Alexis Mayer Cirkel

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street, N.W.

Washington, DC 20431

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

4

DOWNLOADS

281

SSRN CITATIONS

0

CROSSREF CITATIONS

0

Scholarly Papers (4)

1.

Completing the Market: Generating Shadow CDS Spreads by Machine Learning

IMF Working Paper No. 19/292
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 23 Jan 2020
Nan Hu, Jian Li and Alexis Mayer Cirkel
Goethe University Frankfurt, Zhejiang Gongshang University and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 102 (482,650)

Abstract:

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Financial crises, Economic conditions, Financial markets, Financial systems, Credit risk, Credit default swaps, Prediction, Machine Learning methods, WP, CDS, test sample, test set, nowcasting, linear regression

2.

Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/289
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Centro de Investigación (CIE), Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 75 (583,794)

Abstract:

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3.

Boosting Job Growth in the Western Balkans

IMF Working Paper No. 14/16
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 03 Oct 2014
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - European Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 65 (630,278)

Abstract:

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Labor markets, Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Macedonia, former Yugoslav Republic of, Montenegro, Serbia, Eastern Europe, Workers remittances, Emerging markets, Cross country analysis, The Balkans, unemployment, labor market, employment, long-term unemployment, labor force, employment protection, high unemployment, unemployment benefits, unemployment rates, unemployed, high unemployment rates, job creation, labor productivity, rates of unemployment, low employment, unemployment insurance, unemployment spells, unemployment rate, rate of unemployment, employment protection legislation, employment rates, labor migration, registered unemployment, supply of labor, natural rate of unempl

4.

Balance Sheets and Debt Crises – Empirical Regularities for Modern Cases of Sovereign Distress

IMF Working Paper No. 2021/125
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 04 Feb 2022
Gonzalo Huertas and Alexis Mayer Cirkel
Independent and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 39 (788,465)

Abstract:

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balance sheet dynamics, default probability, sectoral balance sheets, default episode, predicting default, banking sector balance sheet data, Financial statements, Commercial banks, Debt default, Global