Jack B. Soll

Duke University - Management

Professor

Box 90120

Durham, NC 27708-0120

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

9

DOWNLOADS
Rank 17,870

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 17,870

in Total Papers Downloads

5,736

TOTAL CITATIONS
Rank 17,872

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 17,872

in Total Papers Citations

32

Scholarly Papers (9)

1.

A User's Guide to Debiasing

Wiley-Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, Gideon Keren and George Wu (Editors), Forthcoming
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 19 Jun 2014 Last Revised: 20 Jun 2014
Duke University - Management, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and Duke University - Marketing
Downloads 3,074 (8,479)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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judgment, decision making, bias, debiasing, nudges

2.

Extracting the Wisdom of Crowds When Information Is Shared

Management Science, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 28 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 02 Jan 2018
Asa Palley and Jack B. Soll
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Operation & Decision Technologies and Duke University - Management
Downloads 748 (69,899)
Citation 8

Abstract:

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Judgment Aggregation, Wisdom of Crowds, Forecasting, Shared Information

3.

Social Comparison and Confidence: When Thinking You're Better than Average Predicts Overconfidence

Ross School of Business Paper No. 1016
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 30 Mar 2006 Last Revised: 12 Nov 2012
University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business, Duke University - Fuqua School of Business and Duke University - Management
Downloads 544 (104,892)
Citation 15

Abstract:

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overconfidence,better than average,accuracy,hard-easy effects

4.

Overconfidence in Probability Distributions: People Know They Don’t Know but They Don’t Know What to Do About It

Management Science, Forthcoming , Kelley School of Business Research Paper No. 19-46
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 14 Aug 2019 Last Revised: 27 Nov 2023
Jack B. Soll, Asa Palley, Joshua Klayman and Don Moore
Duke University - Management, Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Operation & Decision Technologies, University of Chicago - Booth School of Business and University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business
Downloads 511 (113,277)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Overconfidence, Subjective Probability Distributions, Epistemic Uncertainty, Aleatory Uncertainty, Judgment Elicitation, Calibration

5.

The Detrimental Effects of Power on Confidence, Advice Taking, and Accuracy

Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Vol. 116, No. 2, pp. 272-285, November 2011
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 07 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 02 Oct 2014
University of Colorado at Denver - Business School, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Lehigh University and Duke University - Management
Downloads 438 (136,267)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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advice, power, judgment and decision making, confidence, performance-accuracy, multi-method, behavioral

6.

The Bad Thing About Good Advice: Understanding When and How Advice Exacerbates Overconfidence

Management Science, 2020
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 09 Dec 2020
Jack B. Soll, Asa Palley and Christina Rader
Duke University - Management, Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Operation & Decision Technologies and Colorado College - Department of Economics and Business
Downloads 256 (243,350)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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advice taking, accuracy, overconfidence, judgment and decision making

7.

Individual differences in overconfidence and their psychological bases

Number of pages: 72 Posted: 20 Sep 2023
Decision Sciences Area, INSEAD, Duke University - Fuqua School of Business and Duke University - Management
Downloads 120 (473,201)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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overconfidence, calibration, individual differences

8.

The Overconfidence Test (OCT): A parsimonious measure of trait-level overconfidence

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 17 Jul 2024 Last Revised: 29 Nov 2024
Decision Sciences Area, INSEAD, Duke University - Fuqua School of Business and Duke University - Management
Downloads 45 (816,279)

Abstract:

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9.

Intuitions About Combining Opinions: Misappreciation of the Averaging Principle

Management Science, Vol. 52, pp. 111-127, 2006
Posted: 10 Mar 2006
Richard P. Larrick and Jack B. Soll
Duke University - Fuqua School of Business and Duke University - Management

Abstract:

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averaging, combining opinions, forecasts, Surowiecki, aggregation, group decision making