Roberto Golinelli

University of Bologna - Department of Economics

Professor

Strada Maggiore 45

Bologna, 40125

Italy

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

31

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3,292

CITATIONS
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Top 6,772

in Total Papers Citations

72

Scholarly Papers (31)

1.

Monetary Policy Transmission, Interest Rate Rules and Inflation Targeting in Three Transition Countries

U of Bologna Working Paper No. 429
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 08 Feb 2002
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 676 (27,674)
Citation 12

Abstract:

Disinflation policy, Interest rate rules, Inflation targeting, Transition economies, Small open-economy macro models

2.

Monetary Policy and the Convergence to Low Inflation: A Small Macro Model for Hungary and Poland, 1991-1998

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 25 Sep 1999
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 294 (82,513)
Citation 1

Abstract:

3.

Family Firms and Investments

ECGI - Finance Working Paper No. 269/2009
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 11 Dec 2009
Magda Bianco, Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
Bank of Italy, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 291 (74,101)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Family firms, investments, uncertainty, risk aversion, capital irreversibility

4.

Painless Disinflation? Monetary Policy Rules in Hungary, 1991-1999

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 12 Jan 2001
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 222 (106,787)
Citation 7

Abstract:

Disinflation policy, Interest rate rules, Transition economies, Small open-economy macro models, Estimation and simulation of rational expectations models.

5.

Modeling the Demand for M3 in the Euro Area

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Jul 2000
Roberto Golinelli and Sergio Pastorello
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 221 (105,839)
Citation 13

Abstract:

6.

The Trade-off and Pecking-Order Empirical Effects of Corporate Taxation on Financial Choices: A Unified Approach

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 13 Mar 2006
Maria Elena Bontempi, Silvia Giannini and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 188 (123,987)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Capital structure, Trade-off, Pecking-order and Modified pecking-order models, Corporate taxes, Extreme bound analysis, Dynamic panel estimation

7.

Corporate Taxation and its Reform: The Effects on Corporate Financing Decisions in Italy

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 14 Mar 2004
Maria Elena Bontempi, Silvia Giannini and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 183 (128,113)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Capital structure, Modified pecking order theory, Corporate taxes, Fiscal microsimulation, Dynamic panel models, Robustness

8.

Unit Root Tests and the Classification of Corporate Financial Behaviour

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 16 Mar 2006
Maria Elena Bontempi and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 154 (144,655)

Abstract:

Unit root tests, Mean-reversion, Panel data, Capital structure, Trade-off, Pecking-order, Modified Pecking Order approach

9.

Dynamic Corporate Capital Structure Behavior: Empirical Assessment in the Light of Heterogeneity and Non Stationarity

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 988,
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 19 Jan 2015
Maria Elena Bontempi, Laura Bottazzi and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 81 (188,077)

Abstract:

Corporate finance, Heterogeneity of agents, Target leverage, Speed of adjustment, Unit roots and cointegration

Real-Time Determinants of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: Fiscal Rules, Cyclical Conditions and Elections

Bank of Italy Economic Research Paper No. 609
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 04 Jan 2007
Roberto Golinelli and Sandro Momigliano
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 63 (292,179)
Citation 1

Abstract:

fiscal policy, real-time information, euro-area countries, stabilisation policies, fiscal rules, political budget cycle

Real-Time Determinants of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: Fiscal Rules, Cyclical Conditions and Elections

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 16 Feb 2012
Roberto Golinelli and Sandro Momigliano
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 15 (482,265)
Citation 1

Abstract:

fiscal policy, real-time information, euro-area countries, stabilisation policies, fiscal rules, political budget cycle

11.

Why Demand Uncertainty Curbs Investment: Evidence from a Panel of Italian Manufacturing Firms

Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 32, 2010, Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 621
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 23 May 2007 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2012
Giuseppe Parigi, Maria Elena Bontempi and Roberto Golinelli
Bank of Italy, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 58 (281,610)
Citation 2

Abstract:

planned investments, demand uncertainty, survey data, panel estimation

12.

The Effect of Neglecting the Slope Parameters Heterogeneity on Dynamic Models of Corporate Capital Structure

Quantitative Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Aug 2012
Maria Elena Bontempi and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 40 (311,293)

Abstract:

Dynamic models of corporate capital structure, Heterogeneity, Time series and panel data unit root tests, Nested models, Trade off, pecking order and market timing theories

13.

The Cyclical Response of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: Why Do Results of Empirical Research Differ So Strongly?

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 654
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 15 Mar 2008
Sandro Momigliano and Roberto Golinelli
Bank of Italy and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 36 (343,707)
Citation 7

Abstract:

fiscal policy, euro-area countries, fiscal rules, pro and counter-cyclical policies, policy symmetry over the cycle, ex post and real-time data, dynamic panel models

14.

The Cyclical Response of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area – Why Do Results of Empirical Research Differ so Strongly?

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 14 Feb 2012
Roberto Golinelli and Sandro Momigliano
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 33 (337,392)
Citation 7

Abstract:

fiscal policy, euro-area countries, fiscal rules, pro- and counter-cyclical policies, policy symmetry over the cycle, ex post and real-time data, dynamic panel models

15.

Output potenziale, gap e inflazione in Italia nel lungo periodo (1861-2010): un’analisi econometrica (Potential Output, Output Gap, and Inflation in Italy in the Long Term (1861-2010): An Econometric Analysis)

Bank of Italy Economic History Working Paper No. 29
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 09 May 2013
Alberto Baffigi, Maria Elena Bontempi and Roberto Golinelli
Bank of Italy, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 30 (322,510)

Abstract:

macroeconomic history, output gap, structural break, principal components, volatility, triangle model, New Keynesian Phillips curve, industrialization

16.

Forecasting World Output: The Rising Importance of Emerging Economies

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 853
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 30 Mar 2012
Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 30 (367,235)

Abstract:

GDP forecast, emerging and Asian markets, bridge models, forecasting ability

17.

Do Households Anchor their Inflation Expectations? - Theory and Evidence from a Household Survey

Quaderni DSE Working Paper No. 842
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 28 Aug 2012
Joshy Easaw, Roberto Golinelli and Marco Malgarini
University of Bath - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and ISAE, Istituto di Studi e Analisi Economica
Downloads 26 (350,132)
Citation 1

Abstract:

inflation expectations, perceived inflation, survey data, heterogeneous panels, nonlinear effects

18.

ICT and Non-ICT Investments: Short and Long Run Macro Dynamics

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 956,
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 18 Jul 2014
Italian Statistical Institute, University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Italian Statistical Institute
Downloads 23 (334,365)

Abstract:

Evaluation of Macro models, ICT Investments, Uncertainty, Liquidity constraints

19.

Tracking World Trade and GDP in Real Time

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 920
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 16 Jul 2013
Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 23 (386,233)

Abstract:

world trade and GDP forecasts, augmented bridge models, real-time data, forecasting ability

20.

Household Inflation Expectations: Information Gathering, Inattentive or 'Stubborn'?

Quaderni DSE Working Paper No. 853
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 14 Nov 2012
Joshy Easaw and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bath - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 20 (428,142)

Abstract:

household inflation expectations, ‘sticky information expectations’, forward-looking or ‘stubborn’

21.

Short-Run Italian GDP Forecasting and Real-Time Data

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5302
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 29 Dec 2005
Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 19 (443,736)
Citation 3

Abstract:

Real-time data set for Italian GDP, consistent vintages, preliminary GDP forecasting, predictions of 'actual' GDP

22.

The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 919,
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 15 Jan 2014
Alessandro Girardi, Roberto Golinelli and Carmine Pappalardo
National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT), University of Bologna - Department of Economics and ISTAT, Italian National Statistical Institute
Downloads 18 (403,633)

Abstract:

Euro Area GDP forecasts, Bridge and Factor Models, Indicators' selection and pre-screening, Forecasting ability

23.

Painless Disinflation? Monetary Policy Rules in Hungary, 1991-99

Economics of Transition, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 55-91, February 2002
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 Apr 2002
Riccardo Rovelli and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (448,797)
Citation 7

Abstract:

24.

Did Growth and Reforms Increase Citizens’ Support for the Transition?

Quaderni DSE Working Paper No. 771
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Jul 2011
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 12 (469,448)

Abstract:

Political economy, Post-Communist transition,Economic reforms, Economic performance, Support for reforms, Public opinion

25.

Did Growth and Reforms Increase Citizens' Support for the Transition?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5836
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Jul 2011
Roberto Golinelli and Riccardo Rovelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 6 (484,726)

Abstract:

political economy, post-communist transition, economic reforms, economic performance, support for reforms, public opinion

26.

Generalized State-Dependent Models: A Multivariate Approach

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 1067,
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 31 May 2016
Saeed Heravi, Joshy Easaw and Roberto Golinelli
Cardiff University, University of Bath - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Downloads 0 (459,025)

Abstract:

Generalized State-Dependent Models, Multivariate Framework, Consumer Sentiments-Consumption Behavior

27.

A New Index of Uncertainty Based on Internet Searches: A Friend or Foe of Other Indicators?

Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 1062,
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 12 Mar 2016
Maria Elena Bontempi, Roberto Golinelli and Matteo Squadrani
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna
Downloads 0 (131,900)

Abstract:

Uncertainty measures, finance-based, survey-based, news-based, Internet searches, Google, comparison across indicators, macroeconomic effects of uncertainty

28.

Inflation Modelling in the Euro Area

University of Turin, Department of Economics and Public Finance WP No. 62
Posted: 05 Jul 2002
Fabio C. Bagliano, Roberto Golinelli and Claudio Morana
University of Turin - Department of Economics and Statistics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Università di Milano Bicocca

Abstract:

29.

Painless Disinflation? Monetary Policy Rules in Hungary, 1991-1999

Economics of Transition, Vol. 10, No. 1, February 2002
Posted: 19 May 2002
Riccardo Rovelli and Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna - Department of Economics

Abstract:

Disinflation policy, Interest rate rules, Transition economies, Hungary, Small open-economy macro models, Estimation and simulation of rational expectations models

30.

Core Inflation in the Euro Area

Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 9, pp. 353-357, 2002
Posted: 18 Dec 2001
Fabio C. Bagliano, Roberto Golinelli and Claudio Morana
University of Turin - Department of Economics and Statistics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Università di Milano Bicocca

Abstract:

Core inflation, common trend, European Central Bank, monetary policy

31.

Forecasting Industrial Production in the Euro Area

Empirical Economics, Vol. 25, No. 4
Posted: 01 May 2001
Giorgio Bodo, Roberto Golinelli and Giuseppe Parigi
Group Treasurer Fiat Spa, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy

Abstract:

Forecasts comparison, alternative models, conditional ECM