Michael Merz

University of Hamburg

Allende-Platz 1

Hamburg, 20146

Germany

  • University of Hamburg

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

9

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12

Scholarly Papers (9)

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1.

Claims Run-Off Uncertainty: The Full Picture

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 14-69
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 15 Nov 2014 Last Revised: 03 Jul 2015
Michael Merz and Mario V. Wuthrich
University of Hamburg and RiskLab, ETH Zurich
Downloads 1,366 (13,286)
Citation 3

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Claims reserving, chain-ladder method, gamma-gamma Bayesian chain-ladder model, conditional mean square error of prediction, claims development result, one-year uncertainty, run-off uncertainty, Mack’s formula, Merz- Wüthrich formula, risk margin, R package ChainLadder

2.

Stochastic Claims Reserving Manual: Advances in Dynamic Modeling

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 15-34
Number of pages: 322 Posted: 23 Aug 2015
Mario V. Wuthrich and Michael Merz
RiskLab, ETH Zurich and University of Hamburg
Downloads 1,325 (13,911)
Citation 8

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Claims reserving, non-life insurance run-off, chain-ladder method, Bornhuetter-Ferguson method, claims modeling, claims development result, risk margin, run-off uncertainty, conditional mean square error of prediciton

3.

Modified Munich Chain-Ladder Method

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 14-65
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 30 Aug 2014
Michael Merz and Mario V. Wuthrich
University of Hamburg and RiskLab, ETH Zurich
Downloads 248 (121,591)
Citation 1

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Munich chain-ladder method, claims reserving, prediction uncertainty, mean square error of prediction, multivariate Gaussian model, claims paid and claims incurred

4.

Best-Estimate Claims Reserves in Incomplete Markets

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 14-64
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 17 Aug 2014 Last Revised: 12 Nov 2014
Sebastian Happ, Michael Merz and Mario V. Wuthrich
University of Hamburg, University of Hamburg and RiskLab, ETH Zurich
Downloads 201 (149,148)
Citation 3

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best-estimate reserves, dynamic hedging, sequential local risk minimization, state-price deflator, incomplete market, technical provisions, risk margin

5.

Bootstrapping the Chain-Ladder Method for Correlated Run-Off-Triangles for Achieving the Predictive Distribution of the Claims Development Result

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 16 May 2012 Last Revised: 26 Nov 2016
Jochen Heberle, Luis Huergo and Michael Merz
University of Hamburg, University of Tuebingen and University of Hamburg
Downloads 148 (195,209)

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Chain-Ladder, claims reserving, general insurance, non-life insurance, claims development result

6.

Predicting the Claims-Development-Result in the Chain-Ladder Method for Correlated Run-Off Portfolios

Zeitschrift für die gesamte Versicherungswissenschaft, Vol. 97, No. 4 (2008), 439-461, DOI: 10.1007/s12297-008-0035-5
Posted: 20 May 2012
Jochen Heberle, Luis Huergo and Michael Merz
University of Hamburg, University of Tuebingen and University of Hamburg

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Chain-Ladder, claims reserving, general insurance, non-life insurance, claims development result

7.

Bootstrapping the Chain-Ladder Method for Several Correlated Run-Off Portfolios

Zeitschrift für die gesamte Versicherungswissenschaft, Vol. 97, No. 4 (2008), DOI:10.1007/s12297-008-0035-5
Posted: 20 May 2012
Jochen Heberle, Luis Huergo and Michael Merz
University of Hamburg, University of Tuebingen and University of Hamburg

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Chain-Ladder, claims reserving, general insurance, non-life insurance, predictive distribution

8.

Dependence Modeling in Multivariate Claims Run-Off Triangles

Annals of Actuarial Science, Forthcoming
Posted: 22 Dec 2011 Last Revised: 05 Jul 2012
Michael Merz, Mario V. Wuthrich and Enkelejd Hashorva
University of Hamburg, RiskLab, ETH Zurich and University of Lausanne, Actuarial Department

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general insurance, non-life insurance, claims reserving, aggregation of run-off portfolios, claims inflation, outstanding loss liabilities

9.

Claims Development Result in the Paid-Incurred Chain Reserving Method

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Forthcoming
Posted: 17 Aug 2011 Last Revised: 04 Jul 2012
Sebastian Happ, Michael Merz and Mario V. Wuthrich
University of Hamburg, University of Hamburg and RiskLab, ETH Zurich

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stochastic claims reserving, PIC method, outstanding loss liabilities, claims payments, incurred losses, prediction uncertainty, conditional mean square error, claims development result, solvency