Jonathan Mellon

University of Manchester

Hallsworth Fellow

Oxford Road

Manchester, M13 9PL

United Kingdom

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

25

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8,458

CITATIONS

0

Scholarly Papers (25)

1.

Effects of the Internet on Participation: Study of a Public Policy Referendum in Brazil

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7204
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Apr 2016
University of British Columbia (UBC), University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank
Downloads 1,037 (5,234)

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Technology Industry, Political Systems and Analysis, National Governance, ICT Policy and Strategies, Parliamentary Government

2.

The Effect of Government Responsiveness on Future Political Participation

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 Mar 2015
Fredrik M. Sjoberg, Jonathan Mellon and Tiago Peixoto
World Bank, University of Manchester and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 514 (30,042)

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Government Responsiveness, Participation, Fix My Street, ICT, Crowdsourcing

3.

Missing Non-Voters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 13 Jan 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 384 (14,417)

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polling miss; british election 2015; differential turnout; shy tories; late swing; don't know; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; question ordering; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

4.

Do Mobile Phone Surveys Work in Poor Countries?

Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 398
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 24 Apr 2015
Center for Global Development, Center for Global Development, University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 27 (349,916)

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mobile phone surveys, mobile phones, Zimbabwe, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Afghanistan

5.

Information Flows within the US State Department

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 30 May 2014
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 19 (393,345)

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social network analysis, gap models, US State Department, bureaucracies, issue salience

6.

Leading the Conversation: Comparing State Department Communication Networks Under Rogers and Kissinger

International Studies Association, 2014
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 29 May 2014
James Hollway and Jonathan Mellon
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) - Centre for International Environmental Studies and University of Manchester
Downloads 15 (444,356)

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networks, state department, bureaucracies

7.

Do Mobile Phone Surveys Work in Poor Countries?

Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 398
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 27 Jun 2015
Center for Global Development, Center for Global Development, University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 7 (349,916)

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mobile phone surveys, mobile phones, zimbabwe, ethiopia, mozambique, afghanistan

8.

Constructing Continuous Household Income Measurement on the British Election Study Internet Panel

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 04 May 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (554,467)

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9.

Gender and Political Mobilization Online: Participation and Policy Success on a Global Petitioning Platform

Ash Center Occasional Paper, July 2017
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
University of Manchester, Harvard University, World Bank and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 0 (529,125)

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gender representation, political participation, online petitions, descriptive representation and substantive representation, descriptive success and substantive success

10.

Forecasting Social Network Reaction to Disruption: Current Practices and New Directions

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Dan Evans
University of Manchester and United States Military Academy- West Point - Network Science Center
Downloads 0 (544,512)

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Social Network, Disruption, Recovery, Intervention, ERGM, SAOM, SIENA, Logistics, Neuroscience, Key Players

11.

Spurious Time Trends Explain the Relationship between Survey Nonresponse and Mass Polarization: A Comment on Cavari and Freedman (2018)

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (203,301)

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Polarization, non-response bias, spurious correlation, time trend

12.

Tremors But No Youthquake: Measuring Changes in the Age and Turnout Gradients at the 2015 and 2017 British General Elections

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 0 (12,109)

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Turnout, Survey weighting, Ecological Fallacy, British politics

13.

Aggregate Turnout Is Mismeasured

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 12 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (19,025)

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turnout, vep, vap, idea, aggregate, comparative politics, error, measurement, bias

14.

Volatile Elite Networks and the Race for the Zimbabwean Succession

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 17 Nov 2017
Jonathan Mellon and Dan Evans
University of Manchester and United States Military Academy- West Point - Network Science Center
Downloads 0 (263,034)

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Network Science, Network Analysis, Zimbabwe, Political Succession

15.

Authoritarianism, Social Structure and Economic Policy Preferences

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (301,177)

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authoritarianism, left right, dimensions, public opinions, british elections, elite, mass, libertarianism

16.

Party Attachment in Great Britain: Five Decades of Dealignment

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 10 Aug 2017
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (149,303)

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Voter Volatility

17.

Strategic Support and Electoral Expectations: Did Voters Choose Brexit and Corbyn Because They Expected Them to Lose?

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 04 Aug 2017
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (148,545)

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expressive voting, British politics, expectations, EU referendum, Brexit, British Election Study

18.

Experimental Evidence for a Link between Labor Market Competition and Anti-Immigrant Attitudes

Posted: 06 Jul 2017 Last Revised: 25 Oct 2017
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester

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immigration, labor market, economic threat, survey experiments, british election study

19.

All You Have to Do Is Ask: Measuring Uncertainty in Vote Intention

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 26 Apr 2017
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (425,599)

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Vote Volatility, Vote Switching, Uncertainty, Forecasting, British Election Study

20.

Making Inferences About Elections and Public Opinion Using Incidentally Collected Data

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Jun 2016 Last Revised: 01 Nov 2016
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (356,047)

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internet data, big data, public opinion, google trends, twitter, censorship, social media, election forecasting

21.

Twitter and Facebook are Not Representative of the General Population: Political Attitudes and Demographics of Social Media Users

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 09 Jun 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (49,342)

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22.

Correcting Polling Error in Over-Engaged Samples Using Representative Turnout Weighting

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Jan 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0 (216,319)

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polling miss; british election 2015; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

23.

Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election

Jonathan Mellon, Geoffrey Evans, Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Christopher Prosser; Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election, Parliamentary Affairs, , gsy001, https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsy001
Posted: 21 Nov 2017
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 397

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2017 british election, british election study, vote switching, UKIP, Brexit

24.

The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Prosser, C., & Mellon, J. (2018). The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses. Government and Opposition, 1-34. doi:10.1017/gov.2018.7
Number of pages: 27
Christopher Prosser and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0

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polling, survey error, non-probability samples, late swing, shy voters, turnout filtering, representative samples, survey weighting

25.

The Puzzle of High Partisanship Among Ethnic Minority Young People in Great Britain

Number of pages: 19
Nicole Martin and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 0

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ethnicity, party identity, partisanship, socialisation, immigration