Dan Lovallo

The University of Sydney

University of Sydney

Sydney, NC NSW 2006

Australia

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

6

DOWNLOADS
Rank 18,587

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 18,587

in Total Papers Downloads

2,382

CITATIONS

2

Scholarly Papers (6)

1.

Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster

California Management Review, vol. 51, no. 2, pp. 170-193
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 08 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Massimo Garbuio and Dan Lovallo
University of Oxford - Said Business School, The University of Sydney and The University of Sydney
Downloads 1,604 (9,563)

Abstract:

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Project management, forecasting, cost control, strategic planning

2.

Five Things You Should Know about Cost Overrun

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, vol. 118, December 2018, pp. 174-190
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 06 Oct 2018
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, University of Oxford - Said Business School, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, University of Oxford - Department of Statistics, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 391 (69,646)

Abstract:

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cost overrun, cost underestimation, cost forecasting, root causes of cost overrun, behavioral science, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, delusion, deception, moral hazard, agency, reference class forecasting, de-biasing

3.

Behavioral Economics and Strategic Decision Making

The Oxford Handbook of Managerial Economics Edited by Christopher R. Thomas and William Shughart DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199782956.013.0009
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 02 Jul 2014
The University of Sydney, The University of Sydney and University of Sydney Business School
Downloads 340 (81,915)

Abstract:

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Strategic decision making, preferences, beliefs, choices, heuristics and biases, rationality

4.

Looking Inside: Psychological Influences on Structuring a Firm's Portfolio of Resources

Journal of Management, Vol. 37 No. 5, 1444-1463, 2011, DOI:10.1177/0149206310391909
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 29 Jun 2014
Massimo Garbuio, Adelaide King and Dan Lovallo
The University of Sydney, University of Virginia and The University of Sydney
Downloads 31 (435,115)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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resource-based theory; behavioral decision theory; managerial cognition; resource management processes; strategic decision making

5.

Heuristic Rules in the Field: Evidence from Royalty Shares in Scientific Teams

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Aug 2014
Reddi Kotha and Dan Lovallo
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Management Department and The University of Sydney
Downloads 16 (513,082)

Abstract:

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incentive sharing, teams, heuristics

6.

Evidence Doesn't Argue for Itself: The Value of Disinterested Dialogue in Strategic Decision Making

Long Range Planning, Forthcoming
Posted: 20 Nov 2014
Massimo Garbuio, Dan Lovallo and Olivier Sibony
University of Sydney Business School, The University of Sydney and McKinsey & Co. Inc.

Abstract:

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analysis, behavioral strategy, disinterested dialogue, evidence-based management, strategic decision making