Marina Turuntseva

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Gazetny lane, 3-5

Moscow, 125993

Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Varnadskogo Avenue,82

Moscow, 119571

Russia

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

27

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662

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Scholarly Papers (27)

1.

Теоретические Аспекты Моделирования SVAR (Theoretical Foundations of SVAR Modeling)

Number of pages: 88 Posted: 14 Apr 2015 Last Revised: 24 Apr 2015
Anton Skrobotov and Marina Turuntseva
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 116 (248,180)

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структурные VAR модели (SVAR), структурные VECM (SVECM), импульсные отклики, декомпозиция дисперсий ошибок прогноза, идентификация шоков; structural VAR models (SVAR), structural VECM (SVECM), impulse responses, decomposition of the forecast error variances, the identification of shocks

2.

Тестирование Сезонных Единичных Корней: Простейшие Тесты и Тест HEGY (Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots: A Simple Test and HEGY Tests)

Number of pages: 85 Posted: 02 Jun 2014 Last Revised: 17 Jul 2014
Anton Skrobotov and Marina Turuntseva
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 93 (288,491)

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HEGY, Dickey-Fuller-Hasza, seasonal unit roots

3.

Макроэкономические Факторы Динамики Фондового Рынка РФ (Macroeconomic Factors of the Russian Stock Market Dynamics)

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 10 Dec 2013
Vadim Zyamalov, Marina Turuntseva and Y. Ulyanenko
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)
Downloads 70 (341,648)

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macroeconomics, stock market, Russian economy

4.
Downloads 37 (452,913)

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макроэкономическое прогнозирование, macroeconomic forecasting

5.

The Forecast of Main Macroeconomic Indices - 2015-2016

Russian Economic Developments. Moscow, 2015, No. 10, pp. 5-10
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 01 Nov 2015 Last Revised: 02 Nov 2015
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 31 (480,051)

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Russian economy, macroeconomic indices

6.

«Методы Прогнозирования С Использованием Больших Массивов Данных» (Forecasting Using Large Data Sets)

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 28 Apr 2014 Last Revised: 16 May 2014
Ekaterina Astaf'eva and Marina Turuntseva
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 30 (484,995)

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forecasting, large data sets

Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.)

Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 5 (март 2015 г.) (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 5 March 2015)
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 02 Oct 2015
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 18 (573,700)

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Russian economy, macroeconomics, finance, real sector, income, labor market

Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.)

Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 3 (март 2015 г.) (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 3 (March 2015)
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 02 Oct 2015
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting
Downloads 7 (651,973)

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Russian economy, macroeconomics, finance, real sector, labor market, social sphere

8.

Forecast 2016-2017: Russia’s Economy to Enter a Stabilization Zone

Russian Economic Developments. Moscow, 2016, No. 5, pp. 2-8
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 19 May 2016
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 22 (529,375)

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Russian economy

9.

2016-2017 Forecast: Russia's Recession Continues

Russian Economic Developments. Moscow, 2016, No. 2, pp. 10-16
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Feb 2016
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 20 (541,373)

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Russian economy, recession

10.

Моделирование Сезонности: Сезонная Интегрированность, Детерминированная Сезонность и Сезонные Структурные Сдвиги (Modeling Seasonality: Seasonal Integration, Deterministic Seasonality and Seasonal Structural Breaks)

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 31 May 2014 Last Revised: 17 Jul 2014
Anton Skrobotov and Marina Turuntseva
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 20 (541,373)

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structural shifts, seasonality, unit roots, HEGY, tests

11.

Macroeconomic Forecast for 2017-2018: The Bet on a Weak Ruble Has Failed

Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Moscow, IEP, No. 7(45), pp. 6-13, 2017
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 26 Apr 2017
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 19 (547,553)

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Russian Economy, Macroeconomic Forecasting, Exchange Rate

12.

Тестирование Гипотезы О Наличии Единичного Корня Для Независимых Панелей (Testing the Hypothesis of a Unit Root for Independent Panels)

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 28 Feb 2017
Anton Skrobotov and Marina Turuntseva
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 17 (559,785)

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13.

Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.)

Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 9 (Июнь) 2015 г. (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 9 (June) 2015)
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 02 Oct 2015
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Moscow Campus, Russian Foreign Trade Academy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting
Downloads 16 (565,834)

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Russian economy, budget, ruble exchange rate, economic slump, real sector, population income

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prognosing, forecast, macroeconomics

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forecast, analysis, macroeconomics, modelling

16.

Тестирование Изменения Инерционности и Влияние На Качество Прогнозов (Testing of Changes in Persistence and Their Effect on the Forecasting Quality)

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 18 Apr 2016 Last Revised: 28 May 2016
Victoria Petrenko, Anton Skrobotov and Marina Turuntseva
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 13 (584,975)

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persistence testing, methods of estimation, forecasting, изменение инерционности, методы оценки, прогнозирование

17.

Эмпирический Анализ Свойств Методов Сезонной Корректировки Российских Макроэкономических Показателей (Empirical Analysis of the Properties of Methods of Seasonal Adjustment of Russian Macroeconomic Indicators)

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 13 Jun 2016
O Morgunova and Marina Turuntseva
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 12 (591,650)

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socio-economic indicators, seasonal adjustment, социо-экономические индикаторы, сезонная корректировка

18.

Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.)

Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 10 (Июнь) 2015 г. (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 10 (June) 2015)
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 01 Oct 2015
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Physics and Power Engineering (IPPE), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Moscow Campus, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 12 (591,650)

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Russian economy, investments, real sector, import substitution, foreign trade

19.

The Extracting Sector – The First Started to Grow

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 15 Dec 2015
Georgy Idrisov, Andrey Kaukin, Olga Morgunova and Marina Turuntseva
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 10 (604,790)

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Russian economy, mining and quarrying, IPI, manufacturing sector

20.

Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития 2015, #12 (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development 2015, #12)

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 01 Oct 2015
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) and Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)
Downloads 10 (604,790)

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Russian economy, industrial production, inflation, investment, economic slump

21.

Некоторые Подходы К Тестированию Значимости Детерминированных Трендов в Данных (Some Approaches to Testing Significance of Deterministic Trends in Panel Data)

Number of pages: 58 Posted: 29 Sep 2015
Anton Skrobotov and Marina Turuntseva
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 10 (604,790)

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Russian economy, single root,deterministic trend, time series

22.

Macroeconomic Projections for 2017-2019: A Growth of 1.0-1.5%

Monitoring of Russia's economic Outlook. Moscow. IEP. 2017, No. 14, pp. 6-10
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 25 Aug 2017
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 9 (611,385)

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Russian economy, macroeconomic projections

23.

Macroeconomic Forecast for 2016-2018: The Economy is Passing Through the Lowest Point of the Current Crisis

Russian Economic Developments. Moscow. 2016, No 7, pp. 2-9
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 29 Jul 2016
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 9 (611,385)

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Russian economy, economic crisis, macroeconomic forecast

24.

Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.)

Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 7 (Апрель) 2015 г. (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 7 (April) 2015)
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 02 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 12 Apr 2017
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 9 (611,385)

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Russian economy, macroeconomics, foreign trade, real sector, labor market

25.

Некоторые Подходы К Тестированию Структурных Сдвигов и Единичных Корней в Данных (Some Approaches to Testing Structural Shifts in Unit Root in Panel Data)

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 28 Sep 2015
Anton Skrobotov and Marina Turuntseva
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 9 (611,385)

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Russian economy, unit root, trend, macroeconomics

26.

An Onset of Cyclical Growth. Macroeconomic Forecast for 2016-2018

Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Moscow, No. 1, pp. 5-11, 2017
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 03 Apr 2017
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 7 (624,794)

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Russian Economy, Cyclical Growth, Macroeconomic Forecast

27.

Reversing the Slump. Macroeconomic Forecast for 2016-2018

Russian Economic Developments. Moscow, 2016, No. 10, pp. 2-8
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Oct 2016
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Downloads 6 (631,574)

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Macroeconomy, macroeconomic Forecast, Markets, Russian Economy