Roberto Golinelli

University of Bologna - Department of Economics

Professor

Strada Maggiore 45

Bologna, 40125

Italy

  • University of Bologna - Department of Economics

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    • Tel: +39 051 209 2638
    • Fax: +39 051 209 2664
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

33

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145

Scholarly Papers (33)

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1.

Monetary Policy Transmission, Interest Rate Rules and Inflation Targeting in Three Transition Countries

U of Bologna Working Paper No. 429
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 08 Feb 2002
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 761 (46,874)
Citation 6

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Disinflation policy, Interest rate rules, Inflation targeting, Transition economies, Small open-economy macro models

2.

Family Firms and Investments

ECGI - Finance Working Paper No. 269/2009
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 11 Dec 2009
Magda Bianco, Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
Bank of Italy, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 382 (109,873)
Citation 5

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Family firms, investments, uncertainty, risk aversion, capital irreversibility

3.

A New Index of Uncertainty Based on Internet Searches: A Friend or Foe of Other Indicators?

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 1062
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 12 Mar 2016
Maria Elena Bontempi, Roberto Golinelli and Matteo Squadrani
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna
Downloads 379 (110,847)
Citation 11

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Uncertainty measures, finance-based, survey-based, news-based, Internet searches, Google, comparison across indicators, macroeconomic effects of uncertainty

4.

Monetary Policy and the Convergence to Low Inflation: A Small Macro Model for Hungary and Poland, 1991-1998

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 25 Sep 1999
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 304 (140,725)
Citation 2

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5.

Modeling the Demand for M3 in the Euro Area

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Jul 2000
Roberto Golinelli and Sergio Pastorello
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 275 (155,882)
Citation 3

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6.

Painless Disinflation? Monetary Policy Rules in Hungary, 1991-1999

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 12 Jan 2001
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 242 (176,887)
Citation 4

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Disinflation policy, Interest rate rules, Transition economies, Small open-economy macro models, Estimation and simulation of rational expectations models.

7.

Corporate Taxation and its Reform: The Effects on Corporate Financing Decisions in Italy

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 14 Mar 2004
Maria Elena Bontempi, Silvia Giannini and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 227 (188,016)
Citation 7

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Capital structure, Modified pecking order theory, Corporate taxes, Fiscal microsimulation, Dynamic panel models, Robustness

8.

The Trade-Off and Pecking-Order Empirical Effects of Corporate Taxation on Financial Choices: A Unified Approach

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 13 Mar 2006
Maria Elena Bontempi, Silvia Giannini and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 213 (199,662)
Citation 1

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Capital structure, Trade-off, Pecking-order and Modified pecking-order models, Corporate taxes, Extreme bound analysis, Dynamic panel estimation

9.

Unit Root Tests and the Classification of Corporate Financial Behaviour

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 16 Mar 2006
Maria Elena Bontempi and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 184 (227,731)

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Unit root tests, Mean-reversion, Panel data, Capital structure, Trade-off, Pecking-order, Modified Pecking Order approach

10.

Dynamic Corporate Capital Structure Behavior: Empirical Assessment in the Light of Heterogeneity and Non Stationarity

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 988
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 19 Jan 2015
Maria Elena Bontempi, Laura Bottazzi and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 175 (237,755)

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Corporate finance, Heterogeneity of agents, Target leverage, Speed of adjustment, Unit roots and cointegration

11.

ICT and Non-ICT Investments: Short and Long Run Macro Dynamics

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 956
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 18 Jul 2014
Fabio Bacchini, Maria Elena Bontempi, Roberto Golinelli and Cecilia Jona Lasinio
Italian Statistical Institute, University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Italian Statistical Institute
Downloads 142 (282,139)

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Evaluation of Macro models, ICT Investments, Uncertainty, Liquidity constraints

12.

Output potenziale, gap e inflazione in Italia nel lungo periodo (1861-2010): un’analisi econometrica (Potential Output, Output Gap, and Inflation in Italy in the Long Term (1861-2010): An Econometric Analysis)

Bank of Italy Economic History Working Paper No. 29
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 09 May 2013
Alberto Baffigi, Maria Elena Bontempi and Roberto Golinelli
Bank of Italy, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 101 (360,279)
Citation 14

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macroeconomic history, output gap, structural break, principal components, volatility, triangle model, New Keynesian Phillips curve, industrialization

13.

Real-Time Determinants of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: Fiscal Rules, Cyclical Conditions and Elections

Downloads 101 (360,279)
Citation 32

Real-Time Determinants of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: Fiscal Rules, Cyclical Conditions and Elections

Bank of Italy Economic Research Paper No. 609
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 04 Jan 2007
Roberto Golinelli and Sandro Momigliano
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 73 (442,588)
Citation 12

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fiscal policy, real-time information, euro-area countries, stabilisation policies, fiscal rules, political budget cycle

Real-Time Determinants of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: Fiscal Rules, Cyclical Conditions and Elections

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 16 Feb 2012
Roberto Golinelli and Sandro Momigliano
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 28 (660,840)
Citation 21

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fiscal policy, real-time information, euro-area countries, stabilisation policies, fiscal rules, political budget cycle

14.

Why Demand Uncertainty Curbs Investment: Evidence from a Panel of Italian Manufacturing Firms

Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 32, 2010, Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 621
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 23 May 2007 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2012
Giuseppe Parigi, Maria Elena Bontempi and Roberto Golinelli
Bank of Italy, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 87 (395,504)
Citation 28

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planned investments, demand uncertainty, survey data, panel estimation

15.

The Cyclical Response of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area – Why Do Results of Empirical Research Differ so Strongly?

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 14 Feb 2012
Roberto Golinelli and Sandro Momigliano
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 75 (431,003)
Citation 1

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fiscal policy, euro-area countries, fiscal rules, pro- and counter-cyclical policies, policy symmetry over the cycle, ex post and real-time data, dynamic panel models

16.

The Effect of Neglecting the Slope Parameters Heterogeneity on Dynamic Models of Corporate Capital Structure

Quantitative Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Aug 2012
Maria Elena Bontempi and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 67 (457,691)

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Dynamic models of corporate capital structure, Heterogeneity, Time series and panel data unit root tests, Nested models, Trade off, pecking order and market timing theories

17.

Parameter Heterogeneity, Persistence and Cross-Sectional Dependence: New Insights on Fiscal Policy Reaction Functions for the Euro Area

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 1120
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 24 Apr 2018
Roberto Golinelli, Irene Mammi and Antonio Musolesi
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice and University of Ferrara & CERIS CNR, Italy; CESAER INRA, UMR, France
Downloads 66 (461,123)
Citation 2

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dynamic panel models, panel integration and cointegration, heterogeneous parameters, common correlated effects, Euro area countries, fiscal policy reaction functions, real-time data

18.

Do Households Anchor their Inflation Expectations? - Theory and Evidence from a Household Survey

Quaderni DSE Working Paper No. 842
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 28 Aug 2012
Joshy Easaw, Roberto Golinelli and Marco Malgarini
University of Bath - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and ISAE, Istituto di Studi e Analisi Economica
Downloads 66 (461,123)
Citation 14

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inflation expectations, perceived inflation, survey data, heterogeneous panels, nonlinear effects

19.

The Cyclical Response of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: Why Do Results of Empirical Research Differ So Strongly?

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 654
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 15 Mar 2008
Sandro Momigliano and Roberto Golinelli
Bank of Italy and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 60 (483,529)
Citation 2

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fiscal policy, euro-area countries, fiscal rules, pro and counter-cyclical policies, policy symmetry over the cycle, ex post and real-time data, dynamic panel models

20.

Uncertainty, Perception and the Internet

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 1134, 2019
Number of pages: 95 Posted: 23 Oct 2019
Maria Elena Bontempi, Michele Frigeri, Roberto Golinelli and Matteo Squadrani
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna
Downloads 59 (487,367)
Citation 4

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macroeconomic uncertainty measurement, perception of uncertainty, Internet searches, Google Trends, finance-based indexes, survey-based indexes, news-based indexes

21.

Forecasting World Output: The Rising Importance of Emerging Economies

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 853
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 30 Mar 2012
Alessandro Borin, Riccardo Cristadoro, Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 53 (511,615)
Citation 18

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GDP forecast, emerging and Asian markets, bridge models, forecasting ability

22.

Tracking World Trade and GDP in Real Time

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 920
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 16 Jul 2013
Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 45 (547,776)
Citation 23

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world trade and GDP forecasts, augmented bridge models, real-time data, forecasting ability

23.

Generalized State-Dependent Models: A Multivariate Approach

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 1067
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 31 May 2016
Saeed Heravi, Joshy Easaw and Roberto Golinelli
Cardiff University, University of Bath - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (562,592)

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Generalized State-Dependent Models, Multivariate Framework, Consumer Sentiments-Consumption Behavior

24.

The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 919
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 15 Jan 2014
Alessandro Girardi, Roberto Golinelli and Carmine Pappalardo
National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT), University of Bologna - Department of Economics and ISTAT, Italian National Statistical Institute
Downloads 41 (567,699)
Citation 3

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Euro Area GDP forecasts, Bridge and Factor Models, Indicators' selection and pre-screening, Forecasting ability

25.

Household Inflation Expectations: Information Gathering, Inattentive or 'Stubborn'?

Quaderni DSE Working Paper No. 853
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 14 Nov 2012
Joshy Easaw and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bath - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 34 (605,683)
Citation 1

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household inflation expectations, ‘sticky information expectations’, forward-looking or ‘stubborn’

26.

Did Growth and Reforms Increase Citizens’ Support for the Transition?

Quaderni DSE Working Paper No. 771
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Jul 2011
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 26 (656,963)

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Political economy, Post-Communist transition,Economic reforms, Economic performance, Support for reforms, Public opinion

27.

Short-Run Italian GDP Forecasting and Real-Time Data

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5302
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 29 Dec 2005
Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 19 (710,213)
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Real-time data set for Italian GDP, consistent vintages, preliminary GDP forecasting, predictions of 'actual' GDP

28.

Did Growth and Reforms Increase Citizens' Support for the Transition?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5836
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Jul 2011
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (718,306)

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political economy, post-communist transition, economic reforms, economic performance, support for reforms, public opinion

29.

Painless Disinflation? Monetary Policy Rules in Hungary, 1991-99

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 Apr 2002
Riccardo Rovelli and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (718,306)
Citation 1

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30.

Inflation Modelling in the Euro Area

University of Turin, Department of Economics and Public Finance WP No. 62
Posted: 05 Jul 2002
Fabio C. Bagliano, Roberto Golinelli and Claudio Morana
University of Turin - Department of Economics and Statistics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Università di Milano Bicocca

Abstract:

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31.

Painless Disinflation? Monetary Policy Rules in Hungary, 1991-1999

Posted: 19 May 2002
Riccardo Rovelli and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics

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Disinflation policy, Interest rate rules, Transition economies, Hungary, Small open-economy macro models, Estimation and simulation of rational expectations models

32.

Core Inflation in the Euro Area

Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 9, pp. 353-357, 2002
Posted: 18 Dec 2001
Fabio C. Bagliano, Roberto Golinelli and Claudio Morana
University of Turin - Department of Economics and Statistics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Università di Milano Bicocca

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Core inflation, common trend, European Central Bank, monetary policy

33.

Forecasting Industrial Production in the Euro Area

Posted: 01 May 2001
Giorgio Bodo, Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
Group Treasurer Fiat Spa, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy

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Forecasts comparison, alternative models, conditional ECM