Jonathan Mellon

University of Manchester

Hallsworth Fellow

Oxford Road

Manchester, M13 9PL

United Kingdom

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

26

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9,974

CITATIONS
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Top 22,227

in Total Papers Citations

20

Scholarly Papers (26)

1.

Effects of the Internet on Participation: Study of a Public Policy Referendum in Brazil

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7204
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Apr 2016
University of British Columbia (UBC), University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank
Downloads 2,262 (5,745)
Citation 2

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Technology Industry, Political Systems and Analysis, National Governance, ICT Policy and Strategies, Parliamentary Government

2.

Tremors But No Youthquake: Measuring Changes in the Age and Turnout Gradients at the 2015 and 2017 British General Elections

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 1,895 (7,797)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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Turnout, Survey weighting, Ecological Fallacy, British politics

3.

Missing Non-Voters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 13 Jan 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 1,231 (15,584)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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polling miss; british election 2015; differential turnout; shy tories; late swing; don't know; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; question ordering; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

4.

Aggregate Turnout Is Mismeasured

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 12 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 1,118 (18,038)

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turnout, vep, vap, idea, aggregate, comparative politics, error, measurement, bias

5.

The Effect of Government Responsiveness on Future Political Participation

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 Mar 2015
Fredrik M. Sjoberg, Jonathan Mellon and Tiago Peixoto
World Bank, University of Manchester and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 770 (30,912)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Government Responsiveness, Participation, Fix My Street, ICT, Crowdsourcing

6.

Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election

Jonathan Mellon, Geoffrey Evans, Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Christopher Prosser; Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election, Parliamentary Affairs, DOI: org/10.1093/pa/gsy001
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 21 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 28 May 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 634 (40,177)
Citation 1

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2017 British election, british election study, vote switching, UKIP, Brexit

7.

Twitter and Facebook are Not Representative of the General Population: Political Attitudes and Demographics of Social Media Users

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 09 Jun 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 540 (49,547)
Citation 6

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8.

Mainstream Protest Voting: Did Voters Choose Brexit and Corbyn because they expected them to lose?

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 04 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 10 Jun 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 287 (104,398)

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expressive voting, British politics, expectations, EU referendum, Brexit, British Election Study

9.

Party Attachment in Great Britain: Five Decades of Dealignment

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 10 Aug 2017
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 237 (127,332)
Citation 2

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Voter Volatility

10.

Spurious Time Trends Explain the Relationship between Survey Nonresponse and Mass Polarization: A Comment on Cavari and Freedman (2018)

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 140 (204,123)

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Polarization, non-response bias, spurious correlation, time trend

11.

Correcting Polling Error in Over-Engaged Samples Using Representative Turnout Weighting

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Jan 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 127 (220,487)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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polling miss; british election 2015; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

12.

Authoritarianism, Social Structure and Economic Policy Preferences

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 106 (251,488)

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authoritarianism, left right, dimensions, public opinions, british elections, elite, mass, libertarianism

13.

Volatile Elite Networks and the Race for the Zimbabwean Succession

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 17 Nov 2017
Jonathan Mellon and Dan Evans
University of Manchester and United States Military Academy, West Point - Network Science Center
Downloads 105 (253,275)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Network Science, Network Analysis, Zimbabwe, Political Succession

14.

Making Inferences About Elections and Public Opinion Using Incidentally Collected Data

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Jun 2016 Last Revised: 01 Nov 2016
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 77 (308,068)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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internet data, big data, public opinion, google trends, twitter, censorship, social media, election forecasting

15.

Which Promises Actually Matter? Understanding Promissory Representation with Conjoint Analysis of Election Pledges

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 13 Nov 2018
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Cambridge and University of Warwick
Downloads 76 (310,441)

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promise keeping, promissory representation, UK politics, manifestos, pledge fulfillment, brexit, EU

16.

Do Mobile Phone Surveys Work in Poor Countries?

Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 398
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 27 Jun 2015
Center for Global Development, Center for Global Development, University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 69 (327,613)
Citation 2

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mobile phone surveys, mobile phones, zimbabwe, ethiopia, mozambique, afghanistan

17.

Do Mobile Phone Surveys Work in Poor Countries?

Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 398
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 24 Apr 2015
Center for Global Development, Center for Global Development, University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 55 (367,273)
Citation 2

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mobile phone surveys, mobile phones, Zimbabwe, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Afghanistan

18.

The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Prosser, C., & Mellon, J. (2018). The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses. Government and Opposition, 1-34. DOI:10.1017/gov.2018.7
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 04 Jun 2018
Christopher Prosser and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 48 (390,105)

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polling, survey error, non-probability samples, late swing, shy voters, turnout filtering, representative samples, survey weighting

19.

Information Flows within the US State Department

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 30 May 2014
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 41 (415,049)

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social network analysis, gap models, US State Department, bureaucracies, issue salience

20.

Gender and Political Mobilization Online: Participation and Policy Success on a Global Petitioning Platform

Ash Center Occasional Paper, July 2017
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
University of Manchester, Harvard University, World Bank and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 38 (426,887)
Citation 1

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gender representation, political participation, online petitions, descriptive representation and substantive representation, descriptive success and substantive success

21.

All You Have to Do Is Ask: Measuring Uncertainty in Vote Intention

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 26 Apr 2017
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 32 (451,863)

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Vote Volatility, Vote Switching, Uncertainty, Forecasting, British Election Study

22.

Leading the Conversation: Comparing State Department Communication Networks Under Rogers and Kissinger

International Studies Association, 2014
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 29 May 2014
James Hollway and Jonathan Mellon
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) - Centre for International Environmental Studies and University of Manchester
Downloads 27 (476,022)

Abstract:

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networks, state department, bureaucracies

23.

Experimental Evidence for a Link between Labor Market Competition and Anti-Immigrant Attitudes

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 06 Jul 2017 Last Revised: 04 Jul 2019
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 17 (532,230)

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immigration, labor market, economic threat, survey experiments, british election study

24.

The Puzzle of High Partisanship Among Ethnic Minority Young People in Great Britain

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 08 Jun 2018
Nicole Martin and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 15 (543,831)

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ethnicity, party identity, partisanship, socialisation, immigration

25.

Forecasting Social Network Reaction to Disruption: Current Practices and New Directions

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Dan Evans
University of Manchester and United States Military Academy, West Point - Network Science Center
Downloads 14 (549,780)

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Social Network, Disruption, Recovery, Intervention, ERGM, SAOM, SIENA, Logistics, Neuroscience, Key Players

26.

Constructing Continuous Household Income Measurement on the British Election Study Internet Panel

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 04 May 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 13 (555,697)
Citation 1

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