Jiazhuo George Wang

affiliation not provided to SSRN

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Scholarly Papers (1)

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Evaluating Probability Forecasts for GDP Declines Using Alternative Methodologies

International Journal of Forecasting, Forthcoming
Posted: 12 Jul 2012
Kajal Lahiri and Jiazhuo George Wang
State University of New York (SUNY) at Albany, College of Arts and Sciences, Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN

Abstract:

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Binary prediction, Rare events, Survey of Professional Forecasters, Subjective probability, Calibration, Resolution, Skill score, Relative Operating Characteristics, Odds ratio, Recession