Victor Richmond Jose

Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business

544 Hariri Bldg

37th and O Sts NW

Washington, DC 20057

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

6

DOWNLOADS
Rank 40,864

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 40,864

in Total Papers Downloads

1,331

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 36,398

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 36,398

in Total Papers Citations

20

CROSSREF CITATIONS

1

Scholarly Papers (6)

1.

Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 10 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2019
Duke University - Fuqua School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business
Downloads 494 (68,173)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Loading...

2.

Ensembles of Overfit and Overconfident Forecasts

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 2474438
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 03 Aug 2014 Last Revised: 19 Aug 2015
Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor Richmond Jose and Kenneth C. Lichtendahl
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 362 (98,438)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Loading...

wisdom of crowds; base-rate neglect; linear opinion pool; trimmed opinion pool; hit rate; calibration; random forest.

3.

Trimmed Opinion Pools and the Crowd's Calibration Problem

Management Science, Forthcoming, Darden Business School Working Paper No. 2175093
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 15 Nov 2012 Last Revised: 13 Jul 2013
Victor Richmond Jose, Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Kenneth C. Lichtendahl
Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 187 (192,050)
Citation 5

Abstract:

Loading...

trimming, probability forecasts, expert combination, linear opinion pool, underconfidence, overconfidence, scoring rules, wisdom of crowds, diversity

4.

Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business Payoffs

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 09 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 07 Nov 2016
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business and Duke University - Fuqua School of Business
Downloads 105 (302,694)
Citation 5

Abstract:

Loading...

quantile forecasts; forecast evaluation, probability elicitation, proper scoring rules, expert aggregation, expert combination

5.

Combining Prediction Intervals in the M4 Competition

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 14 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 10 Apr 2019
Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Victor Richmond Jose
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business
Downloads 101 (310,714)

Abstract:

Loading...

hit rates, interval combination methods, calibration, mean scaled interval score, interior trimming, overconfidence

6.

Extremizing and Anti-Extremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 27 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 14 Feb 2021
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Georgetown University - McDonough School of Business and Duke University - Fuqua School of Business
Downloads 82 (353,940)

Abstract:

Loading...

Forecast aggregation; linear opinion pool; generalized linear model; extremizing and anti-extremizing; bracketing; probit ensemble