Christopher Karvetski

affiliation not provided to SSRN

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

2

DOWNLOADS

372

SSRN CITATIONS

4

CROSSREF CITATIONS

3

Scholarly Papers (2)

1.

Forecasting the Accuracy of Forecasters from Properties of Forecasting Rationales

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 17 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 27 Mar 2021
affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania, Psychology and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 334 (125,818)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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geopolitical forecasting, psycholinguistic vocabularies, integrative complexity, comparison class, natural language processing, LIWC

2.

Probabilistic Coherence Weighting for Optimizing Expert Forecasts

Decision Analysis, 10(4), 305-326
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 21 Mar 2014
Christopher Karvetski, Kenneth Olson, David Mandel and Charles Twardy
affiliation not provided to SSRN, George Mason University, DRDC, Toronto Research Centre and George Mason University
Downloads 38 (576,421)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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probabilistic coherence, forecast aggregation, crowdsourcing, linear opinion pool, fifty–fifty blip, practice