M. Ayhan Kose

World Bank

1818 H Street, NW

Washington, DC 20433

United States

Brookings Institution

1775 Massachusetts Ave, NW

Washington, DC 20036

United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London

United Kingdom

Australian National University (ANU)

Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 2601

Australia

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

91

DOWNLOADS
Rank 1,783

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 1,783

in Total Papers Downloads

18,926

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 185

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 185

in Total Papers Citations

936

CROSSREF CITATIONS

2,418

Scholarly Papers (91)

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 702
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 16 Mar 2003
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 2,575 (5,183)
Citation 24

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Macroeconomic Fluctuations, Trade and Financial Integration, International Transmission of Shocks, Cross-country Comovement of Output and Consumption

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?

IMF Working Paper No. 03/27
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 28 Jan 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 127 (242,776)

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Macroeconomic fluctuations, trade and financial integration, output and consumption comovement

2.

The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

Number of pages: 62 Posted: 30 Jun 2015
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1,530 (12,471)
Citation 67

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commodity prices, 2014 oil price decline, macroeconomic implications, supply factors, demand factors, unconventional oil production, global output, and global inflation

3.
Downloads 999 ( 23,896)
Citation 186

Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal

IMF Working Paper No. 06/189
Number of pages: 94 Posted: 03 Oct 2006
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 895 (27,567)

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Capital Account Liberalization, Financial Integration, Growth and Volatility, Financial Crises, Developing Countries

Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal

NBER Working Paper No. w12484
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 30 Aug 2006 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2010
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 71 (357,138)
Citation 4

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Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5842
Number of pages: 93 Posted: 16 Nov 2006
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 33 (501,660)
Citation 19
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Capital account liberalization, financial integration, growth and volatility, financial crises, developing countries

4.
Downloads 838 ( 30,707)
Citation 8

Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility

IMF Working Paper No. 03/50
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 22 May 2003
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 838 (30,225)
Citation 23

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globalization, business cycles, volatility, macroeconomic fluctuations, emerging markets

Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility

International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Forthcoming
Posted: 22 May 2003
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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globalization, business cycles, volatility, macroeconomic fluctuations, emerging markets

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels

IZA Discussion Paper No. 2903
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 20 Jul 2007
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 462 (66,259)
Citation 2

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international financial integration, risk sharing, cross-country correlations of consumption and output, composition of capital flows

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels

IMF Working Paper No. 07/238
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 20 Nov 2007
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 189 (173,564)
Citation 2

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Financial integration, Globalization, Developing countries, Financial risk

6.
Downloads 648 ( 43,535)
Citation 65

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches, and Busts?

IMF Working Paper No. 08/274
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 18 Dec 2008
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 475 (64,051)

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Economic recession, Business cycles, Financial crisis, Credit, Housing prices, Stock prices, Oil prices, Databases, Economic models

What Happens during Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

Number of pages: 68 Posted: 22 Dec 2008
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 166 (194,818)
Citation 26

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Business cycles, recessions, credit crunches, house prices, equity prices, busts

What Happens during Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7085
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 17 Feb 2009
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 6 (685,821)
Citation 12
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business cycles, busts, credit crunches, equity prices, house prices, recessions

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

Economic Policy, Vol. 24, Issue 60, pp. 653-700, October 2009
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 08 Oct 2009
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 1 (736,422)
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7.
Downloads 647 ( 43,700)
Citation 24

Financial Globalization and Economic Policies

IZA Discussion Paper No. 4037
Number of pages: 84 Posted: 02 Mar 2009
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 372 (86,083)
Citation 1

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financial globalization, emerging markets, capital flows, capital account liberalization

Financial Globalization and Economic Policies

Brookings Global Economy and Development Working Paper No. 34
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 24 Apr 2009
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics, World Bank and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 264 (125,263)
Citation 4

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development, developing countries, global economics, global economic crisis

Financial Globalization and Economic Policies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7117
Number of pages: 85 Posted: 18 Feb 2009
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 11 (647,770)
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capital account liberalization, financial globalization

Changing Nature of North-South Linkages: Stylized Facts and Explanations

IMF Working Paper No. 07/280
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 27 Dec 2007
Çiğdem Akın and M. Ayhan Kose
Johns Hopkins University SAIS International Economics Program and World Bank
Downloads 337 (96,093)
Citation 1

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Working Paper

Changing Nature of North-South Linkages: Stylized Facts and Explanations

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 17 Dec 2007 Last Revised: 07 Feb 2008
Çiğdem Akın and M. Ayhan Kose
Johns Hopkins University SAIS International Economics Program and World Bank
Downloads 292 (112,541)
Citation 1

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Business cycles, emerging markets, growth linkages, north, south, globalization, decoupling, divergence, convergence

9.

International Business Cycles: World, Region, and Country-Specific Factors

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 25 Apr 2000
M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Charles H. Whiteman
World Bank, University of Missouri and Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business
Downloads 609 (47,237)
Citation 56

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Understanding Financial Crises: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

CAMA Working Paper 05/2013
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 19 Jul 2013
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank, European Central Bank (ECB) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 558 (52,180)
Citation 37

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Global financial crisis, sudden stops, debt crises, banking crises, currency crises, defaults, restructuring, welfare cost, asset price busts, credit busts, prediction of crises

Understanding Financial Crises: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9310
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 01 Feb 2013
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank, European Central Bank (ECB) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 20 (582,214)
Citation 1
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asset price busts, banking crises, credit busts, currency crises, debt crises, defaults, global financial crisis, prediction of crises, restructuring, sudden stops, welfare cost

11.

Frontiers of Macrofinancial Linkages

BIS Paper No. 95
Number of pages: 199 Posted: 25 Jan 2018
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 478 (64,190)
Citation 16

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12.
Downloads 423 ( 74,444)
Citation 17

Financial Crises: Explanations, Types and Implications

CAMA Working Paper 06/2013
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 19 Jul 2013
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 229 (144,659)
Citation 11

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Sudden stops, debt crises, banking crises, currency crises, defaults, policy implications, financial restructuring, asset booms, credit booms, crises prediction

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

IMF Working Paper No. 13/28
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 22 Feb 2013
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 186 (176,113)
Citation 2

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Sudden stops, asset booms, banking crises, credit booms, crises prediction., currency crises, debt crises, defaults, financial restructuring, policy implications

Financial Crises: Explanations, Types, and Implications

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9329
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 05 Feb 2013
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 8 (670,477)
Citation 5
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asset booms, banking crises, credit booms, crises prediction, currency crises, debt crises, defaults, financial restructuring, policy implications, Sudden stops

13.
Downloads 387 ( 82,579)
Citation 91

Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?

IZA Working Paper No. 3442
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 23 May 2008
M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 184 (177,870)
Citation 1

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globalization, business cycles, macroeconomic fluctuations, convergence, decoupling

Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 06 Apr 2008
M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 122 (250,280)
Citation 1

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Globalization, Business cycles, Macroeconomic fluctuations, Convergence, Decoupling

Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?

IMF Working Paper No. 08/143
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 21 Sep 2009
M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 48 (434,059)
Citation 2

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Business cycles, Globalization, Developed countries, Developing countries, Spillovers, Economic conditions, Economic integration

Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?

NBER Working Paper No. w14292
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 08 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 22 Jul 2010
M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 19 (589,301)

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Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?

Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2008,17
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 08 Jun 2016
M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 12 (640,312)
Citation 1

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Globalization, Business cycles, Macroeconomic fluctuations, Convergence, Decoupling

Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?

International Economic Review, Vol. 53, Issue 2, pp. 511-538, 2012
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 23 May 2012
M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 2 (722,173)
Citation 17
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14.

The Global Financial Crisis: How Similar? How Different? How Costly?

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 23 Mar 2010
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 332 (98,391)
Citation 9

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Global financial crisis, Similarities, Differences, Cost, Recessions

15.
Downloads 302 (109,205)
Citation 5

Regionalization vs. Globalization

CAMA Working Paper 09/2013
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 19 Jul 2013
Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose and Chris Otrok
Hosei University, World Bank and University of Missouri
Downloads 172 (188,914)

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Business cycles, Comovement, Synchronization, Trade linkages, Financial linkages

Regionalization vs. Globalization

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2013-002A
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 08 Jan 2013
Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose and Chris Otrok
Hosei University, World Bank and University of Missouri
Downloads 79 (335,540)
Citation 3

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business cycles, comovement, synchronization, trade linkages, financial linkages

Regionalization vs. Globalization

IMF Working Paper No. 13/19
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 22 Feb 2013
Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose and Chris Otrok
Hosei University, World Bank and University of Missouri
Downloads 51 (422,518)

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Bilateral trade, Business cycles, Comovement, Cross country analysis, Economic models, Financial linkages, Globalization, Synchronization, Time series, Trade linkages

16.

Dynamics of Open Economy Business Cycle Models: Understanding the Role of the Discount Factor

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 19 May 2000
Sunghyun Henry Kim and M. Ayhan Kose
Sungkyunkwan University - Department of Economics and World Bank
Downloads 287 (115,301)
Citation 6

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17.

Out of the Ballpark: The Global Recession of 2007-08 in Historical Context

Finance & Development, June 2009
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 09 Dec 2009
Prakash Loungani, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 281 (117,979)
Citation 5

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Thresholds in the Process of International Financial Integration

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 5149
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 20 Apr 2016
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Ashley D. Taylor
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and World Bank
Downloads 117 (258,329)
Citation 6

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Debt Markets, Economic Theory & Research, Currencies and Exchange Rates, Emerging Markets, Achieving Shared Growth

Thresholds in the Process of International Financial Integration

IZA Discussion Paper No. 4133
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 28 Apr 2009
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Ashley Taylor
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)
Downloads 63 (381,063)

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financial openness, capital account liberalization, growth, threshold conditions, financial development, institutions, macroeconomic policies

Thresholds in the Process of International Financial Integration

Brookings Global Economy and Development Working Paper No. 35
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 31 May 2009
Eswar S. Prasad, M. Ayhan Kose and Ashley D. Taylor
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 52 (418,844)
Citation 1

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international finance, developing countries, financial institutions, global economics

Thresholds in the Process of International Financial Integration

NBER Working Paper No. w14916
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 29 Apr 2009 Last Revised: 05 May 2009
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Ashley D. Taylor
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and World Bank
Downloads 37 (481,695)

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Dynamics of Business Cycles in Asia: Differences and Similarities

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 21 Jun 2000
Sungkyunkwan University - Department of Economics, World Bank and Brandeis University - International Business School
Downloads 235 (141,012)
Citation 1

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Dynamics of Business Cycles in Asia: Differences and Similarities

Review of Development Economics, Vol. 7, pp. 462-477, August 2003
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 04 Sep 2003
Sungkyunkwan University - Department of Economics, World Bank and Brandeis University - International Business School
Downloads 28 (529,535)
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20.

How Has NAFTA Affected the Mexican Economy? Review and Evidence

IMF Working Paper No. 04/59
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Guy Meredith and Christopher Towe
World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 251 (132,597)
Citation 2

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NAFTA, Mexico, Growth, Trade, Regional Trade, Business Cycles

21.
Downloads 246 (135,320)
Citation 26

Financial Cycles: What? How? When?

IMF Working Paper No. 11/76
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 13 Apr 2011
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 239 (138,710)
Citation 1

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Business cycles, Capital markets, Credit, Demand, Developed countries, Housing prices, Stock prices

Financial Cycles: What? How? When?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8379
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 19 May 2011
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 7 (678,061)
Citation 14
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asset busts, credit booms, credit cycles, crunches, equity prices, house prices

Negative Interest Rate Policies: Sources and Implications

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7791
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 09 Sep 2016
World Bank, Development Prospects Group, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 143 (220,891)

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Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Industrial Economics, Consumption, Economic Conditions and Volatility, Economic Theory & Research, Economic Growth

Negative Interest Rate Policies: Sources and Implications

CAMA Working Paper No. 52/2016
Number of pages: 73 Posted: 25 Aug 2016
World Bank, Development Prospects Group, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 99 (290,770)

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Unconventional Monetary Policy, Quantitative Easing; Bank Profitability, Financial Stability, Negative Yields, Event Study, Emerging Markets, Developing Countries

Negative Interest Rate Policies: Sources and Implications

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11433
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 16 Aug 2016
World Bank, Development Prospects Group, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (736,422)
Citation 4
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developing countries, emerging markets, event study, financial stability, negative yields, quantitative easing; bank profitability, Unconventional Monetary Policy

23.

Can World Real Interest Rates Explain Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy?

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 94
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 20 Feb 2000
William F. Blankenau, M. Ayhan Kose and Kei-Mu Yi
Kansas State University - Department of Economics, World Bank and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 239 (139,235)
Citation 7

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world interest rates, business cycles, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, small open economy

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Brookings Global Economy and Development Working Paper No. 32
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 23 Jan 2009
Eswar S. Prasad, Marco E. Terrones and M. Ayhan Kose
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank
Downloads 106 (277,407)
Citation 18

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global economics, financial markets, economic development, globalization, financial openness

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

IMF Working Paper No. 08/242
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 18 Dec 2008
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 97 (294,738)

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Capital flows, Productivity, Production growth, Capital account, Foreign direct investment, Development, Debt, Economic models

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

NBER Working Paper No. w14558
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 15 Jan 2009 Last Revised: 17 Mar 2010
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 30 (517,864)

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25.

Trade Shocks and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Africa

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 203
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 18 Nov 1998
M. Ayhan Kose and Raymond G. Riezman
World Bank and Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business
Downloads 221 (150,239)
Citation 3

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Trade shocks, dynamic stochastic quantitative trade model, African economies

26.

The Trade Comovement Problem in International Macroeconomics

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 155
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 04 Apr 2003
M. Ayhan Kose and Kei-Mu Yi
World Bank and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 216 (153,484)
Citation 19

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international trade, international business cycles, comovement, stochastic dynamic business cycle model, synchronization

27.
Downloads 212 (156,188)
Citation 2

Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey

BIS Working Paper No. 676
Number of pages: 106 Posted: 11 Dec 2017
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 115 (261,551)

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equity prices, exchange rates, house prices, interest rates, credit, output, consumption, investment, real-financial linkages, macrofinancial linkages, imperfections, frictions

Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8259
Number of pages: 98 Posted: 01 Dec 2017
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 64 (377,787)

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Macroeconomic Management, Economic Forecasting, Rural Labor Markets, Governance Diagnostic Capacity Building

Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey

CAMA Working Paper No. 76/2017
Number of pages: 98 Posted: 01 Dec 2017
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 33 (501,660)

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equity prices, exchange rates, house prices, interest rates, credit, output, consumption, investment, real-financial linkages, macro-financial linkages, imperfections, frictions

Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12460
Number of pages: 99 Posted: 01 Dec 2017
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 2
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asset prices, equity prices, frictions, imperfections, macro-financial linkages, real-financial linkages

Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?

CAMA Working Paper 1/2016
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 14 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 22 Jan 2016
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 200 (164,729)
Citation 12

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Emerging markets, growth slowdown, policy space, monetary policy, fiscal policy, structural reforms

Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11065
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 27 Jan 2016
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (736,422)
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emerging markets, fiscal policy, growth slowdown, monetary policy, policy space, structural reforms

29.

Understanding the Evolution of World Business Cycles

IMF Working Paper No. 05/211
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Charles H. Whiteman
World Bank, University of Missouri and Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business
Downloads 197 (167,282)
Citation 15

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International business cycles, globalization, transmission of macroeconomic fluctuations

30.

How Do Trade and Financial Integration Affect the Relationship between Growth and Volatility

IZA Discussion Paper No. 2252
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 08 Sep 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 189 (173,677)
Citation 5

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globalization, international trade and financial linkages, macroeconomic

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

CAMA Working Paper No. 34/2016
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 16 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 145 (218,458)

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Fiscal Space, Fiscal Policy, Developing Economies, Growth Slowdown, Fiscal Rules, Stabilization Funds, Expenditure Frameworks

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7725
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 19 Jul 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 42 (458,983)

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Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions and Volatility, Consumption, Industrial Economics, Economic Theory & Research

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11347
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 27 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 1
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developing economies, expenditure frameworks, fiscal rules, Fiscal space, growth slowdown, stabilization funds

Macroeconomic Implications of Financial Imperfections: A Survey

BIS Working Paper No. 677
Number of pages: 124 Posted: 11 Dec 2017
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 124 (247,170)

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asset prices, balance sheets, credit, financial accelerator, financial intermediation, financial linkages, international linkages, leverage, liquidity, macrofinancial linkages, output, real-financial linkages

Macroeconomic Implications of Financial Imperfections: A Survey

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8260
Number of pages: 116 Posted: 01 Dec 2017
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 45 (446,192)

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Macroeconomic Management, Economic Forecasting, Governance Diagnostic Capacity Building

Macroeconomic Implications of Financial Imperfections: A Survey

CAMA Working Paper No. 75/2017
Number of pages: 116 Posted: 01 Dec 2017
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
Downloads 16 (610,481)

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asset prices, balance sheets, credit, financial accelerator, financial intermediation, financial linkages, international linkages, leverage, liquidity, macro-financial linkages, output, real-financial linkages

Macroeconomic Implications of Financial Imperfections: A Survey

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12461
Number of pages: 117 Posted: 01 Dec 2017
Stijn Claessens and M. Ayhan Kose
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and World Bank
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macro-financial linkages; real-financial linkages; financial accelerator

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Contribute to Productivity Growth?

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 22 Jul 2008
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 96 (296,758)
Citation 4

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Financial opennes, capital account liberalization, capital flows, external assets and liabilities, foreign direct investment, portfolio equity, debt, total factor productivity

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Contribute to Productivity Growth?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 3634
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 11 Aug 2008
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 84 (323,234)

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financial openness, capital account liberalization, capital flows, external assets and liabilities, foreign direct investment, portfolio equity, debt, total factor productivity

Can the Standard International Business Cycle Model Explain the Relation between Trade and Comovement?

IMF Working Paper No. 05/204
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
M. Ayhan Kose and Kei-Mu Yi
World Bank and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 87 (316,222)
Citation 1

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international trade, international business cycle comovement

Can the Standard International Business Cycle Model Explain the Relation between Trade and Comovement?

FRB Philadelphia Working Paper No. 05-3
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 16 May 2005
M. Ayhan Kose and Kei-Mu Yi
World Bank and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Downloads 69 (362,818)
Citation 26

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International trade, International business cycle comovement

35.

Small Countries and Preferential Trade Agreements 'How Severe is the Innocent Bystander Problem?'

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 253
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 22 Jun 2000
M. Ayhan Kose and Raymond G. Riezman
World Bank and Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business
Downloads 142 (221,607)
Citation 1

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Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

IMF Working Paper No. 11/25
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 07 Feb 2011
World Bank, University of Maryland - Department of Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 108 (273,754)
Citation 2

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Business cycles, Cross country analysis, Globalization, Group of seven

NBER Working Paper No. w16264
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 16 Aug 2010 Last Revised: 15 Jun 2020
University of Maryland - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 27 (535,546)

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37.

Emerging Markets Come of Age

Finance and Development, p. 7, December 2010
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 18 Dec 2010
M. Ayhan Kose and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 130 (237,628)

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38.

Sources of Fluctuations: The Case of MENA

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 05 Oct 2005
Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose and Sunghyun Henry Kim
Hosei University, World Bank and Sungkyunkwan University - Department of Economics
Downloads 128 (240,495)

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MENA, business cycles, macroeconomic fluctuations, globalization, emerging markets

Capital Inflows: Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses

IMF Working Paper No. 09/40
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 23 Mar 2009
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Policy Development and Review Department and World Bank
Downloads 120 (253,424)
Citation 2

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Working Papers

Capital Inflows: Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses

Economic Systems, Vol. 34, No. 4, 2010
Posted: 30 Jul 2011
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Policy Development and Review Department and World Bank

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Capital inflows, Sudden stops, Crises, Sterilization, Capital controls

40.

How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?

IMF Working Paper No. 11/88
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 26 Apr 2011
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 116 (258,810)

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Business cycles, Economic models, Economic recession, Economic recovery, Financial sector, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy

41.

The Coming US Interest Rate Tightening Cycle: Smooth Sailing or Stormy Waters?

CAMA Working Paper No. 37/2015
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 12 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 13 Oct 2015
World Bank, Development Prospects Group, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 108 (272,237)
Citation 10

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Federal Reserve, liftoff, tightening, interest rates, monetary policy, emerging markets, frontier markets, capital flows, sudden stops, crises

42.

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy An Empirical Exploration

IMF Working Paper No. 03/246
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 108 (272,237)
Citation 3

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Business cycles macroeconomic fluctuations volatility correlations globalization

Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants

IMF Working Paper No. 13/38
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 22 Feb 2013
Hosei University, World Bank, University of Missouri and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 65 (374,771)
Citation 1

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Asset prices, Business cycles, Developed countries, Housing prices, Time series, business cycles, central bank, contractionary monetary policy, exchange rates, financial cycles, financial integration, financial intermediation, financial markets, global financial crisis, global financial markets, global liquidity, global real estate, globalization, globalization period, globalization periods, inflation, interest rates, international financial, international financial markets, long-term interest rates, monetary economics, monetary fund, monetary policy, monetary policy decisions, monetary shock, monetary shocks, transmission of monetary policy

Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants

CAMA Working Paper 07/2013
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 19 Jul 2013
Hosei University, World Bank, University of Missouri and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 29 (523,615)
Citation 3

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Monetary policy, interest rates, business cycles, financial cycles

Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants

NBER Working Paper No. w18362
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 08 Sep 2012
Hosei University, World Bank, University of Missouri and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 11 (647,770)
Citation 11

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44.

The Global Role of the U.S. Economy: Linkages, Policies and Spillovers

CAMA Working Paper No. 13/2017
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 10 Feb 2017
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 104 (279,450)
Citation 7

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United States, Uncertainty, Trade, Business Cycles, Global Economy

How Different is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries?

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 29 Jan 2002
William F. Blankenau and M. Ayhan Kose
Kansas State University - Department of Economics and World Bank
Downloads 59 (394,078)

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Business cycles, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, open economy, labor hours

How Different is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries?

IMF Working Paper No. 06/46
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 23 Mar 2006
William F. Blankenau and M. Ayhan Kose
Kansas State University - Department of Economics and World Bank
Downloads 45 (446,192)

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Business cycles, home (non-market), production, general equilibrium

46.
Downloads 96 (294,631)
Citation 10

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7724
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2016
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 71 (357,138)

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Industrial Economics, Consumption, Economic Theory & Research, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions and Volatility

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CAMA Working Paper No. 35/2016
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 16 Jun 2016
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 25 (548,358)

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Fiscal Multipliers, Fiscal Position, State-Dependency, Ricardian Channel, Interest Rate Channel, Business Cycle

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11346
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 27 Jun 2016
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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Citation 10
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Fiscal multipliers; Fiscal position; State-dependency; Ricardian channel; Interest rate channel; Business cycle

47.

Fiscal Space: Concept, Measurement, and Policy Implications

World Bank Research and Policy Briefs No. 132195
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 29 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 27 Apr 2020
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 93 (300,688)
Citation 4

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Public Sector Economics, Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Economic Adjustment and Lending, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Economic Growth, Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Labor Markets

Remittances Over the Business Cycle: Theory and Evidence

CAMA Working Paper No. 13/2016
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 30 Mar 2016
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 91 (307,169)
Citation 4

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remittances, business cycles, acyclical, sudden stops, risk sharing

Remittances Over the Business Cycle: Theory and Evidence

Economic Notes, Vol. 48, Issue 3, pp. n/a-n/a, 2019
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 14 May 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department
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acyclical, business cycles, remittances, sudden stops

49.

Economic Integration, Business Cycle, and Productivity in North America

IMF Working Paper No. 04/138
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
M. Ayhan Kose
World Bank
Downloads 87 (313,572)

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Canada, United States, Business cycles, Productivity, NAFTA, CUSFTA, Regional Trade

50.
Downloads 76 (339,907)
Citation 3

Debt and Financial Crises

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9116
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 23 Jan 2020 Last Revised: 24 Jan 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 48 (434,059)
Citation 3

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Debt and Financial Crises

CAMA Working Paper No. 9/2020
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 12 Feb 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 28 (529,535)

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financial crises, currency crises, debt crises, banking crises, public debt, private debt, external debt

Debt and Financial Crises

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14442
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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banking crises, Currency Crises, Debt crises, External Debt, financial crises, private debt, public debt

Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries

NBER Working Paper No. w10942
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 26 May 2012
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics, Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics and World Bank
Downloads 40 (467,946)
Citation 6

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Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4772
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 15 Feb 2005
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics, Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics and World Bank
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Globalization, international financial linkages, macroeconomic volatility, growth

52.

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

CAMA Working Paper No. 19/2017
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 08 Mar 2017
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 74 (345,125)

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emerging markets, developing economies, investment slowdown, policy space, infrastructure investment, monetary policy, fiscal policy, structural reforms

53.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8157
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 03 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2017
World Bank, World Bank - Development Prospects Group, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 73 (347,738)

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Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Economic Insecurity, Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring, Public Sector Economics, Debt Markets, Economic Adjustment and Lending, External Debt

54.

Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective

IMF Working Paper No. 10/261
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 01 Feb 2011
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Middle East and Central Asia Department, affiliation not provided to SSRN, World Bank and University of Missouri
Downloads 73 (347,738)
Citation 10

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Business cycles, Capital markets, Credit, Cross country analysis, Economic models, Economic recession, External shocks, Group of seven, Time series, United States

55.

Recessions and Financial Disruptions in Emerging Markets: A Bird's Eye View

Central Bank of Chile Working Paper No. 585
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 17 Jul 2010
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 67 (364,332)
Citation 3

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Business cycles, Emerging Markets, Recessions, Financial Disruptions

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8093
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 13 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 40 (467,946)

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How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

CAMA Working Paper No. 37/2017
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 May 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 21 (575,397)

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Business cycles, spillovers, external shocks, China, EM7, G7

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12022
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 08 May 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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Citation 9
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Business Cycles, China, EM7, external shocks, G7, Spillovers

57.

Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2015-31
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 20 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 03 Jan 2019
Bentley University - Department of Economics, World Bank, University of Missouri and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division
Downloads 58 (391,734)
Citation 5

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principal components, Kalman filter, data augmentation, business cycles

58.
Downloads 51 (415,494)
Citation 3

Global Recessions

CAMA Working Paper No. 10/2020
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 12 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Naotaka Sugawara and Marco E Terrones
World Bank, World Bank and Department of Economics and Finance, Universidad del Pacifico
Downloads 50 (426,315)
Citation 3

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global economy, global expansion, global recession, global recovery, synchronization of cycles, financial markets, real activity

Global Recessions

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14397
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 11 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Naotaka Sugawara and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, World Bank and Universidad del Pacifico
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financial markets, global economy, global expansion, global recovery, Real activity, synchronization of cycles

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8761
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 01 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 09 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 34 (496,452)

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Inflation, Macroeconomic Management, Inequality, Financial Structures, International Trade and Trade Rules

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

CAMA Working Paper No. 22/2019
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 14 (625,222)

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Prices, Inflation, Monetary Systems, Monetary Policy, Globalization

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13608
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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Globalization, inflation, monetary policy, Monetary Systems, prices

60.

Gyrations in Financial Markets

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 48 (426,446)
Citation 1

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Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7990
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 13 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 45 (446,192)

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Economic Growth, Economic Theory & Research, Consumption, Industrial Economics, Fiscal & Monetary Policy

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11886
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 16 Mar 2017
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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Citation 6
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emerging markets, infrastructure investment, investment slowdown, policies, policy space

62.
Downloads 43 (445,869)

Global Inflation Synchronization

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8768
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 09 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 29 (523,615)

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Global Inflation Synchronization

CAMA Working Paper No. 24/2019
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 15 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 14 (625,222)

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global inflation, synchronization, dynamic factor model, advanced economies, emerging markets, developing economies

Global Inflation Synchronization

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13600
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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Advanced economies, developing economies, Dynamic factor model, emerging markets, Global inflation, Synchronization

63.

The Global Role of the U.S. Economy: Linkages, Policies and Spillovers

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7962
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 08 Feb 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 41 (454,020)

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International Trade and Trade Rules

How Does the Sensitivity of Consumption to Income Vary Over Time? International Evidence

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7659
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 17 May 2016
Ergys Islamaj and M. Ayhan Kose
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 27 (535,546)

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Consumption, Debt Markets, Inequality, Economic Theory & Research, Emerging Markets

How Does the Sensitivity of Consumption to Income Vary Over Time? International Evidence

CAMA Working Paper No. 22/2016
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 04 May 2016
Ergys Islamaj and M. Ayhan Kose
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 10 (655,212)

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Consumption Sensitivity, Financial Integration, Risk Sharing, Intertemporal Smoothing

65.

What are the Driving Forces of International Business Cycles?

NBER Working Paper No. w14380
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2010
Mario J. Crucini, M. Ayhan Kose and Chris Otrok
Vanderbilt University - College of Arts and Science - Department of Economics, World Bank and University of Missouri
Downloads 37 (471,118)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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66.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years after the Global Recession

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9148
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 14 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 15 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 35 (480,109)

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67.

Global Recessions

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9172
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 05 Mar 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Naotaka Sugawara and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 34 (484,793)

Abstract:

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68.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8784
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 26 Mar 2019
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 32 (494,443)

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Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Public Sector Economics, Economic Adjustment and Lending, Macroeconomics and Economic Growth, Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Macroeconomic Management, Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring

69.
Downloads 30 (504,523)
Citation 3

Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8785
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 26 Mar 2019
World Bank, World Bank, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) - Department of Economics and World Bank
Downloads 29 (523,615)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Inflation, Macroeconomic Management, Financial Structures, International Trade and Trade Rules, Public Sector Economics, Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Economic Adjustment and Lending, Macro-Fiscal Policy

Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13601
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
World Bank, World Bank, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) - Department of Economics and World Bank
Downloads 1 (736,422)
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developing economies, emerging markets, inflation, Inflation expectations, monetary policy

70.

Understanding the Welfare Implications of Preferential Trade Agreements

Review of International Economics, Vol. 8, pp. 619-633, November 2000
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 01 Jul 2004
M. Ayhan Kose and Raymond G. Riezman
World Bank and Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business
Downloads 28 (515,172)
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71.

Can this Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9178
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 26 (526,410)

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72.

Small Countries and Preferential Trade Agreements: How Severe is the Innocent Bystander Problem?

Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 7, pp. 279-304, 2002
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 15 Feb 2003
M. Ayhan Kose and Raymond G. Riezman
World Bank and Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business
Downloads 26 (526,410)
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73.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years After the Global Recession

CAMA Working Paper No. 13/2020
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 21 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 24 (538,422)

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economic integration, international business cycles, financial crises, macroeconomic policy

74.
Downloads 22 (550,689)
Citation 6

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9177
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 11 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 18 (596,375)
Citation 4

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Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

CAMA Working Paper No. 24/2020
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 17 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 4 (701,897)

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Potential growth, potential output, advanced economies, emerging market and developing economies.

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14527
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 25 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 06 May 2020
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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Advanced economies, emerging market and developing economies, Potential growth, Potential Output

Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

CAMA Working Paper No. 12/2020
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 19 Feb 2020
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 16 (610,481)

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global business cycles, global financial cycles, common shocks, international spillovers, dynamic factor models

Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13000
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 02 Mar 2020
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 3 (710,933)

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global business cycles, global financial cycles, common shocks, international spillovers, dynamic factor models

Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

NBER Working Paper No. w26798
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 02 Mar 2020
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
Downloads 2 (722,173)
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Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14404
Number of pages: 83 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Eswar S. Prasad
World Bank, World Bank, University of Missouri and Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
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Common Shocks, Dynamic factor models, Global business cycles, global financial cycles, International spillovers

Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9166
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 29 Feb 2020
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 18 (596,375)
Citation 1

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Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14439
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 3
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debt sustainability, fiscal balance, Government Debt, optimal debt level, private debt

77.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

CAMA Working Paper No. 48/2017
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 04 Aug 2017
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 14 (601,939)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Fiscal policy, sovereign debt, fiscal deficit, private debt, financial crises, oil prices.

78.

Can this Time be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

CAMA Working Paper No. 23/2020
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 17 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 11 (622,443)

Abstract:

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Financial crises, currency crises, debt crises, banking crises, public debt, private debt, external debt.

79.

How Might CAFTA Change Macroeconomic fluctuations in Central America? Lessons From NAFTA

Journal of Asian Economics, Vol. 16, 2005
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 28 Oct 2019
Alessandro Rebucci and M. Ayhan Kose
Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School and World Bank
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Macroeconomic fluctuations, Regional integration, Volatility, NAFTA, CAFTA

80.

How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8396
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 26 May 2011
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 6 (657,366)
Citation 37
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asset busts, booms, credit crunches, financial crises, recessions, recoveries

81.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CAMA Working Paper No. 28/2019
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
International Monetary Fund, World Bank, ESSEC Business School and World Bank
Downloads 4 (672,056)
Citation 3

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fiscal multipliers, fiscal position, state-dependency, Ricardian channel, interest rate channel, business cycle

82.

Can this Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14528
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 25 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 06 May 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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banking crises, Currency Crises, Debt crises, External Debt, financial crises, private debt, public debt

83.

Implications of Negative Interest Rate Policies: An Early Assessment

Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 23, Issue 1, pp. 8-26, 2018
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 20 Feb 2018
World Bank, Development Prospects Group, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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Citation 4
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84.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years after the Global Recession

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14405
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
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economic integration, financial crises, International Business Cycles, Macroeconomic Policy

85.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13648
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 09 Apr 2019
International Monetary Fund, World Bank, ESSEC Business School and World Bank
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Fiscal multipliers, fiscal position, interest rate, Ricardian channel, state-dependency

86.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12196
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 11 Aug 2017
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
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Citation 13
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financial crises, fiscal deficit, Fiscal policy, oil prices, private debt, Sovereign debt

87.

From the Global to the National Cycle: An Intricate Liaison

Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 18, Issue 3, pp. 370-402, 2013
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 06 Aug 2013
M. Ayhan Kose, Prakash Loungani and Marco E. Terrones
World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
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88.

Integration and Fluctuations: The Case of MENA

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Vol. 40, No. 6, pp. 48-67, November-December 2004
Posted: 18 Oct 2005
Hideaki Hirata, Sunghyun Henry Kim and M. Ayhan Kose
Hosei University, Sungkyunkwan University - Department of Economics and World Bank

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Business cycles, globalization, macroeconomic fluctuations, MENA

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90.

Understanding the Welfare Implications of "Preferential Trade Agreements"

Posted: 06 Aug 1998
M. Ayhan Kose and Raymond G. Riezman
World Bank and Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business

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91.

External Shocks and Economic Dynamics: The Case of African Countries

University of Iowa Working Paper No. 155
Posted: 08 May 1998
M. Ayhan Kose and Raymond G. Riezman
World Bank and Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business

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