Drew Creal

University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics

Chicago, IL 60637

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

16

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4,373

CITATIONS
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66

Scholarly Papers (16)

1.

The Multinational Advantage

Fama-Miller Working Paper, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 11-37
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 28 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 20 Sep 2014
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, Dartmouth College - Accounting, University of Colorado at Boulder - Leeds School of Business and University of Colorado at Boulder - Leeds School of Business
Downloads 942 (23,418)
Citation 4

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firm valuation, segment reporting, international accounting, multinational corporations

2.
Downloads 933 ( 23,742)
Citation 18

Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 14-32
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 04 Oct 2014 Last Revised: 28 Nov 2016
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics
Downloads 917 (23,952)
Citation 3

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Uncertainty, monetary policy, term premium, macroeconomic fluctuations, affine term structure models, stochastic volatility, Bayesian estimation

Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations

NBER Working Paper No. w20594
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 22 Oct 2014
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics
Downloads 16 (562,471)
Citation 5

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Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations

International Economic Review, Vol. 58, Issue 4, pp. 1317-1354, 2017
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 05 Dec 2017
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics
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Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-Based Models

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 16-10
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 13 Apr 2016 Last Revised: 07 Dec 2017
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics
Downloads 371 (78,179)

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bond risk premia, term structure of interest rates, stochastic rate of time preference, MCMC, particle filter, recursive preferences, stochastic volatility

Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-Based Models

Number of pages: 72 Posted: 22 Apr 2019
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics
Downloads 43 (418,676)

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Bond Risk Premia; Term Structure of Interest Rates; Stochastic Rate of Time Preference; MCMC; Particle Filter; Recursive Preferences; Stochastic Volatility

Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-Based Models

NBER Working Paper No. w22183
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 25 Apr 2016
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics
Downloads 13 (582,320)

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4.

High Dimensional Dynamic Stochastic Copula Models

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 14-25
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 25 Jul 2014
Drew Creal and Ruey S. Tsay
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics
Downloads 369 (79,381)
Citation 3

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state space models, dynamic copulas, Bayesian estimation, particle filters, credit default swaps

5.

A General Framework for Observation Driven Time-Varying Parameter Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 08-108/4
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 11 Nov 2008
Drew Creal, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 323 (92,363)
Citation 10

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dynamic models, time-varying parameters, non-linearity, exponential family, marked point processes, copulas

6.

Estimation of Affine Term Structure Models with Spanned or Unspanned Stochastic Volatility

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 13-72
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 15 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 09 Apr 2017
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics
Downloads 230 (131,980)

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affine term structure models, unspanned stochastic volatility, estimation

7.

Market-Based Credit Ratings

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 15 Aug 2013
Drew Creal, Robert Gramacy and Ruey S. Tsay
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, University of Chicago - Booth School of Business and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics
Downloads 227 (133,716)

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credit ratings, clustering, credit default swaps, default risk, survival functions

8.

A Dynamic Multivariate Heavy-Tailed Model for Time-Varying Volatilities and Correlations

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 10-032/2
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 24 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 14 Oct 2010
Drew Creal, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 182 (164,466)
Citation 4

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dynamic dependence, multivariate Student's t distribution, copula

9.

A Class of Non-Gaussian State Space Models with Exact Likelihood Inference

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 14-24
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 15 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 24 Jul 2014
Drew Creal
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics
Downloads 179 (166,917)

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state space models, filtering, Markov-switching, stochastic intensity, stochastic volatility, Bayesian inference, autoregressive-gamma process

10.

Testing for Parameter Instability in Competing Modeling Frameworks

Tinbergen Institute 14-010/IV/71
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Jan 2014 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2014
University of Florence - Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni (DiSIA), University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 177 (168,625)
Citation 1

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time-varying parameters; observation driven models; parameter driven models; structural breaks; generalized autoregressive score model; regime switching; credit risk

11.
Downloads 161 (182,984)
Citation 3

Generalized autoregressive Method of Moments

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-138/III
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 20 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 01 Jul 2018
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and
Downloads 129 (220,070)
Citation 2

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dynamic models, time-varying parameters, generalized method of moments, non-linearity, equity premium puzzle, CCAPM

Generalized Autoregressive Method of Moments

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-138/III
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 27 Jul 2018
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and
Downloads 32 (466,613)
Citation 1

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dynamic models, time-varying parameters, generalized method of moments, non-linearity

Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 11-042/DSF 16
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 22 Feb 2011
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 106 (254,605)
Citation 10

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panel data, loss given default, default risk, dynamic beta density, dynamic ordered probit, dynamic factor model

Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk

ECB Working Paper No. 1626
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 04 Jan 2014
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 32 (466,613)

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panel data; loss given default; default risk; dynamic beta density; dynamic ordered probit; dynamic factor model

13.

The Effect of the Great Moderation on the U.S. Business Cycle in a Time-Varying Multivariate Trend-Cycle Model

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 08-069/4
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 31 Jul 2008
Drew Creal and Siem Jan Koopman
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 62 (348,813)

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Bandpass filter, Markov chain Monte Carlo, Stochastic volatility, Trend-cycle decomposition, Unobserved components time series model

International Yield Curves and Currency Puzzles

NBER Working Paper No. w25206
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 05 Nov 2018
Mikhail Chernov and Drew Creal
UCLA Anderson and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics
Downloads 9 (609,880)
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International Yield Curves and Currency Puzzles

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13252
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 22 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 14 Jan 2019
Mikhail Chernov and Drew Creal
UCLA Anderson and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics
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affine models, bond valuation, Exchange Rates, FX disconnect

15.

Estimation of Affine Term Structure Models with Spanned or Unspanned Stochastic Volatility

NBER Working Paper No. w20115
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 19 May 2014
Drew Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics and University of Notre Dame - Department of Economics
Downloads 8 (591,146)

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Multihorizon Currency Returns and Purchasing Power Parity

NBER Working Paper No. w24563
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 02 May 2018
Mikhail Chernov and Drew Creal
UCLA Anderson and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics
Downloads 5 (638,250)
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Multihorizon Currency Returns and Purchasing Power Parity

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12893
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 01 May 2018 Last Revised: 22 Oct 2018
Mikhail Chernov and Drew Creal
UCLA Anderson and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics
Downloads 1 (680,350)
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affine term structure model, cointegration, multiple horizons, purchasing power parity, uncovered interest parity