Megan Czasonis

State Street Corporate

1 Lincoln Street

Boston, MA 02111

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

19

DOWNLOADS

1,839

TOTAL CITATIONS

0

Scholarly Papers (19)

1.

The Past as Prologue: A New Approach to Forecasting

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 6166-20
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 17 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 12 Mar 2021
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates
Downloads 470 (123,374)

Abstract:

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Informativeness, Mahalanobis distance, Partial sample regression, Relevance, Similarity

2.

Advances in Factor Replication

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 5174-16
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 14 Aug 2016 Last Revised: 19 Aug 2016
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates
Downloads 445 (131,640)

Abstract:

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Bayesian shrinkage, Elliptical distribution, Factor-replicating portfolio Full-scale optimization, Independent-sample error, Interval error, Kinked utility function, Non-parametric, Power utility function, Resampling, Small-sample error, Stability-adjusted return sample, Symmetrical distribution

3.

How to Predict the Performance of NBA Draft Prospects

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 6955-23
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 09 Sep 2023 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2024
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates
Downloads 354 (170,654)

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Adjusted Fit, Asymmetry, Central Limit Theorem, CKT regression, Codependence, Fit, Gaussian Kernel, Information Theory, Informativeness, Lasso Regression, Machine Learning, Mahalanobis Distance, Model-based Algorithm, Model-free Algorithm, Nearest Neighbor Partial Sample Regression, Relevance

4.

The COVID Report Card

MIT Sloan Research Paper 6185-20
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 20 Oct 2020
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management, State Street Associates and State Street Associates
Downloads 204 (298,210)

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COVID report card, Cross-sectional regression analysis, Implied deaths, New cases, Reported deaths,

5.

The Relative Importance of Fiscal and Monetary Policy: An Empirical Perspective

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 6152-20
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 24 Jul 2020
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates
Downloads 158 (374,167)

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Fiscal policy, Mahalanobis distance, Monetary policy, Statistical similarity

6.

A Transparent Alternative to Neural Networks with An Application to Predicting Volatility

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 7149-24
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 20 Sep 2024
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management and State Street Associates
Downloads 73 (642,366)

Abstract:

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Activation Function, Adjusted Fit, Bias, Cross Validation, Epoch, Fit, Fold, Grid Prediction, Hidden Layer, Hyperparameter, Information Theory, Informativeness, Learning Rate, Linear Regression Analysis, Mahalanobis Distance, Mean Squared Error, Model Free, Neural Network, Node, Patience, Relevance, Relevance-based Prediction, Similarity

7.

Relevance-Based Importance: A Comprehensive Measure of Variable Importance in Prediction

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 7150-24
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 20 Sep 2024 Last Revised: 12 Dec 2024
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management and State Street Associates
Downloads 52 (756,320)

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Adjusted Fit, Collinearity, Conditionality, Fit, Grid Prediction, Information Theory, Informativeness, Linear Regression Analysis, Machine Learning Model, Mahalanobis Distance, Marginal Importance, Relevance, Relevance-based Importance, Relevance-based Prediction, Shapley Value, Similarity, t-statistic, Total Importance

8.

The Virtue of Transparency: How to Maximize the Utility of Data without Overfitting

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 7020-24
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 23 Jul 2024
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management and State Street Associates
Downloads 51 (762,678)

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Grid Prediction, High Complexity Model, Informativeness, Mahalanobis Distance, Model Free, Moore-Penrose Pseudo Inverse, Overfitting, Partial Sample Regression, Principal Components Analysis, Regularized Regression, Relevance, Relevance-based Prediction, Ridge Regression, Ridgeless Regression, Similarity

9.

The Economic Logic of Large Language Models

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 19 Nov 2024
Huili Song, Megan Czasonis and David Turkington
State Street Global Markets - State Street Associates, State Street Corporate and State Street Associates
Downloads 29 (936,057)

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Large Language Models, LLM, GPT, Machine Learning, Ensemble Models, Model Interpretability, Economic Growth

10.

Corporate Alignment with the EU Taxonomy for Sustainable Activities: First Evidence from Financial Accounting Data

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 13 Dec 2024
State Street Associates, State Street Corporate, State Street Global Markets - State Street Associates and Harvard Business School
Downloads 3

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Climate Investments, Corporate Disclosure, Sustainability, ESG

11.

Relevance-based Prediction: A Transparent and Adaptive Alternative to Machine Learning

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 6794, 2022
Posted: 03 Oct 2022 Last Revised: 15 Dec 2022
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates

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12.

Stock Vulnerability and Resilience

Czasonis, M., H. Song and D. Turkington. 2023 "Stock Vulnerability and Resilience." The Journal of Portfolio Management, 49 (5): 34 - 44
Posted: 23 Sep 2022 Last Revised: 09 Sep 2023
Megan Czasonis, Huili Song and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, State Street Global Markets - State Street Associates and State Street Associates

Abstract:

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equities, investing, vulnerability, factors, quantitative methods, portfolios, risk

13.

Inflation Hedging: A Dynamic Approach Using Online Prices

Cavallo, A., M. Czasonis, W. Kinlaw and D. Turkington. 2023. "Inflation Hedging: A Dynamic Approach Using Online Prices." Journal of Portfolio Management (September).
Posted: 21 Sep 2022 Last Revised: 09 Sep 2023
Harvard University - Business School (HBS), State Street Corporate, State Street Global Markets and State Street Associates

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inflation, hedging, investing

14.

Event Time

Journal of Portfolio Management, 4 (7): 81 - 92, 2023
Posted: 06 May 2022 Last Revised: 09 Sep 2023
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates

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Calendar time, Co-occurrence, Event intensity, Event time, Information theory, Informativeness, Kullback-Leibler divergence, Kurtosis, Mahalanobis distance, Normal divergence, Pearson correlation, Relative entropy, z-score

15.

Relevance

Czasonis, M., M. Kritzman and D. Turkington. 2022. "Relevance." Journal of Investment Management 20(1).
Posted: 17 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 02 Jun 2022
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates

Abstract:

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Informativeness, Mahalanobis Distance, Partial Sample Regression, Relevance, Similarity

16.

The Stock-Bond Correlation

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 6108-20
Posted: 12 May 2020
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates

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Autocorrelation, Henriksson-Merton test, Informativeness, Lagged cross-correlation, Mahalanobis distance, Partial sample regression, Relevance, Single period correlation, Statistical similarity

17.

Private Equity and the Leverage Myth

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 5912-20
Posted: 20 Feb 2020
State Street Corporate, State Street Global Markets, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates

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Fundamental risk, Leverage multiple, Leverage myth, Mean-variance analysis

18.

Partial Sample Regressions

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 5894-19
Posted: 20 Nov 2019
Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management and State Street Associates

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Event-driven observations, Informativeness, Kernel smoothing, Mahalanobis distance, Multivariate similarity, Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression, Ordinary Least Squares, Regression analysis, Relevance, Relevance-weighted average

19.

Enhanced Scenario Analysis

MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 5774-19
Posted: 20 May 2019 Last Revised: 30 Apr 2020
State Street Corporate, Windham Capital Management, State Street Associates and State Street Associates

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Covariance matrix, Economic scenarios, Euclidean distance, Financial turbulence, Gradient descent, Mahalanobis distance, Mean reversion, Mean-variance analysis, Multivariate normal distribution, Persistence, Scale independent, Scenario analysis