Bent Flyvbjerg

University of Oxford - Said Business School

Professor and Chair

Park End Street

Oxford, OX1 1HP

Great Britain

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

126

DOWNLOADS
Rank 74

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Top 74

in Total Papers Downloads

101,341

CITATIONS

96

Scholarly Papers (126)

1.

What You Should Know About Megaprojects and Why: An Overview

Project Management Journal, April/May 2014
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 14 Apr 2014 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 13,239 (246)
Citation 18

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Megaproject Management, Scale, Four Sublimes, Iron Law of Megaprojects, Break-Fix Model of Megaprojects, Hirschman's Principle of the Hiding Hand, Survival of the Unfittest, Tension Points

2.

The Oxford Olympics Study 2016: Cost and Cost Overrun at the Games

Said Business School WP 2016-20
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 05 Jul 2016 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Allison Stewart and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 7,643 (698)
Citation 11

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Olympic Games, Olympics, cost, cost overrun, megaprojects, megaevents, megaproject management, economics, finance, strategic planning, urban planning, Rio 2016, IOC, Summer Games, Winter Games

3.

Should We Build More Large Dams? The Actual Costs of Hydropower Megaproject Development

Energy Policy, March 2014, pp.1-14.
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 11 Mar 2014 Last Revised: 24 Mar 2014
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 6,111 (1,028)
Citation 28

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Large hydropower dams, Schedule & cost estimates, Cost benefit forecasting, Reference class forecasting, Outside view

4.

Olympic Proportions: Cost and Cost Overrun at the Olympics 1960-2012

Saïd Business School Working Papers, Oxford: University of Oxford, 23 pp.
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 21 Jan 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg and Allison Stewart
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford
Downloads 4,927 (1,506)
Citation 17

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5.

Fem misforståelser om casestudiet (Five Misunderstandings about Case-Study Research)

In Svend Brinkmann and Lene Tanggaard, eds., Kvalitative metoder, København: Hans Reitzels Forlag, pp. 463–487
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 18 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 29 Nov 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 4,344 (1,882)

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The Principle of the Malevolent Hiding Hand; or, the Planning Fallacy Writ Large

Bent Flyvbjerg and Cass R. Sunstein, 2016, "The Principle of the Malevolent Hiding Hand; or, the Planning Fallacy Writ Large," Social Research, vol. 83, no. 4, Winter, pp. 979-1004.
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 02 Sep 2015 Last Revised: 28 Mar 2017
Bent Flyvbjerg and Cass R. Sunstein
University of Oxford - Said Business School and Harvard Law School
Downloads 2,881 (3,754)
Citation 1

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Behavioral economics, benevolent hiding hand, malevolent hiding hand, planning fallacy, cost-benefit analysis, Albert O. Hirschman

The Principle of the Malevolent Hiding Hand; or, the Planning Fallacy Writ Large

Social Research, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 02 Sep 2015 Last Revised: 08 Sep 2015
Bent Flyvbjerg and Cass R. Sunstein
University of Oxford - Said Business School and Harvard Law School
Downloads 155 (187,981)
Citation 9

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Hiding Hand, Malevolent Hiding Hand, unintended consequences, planning fallacy, behavioral economics

7.

Case Study

Norman K. Denzin and Yvonna S. Lincoln, eds., The Sage Handbook of Qualitative Research, 4th edition, Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, pp. 301-316
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 2,825 (3,965)
Citation 8

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8.

Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier than You Think

Harvard Business Review, vol. 89, no. 9, pp. 601-603
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 08 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 22 Nov 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 2,671 (4,352)
Citation 16

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IT projects, decision-making, risk

9.

From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right

Project Management Journal, vol. 37, no. 3, pp. 5-15
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 2,467 (4,971)
Citation 18

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risk management, project forecasting, forecast models

10.

Design by Deception: The Politics of Megaproject Approval

Harvard Design Magazine, Spring/Summer, no. 22, pp. 50-59
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 24 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 2,271 (5,702)
Citation 2

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11.

Table of Contents for: Megaproject Planning and Management: Essential Readings

Bent Flyvbjerg, ed., Megaproject Planning and Management: Essential Readings, Vols. 1-2, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar; March 2014
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 02 Dec 2013 Last Revised: 29 May 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 2,052 (6,759)

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12.

Introduction: The Iron Law of Megaproject Management

Bent Flyvbjerg, 2017, ed., The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management, Oxford University Press, Chapter 1, pp. 1-18.
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 12 Mar 2016 Last Revised: 29 May 2017
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,845 (8,140)
Citation 2

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Megaprojects, scaling, infrastructure, megaproject management, management, decision making, cost-benefit analysis, cost overruns, benefit shortfalls, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation

Policy and Planning for Large-Infrastructure Projects: Problems, Causes, Cures

Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, vol. 34, no. 4, pp. 578-597
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 10 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 15 Jan 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,373 (12,884)
Citation 6

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tunnels, roads, passenger traffic, transportation infrastructure, infrastructure, infrastructure projects, vehicle traffic, transportation, road traffic, rail traffic, rail, passengers, rail projects, costs, traffic, rail passenger, traffic demand, road, road projects, vehicle

Policy and Planning for Large Infrastructure Projects: Problems, Causes, Cures

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3781.
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 464 (59,337)
Citation 1

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14.
Downloads 1,823 ( 8,296)
Citation 4

Habermas and Foucault: Thinkers for Civil Society?

The British Journal of Sociology, vol. 49, no. 2, pp. 210-233
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 22 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 24 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,456 (11,713)
Citation 1

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Habermas and Foucault: Thinkers for Civil Society?

Mark Haugaard and Stewart R. Clegg, eds., Power and Politics, Vol. 2, London: Sage, pp. 117-140
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 367 (78,641)
Citation 10

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Habermas and Foucault: Thinkers for Civil Society?

British Journal of Sociology, 49:2 (1998), 210-33
Posted: 22 Mar 2016 Last Revised: 23 Mar 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School

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Jürgen Habermas, Michel Foucault, civil society, democracy, discourse ethics, power analytics, social change

15.

Over Budget, Over Time, Over and Over Again: Managing Major Projects

Peter W. G. Morris, Jeffrey K. Pinto, and Jonas Söderlund, eds., The Oxford Handbook of Project Management, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 321-344, 2013, DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199563142.003.0014
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,819 (8,334)
Citation 2

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16.

Quality Control and Due Diligence in Project Management: Getting Decisions Right by Taking the Outside View

International Journal of Project Management, vol. 31, no. 5, pp. 760-774, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijproman.2012.10.007
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 14 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,789 (8,559)
Citation 9

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Quality control, Due diligence, Front-end management, Planning fallacy, Outside view, Forecasting, Cost–benefit analysis, Ex-post analysis, Daniel Kahneman

17.

Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster

California Management Review, vol. 51, no. 2, pp. 170-193
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 08 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Massimo Garbuio and Dan Lovallo
University of Oxford - Said Business School, The University of Sydney and The University of Sydney
Downloads 1,674 (9,546)
Citation 15

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Project management, forecasting, cost control, strategic planning

Five Misunderstandings about Case-Study Research

Qualitative Inquiry, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 219-245
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 09 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,661 (9,475)
Citation 95

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case study, case selection, critical cases, validity in case studies

Five Misunderstandings About Case-Study Research

In Clive Seale, Giampietro Gobo, Jaber F. Gubrium, and David Silverman, eds., Qualitative Research Practice: Concise Paperback Edition, London and Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, pp. 390-404, 2004.
Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 09 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School

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19.

Mega Delusional: The Curse of the Megaproject

New Scientist, pp. 28-29.
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 19 Dec 2013 Last Revised: 14 Jan 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,545 (10,879)

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20.

Big is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, and Daniel Lunn, 2017, "Big Is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale," in Bent Flyvbjerg, ed., The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management (Oxford: Oxford University Press), Chapter 4, pp. 60-95.
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 04 Mar 2016 Last Revised: 29 May 2017
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 1,405 (12,668)
Citation 3

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Megaprojects, megaproject management, project management, fragility, scaling, economies of scale, cost overruns, schedule overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost-benefit analysis, welfare economics, debt management, large dams, hydroelectricity

21.

Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier, and Daniel Lunn, 2016, 'Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China,' Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 32, no. 3, autumn, pp. 360–390. DOI: 10.1093/oxrep/grw022.
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 06 Sep 2016 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2016
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Department of Statistics
Downloads 1,373 (13,162)
Citation 11

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infrastructure, economic growth, fragility, investment theory, China, transport, cost overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost–benefit analysis, optimism bias

22.

Cost Overruns in Large-Scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects: Explanations and Their Theoretical Embeddedness

European Journal of Transport Infrastructure Research, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 5-18
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 24 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2013
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics and Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics
Downloads 1,360 (13,345)
Citation 13

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cost overruns, explanations, large-scale projects, theoretical embeddedness, transportation infrastructure

23.

Making Social Science Matter

Georgios Papanagnou, ed., Social Science and Policy Challenges: Democracy, Values, and Capacities, Paris: UNESCO Publishing, pp. 25-56
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,071 (19,238)

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24.

Reflections on Phronetic Social Science: A Dialogue between Stewart Clegg, Bent Flyvbjerg, and Mark Haugaard

Journal of Political Power, June 2014
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 01 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 08 Jul 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg, Stewart R. Clegg and Mark Haugaard
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Technology, Sydney - School of Management and National University of Ireland, Galway (NUIG)
Downloads 1,028 (20,374)

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phronesis, power, truth, domination, critique

25.

Survival of the Un-fittest: Why the Worst Infrastructure Gets Built - and What We Can Do about It

Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 25, no. 3, pp. 344–367, DOI: 10.1093/oxrep/grp024
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 08 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 1,001 (21,259)
Citation 3

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infrastructure, cost overruns, benefit shortfalls, cost–benefit analysis, optimism bias, agency issues, reference class forecasting

26.

Planning and Foucault: In Search of the Dark Side of Planning Theory

Philip Allmendinger and Mark Tewdwr-Jones, eds., Planning Futures: New Directions for Planning Theory, London and New York: Routledge, 2002, pp. 44-62
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 25 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg and Tim Richardson
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Sheffield
Downloads 950 (22,981)
Citation 1

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27.

Characteristics of Cost Overruns for Dutch Transport Infrastructure Projects and the Importance of the Decision to Build and Project Phases

Transport Policy, vol. 22, pp. 49-56, DOI:10.1016/j.tranpol.2012.04.001
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 24 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 24 Jan 2015
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Delft University of Technology and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 946 (23,078)
Citation 4

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Cost overruns, Transport, Infrastructure, Project phases, Netherlands

28.

The Fallacy of Beneficial Ignorance: A Test of Hirschman's Hiding Hand

World Development, Vol. 84, 2016
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 21 Apr 2016 Last Revised: 14 May 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 935 (23,470)
Citation 8

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Albert O. Hirschman, the principle of the Hiding Hand, ignorance, behavioral economics, management, development

29.

Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?

Journal of the American Planning Association, Vol. 68, No. 3, pp. 279-295
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 840 (27,398)
Citation 66

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30.

Procedures for Dealing with Optimism Bias in Transport Planning

London: The British Department for Transport, Guidance Document, June 2004
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Carsten Glenting and Arne Rønnest
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Independent and Independent
Downloads 791 (29,778)

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31.

Rationality and Power

In Scott Campbell and Susan S. Fainstein, eds., Readings in Planning Theory, 3rd edition, Oxford: Blackwell, pp. 318-329, 1998
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 08 Nov 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 791 (29,778)
Citation 4

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32.

Table of Contents for: The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management

Bent Flyvbjerg, ed., The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management (Oxford: Oxford University Press), 2017
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 31 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 26 May 2017
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 772 (30,777)

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Megaproject management, management, strategic management, strategic planning, megaproject planning, planning, infrastructure, policy, project management, China, decision making, behavioral economics, innovation, megaevents, emerging economies, stakeholder management, privatization, private finance

33.

Oral Evidence: The Government’s Management of Major Projects

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 20 Dec 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 758 (31,588)

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34.

The Dark Side of Planning: Rationality and 'Realrationalität'

Seymour J. Mandelbaum, Luigi Mazza, and Robert W. Burchell, eds., Explorations in Planning Theory, New Brunswick, NJ: Center for Urban Policy Research Press, 1996, pp. 383-394
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 08 Nov 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 725 (33,511)
Citation 8

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35.

Truth and Lies about Megaprojects

Inaugural Speech for Professorship and Chair at Faculty of Technology, Policy, and Management: Delft University of Technology, 27 pp.
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 22 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 694 (35,599)

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36.

How Planners Deal with Uncomfortable Knowledge: The Dubious Ethics of the American Planning Association

Cities, Vol. 32, pp. 157–163, DOI: 10.1016/J.CITIES.2012.10.016, 2013
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 15 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 30 May 2015
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 693 (35,685)
Citation 2

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37.

Making Sense of the Impact and Importance of Outliers in Project Management Through the Use of Power Laws

Proceedings of IRNOP (International Research Network on Organizing by Projects), At Oslo, Volume: 11, June 1, 2013
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 03 Jul 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 691 (35,823)

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IT project management, risk, outlier, rare events, power laws

Political Political Science: A Phronetic Approach

New Political Science, vol. 35, no. 3, pp. 359-372, 2013
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 16 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 16 Oct 2013
Sanford Schram, Bent Flyvbjerg and Todd Landman
Bryn Mawr College, University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Essex
Downloads 637 (39,319)

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Political Political Science: A Phronetic Approach

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 23 Aug 2015
Sanford Schram, Bent Flyvbjerg and Todd Landman
Bryn Mawr College, University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Essex
Downloads 45 (407,722)

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39.

Why Mass Media Matter to Planning Research: The Case of Megaprojects

Journal of Planning Education and Research, vol. 32, no. 2, pp. 169-181.
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 08 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 665 (37,718)
Citation 1

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mass media, planning research, media exposure, public deliberation, megaprojects, tension points, phronesis

40.

Important Next Steps in Phronetic Social Science

Bent Flyvbjerg, Todd Landman, and Sanford Schram, eds., Real Social Science: Applied Phronesis, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, pp. 285-297, DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511719912.016
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Todd Landman and Sanford F. Schram
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Essex and Bryn Mawr College - Graduate School of Social Work and Social Research
Downloads 657 (38,280)
Citation 2

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41.

Megaproject Policy and Planning: Problems, Causes, Cures

Summary of Dissertation for Higher Doctorate in Science, (Dr. Scient.), Aalborg: Aalborg University, 62 pp.
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 644 (39,297)

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42.

Five Things You Should Know about Cost Overrun

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, vol. 118, December 2018, pp. 174-190
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 06 Oct 2018
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, University of Oxford - Said Business School, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, University of Oxford - Department of Statistics, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 605 (42,763)

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cost overrun, cost underestimation, cost forecasting, root causes of cost overrun, behavioral science, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, delusion, deception, moral hazard, agency, reference class forecasting, de-biasing

43.

Making Organization Research Matter: Power, Values, and Phronesis

Stewart R. Clegg, Cynthia Hardy, Thomas B. Lawrence, and Walter R. Nord, eds., The Sage Handbook of Organization Studies, 2nd edition, Thousand Oaks, CA, Sage, pp. 370-387
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 14 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 594 (43,842)
Citation 4

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44.

Overspend? Late? Failure? What the Data Say about IT Project Risk in the Public Sector

In Commonwealth Secretariat, ed., Commonwealth Governance Handbook 2012/13: Democracy, Development, and Public Administration, London: Commonwealth Secretariat, pp. 145-157
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 29 Jun 2014
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 570 (46,258)

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Public Sector, IT Project, Risk, Project Failure, Black Swans

45.

Phronetic Planning Research: Theoretical and Methodological Reflections

Planning Theory and Practice, Vol. 5, No. 3, pp. 283–306, September 2004, DOI: 10.1080/1464935042000250195.
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 547 (48,714)
Citation 9

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46.

Double Whammy – How ICT Projects Are Fooled by Randomness and Screwed by Political Intent

Saïd Business School Working Papers, Oxford: University of Oxford 34 pp.
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2013
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 491 (55,846)
Citation 2

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47.

Big Is Fragile: Why the UK Government Should Not Approve the Hinkley Point C Nuclear Power Station

Petroleum Review, Vol. 70, No. 834, pp. 37-40, July 2016
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 06 Sep 2016
Atif Ansar and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 438 (64,326)

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Nuclear Power, Energy, Finance, Economics, Investment Fragility, Viability

48.

Inaccuracy in Traffic Forecasts

Transport Reviews, Vol. 26, No. 1, pp. 1-24, DOI: 10.1080/01441640500124779
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 25 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 421 (67,444)
Citation 7

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49.

Planning Fallacy or Hiding Hand: Which is the Better Explanation?

World Development, Vol. 103, 2018
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 30 Jan 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 410 (69,655)

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The principle of the Hiding Hand, the planning fallacy, optimism bias, wider development impacts, dynamic linkages, cost-benefit analysis, project management, development economics, behavioral science, Albert O. Hirschman, the World Bank

50.

Large Transport Infrastructure Projects: Improving Institutions and Decision Making

European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 1-4
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2013
Bert van Wee and Bent Flyvbjerg
Delft University of Technology and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 409 (69,883)

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51.

Ideal Theory, Real Rationality: Habermas Versus Foucault and Nietzsche

Paper for the Political Studies Association’s 50th Annual Conference, The Challenges for Democracy in the 21st Century, London School of Economics and Political Science, 10-13 April 2000
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 407 (70,343)
Citation 6

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52.

Comparison of Capital Costs per Route-Kilometre in Urban Rail

European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 17-30
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Nils Bruzelius and Bert van Wee
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Independent and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 404 (70,970)
Citation 2

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Urban rail, turn-out capital costs, per-kilometre costs, per-station costs, cost uncertainty, financial risk

53.

Delusions of Success: Comment on Dan Lovallo and Daniel Kahneman

Harvard Business Review, Vol. 81, No.12, pp. 121-122
Number of pages: 1 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 21 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 376 (77,548)
Citation 3

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54.

Do Classics Exist in Megaproject Management? (Introduction)

Bent Flyvbjerg, and J. Rodney Turner, 2017, "Do Classics Exist in Megaproject Management?", introduction to special issue on classics in megaproject management, International Journal of Project Management, published online July 31, DOI 10.1016/j.ijproman.2017.07.006
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 04 Aug 2017
Bent Flyvbjerg and John Rodney Turner
University of Oxford - Said Business School and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE)
Downloads 366 (79,585)

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55.

Aristotle, Foucault and Progressive Phronesis: Outline of an Applied Ethics of Sustainable Development

in Jean Hillier and Patsy Healey, eds., Critical Essays in Planning Theory, vol. 2, Political Economy, Diversity, and Pragmatism. London: Ashgate, 2008, pp. 65-83
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 19 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 354 (82,692)

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Aristotle, Foucault, phronesis, applied ethics, sustainability, sustainable development

56.

Planning and Design of Large Infrastructure Projects

Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, vol. 34, no. 4, pp. 576-577
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 14 Oct 2013
Hugo Priemus and Bent Flyvbjerg
Delft University of Technology and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 344 (85,515)

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57.

Mega-Projects' Cost Performance and Lock-In: Problems and Solutions

Hugo Priemus and Bert van Wee, eds., International Handbook on Mega-Projects, Cheltenham, Uk and Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, 2013
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 16 Jun 2014 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2016
Chantal Cantarelli and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 330 (89,593)

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58.

Different Cost Performance: Different Determinants? The Case of Cost Overruns in Dutch Transport Infrastructure Projects

Transport Policy, vol. 22, pp. 88-95
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 22 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 24 Jan 2015
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Delft University of Technology, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 328 (90,207)
Citation 6

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cost overruns, infrastructure, ex-post studies, the Netherlands

Damming the Rivers of the Amazon Basin

Nature, Vol. 546, p. 363–369, June 2017 DOI:10.1038/nature22333
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 19 Jun 2017
University of Texas at Austin, Hobart and William Smith Colleges - Department of Environmental Studies, University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB), Texas A&M University, University of Arizona, National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), Texas A&M University, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), Duke University, University of California, Berkeley, University of California, Berkeley, Federal University of Amazonas - UFAM, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School and UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (State of Sao Paulo University)
Downloads 264 (113,378)

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Damming the Rivers of the Amazon Basin

Edgardo M. Latrubesse, Eugenio Y. Arima, Thomas Dunne, Edward Park, Victor R. Baker, Fernando M. d’Horta, Charles Wight, Florian Wittmann, Jansen Zuanon, Paul A. Baker, Camila C. Ribas, Richard B. Norgaard, Naziano Filizola, Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg & Jose C. Stevaux (2017).
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 19 Jun 2017
University of Texas at Austin, Hobart and William Smith Colleges - Department of Environmental Studies, University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB), Texas A&M University, University of Arizona, National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), University of Texas at Austin, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, National Institute of Amazonian Research (INPA), Duke University, University of California, Berkeley, University of California, Berkeley, Federal University of Amazonas - UFAM, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School and UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (State of Sao Paulo University)
Downloads 53 (379,219)

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60.

What Causes Cost Overrun in Transport Infrastructure Projects?

Transport Reviews, vol. 24, no. 1, January 2004, pp. 3-18
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 314 (94,626)
Citation 32

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61.

Reference Class Forecasting for Hong Kong's Major Roadworks Projects

Bent Flyvbjerg, Chi-keung Hon, and Wing Huen Fok, 2016, "Reference Class Forecasting for Hong Kong’s Major Roadworks Projects," Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers 169, November, Issue CE6, pp. 17-24, doi/10.1680/jcien.15.00075.
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 19 Sep 2017
Bent Flyvbjerg, CK Hon and WH Fok
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region and Advisian Limited
Downloads 303 (98,389)

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62.

Report for the Edinburgh Tram Inquiry

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 28 Mar 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 302 (99,046)
Citation 1

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risk assessment, risk management, infrastructure, megaprojects, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, planning fallacy, behavioral science

63.

Report for the Commission of Inquiry Respecting the Muskrat Falls Project

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 11 Oct 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 292 (102,365)

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Hydroelectric Dams, Megaprojects, Cost Overrun, Schedule Overrun, Optimism Bias, Strategic Misrepresentation, Infrastructure, Capital Investment Projects, Canada, Muskrat Falls

64.

Lock-In and Its Influence on the Project Performance of Large-Scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects: Investigating the Way in Which Lock-In Can Emerge and Affect Cost Overruns

Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, vol. 37, no. 5, pp. 792-807
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 20 Nov 2013
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 290 (103,143)
Citation 11

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65.

Phronetic Organizational Research

Richard Thorpe and Robin Holt, eds., The Sage Dictionary of Qualitative Management Research, Los Angeles: Sage Publications, pp. 153-155
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 283 (105,921)

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66.

Bringing Power to Planning Research: One Researcher's Praxis Story

Journal of Planning Education and Research, vol. 21, no. 4, pp. 353-366, 2002.
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 278 (107,923)
Citation 6

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Transferable Knowledge: An Interview with Bent Flyvbjerg

Architectural Research Quarterly, vol. 15, no. 1, 2011, pp. 9-14
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 08 Jan 2016
Inge Kirkeby and Bent Flyvbjerg
Aalborg University and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 112 (243,036)

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68.

Report to the Independent Board Committee

Number of pages: 122 Posted: 02 Nov 2014 Last Revised: 11 Nov 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg, Tsung-Chung Kao and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Railroad Transportation & Engineering Center (RailTEC) and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 261 (115,327)

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Project management, cost management, schedule management, budget control, reference class forecasting

69.

Introduction: New Directions in Social Science

Bent Flyvbjerg, Todd Landman, and Sanford Schram, eds., Real Social Science: Applied Phronesis, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, pp. 1-14, DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511719912.001
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Todd Landman and Sanford F. Schram
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Essex and Bryn Mawr College - Graduate School of Social Work and Social Research
Downloads 252 (119,628)
Citation 2

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70.

Cost Overruns and Demand Shortfalls in Urban Rail and Other Infrastructure

Transportation Planning and Technology, vol. 30, no. 1, pp. 9-30
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 10 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 25 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 250 (120,564)
Citation 12

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Urban rail, cost underestimation, cost overrun, demand shortfall, economic risk assessment and management

71.

Did Megaproject Research Pioneer Behavioral Economics? The Case of Albert O. Hirschman

Bent Flyvbjerg, 2017, "Did Megaproject Research Pioneer Behavioral Economics? The Case of Albert O. Hirschman", in Bent Flyvbjerg, ed., The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management (Oxford: Oxford University Press), Chapter 8, pp. 155-193
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 01 Jun 2017
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 248 (121,531)

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Megaprojects, behavioral economics, behavioral science, ignorance, creative error, the principle of the Hiding Hand, Albert O. Hirschman, megaproject management, project management, program management, decision making, cost-benefit analysis, welfare economics, risk management

72.

Decision Making and Major Transport Infrastructure Projects: The Role of Project Ownership

Hickman, R., Givoni, M., Bonilla, D. & Banister, D. (eds.). Handbook on Transport and Development, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, pp. 380-393. 2015
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 09 Sep 2015
Chantal Cantarelli and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 243 (124,051)
Citation 1

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cost overrun, transport infrastructure, project ownership, project financing, decision-making, cost forecasting

73.

Tension Points in Real Social Science: A Response

British Journal of Sociology, vol. 64, No. 4, pp. 758–762
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 19 Dec 2013 Last Revised: 20 Jan 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg, Todd Landman and Sanford Schram
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Essex and Bryn Mawr College
Downloads 241 (125,125)

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74.

Tension Points: Learning to Make Social Science Matter

Critical Policy Studies, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 25 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Todd Landman and Sanford Schram
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Essex and Bryn Mawr College
Downloads 240 (125,650)

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Future of social science, phronesis, phronetic social science, tension points, contestable knowledge, megaprojects, Olympic Games, London 2012

75.

Quantitative Cost and Schedule Risk Analysis of Nuclear Waste Storage

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Jan 2019
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford, Said Business School, Students
Downloads 235 (128,384)

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nuclear waste storage, nuclear power, cost, schedule, cost overrun, schedule overrun, reference class forecasting, outside view, inside view

76.

How (In)Accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects? The Case of Transportation

Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 71, no. 2, pp. 131-146.
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 235 (128,384)
Citation 47

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77.

Why Mass Media Matter and How to Work with Them: Phronesis and Megaprojects

Bent Flyvbjerg, Todd Landman, and Sanford Schram, eds., Real Social Science: Applied Phronesis, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, pp. 95-121, 2012, DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511719912.008
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 230 (131,102)
Citation 3

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78.

Five Misunderstandings about Case Study Research, Corrected

Maggi Savin-Baden and Claire Howell Major, eds., Qualitative Research: The Essential Guide to Theory and Practice, London and New York: Routledge, pp. 165-166
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 18 Dec 2013 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 224 (134,521)
Citation 20

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79.

Sustaining Non-Rationalized Practices: Body-Mind, Power, and Situational Ethics. An Interview with Hubert and Stuart Dreyfus

Praxis International, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 93-113, 1991
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 194 (154,118)

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80.

How to Get Your Business Case Right, by Using Kahneman's Outside View

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 03 May 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 178 (166,570)

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Business case development, business administration, management, project management, behavioral economics, quality assurance, de-biasing, Daniel Kahneman

81.

Geographical Variation in Project Cost Performance: The Netherlands versus Worldwide

Journal of Transport Geography, Vol. 24, pp. 324-331, DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.03.014
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 07 Sep 2015
Chantal Cantarelli, Bent Flyvbjerg and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School and Aalborg University
Downloads 173 (170,836)
Citation 5

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82.

Fem missförstånd om fallstudieforskning (Five Misunderstandings about Case-Study Research)

Statsvetenskaplig Tidskrift, Vol. 106, No. 3, pp. 185-206 (2003)
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 170 (174,403)

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Habermas y Foucault: ¿pensadores de la sociedad civil? (Habermas and Foucault: Thinkers for Civil Society?)

Revista de Estudios Políticos, No. 104, pp. 61-86 (1999). Spanish translation by A. Elvira.
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 127 (221,150)
Citation 1

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Habermas y Foucault: ¿pensadores de la sociedad civil? (Habermas and Foucault: Thinkers for Civil Society?)

Estudios Sociológicos, Vol. 19, No. 2, pp. 295-324, 2001. Spanish translation by Lorena Murillo.
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 32 (462,802)

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84.

Aristotle, Foucault, and Progressive Phronesis: Outline of an Applied Ethics for Sustainable Development

Planning Theory, no. 7-8, Summer-Winter 1992, pp. 65-83.
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 22 Mar 2016 Last Revised: 23 Mar 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 152 (190,794)

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Aristotle, Foucault, phronesis, applied ethics, sustainable development

85.

Big Decisions, Big Risks: Improving Accountability in Mega Projects

Nils Bruzelius, Bent Flyvbjerg, and Werner Rothengatter, "Big Decisions, Big Risks: Improving Accountability in Mega Projects," International Review of Administrative Sciences, vol. 64, no. 3, September 1998, pp. 423-440
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 22 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 25 Jan 2016
Nils Bruzelius, Bent Flyvbjerg and Werner Rothengatter
Independent, University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Karlsruhe
Downloads 146 (197,214)
Citation 9

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risk, accountability, megaprojects, transportation, infrastructure investments, decision making, transparency, performance specifications, regulatory regimes, risk capital

86.

Rationalitet, intuition og krop i menneskets læreproces: Fortolkning og evaluering af Hubert og Stuart Dreyfus' model for indlæring af færdigheder (Sustaining Non-Rationalized Practices: Body-Mind, Power, and Situational Ethics: An Interview with Hubert and Stuart Dreyfus)

Department of Development and Planning Working Paper, Aalborg: Aalborg University, 107 pp. (1990)
Number of pages: 110 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 146 (197,214)

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87.

Cinco equívocos sobre la investigación basada en estudios de caso (Five Misunderstandings about Case-Study Research)

Estudios Sociológicos, vol. 23, no. 68, pp. 561-590, 2005.
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 145 (198,324)
Citation 1

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88.

Measuring Inaccuracy in Travel Demand Forecasting: Methodological Considerations Regarding Ramp Up and Sampling

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, vol. 39, no. 6, pp. 522-530
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 28 Jan 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 131 (215,191)
Citation 17

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Travel demand forecasting, Inaccuracy of travel forecasts, Demand ramp up, Sampling for measuring inaccuracy, Bias

89.

Planning Theory, Power and Progressive Phronesis. Reply to Stefano Moroni

Planning Theory, Vol. 9, pp.134-138, 1999
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 04 Mar 2014 Last Revised: 06 Mar 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 122 (227,134)

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90.

Beyond the Limits of Planning Theory: Response to My Critics

International Planning Studies, Vol. 6, No. 3, pp. 285–292, 2001
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 118 (232,879)

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91.

Unsere Grossprojekte Laufen so Schlecht. Können Sie Uns Erklären, Woran Das Liegt? (Our Biggest Schemes Work Out So Badly. Can You Explain the Reason for This?) An Interview with Bent Flyvbjerg

Detail, no. 12, pp. 1360-1366
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 24 Jan 2014 Last Revised: 31 Jan 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 111 (243,340)

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92.

Case Studiet Som Forskningsmetode (The Case Study as Research Method)

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 12 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 103 (256,465)

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kvalitativ metode, socialvidenskab, Case study, mixed methods

93.

Misrepresentation Drives Projects

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Misrepresentation Drives Projects." Engineering News-Record, January 5, 2004, p. 87
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 24 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 96 (268,659)
Citation 1

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Megaprojects, project management, project finance, cost overrun, benefit shortfalls

94.

Piec mitow o badaniach typu studium przypadku (Five Misunderstandings about Case Study Research)

Studia Socjologiczne, Vol. 2, No. 177, pp. 41-69
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 14 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 95 (270,480)

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95.

Cinco malentendidos acerca de la investigación mediante los estudios de caso (Five Misunderstandings about Case-Study Research)

Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas, Vol. 106, No. 4, pp. 33-62 (2004). Spanish translation by Maria Teresa Casado
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 92 (276,139)

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96.

A Perestroikan Straw Man Answers Back: David Laitin and Phronetic Political Science

Politics and Society, Vol. 32, No. 3, September 2004, pp. 389-416, DOI: 10.1177/0032329204267290
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 86 (288,135)
Citation 1

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phronesis, Perestroika, David Laitin, philosophy of social science, context, judgment

97.

Kostenunterschätzung bei öffentlichen bauprojekten: fehler oder lüge? (Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?)

Planungsrundschau: Theorie, Forschung, Praxis, No. 8, pp. 15-34 (2003)
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Søren Buhl and Mette Holm
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg University and Aalborg Municipality
Downloads 81 (298,817)

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98.

Critics Don't Understand Behavioral Science

Bent Flyvbjerg, 2018, "Critics Don't Understand Behavioral Science," Local Transport Today, 27 April, 2018
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 12 Oct 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 73 (317,507)

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Cost Overrun; Cost Underestimation; Cost Forecasting; Root Causes of Cost Overrun; Behavioral Science; Optimism Bias; Strategic Misrepresentation; Delusion; Deception; Moral Hazard; Agency; Reference Class Forecasting; De-Biasing

99.

Arkitektur som bedrägeri: eller konsten att sälja in megaprojekt (Design by Deception: The Politics of Megaproject Approval)

Arkitekten, pp. 42-47, 2005.
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 69 (327,428)

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100.

The Project Interview

Project Magazine, April 2013
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 17 Mar 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 65 (337,957)

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Major project management, project management, benefit shortfalls, cost overruns, schedule overruns, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, reference class forecasting, incentive alignment

101.

Foreword to Planning and the Case Study Method in Africa: The Planner in Dirty Shoes

Flyvbjerg, Bent, 2014, "Foreword," in James Duminy, Jørgen Andreasen, Fred Lerise, Nancy Odendaal, and Vanessa Watson, eds., Planning and the Case Study Method in Africa: The Planner in Dirty Shoes (Basingstoke and New York: Palgrave Macmillan), pp. xiii-xv.
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 08 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 62 (346,156)

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Planning, Urban Planning, City Management, Regional Management

102.

Preface to the Chinese Edition of Megaprojects and Risk

Bent Flyvbjerg, Nils Bruzelius, and Werner Rothengatter, 2018, Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition. Beijing: Cambridge University Press and China Science Publishing and Media, 209 pp.
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 06 Aug 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 60 (351,856)

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103.

Ending the Flood of Megadams

Bent Flyvbjerg and Atif Ansar, 2014, "Ending the Flood of Megadams," The Wall Street Journal, March 18.
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 27 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg and Atif Ansar
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 60 (351,856)
Citation 1

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energy policy, energy planning, dams, hydroelectric power, development policy, development planning, management, planning

104.

Tasarımla Aldatmak: Megaproje Kabullerinin Ardındaki Siyaset (Design by Deception: The Politics of Megaproject Approval)

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 14 Jul 2015
Bent Flyvbjerg and Gülçin Tunç (translator)
University of Oxford - Said Business School and Uludag University
Downloads 58 (357,751)

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Design, project management, megaprojects, Frank Gehry, Jorn Utzon, deception

105.

Perché un progetto IT può essere più rischioso di quanto si creda (Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier than You Think)

Harvard Business Review Italy, pp. 6-8.
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 58 (357,751)

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106.

Хабермас и Фуко: Теоретики Гражданского Общества (Habermas and Foucault: Thinkers for Civil Society?)

Sociological Studies, no. 2, Moscow: Russian Academy of Sciences, pp. 127-136 (2000)
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 20 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 57 (360,813)

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107.

On De-Bunking 'Fake News' in the Post-Truth Era: How to Reduce Statistical Error in Research

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 10 Jul 2019
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, University of Oxford - Said Business School, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 55 (629,823)

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public investment, transportation infrastructure, project management, behavioral science, statistical error, signal and noise, optimism bias, planning fallacy, Hiding Hand

108.

Кейс-Стади В Контексте Качественно-Количественной Проблематики (Five Misunderstandings about Case-Study Research: Part 2)

Sociologhicheskye Issledovanya, no. 9, pp. 15-19. Russian translation by the publisher (2004)
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jul 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 55 (367,025)

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109.

Sanning och lögn om megaprojekt (Truth and Lies about Megaprojects)

Framtider, no. 4, pp. 4-10 (2007)
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 20 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 52 (376,470)

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110.

Policy and Planning for Large-Infrastructure Projects: Problems, Causes, and Curses

Thomas L. Harper, Michael Hibbard, Heloisa Costa, and Anthony Gar-On Yeh, eds., Dialogues in Urban Regional Planning, vol. 4, New York: Routledge, pp. 223-248
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 21 Apr 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 51 (379,717)
Citation 1

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111.

Inaccuracy in Traffic Forecasts: Part 1

Expressways and Motorways, vol. 50, no. 10, pp. 56-65. Japanese translation by the publisher (2007)
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 05 Jul 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 46 (396,710)

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112.

Good Practice Lessons from the Urban Traffic Project, Denmark

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 25 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 40 (418,606)

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sustainable transportation, transportation, environment, urban planning, transportation planning

113.

Erfaringer Fra 1.471 It-Projekter (Experience from 1,471 IT Projects)

Bent Flyvbjerg and Bjørn Rothaus, 2012, "Erfaringer fra 1.471 IT-projekter," in Risk Management Håndbogen, Forlaget Andersen
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 06 Apr 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 39 (422,500)

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Project management, information technology management, cost overrun

114.

Response to Todd Landman

Political Studies Review, Vol. 6, No. 2, pp. 189-190, DOI: 10.1111/j.1478-9302.2008.00153.x
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 38 (426,621)

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115.

Do Road Planners Produce More ‘Honest Numbers’ than Rail Planners? An Analysis of Accuracy in Road‐Traffic Forecasts in Cities versus Peripheral Regions

Transport Reviews, Vol. 26, No. 5, pp. 537-555, 2006, DOI: 10.1080/01441640500532005
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2016
Petter Naess, Bent Flyvbjerg and Søren Buhl
Norwegian Institute for Urban and Regional Research, University of Oxford - Said Business School and Aalborg University
Downloads 37 (430,666)
Citation 8

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116.

Inaccuracy in Traffic Forecasts: Part 2

Expressways and Motorways, vol. 50, no. 11, pp. 56-64. Japanese translation by the publisher (2007)
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 05 Jul 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 35 (438,829)

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117.

О Недоразумениях, Связанных С Кейс - Стади (Five Misunderstandings about Case-Study Research: Part 1)

Sociologhicheskye Issledovanya, no. 4, pp. 110-120. Russian translation by Nikolai V. Romanovsky (2005)
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 05 Jul 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 35 (438,829)

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118.

Letters to the Editor: Credibility Problem for Transit: Response to Millar

Journal of the American Planning Association, Autumn 2005, Vol. 71, No. 4, p. 452, DOI: 10.1080/01944360508976715
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Søren Buhl and Mette Holm
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg University and Aalborg Municipality
Downloads 35 (438,829)
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119.

Рациональность и Власть (Rationality and Power)

Sociological Studies, Moscow: Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1. Russian translation by the publisher (2006)
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 05 Jul 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 27 (480,978)

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120.

Sottostima dei costi dei progetti di opere pubbliche: errore casuale o intenzionale? (Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?)

Archivio di studi urbani e regionali, no. 82, Milano: Franco Angeli, pp. 1-28.
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 20 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 27 (475,712)

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121.

Underskattade kostnader i infrastrukturprojekt: felräkning eller lögn? (Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?)

Plan, Vol. 58, No. 4, pp. 8-11.
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 18 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Søren Buhl and Mette Holm
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg University and Aalborg Municipality
Downloads 27 (475,712)

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122.
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123.

En censureret students eventyr (Adventures of a Censored Student)

In Sven Illeris, ed., Danske Geografiske Forskere, Roskilde: Roskilde Universitetsforlag, pp. 439-455
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 17 Oct 2013 Last Revised: 21 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 20 (514,459)

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124.

Response to Phil Hodkinson

British Journal of Educational Psychology, vol. 72, part 3, September 2002, pp. 452-453
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 10 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 17 (531,855)

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125.

Hitch-Hiking Kan Sikre Co2-Reduktioner! (Policy 'Hitch-Hiking' May Ensure CO2-Reductions)

Søren Tholstrup, Bent Flyvbjerg, and Jakob Høj, "'Hitch-hiking' kan sikre CO2-reduktioner!" (Policy "Hitch-Hiking" May Ensure CO2-Reductions). Stads- og Havneingeniøren, vol. 94, no. 12, December 2003, pp. 34-36.
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 28 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 14 (549,399)

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Urban planning, city management, urban transportation, sustainability, traffic and the environment

126.

Lager Veiplanleggere Ærligere Prognoser Enn Jernbaneplanleggere? (Do Road Planners Produce More 'Honest Numbers' than Rail Planners?)

Plan 3-4, 2006
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 11 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 10 (573,621)

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Other Papers (8)

Total Downloads: 3,502
1.

Ten Heuristics that Make Leaders of Projects and Programs Successful

Oxford Global Projects, 2018
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 23 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 10 Oct 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier
University of Oxford - Said Business School and University of Oxford - Saïd Business School
Downloads 989

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masterbuilder, heuristics, project management, program management, leadership

2.

Why Do Projects Fail?

Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier, 2015, "Why Do Projects Fail?", Project Magazine, Summer.
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 26 Jan 2016
Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Saïd Business School and University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 846

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project management, project planning, planning, management

3.

Projects, Power, and Politics: A Conversation with Bent Flyvbjerg

Projects, Power, and Politics: A Conversation with Bent Flyvbjerg - Interview conducted by Jesper Pagh and Malene Freudendal-Pedersen Twentyfirst, no. 3, pp. 62-75, 2014
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 21 May 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 574

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4.

Megaprojects and Risk: A Conversation with Bent Flyvbjerg

Critical Planning, vol. 11, pp. 51-63, 2004
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 08 Nov 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 516

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5.

More on the Dark Side of Planning: Response to Richard Bolan

Number of pages: 3 Posted: 12 Dec 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 409

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Forecasting, professional ethics, planning, policy, management

6.

Expert Testimony at the Edinburgh Tram Inquiry

Number of pages: 103 Posted: 09 Apr 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 80

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Risk assessment, risk management, optimism bias, planning fallacy, inside view, outside view, reference class forecasting, cost overrun, schedule overrun

7.

The High Price of Rebuilding Iraq

Number of pages: 3 Posted: 24 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg
University of Oxford - Said Business School
Downloads 75

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8.

Response to Remington

Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 69, no. 1, p. 83, 2003
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Søren Buhl and Mette Holm
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg University and Aalborg Municipality
Downloads 13

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