Jonathan Mellon

University of Manchester

Hallsworth Fellow

Oxford Road

Manchester, M13 9PL

United Kingdom

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

27

DOWNLOADS
Rank 3,743

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 3,743

in Total Papers Downloads

11,007

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 34,039

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 34,039

in Total Papers Citations

4

CROSSREF CITATIONS

16

Scholarly Papers (27)

1.

Tremors But No Youthquake: Measuring Changes in the Age and Turnout Gradients at the 2015 and 2017 British General Elections

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 06 Feb 2018 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2020
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine
Downloads 2,322 (6,185)
Citation 10

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Turnout, Survey weighting, Ecological Fallacy, British politics

2.

Effects of the Internet on Participation: Study of a Public Policy Referendum in Brazil

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7204
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Apr 2016
University of British Columbia (UBC), University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank
Downloads 2,282 (6,360)

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Technology Industry, Political Systems and Analysis, National Governance, ICT Policy and Strategies, Parliamentary Government

3.

Missing Non-Voters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Jul 2015 Last Revised: 13 Jan 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 1,243 (17,004)
Citation 2

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polling miss; british election 2015; differential turnout; shy tories; late swing; don't know; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; question ordering; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

4.

Aggregate Turnout Is Mismeasured

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 12 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 1,165 (18,745)

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turnout, vep, vap, idea, aggregate, comparative politics, error, measurement, bias

5.

The Effect of Government Responsiveness on Future Political Participation

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 Mar 2015
Fredrik M. Sjoberg, Jonathan Mellon and Tiago Peixoto
World Bank, University of Manchester and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 792 (32,763)
Citation 8

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Government Responsiveness, Participation, Fix My Street, ICT, Crowdsourcing

6.

Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election

Jonathan Mellon, Geoffrey Evans, Edward Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Christopher Prosser; Brexit or Corbyn? Campaign and Inter-Election Vote Switching in the 2017 UK General Election, Parliamentary Affairs, DOI: org/10.1093/pa/gsy001
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 21 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 28 May 2018
University of Manchester, University of Oxford - Nuffield College of Medicine, University of Manchester, University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 674 (40,790)
Citation 1

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2017 British election, british election study, vote switching, UKIP, Brexit

7.

Twitter and Facebook are Not Representative of the General Population: Political Attitudes and Demographics of Social Media Users

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 09 Jun 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 549 (53,274)
Citation 7

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8.

Mainstream Protest Voting: Did Voters Choose Brexit and Corbyn because they expected them to lose?

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 04 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 10 Jun 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 336 (96,025)

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expressive voting, British politics, expectations, EU referendum, Brexit, British Election Study

9.

Party Attachment in Great Britain: Five Decades of Dealignment

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 10 Aug 2017
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 308 (105,697)
Citation 2

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Voter Volatility

10.

Spurious Time Trends Explain the Relationship between Survey Nonresponse and Mass Polarization: A Comment on Cavari and Freedman (2018)

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 14 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 151 (208,750)

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Polarization, non-response bias, spurious correlation, time trend

11.

Authoritarianism, Social Structure and Economic Policy Preferences

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 134 (231,187)

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authoritarianism, left right, dimensions, public opinions, british elections, elite, mass, libertarianism

12.

Correcting Polling Error in Over-Engaged Samples Using Representative Turnout Weighting

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 24 Jan 2016
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 134 (229,770)
Citation 1

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polling miss; british election 2015; representative samples; survey weighting; online polling; survey methodology; political polling; public opinion

13.

Which Promises Actually Matter? Election Pledge Centrality and Promissory Representation

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 13 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 24 Nov 2019
University of Manchester, University of Manchester, University of Cambridge and University of Warwick
Downloads 130 (235,333)

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promise keeping, promissory representation, UK politics, manifestos, pledge fulfillment, brexit, EU

14.

Do Mobile Phone Surveys Work in Poor Countries?

Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 398
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 27 Jun 2015
Center for Global Development, Center for Global Development, University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 111 (264,304)
Citation 4

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mobile phone surveys, mobile phones, zimbabwe, ethiopia, mozambique, afghanistan

15.

Volatile Elite Networks and the Race for the Zimbabwean Succession

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 17 Nov 2017
Jonathan Mellon and Dan Evans
University of Manchester and United States Military Academy, West Point - Network Science Center
Downloads 108 (269,527)
Citation 1

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Network Science, Network Analysis, Zimbabwe, Political Succession

16.

Tactical Voting and Electoral Pacts in the 2019 UK General Election

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 31 Mar 2020
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 96 (291,819)

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17.

Making Inferences About Elections and Public Opinion Using Incidentally Collected Data

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Jun 2016 Last Revised: 01 Nov 2016
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 88 (308,290)
Citation 1

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internet data, big data, public opinion, google trends, twitter, censorship, social media, election forecasting

18.

Do Mobile Phone Surveys Work in Poor Countries?

Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 398
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 24 Apr 2015
Center for Global Development, Center for Global Development, University of Manchester, World Bank - Governance Global Practice and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 59 (384,862)
Citation 6

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mobile phone surveys, mobile phones, Zimbabwe, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Afghanistan

19.

Gender and Political Mobilization Online: Participation and Policy Success on a Global Petitioning Platform

Ash Center Occasional Paper, July 2017
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
University of Manchester, Harvard University, World Bank and World Bank - Governance Global Practice
Downloads 58 (388,018)
Citation 2

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gender representation, political participation, online petitions, descriptive representation and substantive representation, descriptive success and substantive success

20.

The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Prosser, C., & Mellon, J. (2018). The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses. Government and Opposition, 1-34. DOI:10.1017/gov.2018.7
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 04 Jun 2018
Christopher Prosser and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 52 (408,135)

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polling, survey error, non-probability samples, late swing, shy voters, turnout filtering, representative samples, survey weighting

21.

Information Flows within the US State Department

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 30 May 2014
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 42 (445,716)

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social network analysis, gap models, US State Department, bureaucracies, issue salience

22.

Experimental Evidence for a Link between Labor Market Competition and Anti-Immigrant Attitudes

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 06 Jul 2017 Last Revised: 04 Jul 2019
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 37 (466,697)

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immigration, labor market, economic threat, survey experiments, british election study

23.

All You Have to Do Is Ask: Measuring Uncertainty in Vote Intention

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 26 Apr 2017
Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester
Downloads 36 (471,092)

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Vote Volatility, Vote Switching, Uncertainty, Forecasting, British Election Study

24.

Constructing Continuous Household Income Measurement on the British Election Study Internet Panel

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 04 May 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 31 (494,646)
Citation 1

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25.

Leading the Conversation: Comparing State Department Communication Networks Under Rogers and Kissinger

International Studies Association, 2014
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 29 May 2014
James Hollway and Jonathan Mellon
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) - Centre for International Environmental Studies and University of Manchester
Downloads 29 (505,063)

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networks, state department, bureaucracies

26.

The Puzzle of High Partisanship Among Ethnic Minority Young People in Great Britain

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 08 Jun 2018
Nicole Martin and Jonathan Mellon
University of Manchester and University of Manchester
Downloads 20 (557,918)

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ethnicity, party identity, partisanship, socialisation, immigration

27.

Forecasting Social Network Reaction to Disruption: Current Practices and New Directions

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
Jonathan Mellon and Dan Evans
University of Manchester and United States Military Academy, West Point - Network Science Center
Downloads 20 (557,918)

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Social Network, Disruption, Recovery, Intervention, ERGM, SAOM, SIENA, Logistics, Neuroscience, Key Players