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 80 (302,448)

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The Current Account and the Real Exchange Rate: A Structural VAR Analysis of Major Currencies

UCSC Department of Economics Working Paper No. 395
Posted: 08 Oct 1998
Menzie David Chinn and Jaewoo Lee
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department

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The Structural Behavior of China–Us Trade Flows

BOFIT Discussion Paper No. 23/2014
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 20 May 2016
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Xingwang Qian
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and State University of New York, Buffalo State
Downloads 48 (394,819)

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F12, F41

The Structural Behavior of China-US Trade Flows

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 5123
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 14 Jan 2015
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Xingwang Qian
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and State University of New York, Buffalo State
Downloads 31 (465,554)

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import, export, elasticity, real exchange rate, processing trade

63.

Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations Over Time

NBER Working Paper No. w14533
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 10 Dec 2008 Last Revised: 18 Sep 2010
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 77 (306,480)

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64.

How Far Has the Dollar Fallen?

La Follette School Working Paper Series No. 2005-003
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 28 Sep 2005
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 74 (313,640)

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effective exchange rate, competitiveness, the trade deficit, asset and liability valuation effects

65.

Are Macroeconomic Forecasts Informative? Cointegration Evidence from the Asa-Nber Surveys

NBER Working Paper No. w6926
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 12 Jul 2000
Yin-Wong Cheung and Menzie David Chinn
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 71 (320,926)

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66.

Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle

NBER Working Paper No. w8824
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 08 Mar 2002 Last Revised: 26 Oct 2010
Ron Alquist and Menzie David Chinn
AQR Capital Management LLC and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 70 (323,391)

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67.

Debt and Interest Rates: The U.S. and the Euro Area

Economics Discussion Paper No. 2007-11
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 29 Nov 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 64 (339,112)

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interest rates, inflation, debt, financial integration

68.

Private Information and the Monetary Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set

La Follette School Working Paper Series No. 2009-008
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 25 Jun 2009
Menzie David Chinn and Michael Moore
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Warwick Business School
Downloads 57 (359,161)

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exchange rates, monetary model, order flow, microstructure, forecasting performance

69.

East Asia and Global Imbalances: Saving, Investment, and Financial Development

NBER Working Paper No. w13364
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 10 Sep 2007 Last Revised: 09 Jul 2010
Hiro Ito and Menzie David Chinn
Portland State University - Department of Economics and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 49 (384,473)

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70.

Emerging Market Economies and the Next Reserve Currencies

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 03 Dec 2014
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 46 (394,790)

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foreign exchange reserves, financial development, capital controls, seignorage, exorbitant privilege, monetary autonomy

Before the Fall: Were East Asian Currencies Overvalued?

NBER Working Paper No. w6491
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 13 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 09 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 44 (409,535)

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Before the Fall: Were East Asian Currencies Overvalued?

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper No. 391
Posted: 16 Jul 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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72.

Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?

BOFIT Discussion Paper No. 14/2012
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 18 Jun 2012
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Xingwang Qian
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and State University of New York, Buffalo State
Downloads 43 (405,517)

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China, imports, exports, real exchange rate

73.

Sectoral Productivity, Government Spending and Real Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence for OECD Countries

NBER Working Paper No. w6017
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 12 Jul 2000
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (409,170)

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74.

Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States: Does One Size Fit All?

NBER Working Paper No. w6092
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 27 Feb 1998 Last Revised: 06 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Michael P. Dooley
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California at Santa Cruz
Downloads 39 (420,450)

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75.

Conventional and Unconventional Approaches to Exchange Rate Modeling and Assessment

NBER Working Paper No. w12481
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 30 Aug 2006 Last Revised: 10 Aug 2010
Ron Alquist and Menzie David Chinn
AQR Capital Management LLC and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (428,612)

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76.

"Asia-Pacific Capital Markets: Measurement of Integration and the Implications for Economic Activity"

NBER Working Paper No. NBER_W5280
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 25 May 2006
Menzie David Chinn and Michael P. Dooley
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California at Santa Cruz
Downloads 36 (432,627)

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77.
Downloads 35 (436,744)

Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?

NBER Working Paper No. w17875
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 02 Mar 2012
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Xingwang Qian
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and State University of New York, Buffalo State
Downloads 18 (542,058)

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Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper Series No. 2012-005
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 May 2012
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Xingwang Qian
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and State University of New York, Buffalo State
Downloads 17 (548,520)

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imports, exports, elasticity, deflator, exchange rate

78.

International Capital Inflows, Domestic Financial Intermediation and Financial Crises Under Imperfect Information

NBER Working Paper No. w7902
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 16 Sep 2000 Last Revised: 19 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Kenneth M. Kletzer
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California at Santa Cruz
Downloads 35 (436,744)

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79.

Market Structure and the Persistence of Sectoral Real Exchange Rates

NBER Working Paper No. w7408
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 03 Feb 2000 Last Revised: 02 Apr 2001
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 35 (436,744)

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80.

Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration

NBER Working Paper No. w5347
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 10 May 1998 Last Revised: 24 Sep 2010
Michael P. Dooley and Menzie David Chinn
University of California at Santa Cruz and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 35 (436,744)

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81.

The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve Across Countries and Time

NBER Working Paper No. w16398
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 27 Sep 2010 Last Revised: 17 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Kavan Kucko
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 31 (454,022)

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Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in Gnp

NBER Working Paper No. t0206
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 01 Sep 2000 Last Revised: 27 Jul 2010
Yin-Wong Cheung and Menzie David Chinn
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 30 (470,609)

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Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in Gnp

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper 343
Posted: 03 Jun 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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83.

Pitfalls in Measuring Exchange Rate Misalignment: The Yuan and Other Currencies

NBER Working Paper No. w14168
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 16 Jul 2008 Last Revised: 19 Sep 2010
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Eiji Fujii
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Kwansei Gakuin University - School of Economics
Downloads 28 (468,328)

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84.

The Structural Behavior of China-U.S. Trade Flows

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 03 Dec 2014
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Xingwang Qian
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and State University of New York, Buffalo State
Downloads 26 (478,559)

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import, export, elasticity, real exchange rate, processing trade

85.

Supply Capacity, Vertical Specialization and Tariff Rates: The Implications for Aggregate U.S. Trade Flow Equations

NBER Working Paper No. w11719
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 16 Jan 2006 Last Revised: 11 Jul 2010
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 26 (478,559)

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86.

Latin America and East Asia in the Context of an Insurance Model of Currency Crises

NBER Working Paper No. w7091
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 26 Aug 1999 Last Revised: 08 May 2000
Menzie David Chinn, Michael P. Dooley and Sona Shrestha
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, University of California at Santa Cruz and University of California, Santa Cruz
Downloads 25 (483,986)

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The Usual Suspects? Productivity and Demand Shocks and Asia-Pacific Real Exchange Rates

NBER Working Paper No. w6108
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 11 Jun 2000 Last Revised: 06 Oct 2010
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 25 (498,418)

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The Usual Suspects?: Productivity and Demand Shocks and Asia-Pacific Real Exchange Rates

UCSC Economics Dept. WP #371
Posted: 10 Apr 1997
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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The Usual Suspects?: Productivity and Demand Shocks and Asia-Pacific Real Exchange Rates

UCSC Economics Dept. WP #371
Posted: 15 Apr 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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88.

Patterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for 25 Currencies

NBER Working Paper No. w3807
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 10 Jul 2007
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 23 (494,877)

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89.

Three Current Account Balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" Interpretation

NBER Working Paper No. w11853
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 20 Jul 2006
Menzie David Chinn and Jaewoo Lee
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 22 (500,558)

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For a Few Dollars More: Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises

Banque de France Working Paper No. 550
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 05 May 2015
Matthieu Bussière, Gong Cheng, Menzie David Chinn and Noemie Lisack
Banque de France, European Stability Mechanism, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and European University Institute
Downloads 14 (567,884)

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Foreign reserves, capital controls, financial crises, economic growth

For a Few Dollars More: Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises

NBER Working Paper No. w19791
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 11 Jan 2014
Banque de France, European Stability Mechanism, SciencesPo, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and European University Institute
Downloads 6 (621,334)

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Financial and Capital Account Liberalization in the Pacific Basin: Korea and Taiwan During the 1980's

NBER Working Paper No. w5814
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 16 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2008
Menzie David Chinn and William F. Maloney
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and World Bank - Poverty and Economic Management Unit
Downloads 20 (529,295)

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Financial and Capital Account Liberalization in the Pacific Basin: Korea and Taiwan During the 1980's

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper 352
Posted: 05 May 1998
William F. Maloney and Menzie David Chinn
World Bank - Poverty and Economic Management Unit and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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92.

Price-Based Measurement of Financial Globalization: A Cross-Country Study of Interest Rate Parity

Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 12, Issue 4, pp. 419-444, October 2007
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 22 Oct 2007
Hiro Ito and Menzie David Chinn
Portland State University - Department of Economics and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 19 (517,662)
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93.

Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests for a Cross- Section of 17 Currencies

NBER Working Paper No. w3806
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 09 Jan 2007
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 19 (517,662)

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Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models

NBER Working Paper No. w5943
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 15 Sep 2000 Last Revised: 05 Oct 2010
Yin-Wong Cheung and Menzie David Chinn
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (542,058)

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Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper 314
Posted: 28 Apr 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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95.

Uncovered Interest Parity and Monetary Policy Near and Far from the Zero Lower Bound

NBER Working Paper No. w21159
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 11 May 2015
Menzie David Chinn and Yi Zhang
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics
Downloads 16 (534,800)

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96.

Monetary Policy Spillovers and the Trilemma in the New Normal: Periphery Country Sensitivity to Core Country Conditions

NBER Working Paper No. w21128
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 04 May 2015
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Southern California - Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 13 (552,460)

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97.

Asia-Pacific Capital Markets: Measurement of Integration and the Implications for Economic Activity

NBER Working Paper No. w5280
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 07 Dec 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Michael P. Dooley
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California at Santa Cruz
Downloads 13 (552,460)

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98.

Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set

NBER Working Paper No. w14175
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 21 Jul 2008 Last Revised: 26 Sep 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Michael Moore
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Warwick Business School
Downloads 13 (552,460)

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99.

Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers: The East Asian Crisis Plus 20

NBER Working Paper No. w22737
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 17 Oct 2016
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Southern California - Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 10 (570,445)

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100.

Long Horizon Uncovered Interest Parity Re-Assessed

NBER Working Paper No. w18482
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 20 Oct 2012
Menzie David Chinn and Saad Quayyum
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Downloads 9 (576,449)

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101.

The New Fama Puzzle

NBER Working Paper No. w24342
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 21 Feb 2018
Banque de France, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, Banque de France and Paris School of Economics (PSE)
Downloads 8 (582,572)
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102.

Post-Recession Us Employment Through the Lens of a Non-Linear Okun's Law

NBER Working Paper No. w19047
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 18 May 2013 Last Revised: 22 May 2013
Menzie David Chinn, Laurent Ferrara and Valérie Mignon
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, Banque de France and EconomiX-CNRS, University of Paris Ouest
Downloads 8 (582,572)

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103.

Financial Spillovers and Macroprudential Policies

NBER Working Paper No. w24105
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 16 Dec 2017
Joshua Aizenman, Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Southern California - Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 6 (594,983)
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104.

Estimating Currency Misalignment Using the Penn Effect: It's Not as Simple as it Looks

NBER Working Paper No. w22539
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 22 Aug 2016
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie David Chinn and Xin Nong
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 3 (615,766)

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105.

Global Current Account Imbalances: American Fiscal Policy versus East Asian Savings

Review of International Economics, Vol. 16, Issue 3, pp. 479-498, August 2008
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 14 Jul 2008
Menzie David Chinn and Hiro Ito
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Portland State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 3 (615,766)
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106.

Non-Linearities, Business Cycles and Exchange Rates

Economic Notes, Vol. 37, Issue 3, pp. 219-239, November 2008
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 17 Jan 2009
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics
Downloads 1 (637,860)
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107.

Order Flow and the Monetary Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set

Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Forthcoming
Posted: 10 Jun 2011
Michael Moore and Menzie David Chinn
University of Warwick - Warwick Business School and University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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Exchange rates, Monetary model, Order flow, Microstructure, Forecasting

108.

The Relative Influence of Us and Japan on Real Interest Rates Around the Pacific Rim

UCSC ECON WP 2-94-302
Posted: 22 Aug 1998
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)

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109.

National, Regional and International Capital Markets: Measurement and Implications for Domestic Financial Fragility

UCSC Econ WP 6-95-317
Posted: 25 Jul 1998
Menzie David Chinn and Michael P. Dooley
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California at Santa Cruz

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110.

More Survey Data on Exchange Rate Expectations: More Currencies, More Horizons, More Tests

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper 312
Posted: 16 Jun 1998
Menzie David Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)

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111.

Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks: Evidence from a Panel of 14 Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 97/66
Posted: 04 Jun 1998
Menzie David Chinn and Louis D. Johnston
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and College of Saint Benedict (CSB) and Saint John's University (SJU) - Department of Economics

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112.

Paper Pushers or Paper Money? Empirical Assessment of Fiscal and Monetary Models of Exchange Rate Determination

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper 327
Posted: 25 May 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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113.

Deterministic, Stochastic, and Segmented Trends in Aggregate Output: A Cross-Country Analysis

City Univ. of Hong Kong WP 66
Posted: 06 May 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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114.

Asian Pacific Real Exchange Rates and Relative Prices

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper 358
Posted: 29 Apr 1998
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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115.

Asia-Pacific Capital Markets: Integration and Implications for Economic Activity

UCSC Dept. of Economics Working Paper 326
Posted: 21 Apr 1998
Menzie David Chinn and Michael P. Dooley
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of California at Santa Cruz

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116.

Are Macroeconomic Forecasts Informative? Co-Integration Evidence from the Asa-Nber Surveys

UCSC Dept. of Economics WP 350
Posted: 02 Sep 1996
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics

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