Michael Dotsey

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Professor

Ten Independence Mall

Philadelphia, PA 19106-1574

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

51

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6,226

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 3,999

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254

CROSSREF CITATIONS

202

Scholarly Papers (51)

1.

The Predictive Content of the Interest Rate Term Spread for Future Economic Growth

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 84, no. 3, Summer 1998, pp. 31-51
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 21 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 1,508 (23,788)
Citation 3

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2.

An Investigation of Cash Management Practices and Their Effects on the Demand for Money

FRB Richmond Economic Review, Vol. 70, No. 5, September/October 1984, pp. 3-12
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 24 Aug 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 435 (125,767)

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Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 17-26
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 07 Sep 2017
Michael Dotsey, Shigeru Fujita and Tom Stark
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 181 (306,984)
Citation 15

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Phillips curve, unemployment gap, conditional predictive ability

Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 15-16
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 02 Apr 2015
Michael Dotsey, Shigeru Fujita and Tom Stark
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 144 (373,543)
Citation 5

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Phillips curve, unemployment gap, conditional predictive ability

Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 15-16
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 07 Sep 2017
Michael Dotsey, Shigeru Fujita and Tom Stark
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 65 (641,888)

Abstract:

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Phillips curve, unemployment gap, conditional predictive ability

The Effects of Fiscal Policy in a Neoclassical Growth Model

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 97-8
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 19 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Ching-Sheng Mao
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and National Taiwan University - Department of Economics
Downloads 164 (334,992)
Citation 7

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The Effects of Fiscal Policy in a Neoclassical Growth Model

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 94-3
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 13 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Ching-Sheng Mao
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and National Taiwan University - Department of Economics
Downloads 153 (355,505)

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The Effects of Fiscal Policy in a Neoclassical Growth Model

Posted: 06 Jul 2001
Michael Dotsey and Ching-Sheng Mao
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and National Taiwan University - Department of Economics

Abstract:

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5.

Oil Shocks, Monetary Policy, and Economic Activity

FRB Richmond Economic Review, Vol. 78, No. 4, July/August 1992, pp. 14-27
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 07 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Max Reid
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 299 (189,940)

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6.

Implications of State-Dependent Pricing for Dynamic Macroeconomic Models

FRB Philadelphia Working Paper No. 05-2
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 16 May 2005
Michael Dotsey and Robert G. King
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston University - Department of Economics
Downloads 177 (313,531)
Citation 49

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Prices

7.
Downloads 164 (335,019)
Citation 23

Pricing, Production, and Persistence

FRB Philadelphia Working Paper No. 05-4
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 16 May 2005
Michael Dotsey and Robert G. King
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston University - Department of Economics
Downloads 109 (463,681)
Citation 20

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Pricing, macroeconomic models

Pricing, Production and Persistence

NBER Working Paper No. w8407
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 05 Aug 2001 Last Revised: 23 Dec 2022
Michael Dotsey and Robert G. King
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston University - Department of Economics
Downloads 55 (698,759)

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Nontraded Goods, Market Segmentation, and Exchange Rates

FRB Philadelphia Working Paper No. 06-9
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 30 May 2006
Michael Dotsey and Margarida Duarte
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Toronto - Department of Economics
Downloads 99 (496,884)
Citation 12

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Exchange rates, Nontraded goods, Incomplete asset markets

Nontraded Goods, Market Segmentation, and Exchange Rates

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 06-03
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 07 Dec 2012
Michael Dotsey and Margarida Duarte
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 50 (730,827)
Citation 1

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exchange rates, nontraded goods, incomplete asset markets

Inflation and Real Activity with Firm-Level Productivity Shocks

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 13-35
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 16 Sep 2013
Michael Dotsey, Robert G. King and Alexander L. Wolman
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Boston University - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 119 (433,777)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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Pricing

Inflation and Real Activity with Firm Level Productivity Shocks

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 18-19
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 23 Jul 2018 Last Revised: 29 Apr 2020
Michael Dotsey and Alexander L. Wolman
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 23 (954,915)

Abstract:

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Inflation, microeconomics

10.

Japanese Monetary Policy -- A Comparative Analysis

Economic Review, Vol. 72, No. 6, November/December 1986, pp. 12-24
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 25 Oct 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 121 (426,557)

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11.
Downloads 119 (431,931)
Citation 14

Structure from Shocks

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 99-6
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 26 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 77 (583,367)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Monetary policy, impulse response functions, correlations, dynamic behavior

Structure from Shocks

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 88, no. 4, Fall 2002, pp. 37-47
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 02 Dec 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 42 (787,325)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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12.
Downloads 119 (431,931)
Citation 1

Some Not-so-Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 82, no. 4, Fall 1996, pp. 73-91
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 17 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 71 (611,485)

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Some Not So Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 95-2
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 15 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 48 (744,349)

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Some Not so Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic

Posted: 09 May 1998
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Abstract:

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13.

On the Implementation of Markov-Perfect Interest Rate and Money Supply Rules: Global and Local Uniqueness

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 08-30
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 01 Nov 2007 Last Revised: 22 Nov 2019
Michael Dotsey and Andreas Hornstein
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 110 (458,084)
Citation 1

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14.

The Australian Money Market and the Operations of the Reserve Bank of Australia

FRB Richmond Economic Review, vol. 73, no. 5, September/October 1987, pp. 19-31
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 27 Oct 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 101 (486,594)
Citation 1

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15.

Monetary Policy and Operating Procedures in New Zealand

FRB Richmond Economic Review, vol. 77, no. 5, September/October 1991, pp. 13-19
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 06 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 96 (503,260)

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16.

The Importance of Systematic Monetary Policy for Economic Activity

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 85, no. 3, Summer 1999, pp. 41-59
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 26 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 92 (517,145)

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17.

M2 and Monetary Policy: A Critical Review of the Recent Debate

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 80, no. 1, Winter 1994, pp. 41-59
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 14 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Chris Otrok
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Missouri
Downloads 88 (531,772)

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18.

The Rational Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure, Monetary Policy, and Time-Varying Term Premia

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 81, no. 1, Winter 1995, pp. 65-81
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 15 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Chris Otrok
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and University of Missouri
Downloads 85 (543,130)

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19.

Reforming Deposit Insurance: Lessons from the Savings and Loan Crisis

FRB Richmond Economic Review, vol. 76, no. 2, March/April 1990, pp. 3-28
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 03 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Anatoli Kuprianov
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Independent
Downloads 85 (543,130)
Citation 1

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On the Implementation of Markov-Perfect Monetary Policy

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 09-6R
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 12 Dec 2012
Michael Dotsey and Andreas Hornstein
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 47 (751,151)
Citation 1

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monetary policy, Markov-perfect, determinacy, interest rate rules, money supply rules

On the Implementation of Markov-Perfect Monetary Policy

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 11-29
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 10 Aug 2011
Michael Dotsey and Andreas Hornstein
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 36 (834,770)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Monetary policy, Markov-perfect, determinacy, interest rate rules, money supply rules

21.

Home Production and Social Security Reform

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 12-5
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 17 Feb 2012
Michael Dotsey, Wenli Li and Fang Yang
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 82 (555,108)
Citation 4

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Home Production, Housing, Social Security Reform, Labor Supply

22.

An Examination of Implicit Interest Rates on Demand Deposits

FRB Richmond Economic Review, Vol. 69, No. 5, September/October 1983, pp. 3-11
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 24 Aug 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 77 (575,919)

Abstract:

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23.

Rational Expectations Business Cycle Models: A Survey

FRB Richmond Economic Review, vol. 74, no. 2, March/April 1988, pp. 3-15
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 31 Oct 2012
Michael Dotsey and Robert G. King
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston University - Department of Economics
Downloads 72 (597,953)

Abstract:

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24.

Demographic Aging, Industrial Policy, and Chinese Economic Growth

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 19-21
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 26 Apr 2019 Last Revised: 29 Apr 2020
Michael Dotsey, Wenli Li and Fang Yang
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 71 (602,535)

Abstract:

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Aging, Credit policy, Household saving, Output growth, China

25.

Is Money Useful in the Conduct of Monetary Policy?

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, Vol. 86, No. 4, Fall 2000, pp. 23-48
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 28 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey, Carl Lantz and Larry Santucci
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Independent and Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 69 (611,897)

Abstract:

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26.

Inflation Uncertainty and Growth in a Simple Monetary Model

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 97-5
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 19 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 60 (657,255)
Citation 4

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27.

Consumption and Time Use Over the Life Cycle

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 10-37
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 01 Dec 2010
Michael Dotsey, Wenli Li and Fang Yang
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 60 (657,255)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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Consumption, Home Production, Life Cycle

28.

How Important is the Currency Denomination of Exports in Open-Economy Models?

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 09-32
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 30 Nov 2009
Michael Dotsey and Margarida Duarte
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 60 (657,255)

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local currency pricing, producer currency pricing, international relative prices, exchange rates, nontraded goods, distribution services

The Welfare Cost of Inflation in General Equilibrium

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 94-4
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 13 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Peter N. Ireland
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston College - Department of Economics
Downloads 58 (680,936)
Citation 12

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The Welfare Cost of Inflation in General Equilibrium

Posted: 02 Oct 1999
Michael Dotsey and Peter N. Ireland
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston College - Department of Economics

Abstract:

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30.

State Dependent Pricing and Dynamics of Business Cycles

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 97-2
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 19 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey, Robert G. King and Alexander L. Wolman
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Boston University - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 57 (673,491)
Citation 11

Abstract:

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31.

How Well Do Linear Approximation Methods Work? Results for Suboptimal Dynamic Equilibria

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 90-11
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 03 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Ching-Sheng Mao
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and National Taiwan University - Department of Economics
Downloads 56 (679,171)

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32.

The Demand for Currency in the United States

Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 20, No. 3, 1988, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 86-1
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 24 Oct 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 56 (679,171)
Citation 1

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33.

An Examination of International Trade Data in the 1980s

FRB Richmond Economic Review, Vol. 75, No. 2, March/April 1989, pp. 21-27
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 02 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 54 (690,582)

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34.

Should Optimal Discretionary Monetary Policy Look at Money?

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 02-04
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Dec 2012
Michael Dotsey and Andreas Hornstein
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 53 (696,389)
Citation 15

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monetary policy, sticky prices, optimal time-constraint policy, asymmetric incomplete information

35.

The Behavior of the Real Rate of Interest over the Business Cycle

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 00-9
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 27 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Brian Scholl
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 52 (702,412)
Citation 1

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real rate of interest, business cycles, cross correlations, stationarity, monetary policy

Demographic Transition, Industrial Policies and Chinese Economic Growth

FRB of Dallas Working Paper No. 2210
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 21 Jul 2022
Michael Dotsey, Wenli Li and Fang Yang
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 33 (860,349)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Aging, Credit policy, Household saving, Output growth, China

Demographic Transition, Industrial Policies, and Chinese Economic Growth

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 22-17
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 28 Jun 2022
Michael Dotsey, Wenli Li and Fang Yang
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 16 (1,030,475)

Abstract:

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Aging, Credit policy, Household saving, Output growth, China

37.

Pitfalls in Interpreting Tests of Backward-Looking Pricing in New Keynesian Models

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 88, no. 1, Winter 2002, pp. 37-50
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 02 Dec 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 47 (733,937)

Abstract:

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38.

Implementation of Optimal Monetary Policy

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 92, no. 2, Spring 2006, pp. 113-133
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 08 Dec 2012
Michael Dotsey and Andreas Hornstein
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 45 (747,165)

Abstract:

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39.

Monetary Instruments and Policy Rules in a Rational Expectations Environment

NBER Working Paper No. w1114
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 18 Jun 2004 Last Revised: 20 Jul 2022
Michael Dotsey and Robert G. King
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston University - Department of Economics
Downloads 45 (747,165)

Abstract:

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40.

Was the Disinflation of the Early 1980s Anticipated?

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, vol. 81, no. 4, Fall 1995, pp. 41-59
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 15 Nov 2012
Jed DeVaro and Michael Dotsey
California State University, East Bay and Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 44 (753,994)
Citation 1

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41.

Controversy Over the Federal Budget Deficit: A Theoretical Perspective

Economic Review, vol. 71, no. 5, September/October 1985, pp. 3-16
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Oct 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 44 (753,994)

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42.

Monetary Policy, Secrecy, and Federal Funds Rate Behavior

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 85-4
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 23 Oct 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 42 (767,915)
Citation 3

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43.

Monetary Control Under Alternative Operating Procedures

Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 21, No. 3, 1989, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 87-5
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 27 Oct 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 41 (775,263)
Citation 1

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44.

Informational Implications of Interest Rate Rules

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 84-8
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 24 Aug 2012
Michael Dotsey and Robert G. King
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston University - Department of Economics
Downloads 39 (789,798)
Citation 5

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45.

Liquidity Effects and Transactions Technologies

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 93-1
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 09 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and Peter N. Ireland
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston College - Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (804,841)
Citation 2

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46.

Interest Rate Rules and Nominal Determinacy

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 90-1
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey and John H. Boyd
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (804,841)
Citation 1

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47.

Investigating Nonneutrality in a State-Dependent Pricing Model with Firm-Level Productivity Shocks

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 19-9
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 06 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 21 Feb 2019
Michael Dotsey and Alexander L. Wolman
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Downloads 36 (812,504)
Citation 1

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price-modeling

48.

The Economic Effects of Corporate Taxes in a Stochastic Growth Model

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 87-4
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 27 Oct 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 36 (812,504)
Citation 17

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49.

Investing in Equities: Can It Help Social Security?

FRB Richmond Economic Quarterly, Vol. 83, No. 4, Fall 1997, pp. 49-69
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 19 Nov 2012
Michael Dotsey
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Downloads 35 (820,331)

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50.

Interest Rates and Prices in an Inventory Model of Money with Credit

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 13-5
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 08 Feb 2013 Last Revised: 27 Aug 2021
Michael Dotsey and Pablo Guerrón-Quintana
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Boston College - Department of Economics
Downloads 32 (844,854)

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51.

Inflation Uncertainty and Growth in a Cash-in-Advance Economy

Posted: 23 Sep 2001
Michael Dotsey and Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

Abstract:

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