Jakub Muck

National Bank of Poland - Department of Economics

00-919 Warsaw

Poland

Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) - Institute of Econometrics

Niepodleglosci 164

Warsaw, 02-554

Poland

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

7

DOWNLOADS

284

CITATIONS

0

Scholarly Papers (7)

1.

Understanding the Weakness in Global Trade - What is the New Normal?

ECB Occasional Paper No. 178
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 26 Sep 2016
Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), Czech National Bank (CNB), Bank of Italy, Banque de France, Banque de France, Czech National Bank (CNB) - Monetary Department, Bank of Greece, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Bank of Finland - Financial Markets, Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, Banque de France, Banco de España, National Bank of Poland, National Bank of Poland - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB), Magyar Nemzeti Bank, Bank of Lithuania, Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Bank of England, De Nederlandsche Bank, De Nederlandsche Bank, National Bank of Belgium and Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)
Downloads 72 (260,098)

Abstract:

global trade slowdown, trade elasticity, global value chains, frictions in global trade, protectionism

Isoelastic Elasticity of Substitution Production Functions

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 25 Sep 2015
Jakub Growiec and Jakub Muck
National Bank of Poland and National Bank of Poland - Department of Economics
Downloads 29 (392,537)

Abstract:

production function, factor share, elasticity of substitution, marginal rate of substitution, normalization

3.

Real Exchange Rate Forecasting: A Calibrated Half-life PPP Model Can Beat the Random Walk

ECB Working Paper No. 1576
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 25 Aug 2013
European Central Bank (ECB), National Bank of Poland - Department of Economics and National Bank of Poland
Downloads 30 (333,017)

Abstract:

Exchange rate forecasting, purchasing power parity, half-life

4.

Can We Beat the Random Walk in Forecasting CEE Exchange Rates?

National bank of Poland Working Paper No. 127
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 19 Oct 2012 Last Revised: 08 Jul 2016
Jakub Muck and Pawel Skrzypczynski
National Bank of Poland - Department of Economics and National Bank of Poland
Downloads 29 (352,474)

Abstract:

CEE currencies, exchange rate forecasting, random walk, VAR, BVAR

5.

Endogenous Labor Share Cycles: Theory and Evidence

ECB Working Paper No. 1765
Number of pages: 72 Posted: 17 Mar 2015
Jakub Growiec, Peter McAdam and Jakub Muck
National Bank of Poland, European Central Bank (ECB) and National Bank of Poland - Department of Economics
Downloads 20 (355,957)

Abstract:

labor income share, endogenous cycles, factor-augmenting endogenous technical change, technology menu, R&D, CES, normalization

6.

Real Exchange Rate Forecasting and PPP: This Time the Random Walk Loses

Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper No. 229
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 17 Aug 2015
European Central Bank (ECB), National Bank of Poland - Department of Economics and National Bank of Poland
Downloads 8 (410,164)

Abstract:

7.

Will the True Labor Share Stand Up?

ECB Working Paper No. 1806
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 24 Jun 2015
Jakub Muck, Peter McAdam and Jakub Growiec
National Bank of Poland - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and National Bank of Poland
Downloads 8 (329,921)

Abstract:

labor share; mean reversion; persistence; spectral analysis; structural breaks