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leverage, recessions, mortgage lending, financial crises, business cycles, local projections
Financial Crises, Monetary Policy, Leverage, Credit, House Prices, Local Projections, Instrumental Variables
path forecast, forecast uncertainty, simultaneous confidence region, Scheffé’s S-method, Mahalanobis distance, false discovery rate
Path forecast, forecast uncertainty, simultaneous confidence region, Scheffé's S-method, Mahalanobis distance, false discovery rate
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