Francisco Blasques

Tinbergen Institute

Gustav Mahlerplein 117

Amsterdam, 1082 MS

Netherlands

VU University Amsterdam

De Boelelaan 1105

Amsterdam, ND North Holland 1081 HV

Netherlands

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

34

DOWNLOADS

3,977

SSRN CITATIONS

130

CROSSREF CITATIONS

80

Scholarly Papers (34)

1.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Score-Driven Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-029/III
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 04 Mar 2014 Last Revised: 31 Oct 2017
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Downloads 744 (63,567)
Citation 35

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score driven models, time-varying parameters,Markov processes, stationarity, invertibility, consistency, asymptotic normality

2.

Dynamic Spatial Autoregressive Models with Time-Varying Spatial Weighting Matrices

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 14 Sep 2018 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2020
Anna Gloria Billé, Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques and Leopoldo Catania
University of Padua, VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute and Aarhus University - School of Business and Social Sciences
Downloads 444 (120,845)
Citation 7

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3.

Time Varying Transition Probabilities for Markov Regime Switching Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-072/III
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 20 Jun 2014
Marco Bazzi, Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
University of Padua, VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Downloads 363 (152,077)
Citation 3

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Hidden Markov Models; observation driven models; generalized autoregressive score dynamics

A Dynamic Network Model of the Unsecured Interbank Lending Market

BIS Working Paper No. 491
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 27 Feb 2015
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Falk Bräuning and Iman van Lelyveld
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and De Nederlandsche Bank
Downloads 146 (364,119)

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Interbank liquidity, financial networks, credit risk uncertainty, peer monitoring, monetary policy, trading relationships, indirect parameter estimation

A Dynamic Network Model of the Unsecured Interbank Lending Market

De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 460
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 25 Feb 2015 Last Revised: 26 Feb 2015
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Falk Bräuning and Iman van Lelyveld
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and De Nederlandsche Bank
Downloads 88 (529,506)
Citation 26

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Interbank liquidity, financial networks, credit risk uncertainty, peer monitoring, monetary policy, trading relationships, indirect parameter estimation

5.

A Dynamic Stochastic Network Model of the Unsecured Interbank Lending Market

SWIFT Institute Working Paper No. 2012-007
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 05 Feb 2014 Last Revised: 01 Oct 2014
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Falk Bräuning and Iman van Lelyveld
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and De Nederlandsche Bank
Downloads 199 (278,340)
Citation 6

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interbank lending, stochastic, network model

6.

Stationarity and Ergodicity of Univariate Generalized Autoregressive Score Processes

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 12-059/2
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 22 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 20 Mar 2014
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Downloads 140 (375,952)
Citation 18

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Dudley integral, Durations, Higher-order models, Nonlinear dynamics, Time-varying parameters, Volatility

7.

Tail Heterogeneity for Dynamic Covariance-Matrix-Valued Random Variables: the F-Riesz Distribution

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-010/III
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 13 Mar 2021
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Andre Lucas, Anne Opschoor and Luca Rossini
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and University of Milan
Downloads 138 (380,094)
Citation 3

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Matrix Distributions, Tail Heterogeneity, (inverse) Riesz Distribution, Fat-Tails, Realized Covariance Matrices

8.

Forecasting in a Changing World: from the Great Recession to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-006/III
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 16 Jan 2021
Mariia Artemova, Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Zhaokun Zhang
VU University Amsterdam, VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU University Amsterdam
Downloads 133 (391,322)

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Autoregressive Models, Cross-Validation, Kullback-Leibler Divergence, Stationarity and Ergodicity, Macroeconomic Time Series

9.

Spillover Dynamics for Systemic Risk Measurement Using Spatial Financial Time Series Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-107/III
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 15 Aug 2014 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2014
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas, Julia Schaumburg and Julia Schaumburg
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute
Downloads 117 (431,327)
Citation 15

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Spatial correlation, time-varying parameters, systemic risk, European debt crisis, generalized autoregressive score

10.

A Time-Varying Parameter Model for Local Explosions

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2018-088/III
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 10 Dec 2018
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Marc Nientker
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU University Amsterdam
Downloads 99 (489,656)
Citation 1

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bubbles, observation driven models, noncausal models, stationary, ergodic, consistency, asymptotic normality, exchange rates

11.

A Stochastic Recurrence Equation Approach to Stationarity and Phi-Mixing of a Class of Nonlinear ARCH Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 17-072/III
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 22 Aug 2017
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques and Marc Nientker
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute and VU University Amsterdam
Downloads 98 (489,656)
Citation 1

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Ergodicity, GARCH-type models, mixing, nonlinear time series, stationarity,stochastic recurrence equations, threshold models

12.

Accelerating GARCH and Score-Driven Models: Optimality, Estimation and Forecasting

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 21 Jul 2017
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Paolo Gorgi, Paolo Gorgi and Siem Jan Koopman
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, VU University Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business AdministrationUniversity of Padua and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 86 (531,964)
Citation 5

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GARCH models, Kullback-Leibler divergence, score-driven models, S&P 500 stocks, time-varying parameters, US inflation

13.

Optimal Formulations for Nonlinear Autoregressive Processes

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-103/III
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 11 Aug 2014
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Downloads 86 (531,964)
Citation 10

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Asymptotic theory; Dynamic models; Observation driven time series models; Smooth-transition model; Time-Varying Parameters; Treshold autoregressive model

14.

In-Sample Confidence Bands and Out-of-Sample Forecast Bands for Time-Varying Parameters in Observation Driven Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-083/III
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 11 Jul 2015
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman, Katarzyna Lasak and Andre Lucas
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, VU Amsterdam and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Downloads 79 (559,703)
Citation 8

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autoregressive conditional duration, delta-method, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, score driven models, time-varying mean

15.

Smooth Transition Spatial Autoregressive Models

TI 2017-050/III, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 01 Jun 2017
Bo Pieter Johannes Andree, Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques and Eric Koomen
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute and VU University Amsterdam - Department of Spatial Economics
Downloads 78 (563,696)
Citation 2

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Dynamic panel, Threshold models, Spatial heterogeneity, Spatial autocorrelation, Urban Density, Interest Rates, Monetary Stability, Sovereign Debt Crisis

16.

Feasible Invertibility Conditions and Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Observation-Driven Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 16-082/III
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 07 Oct 2016
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Paolo Gorgi, Paolo Gorgi, Siem Jan Koopman and Olivier Wintenberger
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, VU University Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business AdministrationUniversity of Padua, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and University of Copenhagen
Downloads 67 (612,885)
Citation 13

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consistency, invertibility, maximum likelihood estimation, observation-driven models, stochastic recurrence equations

17.

Missing Observations in Observation-Driven Time Series Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2018-013/III
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 23 Feb 2018
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Paolo Gorgi, Paolo Gorgi and Siem Jan Koopman
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, VU University Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business AdministrationUniversity of Padua and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 63 (632,749)
Citation 3

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missing data, observation-driven models, consistency, indirect inference, volatility

18.

A Note on 'Continuous Invertibility and Stable QML Estimation of the EGARCH (1,1) Model'

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-131/III, 2015
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 14 Dec 2015
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Paolo Gorgi, Paolo Gorgi, Siem Jan Koopman and Olivier Wintenberger
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, VU University Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business AdministrationUniversity of Padua, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and University of Copenhagen
Downloads 63 (632,749)
Citation 3

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invertibility, quasi-maximum likelihood estimator, volatility models

19.

Stationarity and Ergodicity Regions for Score Driven Dynamic Correlation Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 13-097/IV/DSF59
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 20 Jul 2013 Last Revised: 20 Mar 2014
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Andre Lucas and Erkki Silde
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 62 (637,872)

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dynamic copulas, generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models, stochastic recurrence equations, observation driven models, contraction properties

20.

Information Theoretic Optimality of Observation Driven Time Series Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-046/III
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 12 Apr 2014
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Downloads 60 (648,299)
Citation 41

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generalized autoregressive models, information theory, optimality, Kullback-Leibler distance, volatility models

21.

A New Class of Robust Observation-Driven Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2020-073/III
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 17 Dec 2020
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Christian Francq and Sébastien Laurent
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, University of Lille III and AMSE
Downloads 58 (658,995)

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22.

Common and Idiosyncratic Conditional Volatility Factors: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-057/III
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 08 Jul 2021
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Enzo D'Innocenzo and Siem Jan Koopman
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 57 (664,522)

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Financial econometrics, observation-driven models, conditional volatility, common factor

23.

Low Frequency and Weighted Likelihood Solutions for Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-105/III
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 12 Aug 2014
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Max Mallee
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 57 (664,522)
Citation 1

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Asymptotic theory, Forecasting, Kalman filter, Nowcasting, State space

24.

Finite Sample Optimality of Score-Driven Volatility Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 17-111/III
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 29 Nov 2017
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Andre Lucas and Andries van Vlodrop
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and VU University Amsterdam
Downloads 50 (705,257)

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Volatility models, score-driven dynamics, finite samples, Kullback-Leibler divergence, optimality

25.

Zero-Inflated Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model for Discrete Trade Durations With Excessive Zeros

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2019-004/III
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 20 Jan 2019
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Vladimír Holý and Petra Tomanova
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, University of Economics, Prague and University of Economics, Prague
Downloads 48 (717,884)

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Financial High-Frequency Data, Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model, Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Distribution, Generalized Autoregressive Score Model

26.

In-Sample Bounds for Time-Varying Parameters of Observation Driven Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-027/III
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 24 Feb 2015
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman, Katarzyna Lasak and Andre Lucas
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, VU Amsterdam and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Downloads 46 (730,665)

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autoregressive conditional duration, delta-method, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, score driven models, time-varying mean

27.

Extremum Monte Carlo Filters: Real-Time Signal Extraction via Simulation and Regression

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 06 Jan 2023 Last Revised: 26 Dec 2023
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Siem Jan Koopman and Karim Moussa
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Downloads 43 (750,771)

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Intractable densities, Least squares Monte Carlo, Nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models, Hidden Markov models, Real-time filtering

28.

Dynamic Factor Models with Clustered Loadings: Forecasting Education Flows using Unemployment Data

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2020-078/III
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 02 Dec 2020 Last Revised: 22 Jan 2021
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Meindert Heres Hoogerkamp, Siem Jan Koopman and Ilka van de Werve
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, Ministerie van onderwijs, cultuur en wetenschap, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU University Amsterdam
Downloads 42 (757,703)

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Dynamic Factor Models, Cluster Analysis, Forecasting, Education, Unemployment

29.

On the Phase Dependence in Time-Varying Correlations between Time-Series

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 13-054/III
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 06 Apr 2013
Francisco Blasques and Francisco Blasques
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute
Downloads 42 (757,703)

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nonparametric, phase-dependence, time-varying correlation

30.

Penalized Indirect Inference

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-009/III
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 19 Jan 2015
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques and Artem Duplinskiy
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 40 (772,154)
Citation 1

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Penalized estimation, Indirect Inference, Simulation-based methods, DSGE models

31.

Transformed Perturbation Solutions for Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2019-012/III
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 14 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2020
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques and Marc Nientker
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute and VU University Amsterdam
Downloads 39 (779,193)

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32.

Solution-Driven Specification of DSGE Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. TI 2013-062/III
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 23 Apr 2013
Francisco Blasques and Francisco Blasques
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute
Downloads 39 (779,193)

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Nonlinear Model Specification, DSGE, Perturbation Solutions

33.

Conditional Score Residuals and Diagnostic Analysis of Serial Dependence in Time Series Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-098/III
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 02 Feb 2022
Francisco Blasques, Francisco Blasques, Paolo Gorgi, Paolo Gorgi and Siem Jan Koopman
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute, VU University Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business AdministrationUniversity of Padua and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 34 (817,230)

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conditional score residuals, diagnostic analysis, residual autocorrelation, time series models

34.

Transformed Polynomials for Nonlinear Autoregressive Models of the Conditional Mean

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 12-133/III
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 07 Dec 2012
Francisco Blasques and Francisco Blasques
VU University AmsterdamTinbergen Institute
Downloads 29 (858,169)

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time-series, nonlinear autoregressive models, semi-nonparametric models, method of sieves