Jing Cynthia Wu

The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

31

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1,875

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942

Scholarly Papers (31)

Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-77
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 08 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 19 May 2015
Jing Cynthia Wu and Fan Dora Xia
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 3,418 (6,511)
Citation 67

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monetary policy, zero lower bound, unemployment, shadow rate, dynamic term structure model

Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound

NBER Working Paper No. w20117
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 14 May 2014 Last Revised: 21 Jun 2023
Jing Cynthia Wu and Fan Dora Xia
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 87 (544,442)
Citation 403

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2.

Time-Varying Lower Bound of Interest Rates in Europe

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 17-06
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 05 Apr 2017
Jing Cynthia Wu and Fan Dora Xia
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 1,616 (21,546)
Citation 53

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effective lower bound, negative interest rates, shadow-rate term structure model, regime-switching model

3.
Downloads 1,523 (23,623)
Citation 27

A Shadow Rate New Keynesian Model

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 16-18, PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 28 Sep 2016 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2020
Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 1,489 (23,997)
Citation 5

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shadow rate, New Keynesian model, unconventional monetary policy, zero lower bound, QE, lending facilities

A Shadow Rate New Keynesian Model

NBER Working Paper No. w22856
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 28 Nov 2016 Last Revised: 15 Jun 2023
Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 34 (857,171)
Citation 3

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4.
Downloads 1,383 (27,244)
Citation 13

The Four Equation New Keynesian Model

Review of Economics and Statistics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 09 Jun 2021 Last Revised: 10 Jun 2021
Eric R. Sims, Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor, The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 746 (63,971)

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quantitative easing, unconventional monetary policy, small-scale New Keynesian model, zero lower bound

The Four Equation New Keynesian Model

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 10 Jul 2019
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 319 (177,373)

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zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy, quantitative easing, New Keynesian model

The Four Equation New Keynesian Model

PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 07 Jul 2020
Eric R. Sims, Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor, The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 277 (205,712)
Citation 4

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Quantitative Easing, Unconventional Monetary Policy, Small-Scale New Keynesian Model, Phillips Curve, Zero Lower Bound

The Four Equation New Keynesian Model

NBER Working Paper No. w26067
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 16 Jul 2019 Last Revised: 17 Jul 2023
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 41 (800,252)
Citation 6

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Downloads 1,139 (36,071)
Citation 44

Reconstructing the Yield Curve

Journal of Financial Economics (JFE), Forthcoming
Number of pages: 85 Posted: 28 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 30 Dec 2020
Yan Liu and Jing Cynthia Wu
Purdue University and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 1,071 (38,862)
Citation 6

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yield curve, non-parametric, term structure, excess volatility, return forecasting

Reconstructing the Yield Curve

NBER Working Paper No. w27266
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 02 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 03 Jul 2022
Yan Liu and Jing Cynthia Wu
Purdue University and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 68 (630,377)
Citation 1

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6.
Downloads 1,010 (42,930)
Citation 39

Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 14-32
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 04 Oct 2014 Last Revised: 28 Nov 2016
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 974 (44,440)
Citation 8

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Uncertainty, monetary policy, term premium, macroeconomic fluctuations, affine term structure models, stochastic volatility, Bayesian estimation

Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations

NBER Working Paper No. w20594
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 22 Oct 2014 Last Revised: 10 Apr 2022
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 36 (840,076)
Citation 16

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Evaluating Central Banks' Tool Kit: Past, Present, and Future

Number of pages: 62 Posted: 05 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 02 Apr 2020
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 570 (90,168)
Citation 12

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zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy, quantitative easing, negative interest rate policy, forward guidance,quantitative tightening, DSGE, Great Recession, effective lower bound

Evaluating Central Banks' Tool Kit: Past, Present, and Future

NBER Working Paper No. w26040
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 09 Jul 2019 Last Revised: 25 Feb 2023
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 24 (950,838)
Citation 15

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Downloads 585 (88,387)
Citation 8

Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-Based Models

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 16-10
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 13 Apr 2016 Last Revised: 07 Dec 2017
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 413 (133,189)

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bond risk premia, term structure of interest rates, stochastic rate of time preference, MCMC, particle filter, recursive preferences, stochastic volatility

Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-Based Models

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 22 Apr 2019 Last Revised: 11 May 2020
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 141 (382,393)
Citation 3

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Bond Risk Premia; Term Structure of Interest Rates; Stochastic Rate of Time Preference; MCMC; Particle Filter; Recursive Preferences; Stochastic Volatility

Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-Based Models

NBER Working Paper No. w22183
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 25 Apr 2016 Last Revised: 11 Feb 2023
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 31 (883,694)

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9.
Downloads 581 (89,119)
Citation 2

Unconventional Monetary Policy According to HANK

PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper Forthcoming
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 10 May 2022 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2023
Eric R. Sims, Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor, The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 572 (89,790)

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Unconventional Monetary Policy According to Hank

NBER Working Paper No. w30329
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 08 Aug 2022 Last Revised: 15 May 2023
Eric R. Sims, Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor, The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 9 (1,114,742)
Citation 3

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10.
Downloads 578 (89,697)
Citation 4

Wall Street QE vs. Main Street Lending

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 19 May 2020 Last Revised: 02 Feb 2022
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 455 (118,855)

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Wall Street vs. Main Street QE

NBER Working Paper No. w27295
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 10 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 30 Jan 2022
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 66 (640,664)
Citation 2

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Wall Street QE vs. Main Street Lending

European Economic Review, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 03 May 2023
Dario Cardamone, Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 57 (691,124)

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Main Street Lending Program, Paycheck Protection Program, COVID-19, Great Recession, quantitative easing, DSGE

11.
Downloads 462 (117,993)
Citation 1

(Un)Conventional Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 25 Jul 2022 Last Revised: 23 May 2024
Jing Cynthia Wu and Yinxi Xie
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank of Canada
Downloads 452 (119,770)

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monetary policy, quantitative easing, fiscal policy, tax finance, debt finance

(Un)Conventional Monetary and Fiscal Policy

NBER Working Paper No. w30706
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 05 Dec 2022 Last Revised: 27 May 2023
Jing Cynthia Wu and Yinxi Xie
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank of Canada
Downloads 10 (1,104,293)
Citation 1
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Average Inflation Targeting: Time Inconsistency and Ambiguous Communication

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 11 Jan 2022 Last Revised: 03 May 2023
Chengcheng Jia and Jing Cynthia Wu
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 281 (202,738)

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inflation expectations, average inflation targeting, time inconsistency, ambiguous communication

Average Inflation Targeting: Time Inconsistency and Intentional Ambiguity

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 21-19R
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 10 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 02 Feb 2022
Chengcheng Jia and Jing Cynthia Wu
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 77 (587,160)

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Bayesian VARs, stochastic volatility, pandemics

13.
Downloads 337 (168,460)
Citation 22

Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Yield Curve

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 04 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 25 Apr 2019
Jing Cynthia Wu and Fan Dora Xia
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 309 (183,399)
Citation 2

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negative interest rate policy, effective lower bound, term structure of interest rates, shadow rate term structure model, regime-switching model

Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Yield Curve

NBER Working Paper No. w25180
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 22 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 21 Apr 2023
Jing Cynthia Wu and Fan Dora Xia
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 28 (911,488)
Citation 4

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14.

Are QE and Conventional Monetary Policy Substitutable?

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 13 Jan 2020
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 329 (172,868)
Citation 22

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Downloads 275 (208,473)
Citation 6

Inflation Announcements and Social Dynamics

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-76
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 07 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 06 Apr 2017
Kinda Hachem and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 256 (222,761)

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central bank communication, expectations heterogeneity, social dynamics, credibility, inflation targeting, quantitative easing

Inflation Announcements and Social Dynamics

NBER Working Paper No. w20161
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 26 May 2014 Last Revised: 02 Feb 2023
Kinda Hachem and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 19 (1,004,257)
Citation 4

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Global Effective Lower Bound and Unconventional Monetary Policy

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 18-05
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 29 May 2018 Last Revised: 10 Apr 2019
Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 257 (221,874)

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effective lower bound, unconventional monetary policy, New Keynesian model, two-country open economy

Global Effective Lower Bound and Unconventional Monetary Policy

NBER Working Paper No. w24714
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 18 Jun 2018 Last Revised: 13 Jul 2023
Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 17 (1,026,562)
Citation 9

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Effects of Index-Fund Investing on Commodity Futures Prices

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-73
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 06 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 22 Jul 2014
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 224 (253,909)
Citation 15

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Effects of Index-Fund Investing on Commodity Futures Prices

NBER Working Paper No. w19892
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 11 Feb 2014 Last Revised: 10 May 2023
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 48 (749,067)
Citation 22

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Correcting Estimation Bias in Dynamic Term Structure Models

Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 30, No.3, pp. 454-467, 2012
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 06 Sep 2013
Michael Bauer, Glenn D. Rudebusch and Jing Cynthia Wu
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 268 (213,927)
Citation 12

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small-sample bias correction, vector auto-regression, dynamic term structure models, term premium

19.

Estimation of Affine Term Structure Models with Spanned or Unspanned Stochastic Volatility

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-72
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 15 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 09 Apr 2017
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 267 (214,756)

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affine term structure models, unspanned stochastic volatility, estimation

Identification and Estimation of Gaussian Affine Term Structure Models

Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 168 , No. 2, 2012, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-71
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 10 Aug 2011 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2013
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 222 (256,098)
Citation 4

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affine term structure models, identification, estimation, minimum-chi-square

Identification and Estimation of Gaussian Affine Term Structure Models

NBER Working Paper No. w17772
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 21 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 24 Jul 2023
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 45 (770,188)
Citation 33

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21.

A Macroeconomic Model of Central Bank Digital Currency

Number of pages: 82 Posted: 12 Apr 2024
Pascal Paul, Mauricio Ulate and Jing Cynthia Wu
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 229 (249,600)

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Central bank digital currency, Banks, DSGE, Monetary policy.

22.
Downloads 229 (249,600)
Citation 83

Risk Premia in Crude Oil Futures Prices

Journal of International Money and Finance, Forthcoming, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-70
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 06 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2013
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 191 (294,334)
Citation 5

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Risk Premia in Crude Oil Futures Prices

NBER Working Paper No. w19056
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 18 May 2013 Last Revised: 26 Jan 2023
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 38 (823,752)
Citation 18

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The Role of International Financial Integration in Monetary Policy Transmission

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 06 Apr 2023 Last Revised: 30 Jan 2024
Jing Cynthia Wu, Yinxi Xie and Ji Zhang
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Bank of Canada and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 187 (300,060)

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monetary policy, financial integration, bond duration, QE, international trade

The Role of International Financial Integration in Monetary Policy Transmission

NBER Working Paper No. w32128
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 12 Feb 2024
Jing Cynthia Wu, Yinxi Xie and Ji Zhang
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Bank of Canada and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 3 (1,172,971)
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24.

Comment on 'Term Premia and Inflation Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset'

American Economic Review, Forthcoming, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-74
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 06 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 27 Sep 2013
Michael Bauer, Glenn D. Rudebusch and Jing Cynthia Wu
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 176 (317,246)
Citation 8

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term premia, dynamic term structure model, small-sample bias

25.
Downloads 167 (332,085)
Citation 16

Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models

Journal of Econometrics, Forthcoming, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-69
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 12 May 2011 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2013
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 89 (536,539)
Citation 10

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Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models

NBER Working Paper No. w16931
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 11 Apr 2011 Last Revised: 07 Apr 2023
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 78 (582,707)
Citation 1

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26.

The Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Yield Curve

BIS Working Paper No. 703
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 16 Feb 2018
Jing Cynthia Wu and Fan Dora Xia
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 156 (351,887)

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negative interest rate policy, effective lower bound, term structure of interest rates, shadow rate term structure model, regime-switching model

The Effectiveness of Alternative Monetary Policy Tools in a Zero Lower Bound Environment

Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 44, No. s1, 2012, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-68
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 12 May 2011 Last Revised: 13 Oct 2016
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 98 (503,642)
Citation 38

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The Effectiveness of Alternative Monetary Policy Tools in a Zero Lower Bound Environment

NBER Working Paper No. w16956
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 18 Apr 2011 Last Revised: 01 May 2023
James D. Hamilton and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of California at San Diego and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 48 (749,067)
Citation 64

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28.

Federal Reserve Policy in a World of Low Interest Rates

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 17 Jan 2020
Eric R. Sims and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 88 (535,221)
Citation 1

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29.

Estimation of Affine Term Structure Models with Spanned or Unspanned Stochastic Volatility

NBER Working Paper No. w20115
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 19 May 2014 Last Revised: 19 Jun 2022
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 35 (825,518)
Citation 21

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30.

Unconventional Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Number of pages: 57
Jing Cynthia Wu and Yinxi Xie
The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bank of Canada
Downloads 9

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monetary policy, quantitative easing, fiscal policy, tax finance, debt finance

31.

Average Inflation Targeting: Time Inconsistency and Ambiguous Communication

NBER Working Paper No. w29673
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 20 Dec 2021 Last Revised: 08 May 2023
Chengcheng Jia and Jing Cynthia Wu
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 8 (1,084,390)

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