Seth Baum

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute

Executive Director

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

20

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Scholarly Papers (20)

1.

A Survey of Artificial General Intelligence Projects for Ethics, Risk, and Policy

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Working Paper 17-1
Number of pages: 99 Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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artificial intelligence, ethics, risk, policy

2.

Global Catastrophes: The Most Extreme Risks

In Vicki Bier (editor), Risk in Extreme Environments: Preparing, Avoiding, Mitigating, and Managing. New York: Routledge, pages 174-184.
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 04 Oct 2017
Seth Baum and Anthony Barrett
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk, catastrophic risk, extreme risk, global catastrophic risk

3.

Towards an Integrated Assessment of Global Catastrophic Risk

In B.J. Garrick (editor), Catastrophic and Existential Risk: Proceedings of the First Colloquium, Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, Forthcoming.
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 04 Oct 2017
Seth Baum and Anthony Barrett
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk, catastrophic risk, global catastrophic risk, integrated assessment

4.

Social Choice Ethics in Artificial Intelligence

Forthcoming, AI & Society, DOI 10.1007/s00146-017-0760-1
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 04 Oct 2017
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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artificial intelligence, ethics, social choice, bottom-up ethics, coherent extrapolated volition

5.

Reconciliation between Factions Focused on Near-Term and Long-Term Artificial Intelligence

Forthcoming, AI & Society, doi 10.1007/s00146-017-0734-3
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 31 May 2017
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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Artificial Intelligence, Near-Term Artificial Intelligence, Long-Term Artificial Intelligence, Societal Impacts of Artificial Intelligence, Artificial General Intelligence, Artificial Superintelligence

6.

On the Promotion of Safe and Socially Beneficial Artificial Intelligence

AI & Society, vol. 32, no. 4 (November 2017), pages 543-551, doi 10.1007/s00146-016-0677-0
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 01 Aug 2016 Last Revised: 11 Oct 2017
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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artificial intelligence, beneficial artificial intelligence, artificial intelligence safety, social psychology

7.

Risk Analysis and Risk Management for the Artificial Superintelligence Research and Development Process

In James Miller, Vic Callaghan, Roman Yampolskiy, and Stuart Armstrong (editors), The Technological Singularity: Managing the Journey. Berlin: Springer, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 15 Jul 2016
Anthony Barrett and Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk analysis, risk management, artificial intelligence

8.

The Ethics of Outer Space: A Consequentialist Perspective

In James S.J. Schwartz and Tony Milligan (editors), 2016, The Ethics of Space Exploration. Berlin: Springer, pages 109-123.
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 15 Jul 2016 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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ethics, consequentialism, outer space

9.

The Far Future Argument for Confronting Catastrophic Threats to Humanity: Practical Significance and Alternatives

Futures, vol. 72 (September), pages 86-96.
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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ethics, risk, future

10.

Description, Prescription and the Choice of Discount Rates

Ecological Economics, vol. 69, no. 1, 2009, pp. 197-205
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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discounting, ethics

11.

A Model of Pathways to Artificial Superintelligence Catastrophe for Risk and Decision Analysis

Journal of Experimental & Theoretical Artificial Intelligence, vol. 29, no. 2 (2017), pages 397-414
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 11 Jul 2016 Last Revised: 11 Oct 2017
Anthony Barrett and Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk analysis, decision analysis, artificial intelligence

12.

Winter-Safe Deterrence as a Practical Contribution to Reducing Nuclear Winter Risk: A Reply

Contemporary Security Policy, vol. 36, no. 2 (August), pages 387-397.
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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international security, nuclear weapons, deterrence, risk

13.

Winter-Safe Deterrence: The Risk of Nuclear Winter and its Challenge to Deterrence

Contemporary Security Policy, vol. 36, no. 1 (April), pages 123-148.
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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international security, nuclear weapons, deterrence, risk

14.

Analyzing and Reducing the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear War between the United States and Russia

Science and Global Security 21(2): 106-133
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum and Anthony Barrett
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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international security, nuclear weapons, risk

15.

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Space Exploration: Some Ethical Considerations

Space Policy, vol. 25, no. 2, pages 75-80
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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ethics, outer space, cost-benefit analysis

16.

Confronting the Threat of Nuclear Winter

Futures, vol. 72 (September), pages 69-79.
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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international security, nuclear weapons, risk

17.

The Ethics of Global Catastrophic Risk from Dual-Use Bioengineering

Ethics in Biology, Engineering and Medicine, vol. 4, no. 1, pages 59-72.
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum and Grant Wilson
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk, ethics, biotechnology, bioengineering, international law

18.

Risk and Resilience for Unknown, Unquantifiable, Systemic, and Unlikely/Catastrophic Threats

Environment, Systems, and Decisions, vol. 35, no. 2 (June), pages 229-236.
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk, resilience, uncertainty

19.

Integrating the Planetary Boundaries and Global Catastrophic Risk Paradigms

Ecological Economics, Vol. 107, 2014, pages 13-21.
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum and Itsuki C. Handoh
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Independent
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risk, resilience, sustainability

20.

Modeling and Interpreting Expert Disagreement About Artificial Superintelligence

Informatica, vol. 41, no. 7 (December 2017), pages 419-428
Number of pages: 10
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute, Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and University of Louisville
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artificial intelligence, artificial superintelligence, risk analysis, expert disagreement