Søren Buhl

Aalborg University

Fredrik Bajers Vej 7E

Aalborg, DK-9220

Denmark

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

14

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CITATIONS
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170

Scholarly Papers (14)

1.

Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?

Journal of the American Planning Association, Vol. 68, No. 3, pp. 279-295
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2014
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 851 (27,127)
Citation 4

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2.

Five Things You Should Know about Cost Overrun

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, vol. 118, December 2018, pp. 174-190
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 06 Oct 2018
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, University of Oxford - Said Business School, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, University of Oxford - Department of Statistics, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 619 (41,849)
Citation 1

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cost overrun, cost underestimation, cost forecasting, root causes of cost overrun, behavioral science, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, delusion, deception, moral hazard, agency, reference class forecasting, de-biasing

3.

Inaccuracy in Traffic Forecasts

Transport Reviews, Vol. 26, No. 1, pp. 1-24, DOI: 10.1080/01441640500124779
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 25 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 423 (67,640)
Citation 2

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4.

What Causes Cost Overrun in Transport Infrastructure Projects?

Transport Reviews, vol. 24, no. 1, January 2004, pp. 3-18
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 318 (94,045)
Citation 3

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5.

How (In)Accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects? The Case of Transportation

Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 71, no. 2, pp. 131-146.
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 23 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 237 (128,275)
Citation 4

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6.

Geographical Variation in Project Cost Performance: The Netherlands versus Worldwide

Journal of Transport Geography, Vol. 24, pp. 324-331, DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.03.014
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 07 Sep 2015
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School and Aalborg University
Downloads 173 (172,229)

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7.

On De-Bunking 'Fake News' in the Post-Truth Era: How to Reduce Statistical Error in Research

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 10 Jul 2019
University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, University of Oxford - Said Business School, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 149 (195,520)

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public investment, transportation infrastructure, project management, behavioral science, statistical error, signal and noise, optimism bias, planning fallacy, Hiding Hand

8.

Kostenunterschätzung bei öffentlichen bauprojekten: fehler oder lüge? (Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?)

Planungsrundschau: Theorie, Forschung, Praxis, No. 8, pp. 15-34 (2003)
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 18 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Søren Buhl and Mette Holm
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg University and Aalborg Municipality
Downloads 81 (301,330)

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9.

Inaccuracy in Traffic Forecasts: Part 1

Expressways and Motorways, vol. 50, no. 10, pp. 56-65. Japanese translation by the publisher (2007)
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 05 Jul 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 47 (396,587)

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10.

Do Road Planners Produce More ‘Honest Numbers’ than Rail Planners? An Analysis of Accuracy in Road‐Traffic Forecasts in Cities versus Peripheral Regions

Transport Reviews, Vol. 26, No. 5, pp. 537-555, 2006, DOI: 10.1080/01441640500532005
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2016
Petter Naess, Bent Flyvbjerg and Søren Buhl
Norwegian Institute for Urban and Regional Research, University of Oxford - Said Business School and Aalborg University
Downloads 37 (434,433)

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11.

Inaccuracy in Traffic Forecasts: Part 2

Expressways and Motorways, vol. 50, no. 11, pp. 56-64. Japanese translation by the publisher (2007)
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 05 Jul 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 35 (442,653)

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12.

Letters to the Editor: Credibility Problem for Transit: Response to Millar

Journal of the American Planning Association, Autumn 2005, Vol. 71, No. 4, p. 452, DOI: 10.1080/01944360508976715
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 14 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Søren Buhl and Mette Holm
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg University and Aalborg Municipality
Downloads 35 (442,653)

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13.

Sottostima dei costi dei progetti di opere pubbliche: errore casuale o intenzionale? (Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?)

Archivio di studi urbani e regionali, no. 82, Milano: Franco Angeli, pp. 1-28.
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 20 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Holm and Søren Buhl
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg Municipality and Aalborg University
Downloads 27 (480,002)

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14.

Underskattade kostnader i infrastrukturprojekt: felräkning eller lögn? (Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?)

Plan, Vol. 58, No. 4, pp. 8-11.
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 18 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Søren Buhl and Mette Holm
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg University and Aalborg Municipality
Downloads 27 (480,002)

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Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 13
1.

Response to Remington

Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 69, no. 1, p. 83, 2003
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2016
Bent Flyvbjerg, Søren Buhl and Mette Holm
University of Oxford - Said Business School, Aalborg University and Aalborg Municipality
Downloads 13

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