Philadelphia, PA 19104
United States
University of Pennsylvania
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forecasting tournaments, causal inference, policy evaluation, elicitation, COVID-19
Bayesian Statistics, Judgmental Forecasting, Partial Information, Shapley Value, Wisdom of Crowds
justice, ideology
Bayesian Statistics, Judgmental Forecasting, Partial Information, Prediction Markets, Wisdom of Crowds
Forecasting, Prediction, Existential Risk
superforecasting, systemic risk, fat-tailed dstributions, signal detection, forecasting tournaments, proper scoring rules
Prediction, Forecasting, Prediction Markets, Crowdsourcing
geopolitical forecasting, psycholinguistic vocabularies, integrative complexity, comparison class, natural language processing, LIWC
implicit bias, Implicit Association Test, discrimination
implicit bias, Implicit Association Test, prejudice, discrimination
arbitrary metrics, Implicit Association Test, implicit attitudes, prejudice, discrimination
implicit bias, discrimination
progress denial, progress myth, political ideology, system justification, nostalgic fallacy
Implicit Association Test, explicit measures of bias, predictive validity, discrimination, prejudice
implicit attitudes, unobtrusive measures, implicit measures, explicit measures
expert judgment, long-range forecasting, nuclear proliferation, cumulative risk, adversarial collaboration
cognitive style, judicial decision-making
Implicit Association Test, predictive validity, discrimination, implicit bias
discrimination, accountability, gender bias, racial bias
confidence, overconfidence, forecasting, prediction
Finance, Forecasting, Decision Science, Psychology, Quantitative Finance, Behavior Finance
