Seth Baum

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute

Executive Director

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

23

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Scholarly Papers (23)

1.

Evaluating Future Nanotechnology: The Net Societal Impacts of Atomically Precise Manufacturing

Futures, vol. 100 (June 2018), pages 63-73, DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2018.04.007
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 13 May 2018 Last Revised: 24 May 2018
Steven Umbrello and Seth Baum
Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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Atomically Precise Manufacturing, Nanotechnology, Ethics, Research Policy

2.

A Model for the Impacts of Nuclear War

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Working Paper 18-2
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 23 Apr 2018
Seth Baum and Anthony Barrett
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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nuclear war, risk analysis, global catastrophic risk, impacts

3.

A Model for the Probability of Nuclear War

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Working Paper 18-1
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 13 Mar 2018
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute, Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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nuclear war, risk analysis, global catastrophic risk, probability, scenario

4.

Modeling and Interpreting Expert Disagreement About Artificial Superintelligence

Informatica, vol. 41, no. 7 (December 2017), pages 419-428
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 27 Jan 2018
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute, Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and University of Louisville
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artificial intelligence, artificial superintelligence, risk analysis, expert disagreement

5.

A Survey of Artificial General Intelligence Projects for Ethics, Risk, and Policy

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Working Paper 17-1
Number of pages: 99 Posted: 16 Nov 2017
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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artificial intelligence, ethics, risk, policy

6.

Social Choice Ethics in Artificial Intelligence

Forthcoming, AI & Society, DOI 10.1007/s00146-017-0760-1
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 04 Oct 2017
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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artificial intelligence, ethics, social choice, bottom-up ethics, coherent extrapolated volition

7.

Global Catastrophes: The Most Extreme Risks

In Vicki Bier (editor), Risk in Extreme Environments: Preparing, Avoiding, Mitigating, and Managing. New York: Routledge, pages 174-184.
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 04 Oct 2017
Seth Baum and Anthony Barrett
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk, catastrophic risk, extreme risk, global catastrophic risk

8.

Towards an Integrated Assessment of Global Catastrophic Risk

In B.J. Garrick (editor), Catastrophic and Existential Risk: Proceedings of the First Colloquium, Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, Forthcoming.
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 04 Oct 2017
Seth Baum and Anthony Barrett
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk, catastrophic risk, global catastrophic risk, integrated assessment

9.

Reconciliation between Factions Focused on Near-Term and Long-Term Artificial Intelligence

Forthcoming, AI & Society, doi 10.1007/s00146-017-0734-3
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 31 May 2017
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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Artificial Intelligence, Near-Term Artificial Intelligence, Long-Term Artificial Intelligence, Societal Impacts of Artificial Intelligence, Artificial General Intelligence, Artificial Superintelligence

10.

On the Promotion of Safe and Socially Beneficial Artificial Intelligence

AI & Society, vol. 32, no. 4 (November 2017), pages 543-551, doi 10.1007/s00146-016-0677-0
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 01 Aug 2016 Last Revised: 11 Oct 2017
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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artificial intelligence, beneficial artificial intelligence, artificial intelligence safety, social psychology

11.

The Ethics of Outer Space: A Consequentialist Perspective

In James S.J. Schwartz and Tony Milligan (editors), 2016, The Ethics of Space Exploration. Berlin: Springer, pages 109-123.
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 15 Jul 2016 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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ethics, consequentialism, outer space

12.

Risk Analysis and Risk Management for the Artificial Superintelligence Research and Development Process

In James Miller, Vic Callaghan, Roman Yampolskiy, and Stuart Armstrong (editors), The Technological Singularity: Managing the Journey. Berlin: Springer, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 15 Jul 2016
Anthony Barrett and Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk analysis, risk management, artificial intelligence

13.

Integrating the Planetary Boundaries and Global Catastrophic Risk Paradigms

Ecological Economics, Vol. 107, 2014, pages 13-21.
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum and Itsuki C. Handoh
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Unaffiliated Authors - Independent
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risk, resilience, sustainability

14.

The Far Future Argument for Confronting Catastrophic Threats to Humanity: Practical Significance and Alternatives

Futures, vol. 72 (September), pages 86-96.
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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ethics, risk, future

15.

Description, Prescription and the Choice of Discount Rates

Ecological Economics, vol. 69, no. 1, 2009, pp. 197-205
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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discounting, ethics

16.

A Model of Pathways to Artificial Superintelligence Catastrophe for Risk and Decision Analysis

Journal of Experimental & Theoretical Artificial Intelligence, vol. 29, no. 2 (2017), pages 397-414
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 11 Jul 2016 Last Revised: 11 Oct 2017
Anthony Barrett and Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk analysis, decision analysis, artificial intelligence

17.

Winter-Safe Deterrence as a Practical Contribution to Reducing Nuclear Winter Risk: A Reply

Contemporary Security Policy, vol. 36, no. 2 (August), pages 387-397.
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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international security, nuclear weapons, deterrence, risk

18.

Winter-Safe Deterrence: The Risk of Nuclear Winter and its Challenge to Deterrence

Contemporary Security Policy, vol. 36, no. 1 (April), pages 123-148.
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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international security, nuclear weapons, deterrence, risk

19.

Analyzing and Reducing the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear War between the United States and Russia

Science and Global Security 21(2): 106-133
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum and Anthony Barrett
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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international security, nuclear weapons, risk

20.

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Space Exploration: Some Ethical Considerations

Space Policy, vol. 25, no. 2, pages 75-80
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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ethics, outer space, cost-benefit analysis

21.

Confronting the Threat of Nuclear Winter

Futures, vol. 72 (September), pages 69-79.
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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international security, nuclear weapons, risk

22.

The Ethics of Global Catastrophic Risk from Dual-Use Bioengineering

Ethics in Biology, Engineering and Medicine, vol. 4, no. 1, pages 59-72.
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum and Grant Wilson
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk, ethics, biotechnology, bioengineering, international law

23.

Risk and Resilience for Unknown, Unquantifiable, Systemic, and Unlikely/Catastrophic Threats

Environment, Systems, and Decisions, vol. 35, no. 2 (June), pages 229-236.
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 11 Jul 2016
Seth Baum
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
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risk, resilience, uncertainty