Scott H. Irwin

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

1301 W. Gregory Drive

326 Mumford Hall, MC-710

Urbana, IL 61801

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

43

DOWNLOADS
Rank 1,677

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 1,677

in Total Papers Downloads

14,628

CITATIONS
Rank 4,304

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 4,304

in Total Papers Citations

124

Scholarly Papers (43)

1.

The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review

AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2004-04
Number of pages: 106 Posted: 15 Oct 2004
Cheol-Ho Park and Scott H. Irwin
Chungbuk National University and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 8,609 (315)
Citation 13

Abstract:

technical analysis, market efficiency, trading systems, speculative markets

2.

The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in Us Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test

Number of pages: 66 Posted: 17 May 2005 Last Revised: 27 Jun 2008
Cheol-Ho Park and Scott H. Irwin
Chungbuk National University and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 914 (17,303)
Citation 4

Abstract:

technical analysis, data snooping, futures markets, replication

3.

Noise Traders, Market Sentiment, and Futures Price Behavior

OFOR-97-02
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 07 Nov 1997
Southern Illinois University at Carbondale - Agribusiness Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois @ Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 762 (22,476)
Citation 2

Abstract:

The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing?

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Jun 2008
Dwight R. Sanders, Scott H. Irwin and Robert P. Merrin
Southern Illinois University at Carbondale - Agribusiness Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and Universidad de Cantabria
Downloads 427 (51,693)
Citation 12

Abstract:

Commitments of Traders, index funds, commodity futures markets

The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing?

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Vol. 32, No. 1, pp. 77-94, 2010
Posted: 22 Feb 2010
Dwight R. Sanders, Scott H. Irwin and Robert P. Merrin
Southern Illinois University at Carbondale - Agribusiness Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and Universidad de Cantabria

Abstract:

Commitment of Traders, index funds, commodity futures markets, G13, Q11, Q13

5.

Forecasting Cash Price Volatility of Fed Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Corn: Time Series, Implied Volatility, and Composite Approaches

OFOR Working Paper No. 99-08
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 11 Jan 2000
Arizona State University - Morrison School of Agribusiness and Resource Management, University of Illinois @ Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 366 (61,073)
Citation 7

Abstract:

6.

The Financialization of Commodity Futures Markets or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Index Funds

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 30 Oct 2010
Scott H. Irwin and Dwight R. Sanders
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and Southern Illinois University at Carbondale - Agribusiness Economics
Downloads 347 (61,645)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Index Funds, Commodity, Futures Markets, Prices, Speculation, Bubble

7.

Returns to Traders and Existences of a Risk Premium of a Risk Premium in Agricultural Futures Markets

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 26 May 2011
Nicole Aulerich, Scott H. Irwin and Philip Garcia
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 231 (100,537)
Citation 1

Abstract:

commodities, futures markets, risk premium, commodity index traders

8.

The Role of Market Advisory Services in Crop Marketing and Risk Management: A Preliminary Report of Survey Results

AgMas Report 2001-02
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 19 May 2001
Joost M. E. Pennings, Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 187 (124,008)
Citation 2

Abstract:

9.

Futures Market Failure?

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 28 Oct 2011
Philip Garcia, Scott H. Irwin and Aaron Smith
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of California, Davis - Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics
Downloads 178 (120,596)

Abstract:

finance, agriculture, commodity futures, delivery, grain, storage, present value, asset pricing

10.

Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt

Number of pages: 127 Posted: 20 Jun 2008
Michael A. Tannura, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 153 (122,877)
Citation 1

Abstract:

corn, soybeans, yield, weather, technology, trends

11.

Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970-2005

AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2006-01
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 20 Apr 2006
Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 146 (137,903)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Corn, Soybeans, forecast, production, USDA

12.

Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions

Marketing and Outlook Research Report 2009-02
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Oct 2009
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 121 (158,045)
Citation 3

Abstract:

corn, soybeans, wheat, CBOT, delivery, convergence

13.

The Marketing Style of Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans in 1995

AgMasReport 1999-02
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, Ohio State University (OSU) - Agricultural, Environmental & Development Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 104 (200,630)

Abstract:

14.

Surveying Farmers: A Research Note

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 10 Oct 2000
Joost M. E. Pennings, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 91 (214,710)

Abstract:

15.

Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970-2004

AgMAS Research Report No. 2005-03
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 06 May 2005
Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 83 (230,376)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Corn, Soybeans, forecast, production, USDA

16.

Development of a Market Benchmark Price for AgMAS Performance Evaluations

AgMasReport 1998-02
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
Darrel L. Good, Scott H. Irwin and Thomas E. Jackson
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 76 (248,088)
Citation 5

Abstract:

17.

The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2004

AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2006-02
Number of pages: 161 Posted: 20 Apr 2006
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 63 (261,922)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Prices, corn, soybeans, advisory service, risk, performance

18.

1999 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMas Report No. 2000-04
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 04 Feb 2001
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and João Martines-Filho
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 50 (309,465)
Citation 5

Abstract:

19.

Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Corn and Soybean Markets Over 1995-1997

AgMasReport 1999-03
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
Scott H. Irwin, Thomas E. Jackson and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 50 (306,692)
Citation 2

Abstract:

20.

Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices

Marketing and Outlook Research Report 2009-01
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 15 Oct 2009
Olga Isengildina, Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 49 (293,712)

Abstract:

forecast, USDA, commodity, confidence interval, empirical

21.

Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Wheat Market Over 1995-1998

AgMasReport 2001-01
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 02 Jun 2001
Mark A. Jirik, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 45 (323,723)
Citation 1

Abstract:

22.

The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2003

AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2005-01
Number of pages: 147 Posted: 17 Apr 2005
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Sao Paulo (USP) - Department of Economics, Administration and Sociology and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.
Downloads 44 (326,769)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Prices, corn, soybeans, advisory service, risk, performance

23.

1996 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMas Project Research Report No. 1998-01
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 28 Dec 2000
Thomas E. Jackson, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 43 (329,687)
Citation 6

Abstract:

24.

Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Corn and Soybean Markets Over 1995-1998

AgMas Project Research Report No. 2000-03
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 28 Dec 2000
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 41 (332,787)
Citation 2

Abstract:

25.

Heterogeneity in the Likelihood of Market Advisory Service Use by U.S. Crop Producers

Agribusiness: An International Journal, Vol. 21, No. 1, pp. 109-128, January 2005
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 04 Oct 2005
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 40 (329,687)

Abstract:

Marketing advisory services, marketing philosophy, mixture model, financial performance, heterogeneity, risk attitudes, crop producers

26.

1998 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMasReport 2000-01
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 07 Nov 2000
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 39 (338,990)
Citation 6

Abstract:

27.

1997 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMas Report 1999-01
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
Thomas E. Jackson, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 37 (348,735)
Citation 6

Abstract:

28.

What Do We Know About the Profitability of Technical Analysis?

Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 21, No. 4, pp. 786-826, September 2007
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 15 Aug 2007
Scott H. Irwin and Cheol-Ho Park
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and Chungbuk National University
Downloads 36 (352,220)
Citation 20

Abstract:

29.

1995 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMasReport 1997-01
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 12 Oct 2000
Darrel L. Good, Scott H. Irwin and Thomas E. Jackson
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 30 (374,005)
Citation 6

Abstract:

30.

The 1995 Through 1998 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Wheat

AgMasReport 2000-02
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 27 (378,014)
Citation 4

Abstract:

31.

Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the Cftc's Daily Large Trader Data Files

NBER Working Paper No. w19065
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 24 May 2013
Nicole Aulerich, Scott H. Irwin and Philip Garcia
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 1 (503,979)
Citation 1

Abstract:

32.

Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies

USDA-ERS Economic Information Bulletin No. 115
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Oct 2015
U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) - Economic Research Service (ERS), University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of California, Davis - Departments of Economics and Agricultural Resource Economics
Downloads 0 (348,735)

Abstract:

commodity futures, index funds, grains, non-convergence, price discovery

33.

Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence In Hog and Cattle Markets

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 92, No. 1, pp. 1-15, 2010
Posted: 08 Mar 2010
Evelyn V. Colino and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

cattle, encompassing, forecast, futures prices, hogs, outlook, RMSE, Q11, Q13

34.

Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 89, No. 3, pp. 607-623, August 2007
Posted: 23 Jul 2007
Silvina M. Cabrini, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

35.

Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 88, No. 4, pp. 1091-1104, November 2006
Posted: 13 Oct 2006
Olga Isengildina, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 88, pp. 162-181, February 2006
Posted: 08 May 2006
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and Joao Martines-Filho
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 88, No. 1, pp. 162-181, February 2006
Posted: 22 Feb 2007
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and Joao Martines-Filho
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

37.

Evaluation of USDA Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 86, No. 4, pp. 990-1004, November 2004
Posted: 04 Oct 2004
Olga Isengildina, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

38.

The Effect of Large Hedge Fund and CTA Trading on Futures Market Volatility

COMMODITY TRADING ADVISORS: RISK, PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS AND SELECTION, Greg N. Gregoriou, Vassilios N. Karavas, Francois-Serge L'Habitant, Fabrice Rouah, eds., John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 2004
Posted: 28 Jun 2004
Scott H. Irwin and Bryce Holt
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and ACH Food Companies, Inc.

Abstract:

Hedge fund, commodity trading advisor, volatility, market efficiency, futures markets

39.

The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions

Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Forthcoming
Posted: 23 Jun 2004
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

Market advisory services, ordered probit model, producers' marketing decisions

40.

Surveying Farmers: A Case Study

Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 24, pp. 266-277, 2002
Posted: 23 Nov 2002
Joost M. E. Pennings, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

41.

New Evidence on the Value of Public Information in Commodity Markets

OFOR Working Paper Number 94-04
Posted: 29 Oct 2000
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois @ Urbana-Champaign and Western Michigan University

Abstract:

42.

Further Evidence on the Usefulness of CTA Performance Information in Public Commodity Pool Prospectuses and a Proposal for Reform

ADVANCES IN FUTURES AND OPTIONS RESEARCH, Vol 7, 1994
Posted: 20 Dec 1998
Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

Abstract:

43.

An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators

OFOR Working Paper 97-01, University of Illinios, Urbana-Champaign
Posted: 02 Oct 1997
Merrill Lynch & Co., Purdue University - Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Abstract: