Justin Wolfers

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics

Professor of Economics

611 Tappan Street

Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220

United States

http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy

Professor of Public Policy

735 South State Street, Weill Hall

Ann Arbor, MI 48109

United States

http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers

The University of Sydney - Discipline of Economics

Visiting Professor

P.O. Box H58

Australia Square

Sydney, NSW 2006

Australia

Brookings Institution - Economic Studies Program

Non-resident Fellow

1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW

Washington, DC 20036

United States

http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers

Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics

Non-resident Fellow

1750 Massachusetts Avenue, NW

Washington, DC 20036

United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

http://www.nber.org/~jwolfers

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Research Affiliate

P.O. Box 7240

Bonn, D-53072

Germany

http://www.iza.org/en/webcontent/personnel/photos/index_html?key=1737

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Fellow

Poschinger Str. 5

Munich, DE-81679

Germany

Kiel Institute for the World Economy

International Research Fellow

P.O. Box 4309

Kiel, Schleswig-Hosltein D-24100

Germany

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

47

DOWNLOADS
Rank 1,712

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 1,712

in Total Papers Downloads

23,368

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 91

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 91

in Total Papers Citations

1,333

CROSSREF CITATIONS

4,201

Scholarly Papers (47)

1.

Statement on Prediction Markets

AEI-Brookings Joint Center Related Publication No. 07-11
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 07 May 2007
Stanford University - Department of Economics, Yale University - School of Management, University of South Florida - College of Business, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) - Council on Foreign Relations- Washington D.C., Dartmouth College, Illinois Institute of Technology, Technology Policy Institute, George Mason University, Princeton University, California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Chicago Law School, Stanford University, University of Iowa - Henry B. Tippie College of Business - Department of Economics, University of Iowa - Henry B. Tippie College of Business - Department of Economics, Bocconi University - Department of Economics, California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Maryland, Yale University - Cowles Foundation, Chapman University - Economic Science Institute, Independent, Harvard Law School, Columbia Business School - Finance, University of California, Berkeley - Organizational Behavior & Industrial Relations Group, School of Information and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 3,936 (3,270)
Citation 28

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prediction markets, public policy, forecasting, regulation

Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate

Stanford Law Review, Vol. 58, December 2005
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 19 Dec 2005
John J. Donohue and Justin Wolfers
Stanford Law School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,776 (11,919)
Citation 3

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Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Justin Wolfers and John J. Donohue
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Stanford Law School
Downloads 202 (191,407)

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execution, capital punishment, homicide, crime, death penalty

Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 20 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 07 Oct 2021
John J. Donohue and Justin Wolfers
Stanford Law School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 61 (448,815)
Citation 7

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Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 19 May 2006
Justin Wolfers and John J. Donohue
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Stanford Law School
Downloads 18 (686,114)
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Capital punishment, crime, death penalty, deterrence, execution, homicide, murder

3.
Downloads 1,643 ( 13,703)
Citation 10

Prediction Markets

Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1854
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 30 Jun 2004
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 1,491 (15,714)
Citation 3

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Idea futures, forecasting, economic policy, information markets, prediction markets, policy evaluation, macroeconomics, microeconomics, public policy

Prediction Markets

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 31 May 2004 Last Revised: 15 Sep 2021
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 152 (245,489)
Citation 9

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4.
Downloads 1,240 ( 21,098)
Citation 206

Disagreement About Inflation Expectations

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 19 Jun 2003
N. Gregory Mankiw, Ricardo Reis and Justin Wolfers
Harvard University - Department of Economics, London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,156 (22,973)
Citation 108

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Disagreement About Inflation Expectations

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 23 Jun 2003 Last Revised: 09 Oct 2021
N. Gregory Mankiw, Ricardo Reis and Justin Wolfers
Harvard University - Department of Economics, London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 84 (375,266)
Citation 1

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5.
Downloads 1,104 ( 25,042)
Citation 5

What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?

Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1785
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 Apr 2003
Andrew Leigh, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 1,038 (26,944)
Citation 1

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War in Iraq, Financial market efficiency, Security markets, Iowa Presidential market, International financial markets, Oil price, Cost of war

What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 28 Mar 2003 Last Revised: 14 Mar 2021
Andrew Leigh, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 66 (430,900)

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6.

In-Group Bias in Financial Markets

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 13 Dec 2016 Last Revised: 08 Mar 2020
University of Missouri-Columbia, University of Miami - Miami Herbert Business School, University of Mannheim, Department of FinanceUniversity of Mannheim - Department of Finance and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 945 (31,281)
Citation 11

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In-group bias; analyst forecasts; gender bias; investor behavior; market reaction

Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 12 Dec 2003
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 854 (35,475)
Citation 2

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divorce, no-fault divorce laws, unilateral divorce laws, fault, intimate homicide, spousal homicide, suicide, domestic violence, household bargaining

Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 04 Jan 2004 Last Revised: 22 Oct 2021
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 58 (460,280)
Citation 20

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Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress

Posted: 02 Feb 2004
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics

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Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 12 Sep 2003
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 839 (36,346)
Citation 21

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divorce rates, family law, unilateral divorce, no-fault divorce, state-specific trends, differences-in-differences, Coase theorem

Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 05 Oct 2003 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2021
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 63 (441,555)
Citation 41

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9.
Downloads 867 ( 35,275)
Citation 54

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics and the Law, Forthcoming, Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1927
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 09 May 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 543 (64,652)
Citation 1

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economics of organizations, economic policy, markets, politics, public policy

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 08 Mar 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 221 (175,817)

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prediction markets, information markets, information aggregation

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 11 May 2006 Last Revised: 09 Jul 2021
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 76 (398,248)
Citation 8

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Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 28 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 27 (617,845)
Citation 2
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Prediction markets, information markets, event futures, information aggregation, futures, forecasting

10.
Downloads 768 ( 41,675)
Citation 140

Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Mar 2007
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 469 (77,568)

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marriage, divorce, fertility, cohabitation, remarriage, economics of the family, demography

Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2007-03
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 20 Aug 2007
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 227 (171,304)
Citation 5

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marriage, divorce, fertility, cohabitation, remarriage, economics of the family, demography

Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 09 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 16 May 2021
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 68 (423,975)
Citation 28

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Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving Forces

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 19 May 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (804,346)
Citation 30
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Cohabitation, demography, divorce, economics of the family, fertility, marriage, remarriage

11.

Are Voters Rational? Evidence from Gubernatorial Elections

Stanford GSB Working Paper No. 1730
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 18 Apr 2002
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 739 (43,895)
Citation 94

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Voting, rationality, elections, voter rationality, state elections, economics and politics, voting models, governors, behavioral economics, political economy

Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

3rd Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies Papers
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 16 Apr 2008 Last Revised: 01 Dec 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 404 (92,524)
Citation 15

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Happiness, subjective well-being, Easterlin Paradox, life satisfaction, economic growth, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

Number of pages: 83 Posted: 25 Sep 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 143 (258,135)
Citation 2

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happiness, subjective well-being, Easterlin Paradox, life satisfaction, economic growth, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

Number of pages: 80 Posted: 27 Aug 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 99 (337,835)
Citation 3

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happiness, subjective well-being, Easterlin Paradox, life satisfaction, economic growth, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

Number of pages: 79 Posted: 01 Sep 2008 Last Revised: 12 Jul 2010
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 26 (624,937)

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Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox

Number of pages: 81 Posted: 02 Dec 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 4 (804,346)
Citation 19
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Easterlin Paradox, economic growth, happiness, hedonic treadmill, life satisfaction, quality of life, subjective well-being, well-being-income gradient

13.
Downloads 666 ( 50,389)
Citation 51

The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 19 May 2009 Last Revised: 27 Nov 2021
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 517 (68,784)

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The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 144 (256,676)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, happiness, gender, job satisfaction, women's movement

The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 15 Jul 2009
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 5 (795,888)
Citation 9
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gender, happiness, job satisfaction, life satisfaction, subjective well-being, women's movement

14.
Downloads 647 ( 52,363)
Citation 18

Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 16 Feb 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 556 (62,732)

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prediction markets, information markets, event futures, political forecasting

Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 09 May 2006 Last Revised: 16 Jun 2021
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 62 (445,208)

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Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 26 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 29 (604,346)
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Prediction markets, information markets, event futures, prediction IV, instrumental variables, market manipulation

15.

Three Tools for Forecasting Federal Elections: Lessons from 2001

Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1723
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 01 Apr 2002
Justin Wolfers and Andrew Leigh
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Australian House of Representatives Parliament House
Downloads 555 (63,594)
Citation 1

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Australian elections, polling, gambling, election forecasting

Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Wellbeing

Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1751
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 08 Aug 2002
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 512 (69,667)
Citation 3

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happiness, subjective well-being, inflation, unemployment, welfare costs of business cycles, business cycles, volatility

Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Wellbeing

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 11 Apr 2003 Last Revised: 15 Oct 2021
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (556,624)
Citation 5

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17.

Predicting Crime

U of Chicago Law & Economics, Olin Working Paper No. 402
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 14 Apr 2008
M. Todd Henderson, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Chicago - Law School, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 406 (92,785)
Citation 1

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18.

... and the Pursuit of Happiness - Wellbeing and the Role of Government

Institute of Economic Affairs Monographs, Readings 64, GMU Working Paper in Economics No. 12-25
Number of pages: 127 Posted: 25 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 29 Aug 2013
Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business, George Mason University - Department of EconomicsMercatus Center at George Mason University, City University London - Sir John Cass Business School, George Mason University - Department of Economics, Macquarie Law School, Volterra Consulting, Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, Universidad Camilo Jose Cela, Westminster Business SchoolInstitute of Economic Affairs (IEA), Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 373 (102,293)

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happiness economics, wellbeing, government spending, economic theory

Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?

CAMA Working Paper 21/2013
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 16 May 2013 Last Revised: 20 May 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 153 (244,076)
Citation 3

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subjective well-being, happiness, satiation, basic needs, Easterlin paradox

Subjective Well‐Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 28 Apr 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 117 (300,650)
Citation 1

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subjective well-being, happiness, satiation, basic needs, Easterlin paradox

Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 08 May 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 62 (445,208)

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subjective well-being, happiness, satiation, basic needs, Easterlin paradox

Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 24 Nov 2021
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 40 (540,741)
Citation 6

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20.
Downloads 371 (102,868)
Citation 14

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 25 Apr 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 287 (135,305)

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Manski, information market, event future, options, futures, binary option

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 25 May 2006 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2021
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 50 (493,154)
Citation 2

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Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 02 Aug 2006
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 34 (573,639)
Citation 6
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Binary option, event future, futures, information market, Manski and options

Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is Not a Paradox

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 25 Jan 2006
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 210 (184,560)

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happiness, life satisfaction, Human Development Index, income, Australia

Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is Not a Paradox

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 11 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 02 Aug 2021
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 51 (488,799)

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Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is Not a Paradox

Australian Economic Review, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp. 176-184, June 2006
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 Jun 2006
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 27 (617,845)
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Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is Not a Paradox

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 11 May 2006
Justin Wolfers and Andrew Leigh
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Australian House of Representatives Parliament House
Downloads 17 (694,011)
Citation 4
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Happiness, life satisfaction, Human Development Index, income, Australia

22.
Downloads 286 (136,442)
Citation 6

Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

CAMA Working Paper 33/2012
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 09 Jul 2012
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 182 (210,358)
Citation 2

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Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 20 Jul 2012
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 84 (375,266)

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prediction markets, forecasting

Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 14 Jul 2012 Last Revised: 17 Oct 2021
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 20 (670,282)
Citation 5

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23.
Downloads 272 (143,779)
Citation 53

Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 214 (181,284)

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discrimination, CEOs, chief executive officer, event study, statistical discrimination, excess returns, female CEOs

Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 20 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 06 Oct 2021
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 43 (525,589)

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Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 02 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 15 (710,305)
Citation 9
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CEO pay, CEOs, chief executive officer, discrimination, event study, excess returns, female CEOs, statistical discrimination

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty and Risk

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 13 Jan 2006
Refet S. Gürkaynak and Justin Wolfers
Bilkent University - Department of Economics and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 205 (188,713)

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economic derivatives, macroeconomic forecasting, uncertainty, disagreement, prediction markets, density forecasting

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 13 Apr 2006 Last Revised: 07 Aug 2021
Refet S. Gürkaynak and Justin Wolfers
Bilkent University - Department of Economics and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 47 (506,668)

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Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty and Risk

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 03 May 2006
Justin Wolfers and Refet S. Gürkaynak
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Bilkent University - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (694,011)
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Density forecasts, disagreement, economic derivatives, expectations, forecasting, macroeconomic surveys, prediction markets, surveys, uncertainty

Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets

ANU Centre Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper No. 502 , IZA Discussion Paper No. 1972
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 16 Nov 2005
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 183 (209,313)

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Voting, elections, prediction markets, opinion polling, macroeconomic voting

Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 May 2006 Last Revised: 09 Jun 2021
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 44 (520,809)

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Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 26 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers and Andrew Leigh
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Australian House of Representatives Parliament House
Downloads 20 (670,282)
Citation 1
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Voting, elections, prediction markets, opinion polling, macroeconomic voting

Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets

Economic Record, Vol. 82, No. 258, pp. 325-340, September 2006
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 04 Aug 2006
Andrew Leigh and Justin Wolfers
Australian House of Representatives Parliament House and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (686,114)
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Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 14 Oct 2010
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 106 (322,618)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, economic growth, development, Easterlin Paradox, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 12 Oct 2010 Last Revised: 05 Jun 2021
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 105 (324,756)

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Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 12 Oct 2010
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 43 (525,589)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, economic growth, development, Easterlin Paradox, well-being-income gradient, hedonic treadmill

Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 22 Nov 2010
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 7 (778,882)
Citation 2
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development, Easterlin Paradox, economic growth, hedonic treadmill, life satisfaction, quality of life, Subjective well-being, well-being-income gradient

The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 23 Jan 2013
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 106 (322,618)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, Easterlin Paradox, adaptation

The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being

CAMA Working Paper 03/2013
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 18 Jul 2013
Justin Wolfers, Daniel W. Sacks and Betsey Stevenson
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics, Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor
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Subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, Easterlin Paradox, adaptation, economic growth

The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 12 Jan 2013
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 58 (460,280)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, quality of life, Easterlin Paradox, adaptation, economic growth

The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 Feb 2013
Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Business Economics & Public Policy, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (823,997)
Citation 3
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adaptation, Easterlin paradox, economic growth, life satisfaction, quality of life, subjective well-being

28.
Downloads 223 (174,713)
Citation 6

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

5th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies Paper
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 17 Jul 2010
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 85 (372,537)
Citation 3

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Subjective Well-Being, Life Satisfaction, Happiness, Race, Civil Rights, Discrimination

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 13 Jul 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 83 (377,942)

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Subjective well-being, life satisfaction, happiness, race, discrimination, civil rights

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 16 Apr 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (694,011)

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subjective well-being, life satisfaction, happiness, race

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

CAMA Working Paper 17/2013
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 14 (718,823)

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Subjective well-being, life satisfaction, happiness, race

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 06 Apr 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 12 (735,849)

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life satisfaction, subjective well‐being, happiness, race

Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 22 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 09 Sep 2021
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 12 (735,849)

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Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 03 Apr 2013
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
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happiness, life satisfaction, race, Subjective well-being

29.
Downloads 200 (193,361)
Citation 3

How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 29 Jan 2009
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 99 (337,835)

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How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 04 May 2011
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 52 (484,513)

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prediction markets, event studies, political economy

How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 18 Apr 2011 Last Revised: 25 Apr 2021
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 29 (604,346)

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How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

CAMA Working Paper No. 07/2011
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 11 Apr 2011
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 17 (694,011)

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prediction markets, event studies, political economy

How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 20 Apr 2011
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 3 (813,282)
Citation 1
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event studies, political economy, prediction markets

Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 08 Mar 2006
Erik C. Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 124 (288,263)

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elections, prediction markets, political economy, event study, partisan effects

Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 06 Oct 2006 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2021
Erik C. Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 51 (488,799)
Citation 3

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Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Jun 2006
Justin Wolfers, Erik C. Snowberg and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics, Independent and Dartmouth College
Downloads 18 (686,114)
Citation 10
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Political economy, partisan effects, elections, event study

31.
Downloads 152 (244,929)
Citation 15

Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 20 Mar 2014
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 108 (318,431)

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discrimination, implicit bias

Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 20 Dec 2013
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 25 (632,211)
Citation 1

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Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 15 Feb 2014
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (694,011)

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discrimination, implicit bias

Awareness Reduces Racial Bias

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 02 Jun 2014
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (823,997)
Citation 9
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discrimination, implicit bias

Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Oct 2006
Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers
Columbia University - Columbia Business School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 66 (430,900)

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business cycles, comovement puzzle, information markets

Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

NYU Working Paper No. 2451/26074
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 13 Oct 2008
Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers
Columbia University - Columbia Business School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 35 (567,913)

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Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 08 Oct 2006 Last Revised: 25 Apr 2021
Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers
Columbia University - Columbia Business School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 25 (632,211)
Citation 2

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Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 28 Dec 2006
Laura Veldkamp and Justin Wolfers
Columbia University - Columbia Business School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (686,114)
Citation 4
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Business cycles, comovement puzzle, costly information, information markets

33.
Downloads 141 (260,166)
Citation 32

Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle

CAMA Working Paper No. 06/2011
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 20 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 01 Dec 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 50 (493,154)

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trust, institutions, confidence, survey data, congress, banks, big business, media, courts

Trust in Public Institutions Over the Business Cycle

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 29 Mar 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 46 (511,337)

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trust, institutions, confidence, survey data, congress, banks, big business, media, courts

Trust in Public Institutions Over the Business Cycle

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 21 Mar 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (662,537)

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trust, institutions, confidence, survey data, congress, banks, big business, media, courts

Trust in Public Institutions Over the Business Cycle

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 21 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 28 Aug 2021
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (662,537)

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Trust in Public Institutions Over the Business Cycle

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 18 Apr 2011
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 3 (813,282)
Citation 8
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banks, big business, confidence, congress, courts, institutions, media, survey data, Trust

Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 02 May 2010
Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 102 (331,204)
Citation 1

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pricing under risk, probability, weighting, compound lotteries, favourite-longshot bias

Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 26 Apr 2010 Last Revised: 05 Jul 2021
Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 35 (567,913)
Citation 4

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Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 19 May 2010
Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (823,997)
Citation 14
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Compound lotteries, Favorite-longshot bias, Pricing under risk, Probability weighting

35.
Downloads 127 (281,963)
Citation 38

Happiness Inequality in the United States

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 04 Aug 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 93 (351,776)

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happiness, subjective well-being, inequality

Happiness Inequality in the United States

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 18 Aug 2008 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 26 (624,937)
Citation 3

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Happiness Inequality in the United States

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 02 Dec 2008
Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 8 (770,222)
Citation 5
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happiness, inequality, subjective well-being

36.

The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 31 Jan 2000 Last Revised: 26 Nov 2021
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 104 (324,732)
Citation 32

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37.
Downloads 83 (374,421)
Citation 91

Racial Discrimination Among NBA Referees

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 03 Jul 2007 Last Revised: 02 Aug 2021
Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 80 (386,474)
Citation 13

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Racial Discrimination Among NBA Referees

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 23 May 2008
Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 3 (813,282)
Citation 11
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Basketball, discrimination, evaluation, implicit discrimination, own-race bias, race

38.

How the Growing Gap in Life Expectancy May Affect Retirement Benefits and Reforms

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 17 Apr 2017 Last Revised: 07 Oct 2021
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, University of Chicago - Harris School of Public Policy, Wellesley College, Brookings Institution, RAND Corporation, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Demography, Osprey Point Consulting, Lazard Asset Management, Brookings Institution, University of Southern California - Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics, Brown University - Department of Economics, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and University of Texas Medical Branch-Galveston
Downloads 50 (484,771)
Citation 6

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How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 18 Apr 2011
Erik C. Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 43 (515,311)

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prediction markets, event studies, political economy

40.

Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 Apr 2010
Erik C. Snowberg and Justin Wolfers
Independent and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 43 (515,311)

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pricing under risk, probability weighting, compound lotteries, favorite-longshot bias

41.

Party Influence in Congress and the Economy

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 13 Dec 2006 Last Revised: 05 Nov 2021
Erik C. Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 37 (544,413)

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42.

Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 21 Jul 2012
Erik C. Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Independent, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 27 (600,893)
Citation 1

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prediction markets, forecasting

43.

Gender and the Dynamics of Economics Seminars

Number of pages: 71 Posted: 01 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Stanford University, Northeastern University, Stanford University - Department of Economics, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 14 (693,126)
Citation 1
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Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 28 Sep 2012
Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Dartmouth College
Downloads 3 (779,675)
Citation 13
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forecasting, prediction markets

45.

Using Markets to Inform Policy: The Case of the Iraq War

Economica, Vol. 76, Issue 302, pp. 225-250, April 2009
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 27 Apr 2009
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 3 (779,675)
Citation 7
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46.

Biased Referees?: Reconciling Results with the NBA's Analysis

Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 30, Issue 3, pp. 320-328, 2012
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 05 Jul 2012
Joseph Price and Justin Wolfers
Brigham Young University and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Downloads 1 (800,643)
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47.

Estimating the Impact of the Death Penalty on Murder

American Law and Economics Review, Vol. 11, Issue 2, pp. 249-309, 2009
Posted: 25 Jan 2010
John J. Donohue and Justin Wolfers
Stanford Law School and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics

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