Jonathan Hartley

Stanford University

PhD Student

Stanford, CA

United States

http://www.jonathanhartley.net

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

24

DOWNLOADS
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Top 8,172

in Total Papers Downloads

10,086

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 11,737

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 11,737

in Total Papers Citations

107

CROSSREF CITATIONS

21

Scholarly Papers (24)

1.

The Cost of COVID-19: A Rough Estimate of the 2020 US GDP Impact

Special Edition Policy Brief
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 07 Apr 2020
Christos Makridis and Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University and Stanford University
Downloads 2,226 (12,353)
Citation 18

Abstract:

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GDP, economic indicators, healthcare, coronavirus, coronavirus pandemic, COVID-19, public health, economics, quarantine, economy, economic crisis

2.

Predictable End-of-Month Treasury Returns

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 22 Aug 2019 Last Revised: 03 Dec 2019
Jonathan Hartley and Krista Schwarz
Stanford University and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 1,135 (34,433)
Citation 1

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Treasury yields, anomalies, market efficiency, excess returns, month-end, portfolio rebalancing

3.

Inattention and Prices Over Time: Experimental Evidence from 'The Price Is Right' (1972-2019)

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 26 Oct 2019 Last Revised: 02 Feb 2020
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University
Downloads 1,007 (40,806)

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Inattention, Natural Experiments, Prices, Inflation, Behavioral Macroeconomics

An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 26 May 2020 Last Revised: 30 Jan 2021
Alessandro Rebucci, Jonathan Hartley and Daniel Jiménez
Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School, Stanford University and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 658 (71,607)
Citation 22

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Bond Yields, Central Banks, COVID-19, Event Study, Exchange Rates, GVAR, Monetary Policy, Swap Lines, Quantitative Easing

An Event Study of Covid-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies

NBER Working Paper No. w27339
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 10 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 15 Mar 2023
Jonathan Hartley, Alessandro Rebucci and Daniel Jiménez
Stanford University, Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 74 (572,272)
Citation 14

Abstract:

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An Event Study of Covid-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14841
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 16 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 11 Feb 2021
Jonathan Hartley and Alessandro Rebucci
Stanford University and Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School
Downloads 1 (1,131,265)
Citation 5
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5.

De-Dollarization? Not So Fast

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Jun 2023 Last Revised: 17 Nov 2023
Felix Gerding and Jonathan Hartley
Bocconi University and Stanford University
Downloads 705 (66,356)

Abstract:

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International Finance, Foreign Exchange, Reserve Currencies

6.

The Cost of COVID-19: A Rough Estimate of the 2020 U.S. GDP

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 23 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 27 Apr 2020
Christos Makridis and Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University and Stanford University
Downloads 688 (68,588)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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coronavirus, COVID-19, real GDP, economic growth

Do Pre-Registration and Pre-Analysis Plans Reduce p-Hacking and Publication Bias?

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 09 Aug 2022 Last Revised: 16 Dec 2022
IZA Institute of Labor EconomicsUniversity of Ottawa - Department of Economics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Stanford University and University of Ottawa - Department of Economics
Downloads 600 (80,289)

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Pre-analysis Plan, Pre-registration, p-Hacking, Publication Bias, Research Credibility

8.

Interest Rate Momentum and Monetary Policy Cycles

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 23 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 10 Aug 2020
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University
Downloads 518 (97,704)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Asset Pricing, Interest Rates, Fixed Income, Value, Momentum, Behavioral Finance, Monetary Policy

Credible Emerging Market Central Banks Could Embrace Quantitative Easing to Fight COVID-19

CEPR Policy Portal 2020
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 07 Jul 2020
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Stanford University, Bruegel, Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School and Peterson Institute for International Economics
Downloads 399 (131,832)

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Credible Emerging Market Central Banks could Embrace Quantitative Easing to Fight COVID-19

HKUST IEMS Working Paper Forthcoming
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 18 Aug 2020
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Stanford University, Bruegel, Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School and Peterson Institute for International Economics
Downloads 89 (510,817)
Citation 1

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Coronavirus, COVID-19, Quantitative Easing, Emerging Markets, Fiscal Stimulus

10.

Recession Prediction Markets and Rare Macroeconomic Disaster Risk in Asset Prices

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 21 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2020
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University
Downloads 422 (124,783)

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The Pricing of U.S. Treasury Floating Rate Notes

Jacobs Levy Equity Management Center for Quantitative Financial Research Paper
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 24 Apr 2017 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2023
Jonathan Hartley and Urban J. Jermann
Stanford University and University of Pennsylvania - Finance Department
Downloads 352 (151,747)

Abstract:

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Floating rate notes, government debt, fixed income arbitrage

Should the U.S. Government Issue Floating Rate Notes?

NBER Working Paper No. w27065
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 15 Jun 2023
Jonathan Hartley and Urban J. Jermann
Stanford University and University of Pennsylvania - Finance Department
Downloads 15 (996,462)

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12.

Liquid Alternative Mutual Funds versus Hedge Funds

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 08 Feb 2017
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University
Downloads 336 (160,808)
Citation 3

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Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds

13.

Do Foreign Buyer Taxes Affect House Prices?

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 11 Oct 2021
Stanford University, Baruch College, CUNY, University of Pennsylvania - Wharton School, Department of Real Estate and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton SchoolCity University of New York (CUNY) - Department of Real Estate
Downloads 300 (181,386)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Housing, House Prices, Foreign Buyer Taxes, Vacancy Taxes

14.

Going for Two: Optimizing between Extra Points and Two Point Conversions in the NFL

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 12 Feb 2017
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University
Downloads 189 (283,619)

Abstract:

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Behavioral Microeconomics, Optimization Techniques, Firm Strategy, Firm Behavior, Sports

15.

Friedman’s Plucking Model: New International Evidence From Maddison Project Data

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 01 Mar 2021
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University
Downloads 83 (528,317)

Abstract:

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Markov Chains, Recessions, International Business Cycles

16.

Does Rule of Law Matter For Firms? Evidence From Shifting Political Control in Hong Kong

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 11 Sep 2023 Last Revised: 12 Dec 2023
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University
Downloads 74 (564,771)

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Firms, Rule of Law, Institutions, Migration, Growth

17.

The Local Residential Land Use Regulatory Environment Across U.S. Housing Markets: Evidence from a New Wharton Index

NBER Working Paper No. w26573
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 24 Dec 2019 Last Revised: 09 Feb 2023
Joseph Gyourko, Jonathan Hartley and Jacob Krimmel
University of Pennsylvania, Stanford University and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 71 (577,625)
Citation 30

Abstract:

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18.

The Mortgage Interest Tax Deduction and the Great Recession

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 10 Mar 2018
Jonathan Hartley and Jonathan Dorf
Stanford University and University of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School, Students
Downloads 64 (609,884)

Abstract:

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Public Economics, Mortgage subsidies, Incidence, Optimal Taxation, House Prices, Mortgage Interest Deductions

19.

De-Dollarization? Not so Fast

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 Nov 2023
Felix Gerding and Jonathan Hartley
Bocconi University and Stanford University
Downloads 54 (662,312)

Abstract:

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De-dollarization, Central Bank Reserves, Foreign Exchange Transaction Volume, Global Debt Securities Denomination, Currency Invoicing, trade

20.

Testing The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Across Countries and Time

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 20 Nov 2023 Last Revised: 08 Feb 2024
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University
Downloads 26 (858,592)

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government debt maturity, fiscal policy, term structure, interest rate risk

21.

Covered Interest Rate Parity Deviations In External Emerging Market Sovereign Debt

Journal of Fixed Income, Vol. 29, No. 4, 2020, https://jfi.pm-research.com/content/29/4/92
Posted: 12 Sep 2019
Jonathan Hartley
Stanford University

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Behavioral Finance, Exchange Rates, Fixed Income, Arbitrage, Dollar Funding, Government Debt Management

22.

Jim Cramer's ‘Mad Money’ Charitable Trust Performance and Factor Attribution

Posted: 15 May 2016
Jonathan Hartley and Matthew Olson
Stanford University and University of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School, Students
Downloads 0 (1,093,683)

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Asset Pricing, Market Efficiency, Leverage, Size, Value, Momentum, Quality

23.

Statistically Measuring 2016 Presidential Candidate Electability: Evidence from Prediction Markets

AEI Economics Working Paper 2016-04
Posted: 10 May 2016
Jonathan Hartley and Kevin A. Hassett
Stanford University and American Enterprise Institute (AEI)

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Forecasting and Prediction Methods, Economic Models of Political Processes, Information and Market Efficiency

24.

The Long-Term Effects of Nuclear Disasters on Beliefs and Nuclear Energy Growth

Number of pages: 14
Jonathan Hartley and Michael Manieri
Stanford University and Wesleyan University
Downloads 0

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Nuclear, Energy, Climate, Political Economy, Environment and Development