Ray C. Fair

Yale University - Cowles Foundation

John M. Musser Professor of Economics, Cowles Foundation

Box 208281

New Haven, CT 06520-8281

United States

http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu

Yale School of Management - International Center for Finance

Box 208200

New Haven, CT 06520

United States

http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

80

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in Total Papers Downloads

13,438

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 2,246

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Top 2,246

in Total Papers Citations

59

CROSSREF CITATIONS

430

Scholarly Papers (80)

1.

Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates

Yale SOM Working Paper No. ICF - 00-26
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 Feb 2001
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 1,222 (16,763)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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2.

Risk Aversion and Stock Prices

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 02-36, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1382
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 10 Oct 2002
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 1,117 (19,187)

Abstract:

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Risk Aversion, Stock Prices

3.
Downloads 706 ( 36,850)
Citation 16

Events that Shook the Market

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 00-01; Yale SOM Working Paper No. ICF - 00-01
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 12 Sep 2000
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 706 (36,289)
Citation 16

Abstract:

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Events that Shook the Market

Journal of Business, Vol. 75, No. 4, October 2002
Posted: 21 Nov 2003
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation

Abstract:

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4.

The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 00-38
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 13 Jun 2001
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 666 (39,878)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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5.

Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1525; Yale ICF Working Paper No. 05-21
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 22 Jun 2005
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 653 (40,974)

Abstract:

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equilibrium, natural concepts

6.

On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1300
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 20 Jun 2001
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 648 (41,408)

Abstract:

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7.

Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 00-69, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1345
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 Jan 2002
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 631 (42,943)

Abstract:

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Bootstrapping, Stochastic Simulation

Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 09-22
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 29 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 27 Oct 2009
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 285 (110,415)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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federal deficit, federal debt

Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1727
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 22 Feb 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 209 (151,342)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Federal deficit, Federal debt

9.

Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 01-39, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1298
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 20 Jun 2001
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 456 (64,881)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Monetary Policy, Interest Rate Rules

10.

Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 02-48, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1388
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 21 Dec 2002
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 431 (69,423)

Abstract:

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New Economy, Stability Tests

11.
Downloads 420 ( 71,660)
Citation 6

Has Macro Progressed?

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1728
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 28 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 19 Jul 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 265 (119,260)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Macro process

Has Macro Progressed?

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 09-21
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 30 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 27 Oct 2009
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 155 (198,156)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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macro progress

12.

College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 02-35, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1381
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 10 Oct 2002
Ray C. Fair and John F. Oster
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Choate Rosemary Hall
Downloads 402 (75,462)

Abstract:

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Football Rankings, Predictive Information

Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1570, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 06-23
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 19 Jul 2006
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 346 (89,094)

Abstract:

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Inflation targeting, Interest rate rules, Optimal control

Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model

Economics Discussion Paper No. 2007-14
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 29 Nov 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 29 (503,896)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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inflation targeting, interest rate rules, optimal control

Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model

Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Vol. 1, 2007-8
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 18 Dec 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 19 (567,503)

Abstract:

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inflation targeting, interest rate rules, optimal control

14.

Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1706, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 10
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 11 Jun 2009 Last Revised: 14 Aug 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 352 (88,024)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Macroeconomic forecasting, Recessions, Booms

15.

Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1634, Yale Economics Department Working Paper No. 32, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 07-19
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 03 Jan 2008
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 301 (104,680)

Abstract:

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Term structure equations, Expectations theory

16.

Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 04-43, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1495
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 24 Nov 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 300 (105,065)

Abstract:

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17.

A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best?

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1577, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 06-24
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 13 Sep 2006
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 292 (108,189)

Abstract:

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Federal chairmen, optimal control, economic performance

18.

Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1635, Yale Economics Department Working Paper No. 33, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 07-18
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 03 Jan 2008
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 279 (113,613)

Abstract:

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Exchange rate equations, Uncovered interest rate parity

19.

Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 00-41
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 20 Jun 2001
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 270 (117,530)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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20.

Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1755
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 11 Mar 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 265 (119,861)

Abstract:

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Yuan appreciation

21.

Branch Rickey's Equation Fifty Years Later

ICF Working Paper No. 05-25, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1529
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Jul 2005
Ray C. Fair and Danielle Catambay
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Yale School of Management
Downloads 225 (141,320)

Abstract:

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Branch Rickey's equation, on-base percentage

22.

Estimated Age Effects in Baseball

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1536
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 19 Oct 2005
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 207 (152,951)

Abstract:

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Aging, baseball performance

23.

Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1497; Yale ICF Working Paper No. 04-49
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 20 Jan 2005
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 189 (166,432)

Abstract:

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fiscal policy, monetary policy

24.

Reflections on Macro-Econometric Modeling

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1908
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 10 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 27 Mar 2014
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 187 (167,998)

Abstract:

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macro-econometric modeling

25.

The Financial Crisis and Macroeconomic Activity: 2008-2013

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1944
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 29 Mar 2014 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2015
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 184 (170,488)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Financial crisis, Wealth effects

26.

Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 04-44; Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1496
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 24 Nov 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 149 (204,414)

Abstract:

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27.

Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1579, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 06-25, Journal of Political Economy, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 19 Sep 2006
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 146 (207,915)

Abstract:

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Election polls, Predictive uncertainty

28.
Downloads 119 (243,815)
Citation 1

Some Important Macro Points

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2165
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 19 Feb 2019
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 69 (348,721)

Abstract:

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Macro models, Macro properties

Some Important Macro Points

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2165R, July 2019
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 07 Aug 2019
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 50 (410,107)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Macro models, Macro properties

What it Takes to Solve the U.S. Government Deficit Problem

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1807
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 09 Jul 2011 Last Revised: 16 May 2012
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 116 (249,606)

Abstract:

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Federal deficit, Debt/GDP ratio

What it Takes to Solve the U.S. Government Deficit Problem

Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 30, Issue 4, pp. 618-628, 2012
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 06 Oct 2012
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 1 (708,902)
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Abstract:

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30.
Downloads 107 (262,940)
Citation 23

Presidential and Congressional Vote-Share Equations

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1602
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 Feb 2007
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 55 (392,396)

Abstract:

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Vote-share equations, Coattail effects

Presidential and Congressional Vote-Share Equations

European Journal of Political Economy, Forthcoming, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 07-01
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 Feb 2007
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 52 (402,850)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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vote-share equations, coattail effects

Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1756
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 11 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 20 May 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 83 (312,916)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Stimulus effects, Government spending multipliers

Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill

Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 28, Issue 4, pp. 439-452, October 2010
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 15 Sep 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 1 (708,902)
Citation 2
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Abstract:

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32.

Is Fiscal Stimulus a Good Idea?

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1861
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 10 May 2012 Last Revised: 27 Mar 2014
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 75 (329,119)

Abstract:

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Fiscal stimulus, Multipliers

33.

A World Macro Saving Fact and an Explanation

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1776
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 05 Jan 2011
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 72 (336,717)

Abstract:

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Financial saving, World economy

34.

How Might a Central Bank Report Uncertainty?

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1943
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Mar 2014
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 67 (350,220)

Abstract:

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Central Bank, Uncertainty, Stochastic Simulation

35.

Actual Federal Reserve Policy Behavior and Interest Rate Rules

Economic Policy Review, Vol. 7, No. 1, March 2001
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 10 Nov 2005
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 60 (370,559)

Abstract:

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monetary policy, reaction functions

36.

Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale

NBER Working Paper No. w2095
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 03 May 2004
Yale University - Cowles Foundation, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy
Downloads 56 (383,135)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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37.

Estimated Costs of Contact in Men's Collegiate Sports

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2101
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 23 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 16 Mar 2018
Ray C. Fair and Christopher Champa
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Yale University, Students
Downloads 55 (386,393)

Abstract:

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Sports Injuries, Collegiate Sports

38.

The Optimal Distribution of Income Revisited

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2031
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 23 Mar 2016
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 49 (406,639)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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optimal taxation; income distribution

39.

Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models: Comment

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2166
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 19 Feb 2019
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 45 (421,298)

Abstract:

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DSGE models, Macro data

40.

How Should the FED Report Uncertainty?

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1864
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 28 Jun 2012
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 44 (425,054)

Abstract:

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Forecasting uncertainty, Fed policy

41.

Estimated Costs of Contact in College and High School Male Sports

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2101R
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 10 Oct 2017 Last Revised: 16 Mar 2018
Ray C. Fair and Christopher Champa
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Yale University, Students
Downloads 41 (436,761)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Sports Injuries, Collegiate Sports

42.

The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts

NBER Working Paper No. w2503
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 16 Jul 2004
Ray C. Fair and Robert J. Shiller
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 40 (440,934)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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43.

Explaining the Slow U.S.Recovery: 2010–2017

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2124
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 15 Mar 2018
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 38 (449,279)

Abstract:

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44.

Wealth Effects on World Private Financial Saving

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1974
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 19 Dec 2014
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 38 (449,279)

Abstract:

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Financial saving, World economy, Wealth effects

45.

Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation

NBER Working Paper No. w2233
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 04 Jan 2007 Last Revised: 10 Aug 2010
Ray C. Fair and Robert J. Shiller
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 38 (449,279)

Abstract:

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46.

U.S. Infrastructure: 1929-2017

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2187, July 2019
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 07 Aug 2019
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 33 (471,089)

Abstract:

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Infrastructure

47.

Information Limits of Aggregate Data

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2011
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 14 Jul 2015
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 32 (475,739)

Abstract:

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Aggregate data, Macro models

48.

The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics

NBER Working Paper No. w3990
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Jul 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 31 (480,582)

Abstract:

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49.

Estimating Aging Effects in Running Events

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2100
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 20 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 16 Mar 2018
Ray C. Fair and Edward H. Kaplan
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Yale School of Management
Downloads 30 (485,552)

Abstract:

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Aging Effects, Running Events

50.

Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints

NBER Working Paper No. t0079
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 09 Jan 2007 Last Revised: 21 Sep 2010
Donald W. K. Andrews and Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 30 (485,552)

Abstract:

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51.

A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised)

NBER Working Paper No. w0414
Number of pages: 83 Posted: 01 Mar 2001 Last Revised: 21 Aug 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 29 (490,494)

Abstract:

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52.

Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations

NBER Working Paper No. w2280
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 19 Jul 2004 Last Revised: 28 Sep 2010
Ray C. Fair and Kathryn M.E. Dominguez
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy
Downloads 28 (495,844)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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53.

Information Content of DSGE Forecasts

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2140
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 09 Aug 2018
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 27 (501,131)

Abstract:

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DSGE Forecasts, Lagged Values

54.

Learning Causal Relations in Multivariate Time Series Data

Economics Discussion Paper No. 2007-15
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 29 Nov 2010
Ray C. Fair and Pu Chen
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Bielefeld University - Department of Business Administration and Economics
Downloads 27 (501,131)

Abstract:

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Automated Learning, Bayesian Network, Inferred Causation, VAR, Wage-Price Spiral

55.

Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination

NBER Working Paper No. w2105
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 28 May 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 26 (506,739)

Abstract:

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56.

Estimated Trade-Offs between Unemployment and Inflation

NBER Working Paper No. w1377
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 22 Apr 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 26 (506,739)

Abstract:

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57.

International Evidence on the Demand for Money

NBER Working Paper No. w2106
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 01 Jun 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 25 (512,312)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rationalexpectations Models

NBER Working Paper No. t0005
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 27 Jun 2007 Last Revised: 09 Jul 2010
Ray C. Fair and John B. Taylor
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Stanford University
Downloads 15 (594,726)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rationalexpectations Models

NBER Working Paper No. t0005
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 24 Jul 2007 Last Revised: 09 Jul 2010
Ray C. Fair and John B. Taylor
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Stanford University
Downloads 9 (638,097)

Abstract:

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59.

VAR Models as Structural Approximations

NBER Working Paper No. w2495
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 05 Jul 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 23 (523,992)

Abstract:

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60.

How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down?

NBER Working Paper No. w3757
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 15 Jan 2007 Last Revised: 19 Jan 2009
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 21 (535,920)
Citation 9

Abstract:

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61.

Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy

NBER Working Paper No. w0538
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 04 Sep 2006 Last Revised: 24 May 2009
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 19 (548,197)

Abstract:

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62.

Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares

NBER Working Paper No. w0696
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 18 Aug 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 19 (548,197)

Abstract:

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63.

The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well

NBER Working Paper No. w2877
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 16 Jul 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 19 (548,197)

Abstract:

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64.

Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity

NBER Working Paper No. w1293
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 12 Apr 2004 Last Revised: 16 Jul 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 19 (548,197)

Abstract:

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65.

Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation

NBER Working Paper No. t0111
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 27 Jun 2007
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 18 (554,390)

Abstract:

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66.

The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models

NBER Working Paper No. w1445
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 16 Jul 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 18 (554,390)

Abstract:

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67.

Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model

NBER Working Paper No. w2150
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 15 Mar 2007
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 17 (560,419)

Abstract:

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68.

Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. t0078
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 10 Jan 2007 Last Revised: 20 Sep 2010
Ray C. Fair and John B. Taylor
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Stanford University
Downloads 17 (560,419)

Abstract:

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69.

Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches

NBER Working Paper No. w3045
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 04 Jan 2007
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 17 (560,419)

Abstract:

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70.

Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Amongcountries

NBER Working Paper No. w0677
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 22 Apr 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 17 (560,419)

Abstract:

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71.

Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting

NBER Working Paper No. w1814
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 22 Apr 2004
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 17 (560,419)

Abstract:

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72.

The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update

NBER Working Paper No. w2222
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 31 Jul 2007 Last Revised: 30 Jul 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 15 (572,726)
Citation 10

Abstract:

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73.

A Comparison of Fiml and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model

NBER Working Paper No. w0015
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 06 Dec 2006 Last Revised: 19 Jul 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 13 (585,676)

Abstract:

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74.

Excess Labor and the Business Cycle

NBER Working Paper No. w1292
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 22 Apr 2004 Last Revised: 15 Jul 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 13 (585,676)

Abstract:

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75.

Variable Mismeasurement in a Class of DSGE Models: Comment

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2166R, July 2019
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 07 Aug 2019
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 12 (592,336)

Abstract:

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DSGE models, Macro data

76.

A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture

NBER Working Paper No. w0716
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 18 Aug 2004 Last Revised: 13 Sep 2008
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 12 (592,336)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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77.

Trade Models and Macroeconomics

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2214
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 16 Dec 2019
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 10 (605,434)

Abstract:

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Trade models, Macroeconomics

78.

Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model

NBER Working Paper No. w2112
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 24 Jul 2007
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 9 (612,111)

Abstract:

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79.

Estimated Costs of Injuries in College and High School Female Sports

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2188, July 2019
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 08 Aug 2019
Ray C. Fair and Christopher Champa
Yale University - Cowles Foundation and Yale University, Students
Downloads 7 (625,524)

Abstract:

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Sports injuries, Collegiate sports, High school sports

80.

Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior

NBER Working Paper No. w3102
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 10 Oct 2007 Last Revised: 25 Jun 2010
Ray C. Fair
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Downloads 7 (625,524)

Abstract:

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