Arne Rønnest

Independent

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

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Scholarly Papers (3)

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1.

Five Things You Should Know about Cost Overrun

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, vol. 118, December 2018, pp. 174-190
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 06 Oct 2018
Bent Flyvbjerg, Atif Ansar, Alexander Budzier, Søren Buhl, Chantal C. Cantarelli, Massimo Garbuio, Carsten Glenting, Mette Holm, Dan Lovallo, Daniel Lunn, E.J.E. Molin, Arne Rønnest, Allison Stewart and Bert van Wee
University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, Cranfield University, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, University of Oxford - Department of Statistics, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
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Citation 3

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cost overrun, cost underestimation, cost forecasting, root causes of cost overrun, behavioral science, optimism bias, strategic misrepresentation, delusion, deception, moral hazard, agency, reference class forecasting, de-biasing

2.

Procedures for Dealing with Optimism Bias in Transport Planning

London: The British Department for Transport, Guidance Document, June 2004
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 13 Jun 2013
Bent Flyvbjerg, Carsten Glenting and Arne Rønnest
University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen, Independent and Independent
Downloads 1,451 (20,627)

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3.

On De-Bunking 'Fake News' in the Post-Truth Era: How to Reduce Statistical Error in Research

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 10 Jul 2019
Bent Flyvbjerg, Atif Ansar, Alexander Budzier, Søren Buhl, Chantal C. Cantarelli, Massimo Garbuio, Carsten Glenting, Mette Holm, Dan Lovallo, E.J.E. Molin, Arne Rønnest, Allison Stewart and Bert van Wee
University of Oxford - Said Business SchoolIT University of Copenhagen, University of Oxford - Said Business School, University of Oxford - Saïd Business School, Aalborg University, Cranfield University, The University of Sydney, Independent, Aalborg Municipality, The University of Sydney, Delft University of Technology - Department of Transport and Logistics, Independent, University of Oxford and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 473 (94,580)
Citation 1

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public investment, transportation infrastructure, project management, behavioral science, statistical error, signal and noise, optimism bias, planning fallacy, Hiding Hand