Justin Wolfers

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics

Professor of Economics

611 Tappan Street

Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220

United States

http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy

Professor of Public Policy

735 South State Street, Weill Hall

Ann Arbor, MI 48109

United States

http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers

The University of Sydney - Discipline of Economics

Visiting Professor

P.O. Box H58

Australia Square

Sydney, NSW 2006

Australia

Brookings Institution - Economic Studies Program

Non-resident Fellow

1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW

Washington, DC 20036

United States

http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Non-resident Fellow

1750 Massachusetts Avenue, NW

Washington, DC 20036

United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Research Affiliate

P.O. Box 7240

Bonn, D-53072

Germany

http://www.iza.org/en/webcontent/personnel/photos/index_html?key=1737

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Fellow

Poschinger Str. 5

Munich, DE-81679

Germany

Kiel Institute for the World Economy

International Research Fellow

P.O. Box 4309

Kiel, Schleswig-Hosltein D-24100

Germany

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

45

DOWNLOADS
Rank 1,569

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 1,569

in Total Papers Downloads

31,060

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 103

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 103

in Total Papers Citations

2,439

CROSSREF CITATIONS

3,879

Scholarly Papers (45)

1.

Statement on Prediction Markets

AEI-Brookings Joint Center Related Publication No. 07-11
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 07 May 2007
Stanford University - Department of Economics, Yale University - School of Management, University of South Florida - College of Business, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) - Council on Foreign Relations- Washington D.C., Dartmouth College, Illinois Institute of Technology, Technology Policy Institute, George Mason University, Princeton University, California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Chicago Law School, Stanford University, University of Iowa - Henry B. Tippie College of Business - Department of Economics, University of Iowa - Henry B. Tippie College of Business - Department of Economics, Bocconi University - Department of Economics, California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Maryland, Yale University - Cowles Foundation, Chapman University - Economic Science Institute, Independent, Harvard Law School, Columbia Business School - Finance, University of California, Berkeley - Organizational Behavior & Industrial Relations Group, School of Information and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 4,172 (4,157)
Citation 28

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prediction markets, public policy, forecasting, regulation

Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate

Stanford Law Review, Vol. 58, December 2005
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 19 Dec 2005
John J. Donohue and Justin Wolfers
Stanford Law School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,956 (13,865)
Citation 3

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Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1949
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Justin Wolfers and John J. Donohue
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Stanford Law School
Downloads 284 (178,410)
Citation 1

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execution, capital punishment, homicide, crime, death penalty

Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate

NBER Working Paper No. w11982
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 20 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 29 Sep 2022
John J. Donohue and Justin Wolfers
Stanford Law School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 135 (351,921)
Citation 11

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Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5493
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 19 May 2006
Justin Wolfers and John J. Donohue
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Stanford Law School
Downloads 18 (899,949)
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Capital punishment, crime, death penalty, deterrence, execution, homicide, murder

3.
Downloads 1,880 (15,035)
Citation 2

Prediction Markets

Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1854
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 30 Jun 2004
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 1,601 (18,883)
Citation 3

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Idea futures, forecasting, economic policy, information markets, prediction markets, policy evaluation, macroeconomics, microeconomics, public policy

Prediction Markets

NBER Working Paper No. w10504
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 31 May 2004 Last Revised: 15 Sep 2022
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 279 (181,742)
Citation 1

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4.
Downloads 1,401 (23,553)
Citation 253

Disagreement About Inflation Expectations

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 19 Jun 2003
N. Gregory Mankiw, Ricardo Reis and Justin Wolfers
Harvard University - Department of Economics, London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,239 (27,779)
Citation 103

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Disagreement About Inflation Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w9796
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 23 Jun 2003 Last Revised: 10 Oct 2022
N. Gregory Mankiw, Ricardo Reis and Justin Wolfers
Harvard University - Department of Economics, London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 162 (302,814)
Citation 1

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5.

In-Group Bias in Financial Markets

Number of pages: 66 Posted: 13 Dec 2016 Last Revised: 16 May 2023
University of Texas at Arlington, University of Miami - Miami Herbert Business School, University of Mannheim, Department of FinanceUniversity of Mannheim - Department of Finance and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,389 (23,885)
Citation 11

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In-group bias, female analysts, earnings forecasts, stock recommendations, forecast accuracy, market reaction

6.
Downloads 1,297 (26,372)
Citation 11

What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?

Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1785
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 Apr 2003
Andrew Leigh, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 1,128 (31,932)

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War in Iraq, Financial market efficiency, Security markets, Iowa Presidential market, International financial markets, Oil price, Cost of war

What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?

NBER Working Paper No. w9587
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 28 Mar 2003 Last Revised: 12 Sep 2022
Andrew Leigh, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 169 (292,111)

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7.
Downloads 1,089 (33,987)
Citation 62

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics and the Law, Forthcoming, Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1927
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 09 May 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 622 (71,673)
Citation 1

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economics of organizations, economic policy, markets, politics, public policy

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1991
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 08 Mar 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 293 (172,668)

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prediction markets, information markets, information aggregation

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

NBER Working Paper No. w12083
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 11 May 2006 Last Revised: 09 Jul 2022
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 147 (328,681)
Citation 9

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Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5578
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 28 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 27 (815,959)
Citation 1
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Prediction markets, information markets, event futures, information aggregation, futures, forecasting

Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 12 Dec 2003
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 941 (41,193)
Citation 2

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divorce, no-fault divorce laws, unilateral divorce laws, fault, intimate homicide, spousal homicide, suicide, domestic violence, household bargaining

Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress

NBER Working Paper No. w10175
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 04 Jan 2004 Last Revised: 26 Oct 2022
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 131 (360,148)
Citation 20

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Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress

Posted: 02 Feb 2004
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics

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Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

3rd Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies Papers
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 16 Apr 2008 Last Revised: 01 Dec 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 517 (90,436)
Citation 15

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Happiness, subjective well-being, Easterlin Paradox, life satisfaction, economic growth, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2394
Number of pages: 83 Posted: 25 Sep 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 219 (230,964)
Citation 51

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happiness, subjective well-being, Easterlin Paradox, life satisfaction, economic growth, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

IZA Discussion Paper No. 3654
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 27 Aug 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 177 (280,589)
Citation 4

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happiness, subjective well-being, Easterlin Paradox, life satisfaction, economic growth, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

NBER Working Paper No. w14282
Number of pages: 79 Posted: 01 Sep 2008 Last Revised: 11 Jul 2022
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 101 (436,656)
Citation 1

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Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6944
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 02 Dec 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 5 (1,030,337)
Citation 16
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Easterlin Paradox, economic growth, happiness, hedonic treadmill, life satisfaction, quality of life, subjective well-being, well-being-income gradient

10.
Downloads 1,002 (38,257)
Citation 154

Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces

IZA Discussion Paper No. 2602
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Mar 2007
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 547 (84,271)

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marriage, divorce, fertility, cohabitation, remarriage, economics of the family, demography

Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2007-03
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 20 Aug 2007
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 307 (164,273)
Citation 5

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marriage, divorce, fertility, cohabitation, remarriage, economics of the family, demography

Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces

NBER Working Paper No. w12944
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 09 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 14 Nov 2022
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 144 (334,238)
Citation 50

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Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6144
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 19 May 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (1,038,937)
Citation 27
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Cohabitation, demography, divorce, economics of the family, fertility, marriage, remarriage

Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 12 Sep 2003
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 840 (48,181)
Citation 21

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divorce rates, family law, unilateral divorce, no-fault divorce, state-specific trends, differences-in-differences, Coase theorem

Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results

NBER Working Paper No. w10014
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 05 Oct 2003 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2022
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 142 (338,052)
Citation 41

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12.
Downloads 865 (46,924)
Citation 63

The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness

NBER Working Paper No. w14969
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 19 May 2009 Last Revised: 27 Nov 2022
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 636 (69,713)

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The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness

IZA Discussion Paper No. 4200
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 224 (226,028)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, happiness, gender, job satisfaction, women's movement

The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7311
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 15 Jul 2009
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 5 (1,030,337)
Citation 7
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gender, happiness, job satisfaction, life satisfaction, subjective well-being, women's movement

13.
Downloads 788 (53,314)
Citation 18

Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1975, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2006-06
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 16 Feb 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 628 (70,812)

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prediction markets, information markets, event futures, political forecasting

Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets

NBER Working Paper No. w12060
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 09 May 2006 Last Revised: 16 Dec 2022
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 131 (360,148)

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Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5562
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 26 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 29 (799,287)
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Prediction markets, information markets, event futures, prediction IV, instrumental variables, market manipulation

14.

Are Voters Rational? Evidence from Gubernatorial Elections

Stanford GSB Working Paper No. 1730
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 18 Apr 2002
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 742 (57,796)
Citation 94

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Voting, rationality, elections, voter rationality, state elections, economics and politics, voting models, governors, behavioral economics, political economy

Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?

CAMA Working Paper 21/2013
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 16 May 2013 Last Revised: 20 May 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 267 (190,009)
Citation 1

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subjective well-being, happiness, satiation, basic needs, Easterlin paradox

Subjective Well‐Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7353
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 28 Apr 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 201 (250,196)
Citation 1

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subjective well-being, happiness, satiation, basic needs, Easterlin paradox

Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 4222
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 08 May 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 138 (345,780)
Citation 13

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subjective well-being, happiness, satiation, basic needs, Easterlin paradox

Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?

NBER Working Paper No. w18992
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 25 May 2023
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 110 (410,574)
Citation 6

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Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

5th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies Paper
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 17 Jul 2010
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 160 (306,035)
Citation 3

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Subjective Well-Being, Life Satisfaction, Happiness, Race, Civil Rights, Discrimination

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 13 Jul 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 153 (318,068)

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Subjective well-being, life satisfaction, happiness, race, discrimination, civil rights

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 4183
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 16 Apr 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 92 (465,020)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, happiness, race

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

NBER Working Paper No. w18916
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 22 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 10 Mar 2023
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 87 (481,778)

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Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7309
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 06 Apr 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 86 (489,021)

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life satisfaction, subjective well‐being, happiness, race

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

CAMA Working Paper 17/2013
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 80 (507,483)

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Subjective well-being, life satisfaction, happiness, race

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9408
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 03 Apr 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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happiness, life satisfaction, race, Subjective well-being

Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Wellbeing

Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1751
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 08 Aug 2002
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 515 (90,870)
Citation 3

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happiness, subjective well-being, inflation, unemployment, welfare costs of business cycles, business cycles, volatility

Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Wellbeing

NBER Working Paper No. w9619
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 11 Apr 2003 Last Revised: 15 Oct 2022
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 110 (410,574)
Citation 5

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18.

Three Tools for Forecasting Federal Elections: Lessons from 2001

Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1723
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 01 Apr 2002
Justin Wolfers and Andrew Leigh
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Australian House of Representatives Parliament House
Downloads 556 (83,555)
Citation 1

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Australian elections, polling, gambling, election forecasting

19.
Downloads 545 (85,595)
Citation 5

How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 29 Jan 2009
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 186 (268,570)

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How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3434
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 04 May 2011
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 136 (349,847)

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prediction markets, event studies, political economy

How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

NBER Working Paper No. w16949
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 18 Apr 2011 Last Revised: 24 Apr 2023
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 118 (389,835)
Citation 1

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How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

CAMA Working Paper No. 07/2011
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 11 Apr 2011
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 102 (433,663)

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prediction markets, event studies, political economy

How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8351
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 20 Apr 2011
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 3 (1,047,241)
Citation 1
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event studies, political economy, prediction markets

20.
Downloads 544 (85,806)
Citation 8

Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

CAMA Working Paper 33/2012
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 09 Jul 2012
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 268 (189,246)
Citation 2

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Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3884
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 20 Jul 2012
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 172 (287,699)

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prediction markets, forecasting

Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

NBER Working Paper No. w18222
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 14 Jul 2012 Last Revised: 17 Apr 2022
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 104 (427,576)
Citation 6

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21.
Downloads 528 (89,052)
Citation 15

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

IZA Discussion Paper No. 2092, FRB of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2006-11
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 25 Apr 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 371 (133,821)

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Manski, information market, event future, options, futures, binary option

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

NBER Working Paper No. w12200
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 25 May 2006 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2022
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 123 (377,884)
Citation 5

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Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5676
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 02 Aug 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 34 (758,817)
Citation 6
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Binary option, event future, futures, information market, Manski and options

Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3206
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 14 Oct 2010
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 188 (265,926)
Citation 2

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, economic growth, development, Easterlin Paradox, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

NBER Working Paper No. w16441
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 12 Oct 2010 Last Revised: 05 Jun 2022
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 180 (276,406)
Citation 2

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Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5230
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 12 Oct 2010
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 141 (339,927)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, economic growth, development, Easterlin Paradox, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8048
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 22 Nov 2010
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 7 (1,012,257)
Citation 1
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development, Easterlin Paradox, economic growth, hedonic treadmill, life satisfaction, quality of life, Subjective well-being, well-being-income gradient

The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 4067
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 23 Jan 2013
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 190 (263,358)
Citation 5

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, Easterlin Paradox, adaptation

The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being

CAMA Working Paper 03/2013
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 18 Jul 2013
Justin Wolfers, Daniel W. Sacks and Betsey Stevenson
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics, Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor
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Subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, Easterlin Paradox, adaptation, economic growth

The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7105
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 12 Jan 2013
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 141 (339,927)
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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, Easterlin Paradox, adaptation, economic growth

The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9280
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 Feb 2013
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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Citation 1
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adaptation, Easterlin paradox, economic growth, life satisfaction, quality of life, subjective well-being

24.

... and the Pursuit of Happiness - Wellbeing and the Role of Government

Institute of Economic Affairs Monographs, Readings 64, GMU Working Paper in Economics No. 12-25
Number of pages: 127 Posted: 25 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 29 Aug 2013
Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business, George Mason University - Department of EconomicsMercatus Center at George Mason University, City University London - The Business School, George Mason University - Department of Economics, Macquarie Law School, Volterra Consulting, Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, Universidad Camilo Jose Cela, Westminster Business SchoolInstitute of Economic Affairs (IEA), Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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happiness economics, wellbeing, government spending, economic theory

25.

Predicting Crime

U of Chicago Law & Economics, Olin Working Paper No. 402
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 14 Apr 2008
M. Todd Henderson, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Chicago - Law School, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 481 (99,848)
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26.
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Citation 37

Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle

CAMA Working Paper No. 06/2011
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 20 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 01 Dec 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 123 (377,884)

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trust, institutions, confidence, survey data, congress, banks, big business, media, courts

Trust in Public Institutions Over the Business Cycle

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3389
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 29 Mar 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 122 (380,250)
Citation 1

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trust, institutions, confidence, survey data, congress, banks, big business, media, courts

Trust in Public Institutions Over the Business Cycle

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5570
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 21 Mar 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 94 (458,412)

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trust, institutions, confidence, survey data, congress, banks, big business, media, courts

Trust in Public Institutions Over the Business Cycle

NBER Working Paper No. w16891
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 21 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 26 Feb 2023
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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Trust in Public Institutions Over the Business Cycle

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8308
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 18 Apr 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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Citation 11
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banks, big business, confidence, congress, courts, institutions, media, survey data, Trust

27.
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Citation 62

Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1944
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 289 (175,163)
Citation 18

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discrimination, CEOs, chief executive officer, event study, statistical discrimination, excess returns, female CEOs

Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender

NBER Working Paper No. w11989
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 20 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 26 Dec 2022
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 119 (387,413)

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Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5507
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 02 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 15 (930,298)
Citation 7
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CEO pay, CEOs, chief executive officer, discrimination, event study, excess returns, female CEOs, statistical discrimination

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty and Risk

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1899, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2005-26
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 13 Jan 2006
Refet S. Gürkaynak and Justin Wolfers
Bilkent University - Department of Economics and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 285 (178,410)
Citation 1

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economic derivatives, macroeconomic forecasting, uncertainty, disagreement, prediction markets, density forecasting

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk

NBER Working Paper No. w11929
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 13 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 26 Dec 2022
Refet S. Gürkaynak and Justin Wolfers
Bilkent University - Department of Economics and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 119 (387,413)
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Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty and Risk

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5466
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 03 May 2006
Justin Wolfers and Refet S. Gürkaynak
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Bilkent University - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (909,865)
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Density forecasts, disagreement, economic derivatives, expectations, forecasting, macroeconomic surveys, prediction markets, surveys, uncertainty

Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is Not a Paradox

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1916
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 25 Jan 2006
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 280 (181,061)

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happiness, life satisfaction, Human Development Index, income, Australia

Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is Not a Paradox

NBER Working Paper No. w11925
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 11 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2022
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 117 (392,274)

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Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is Not a Paradox

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5476
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 11 May 2006
Justin Wolfers and Andrew Leigh
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Australian House of Representatives Parliament House
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Happiness, life satisfaction, Human Development Index, income, Australia

Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets

ANU Centre Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper No. 502 , IZA Discussion Paper No. 1972
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 16 Nov 2005
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 249 (203,837)

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Voting, elections, prediction markets, opinion polling, macroeconomic voting

Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets

NBER Working Paper No. w12053
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 May 2006 Last Revised: 09 Dec 2022
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 125 (373,274)
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Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5555
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 26 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers and Andrew Leigh
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Australian House of Representatives Parliament House
Downloads 20 (880,139)
Citation 1
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Voting, elections, prediction markets, opinion polling, macroeconomic voting

31.
Downloads 373 (134,089)
Citation 22

Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 4675
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 20 Mar 2014
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 189 (264,655)

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discrimination, implicit bias

Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

NBER Working Paper No. w19765
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 20 Dec 2013 Last Revised: 05 Jul 2023
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 93 (461,656)
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Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7945
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 15 Feb 2014
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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discrimination, implicit bias

Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9868
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 02 Jun 2014
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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Citation 9
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discrimination, implicit bias

Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3029
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 02 May 2010
Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 214 (236,100)
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pricing under risk, probability, weighting, compound lotteries, favourite-longshot bias

Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?

NBER Working Paper No. w15923
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 26 Apr 2010 Last Revised: 06 Jul 2023
Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 146 (330,555)
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Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7801
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 19 May 2010
Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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Citation 14
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Compound lotteries, Favorite-longshot bias, Pricing under risk, Probability weighting

Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections

IZA Discussion Paper No. 1996, Stanford University Graduate School of Business Research Paper No. 1928, 1st Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper Series 2006-08
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 08 Mar 2006
Erik C. Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 207 (243,395)

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elections, prediction markets, political economy, event study, partisan effects

Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections

NBER Working Paper No. w12073
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 06 Oct 2006 Last Revised: 29 Dec 2022
Erik C. Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 132 (358,025)
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Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5591
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers, Erik C. Snowberg and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics, Independent and Dartmouth College
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Citation 10
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Political economy, partisan effects, elections, event study

Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

IZA Discussion Paper No. 2339, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2006-26
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Oct 2006
Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers
Columbia University - Columbia Business School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 134 (353,939)

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business cycles, comovement puzzle, information markets

Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

NYU Working Paper No. 2451/26074
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 13 Oct 2008
Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers
Columbia University - Columbia Business School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 104 (427,576)

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Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

NBER Working Paper No. w12557
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 08 Oct 2006 Last Revised: 26 Oct 2022
Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers
Columbia University - Columbia Business School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 92 (465,020)
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Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5898
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 28 Dec 2006
Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers
Columbia University - Columbia Business School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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Business cycles, comovement puzzle, costly information, information markets

35.
Downloads 279 (182,677)
Citation 42

Happiness Inequality in the United States

IZA Discussion Paper No. 3624
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 04 Aug 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 162 (302,814)

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happiness, subjective well-being, inequality

Happiness Inequality in the United States

NBER Working Paper No. w14220
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 18 Aug 2008 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2022
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 109 (413,293)
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