Author Page for Simon Potter

1.

Coincident and Leading Indicators of the Stock Market

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 11 Aug 2000

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 1,400 (23,625)

Citation 7

Abstract:

2.

Forecasting Recessions Using the Yield Curve

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 134, University of California Working Paper Series

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 30 Jun 2001

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 1,156 (31,336)

Citation 16

Abstract:

3.

Has Structural Change Contributed to a Jobless Recovery?

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 11 Mar 2005

Erica L. Groshen and Simon Potter

Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 825 (50,230)

Citation 9

Abstract:

4.

Nonlinear Time Series Modeling: An Introduction

FRB of New York Staff Reports No. 87

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 23 Mar 2000

Simon Potter

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 767 (55,367)

Citation 1

Abstract:

5.

Predicting a Recession: Evidence from the Yield Curve in the Presence of Structural Breaks

University of California, Riverside

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 19 May 2001

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 646 (69,374)

Citation 11

Abstract:

6.

Recent Changes in the U.S. Business Cycle

Downloads 554 (84,070)

Citation 1

3

Recent Changes in the U.S. Business Cycle

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 23 Oct 2001

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 495 (95,500)

Citation 5

Abstract:

Recent Changes in the U.S. Business Cycle

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 126

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 09 Aug 2006

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 59 (602,334)

Citation 5

Abstract:

Recent Changes in the U.S. Business Cycle

Posted: 04 May 2001

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Abstract:

7.

Nonlinear Risk

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 61

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 14 May 1999

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 494 (95,752)

Citation 6

Abstract:

Nonlinear Risk

Posted: 30 May 2001

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Abstract:

8.

Liquidity Effects of the Events of September 11, 2001

Economic Policy Review, Vol. 8, No. 2, November 2002

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 21 Sep 2005

James McAndrews and Simon Potter

Wharton Financial Institutions Center and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 413 (119,564)

Citation 2

Abstract:

9.

Nonlinear Impulse Response Functions

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 65

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 21 Jul 1999

Simon Potter

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 396 (125,534)

Citation 13

Abstract:

10.

Markov Switching in Disaggregate Unemployment Rates

Downloads 339 (149,107)

2

Markov Switching in Disaggregate Unemployment Rates

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 132

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 13 Sep 2001

Marcelle Chauvet, Chinhui Juhn and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside, University of Houston - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 339 (148,069)

Citation 1

Abstract:

Markov Switching in Disaggregate Unemployment Rates

Posted: 20 Jun 2001

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Abstract:

11.

Forecasting in Large Macroeconomic Panels Using Bayesian Model Averaging

FRB NY Staff Report No. 163

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 27 Mar 2006

Gary Koop and Simon Potter

University of Leicester - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 253 (201,795)

Citation 27

Abstract:

12.

Improving Survey Measures of Household Inflation Expectations

Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Vol. 16, No. 7, August/September 2010

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 24 Sep 2010

Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Simon Potter, Robert W. Rich, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw

University of Southern California, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Downloads 230 (221,436)

Citation 8

Abstract:

13.

Are Apparent Findings of Nonlinearity Due to Structural Instability in Economic Time Series?

Downloads 222 (229,052)

2

Are Apparent Findings of Nonlinearity Due to Structural Instability in Economic Time Series?

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 59

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 21 Jul 1999

Gary Koop and Simon Potter

University of Leicester - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 222 (228,385)

Citation 4

Abstract:

Are Apparent Findings of Nonlinearity Due to Structural Instability in Economic Time Series?

Posted: 27 Sep 2001

Gary Koop and Simon Potter

University of Leicester - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Abstract:

14.

Nonlinear Time Series Modelling: An Introduction

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 87

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 09 Oct 2006

Simon Potter

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 221 (230,046)

Citation 3

Abstract:

15.

Dynamic Hierarchical Factor Models

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 412

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 15 Dec 2009 Last Revised: 31 Jul 2011

Emanuel Moench, Serena Ng and Simon Potter

Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, Columbia University - Columbia Business School, Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 208 (243,334)

Citation 36

Abstract:

16.

The Advantages of Probabilistic Survey Questions

Review of Economic Analysis 9 (1), 1-32

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 12 Jan 2018

Simon Potter, Marco Del Negro, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw

Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Downloads 191 (262,913)

Citation 1

Abstract:

17.

The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)

Economic Policy Review, Issue 23-2, pp. 1-32, 2017

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 20 Dec 2017

Marlene Amstad, Marlene Amstad, Simon Potter and Robert W. Rich

Harvard Kennedy SchoolThe Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Downloads 172 (288,295)

Citation 1

Abstract:

18.

Is There Still an Added-Worker Effect?

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 310

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 16 Dec 2007

Chinhui Juhn and Simon Potter

University of Houston - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 172 (288,295)

Citation 22

Abstract:

19.

Rethinking the Measurement of Household Inflation Expectations: Preliminary Findings

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 359

Number of pages: 149 Posted: 26 Dec 2008

Wilbert van der Klaauw, Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Giorgio Topa, Simon Potter and Michael F. Bryan

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, University of Southern California, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Downloads 163 (301,713)

Citation 17

Abstract:

20.

Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves

Downloads 162 (303,279)

Citation 5

5

Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 910. Rev. July 2023

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 24 Jan 2020 Last Revised: 14 Jul 2023

Gara Afonso, Kyungmin Kim, Antoine Martin, Ed Nosal, Simon Potter and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bank of New York - Research and Statistics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Downloads 68 (559,085)

Citation 1

Abstract:

Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves

FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 2020-2

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 29 Apr 2020

Gara Afonso, Kyungmin Kim, Antoine Martin, Ed Nosal, Simon Potter and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bank of New York - Research and Statistics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Downloads 30 (793,279)

Abstract:

Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. WP-2020-02

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 09 Jul 2021

Gara Afonso, Kyungmin Kim, Antoine Martin, Ed Nosal, Simon Potter and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Downloads 29 (801,647)

Citation 5

Abstract:

Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. WP-2020-02

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 27 Apr 2020

Gara Afonso, Kyungmin Kim, Antoine Martin, Ed Nosal, Simon Potter and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bank of New York - Research and Statistics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Downloads 28 (809,963)

Abstract:

Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. WP 2020-02

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 14 Jun 2021

Gara Afonso, Kyungmin Kim, Ed Nosal, Simon Potter and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Downloads 7 (1,015,338)

Abstract:

21.

Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting during the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences

Downloads 159 (308,127)

Citation 16

2

Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting during the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 680

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 22 Jul 2014

Lucia Alessi, Eric Ghysels, Luca Onorante, Richard W. Peach and Simon Potter

European Central Bank (ECB), University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School, Joint Research Centre, Italy, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 82 (501,086)

Citation 17

Abstract:

Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences

ECB Working Paper No. 1688

Number of pages: 58 Posted: 11 Jul 2014

Lucia Alessi, Eric Ghysels, Luca Onorante, Richard W. Peach and Simon Potter

European Central Bank (ECB), University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School, Joint Research Centre, Italy, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 77 (520,572)

Abstract:

22.

Forecasting and Estimating Multiple Change-Point Models with an Unknown Number of Change Points

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 10 Dec 2004

Simon Potter and Gary Koop

Peterson Institute for International Economics and University of Leicester - Department of Economics

Downloads 156 (313,082)

Citation 6

Abstract:

23.

A New Model of Trend Inflation

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 24 Feb 2012

Joshua C. C. Chan, Joshua C. C. Chan, Gary Koop and Simon Potter

Purdue UniversityUniversity of Technology Sydney (UTS) - UTS Business School, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow - Strathclyde Business School - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 149 (325,304)

Citation 44

Abstract:

24.

Fluctuations in Confidence and Asymmetric Business Cycles

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 66

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 05 Aug 1999

Simon Potter

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 149 (325,304)

Citation 4

Abstract:

25.

A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve

CAMA Working Paper No. 10/2014

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 23 Jan 2014 Last Revised: 14 Oct 2014

Joshua C. C. Chan, Joshua C. C. Chan, Gary Koop and Simon Potter

Purdue UniversityUniversity of Technology Sydney (UTS) - UTS Business School, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow - Strathclyde Business School - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 142 (338,078)

Citation 21

Abstract:

26.

A Flexible Approach to Parametric Inference in Nonlinear Time Series Models

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 285

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 01 May 2007

Gary Koop and Simon Potter

University of Leicester - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 124 (374,905)

Citation 5

Abstract:

27.

Economic Restructuring in New York State

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 28 Sep 2004

Erica L. Groshen, Simon Potter and Rebecca J. Sela

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Peterson Institute for International Economics and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business

Downloads 116 (393,624)

Abstract:

28.

Reexamining the Consumption-Wealth Relationship: The Role of Model Uncertainty

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 08 Mar 2005

Simon Potter, Gary Koop and Rodney W. Strachan

Peterson Institute for International Economics, University of Leicester - Department of Economics and University of Queensland - School of Economics

Downloads 106 (420,089)

Citation 5

Abstract:

29.

Stressing the Fed Stress Tests Against COVID-19

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 01 Jul 2020

Simon Potter and Til Schuermann

Peterson Institute for International Economics and Oliver Wyman

Downloads 93 (459,011)

Citation 1

Abstract:

30.

Real Time Underlying Inflation Gauges for Monetary Policymakers

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 420

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 06 Jan 2010

Marlene Amstad, Marlene Amstad and Simon Potter

Harvard Kennedy SchoolThe Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 93 (459,011)

Citation 8

Abstract:

31.

Business Cycle Monitoring with Structural Changes

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 27 Aug 2008 Last Revised: 21 Dec 2009

Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter

University of California Riverside and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 80 (503,324)

Citation 2

Abstract:

32.

Explaining the Recent Divergence in Payroll and Household Employment Growth

Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Vol. 5, No. 16, December 1999

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 26 Jun 2007

Chinhui Juhn and Simon Potter

University of Houston - Department of Economics and Peterson Institute for International Economics

Downloads 80 (503,324)

Citation 4

Abstract:

33.

Prior Elicitation in Multiple Change-Point Models

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 10 Dec 2004

Simon Potter and Gary Koop

Peterson Institute for International Economics and University of Leicester - Department of Economics

Downloads 68 (551,309)

Citation 2

Abstract:

34.

The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 672

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 06 May 2014

Marlene Amstad, Marlene Amstad, Simon Potter and Robert W. Rich

Harvard Kennedy SchoolThe Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Downloads 50 (639,125)

Citation 5

Abstract:

35.

The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG

BIS Working Paper No. 453

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 12 Sep 2014

Marlene Amstad, Marlene Amstad, Simon Potter and Robert W. Rich

Harvard Kennedy SchoolThe Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Downloads 45 (667,959)

Abstract:

36.

Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves

FEDS Working Paper No. 2020-20

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 14 Jun 2021 Last Revised: 30 Jun 2021

Kyungmin Kim, Gara Minguez-Afonso, Ed Nosal, Simon Potter and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Downloads 43 (680,160)

Abstract:

37.

Monetary Policy Implementation with Ample Reserves

FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 2023-10

Number of pages: 64 Posted: 06 Sep 2023

Gara Afonso, Kyungmin Kim, Antoine Martin, Ed Nosal, Simon Potter and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Downloads 11 (941,383)

Abstract:

38.

Measuring Inflation Expectations

Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 5, pp. 273-301, 2013

Posted: 07 Aug 2013

Olivier Armantier, Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Simon Potter, Wilbert van der Klaauw, Giorgio Topa and Basit Zafar

Federal Reserve Bank of New York, University of Southern California, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Arizona State University

Simon Potter

Peterson Institute for International Economics

38

Top 7,140

10,648

Top 4,515

222

142

Scholarly Papers (38)

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract: