Franziska Ohnsorge

World Bank

Dr

1818 H Street, NW

Washington, DC 20433

United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London

United Kingdom

Australian National University (ANU) - Crawford School of Public Policy

ANU College of Asia and the Pacific

J.G. Crawford Building, #132, Lennox Crossing

Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 0200

Australia

  • World Bank

  • Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

  • Australian National University (ANU) - Crawford School of Public Policy

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

59

DOWNLOADS
Rank 4,774

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 4,774

in Total Papers Downloads

17,345

TOTAL CITATIONS
Rank 3,164

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 3,164

in Total Papers Citations

623

Scholarly Papers (59)

Actions:
Email selected abstracts
1.

The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

Number of pages: 62 Posted: 30 Jun 2015
John Baffes, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 3,016 (8,958)
Citation 292

Abstract:

Loading...

commodity prices, 2014 oil price decline, macroeconomic implications, supply factors, demand factors, unconventional oil production, global output, and global inflation

2.

Understanding informality

Downloads 2,150 (15,417)
Citation 79

Understanding informality

CAMA Working Paper No. 76/2021
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 04 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1,273 (33,787)
Citation 67

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, self-employment, employment, output, business cycles

Understanding Informality

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 01 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 876 (57,281)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, self-employment, employment, output, business cycles.

Understanding Informality

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16497
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 22 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,360,877)
Citation 3
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

business cycles, employment, Informal economy, output, Self-employment

3.

From Low to High Inflation: Implications for Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 24 Apr 2022
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1,544 (25,760)
Citation 7

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation, Commodity Price, War in Ukraine, Global Recession, Great Inflation, Monetary Policy Tightening

4.

Inflation: Concepts, Evolution, and Correlates

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8738
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 20 Feb 2019
Jongrim Ha, Anna Ivanova, Franziska Ohnsorge and D. Filiz Unsal
World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - European Department, World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 960 (51,326)
Citation 10

Abstract:

Loading...

5.

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

Downloads 748 (71,967)

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8761
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 01 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 09 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 671 (81,532)

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation, Macroeconomic Management, Inequality, Financial Structures, International Trade and Trade Rules

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

CAMA Working Paper No. 22/2019
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 76 (668,870)

Abstract:

Loading...

Prices, Inflation, Monetary Systems, Monetary Policy, Globalization

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13608
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,360,877)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Globalization, inflation, monetary policy, Monetary Systems, prices

6.

The Global Role of the U.S. Economy: Linkages, Policies and Spillovers

CAMA Working Paper No. 13/2017
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 10 Feb 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Csilla Lakatos, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 709 (77,265)
Citation 8

Abstract:

Loading...

United States, Uncertainty, Trade, Business Cycles, Global Economy

7.

Global Stagflation

Downloads 586 (98,522)
Citation 2

Global Stagflation

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 17 Mar 2023
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 550 (105,050)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation, growth, COVID-19, global recession, monetary policy, fiscal policy, disinflation

Global Stagflation

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP17381
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 23 Jun 2022
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 36 (963,859)
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

COVID-19, Disinflation, Fiscal policy, Global Recession, growth, inflation, monetary policy

8.

Debt and Financial Crises

Downloads 412 (150,542)
Citation 8

Debt and Financial Crises

CAMA Working Paper No. 9/2020
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 12 Feb 2020
Wee Chian Koh, M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 202 (313,819)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

financial crises, currency crises, debt crises, banking crises, public debt, private debt, external debt

Debt and Financial Crises

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9116
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 23 Jan 2020 Last Revised: 24 Jan 2020
Wee Chian Koh, M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 166 (375,403)
Citation 3

Abstract:

Loading...

Debt and Financial Crises

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14442
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
Wee Chian Koh, M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 44 (879,290)
Citation 4
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

banking crises, Currency Crises, Debt crises, External Debt, financial crises, private debt, public debt

9.

What Explains Global Inflation

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 10 Jan 2024
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Hakan Yilmazkuday
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 396 (158,742)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Oil prices; demand shocks; supply shocks; interest rate shocks

10.

Global Stagflation

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 15 Jun 2022
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 342 (185,145)
Citation 7

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation, growth, COVID-19, global recession, monetary policy, fiscal policy, disinflation.

11.

Understanding the Global Drivers of Inflation: How Important are Oil Prices?

Energy Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 19 Jan 2023 Last Revised: 22 Dec 2023
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Hakan Yilmazkuday
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 337 (188,078)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation; Oil Prices, Global Shock, Domestic Shock, FAVAR, Exchange Rates

12.

Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?

Downloads 315 (202,080)
Citation 19

Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?

CAMA Working Paper 1/2016
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 14 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 22 Jan 2016
Tatiana Didier, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Lei Sandy Ye
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 312 (202,577)
Citation 19

Abstract:

Loading...

Emerging markets, growth slowdown, policy space, monetary policy, fiscal policy, structural reforms

Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11065
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 27 Jan 2016
Tatiana Didier, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Lei Sandy Ye
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 3 (1,344,928)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

emerging markets, fiscal policy, growth slowdown, monetary policy, policy space, structural reforms

13.

Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?

Downloads 311 (204,940)
Citation 11

Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 09 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 258 (247,047)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation; COVID-19; Global Recession; FAVAR; Oil Prices; Global Shocks

Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?

CAMA Working Paper No. 58/2021
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 12 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 53 (807,672)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation, COVID-19, Global Recession, FAVAR, Oil Prices, Global Shocks

14.

The Coming US Interest Rate Tightening Cycle: Smooth Sailing or Stormy Waters?

CAMA Working Paper No. 37/2015
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 12 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 13 Oct 2015
Carlos Arteta, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, Development Prospects Group, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 307 (207,836)
Citation 8

Abstract:

Loading...

Federal Reserve, liftoff, tightening, interest rates, monetary policy, emerging markets, frontier markets, capital flows, sudden stops, crises

15.

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

Downloads 302 (211,491)
Citation 1

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

CAMA Working Paper No. 34/2016
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 16 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 241 (264,539)

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal Space, Fiscal Policy, Developing Economies, Growth Slowdown, Fiscal Rules, Stabilization Funds, Expenditure Frameworks

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7725
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 19 Jul 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 59 (766,306)

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions and Volatility, Consumption, Industrial Economics, Economic Theory & Research

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11347
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 27 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 2 (1,352,127)
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

developing economies, expenditure frameworks, fiscal rules, Fiscal space, growth slowdown, stabilization funds

16.

One-Stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation

Downloads 276 (232,224)
Citation 8

One-Stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 24 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 167 (373,398)

Abstract:

Loading...

Prices, global inflation, deflation, inflation synchronization, global factor

One-stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation

CAMA Working Paper No. 59/2021
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 09 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 109 (528,581)
Citation 8

Abstract:

Loading...

Prices, global inflation, deflation, inflation synchronization, global factor

17.

Fiscal Space: Concept, Measurement, and Policy Implications

World Bank Research and Policy Briefs No. 132195
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 29 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 27 Apr 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 272 (235,730)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Public Sector Economics, Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Economic Adjustment and Lending, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Economic Growth, Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Labor Markets

18.

The Role of Major Emerging Markets in Global Commodity Demand

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8495
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 28 Aug 2018
John Baffes, Alain Ntumba Kabundi, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 252 (254,692)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Loading...

Energy and Mining, Energy and Environment, Energy Demand, Mining & Extractive Industry (Non-Energy), Primary Metals, Oil Refining & Gas Industry, Food Security

19.

Understanding the Global Drivers of Inflation: How Important are Oil Prices? 

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 09 Mar 2023
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Hakan Yilmazkuday
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 220 (291,875)

Abstract:

Loading...

inflation, oil prices, global shock, domestic shock, FAVAR, exchange rates

20.

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

Downloads 184 (343,234)
Citation 11

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

CAMA Working Paper No. 37/2017
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 May 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 112 (517,883)

Abstract:

Loading...

Business cycles, spillovers, external shocks, China, EM7, G7

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8093
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 13 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 69 (706,034)

Abstract:

Loading...

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12022
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 08 May 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 3 (1,344,928)
Citation 11
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Business Cycles, China, EM7, external shocks, G7, Spillovers

21.

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

CAMA Working Paper No. 19/2017
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 08 Mar 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Lei Sandy Ye and Ergys Islamaj
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 179 (353,618)

Abstract:

Loading...

emerging markets, developing economies, investment slowdown, policy space, infrastructure investment, monetary policy, fiscal policy, structural reforms

22.

Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison

Downloads 177 (357,118)
Citation 4

Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9166
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 29 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 150 (409,784)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14439
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 27 (1,063,851)
Citation 3
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

debt sustainability, fiscal balance, Government Debt, optimal debt level, private debt

23.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

CAMA Working Paper No. 48/2017
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 04 Aug 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Sergio Kurlat, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 176 (357,118)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal policy, sovereign debt, fiscal deficit, private debt, financial crises, oil prices.

24.

Global Inflation Synchronization

Downloads 172 (364,387)

Global Inflation Synchronization

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8768
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 09 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 93 (591,676)

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation Synchronization

CAMA Working Paper No. 24/2019
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 15 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 66 (723,106)

Abstract:

Loading...

global inflation, synchronization, dynamic factor model, advanced economies, emerging markets, developing economies

Global Inflation Synchronization

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13600
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 13 (1,238,226)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Advanced economies, developing economies, Dynamic factor model, emerging markets, Global inflation, Synchronization

25.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8157
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 03 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Sergio Andres Kurlat, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank - Development Prospects Group, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 163 (381,759)

Abstract:

Loading...

Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Economic Insecurity, Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring, Public Sector Economics, Debt Markets, Economic Adjustment and Lending, External Debt

26.

The Global Role of the U.S. Economy: Linkages, Policies and Spillovers

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7962
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 08 Feb 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Csilla Lakatos, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 155 (398,520)

Abstract:

Loading...

International Trade and Trade Rules

27.

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

Downloads 153 (402,873)
Citation 12

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7724
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus Jerome Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 95 (583,375)

Abstract:

Loading...

Industrial Economics, Consumption, Economic Theory & Research, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions and Volatility

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CAMA Working Paper No. 35/2016
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 16 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus Jerome Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 58 (772,946)

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal Multipliers, Fiscal Position, State-Dependency, Ricardian Channel, Interest Rate Channel, Business Cycle

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11346
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 27 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus Jerome Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 12
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal multipliers; Fiscal position; State-dependency; Ricardian channel; Interest rate channel; Business cycle

28.

A mountain of debt: Navigating the legacy of the pandemic

Downloads 150 (409,497)
Citation 7

A mountain of debt: Navigating the legacy of the pandemic

CAMA Working Paper No. 90/2021
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Oct 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 144 (423,725)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

COVID-19, fiscal policy, sovereign debt, private debt, deficits

A Mountain of Debt: Navigating the Legacy of the Pandemic

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16637
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 15 Nov 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 6 (1,321,493)
Citation 6
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

COVID-19, Deficits, Fiscal policy, private debt, Sovereign debt

29.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years After the Global Recession

CAMA Working Paper No. 13/2020
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 21 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 137 (440,097)

Abstract:

Loading...

economic integration, international business cycles, financial crises, macroeconomic policy

30.

Growing apart or moving together? Synchronization of informal and formal economy cycles

Downloads 131 (456,136)
Citation 6

Growing apart or moving together? Synchronization of informal and formal economy cycles

CAMA Working Paper No. 77/2021
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 04 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 79 (654,331)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, self-employment, business cycle

Growing Apart or Moving Together? Synchronization of Informal and Formal Economy Cycles

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 01 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 51 (822,645)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, self-employment, business cycle.

Growing Apart or Moving Together? Synchronization of Informal and Formal Economy Cycles

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16498
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 22 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,360,877)
Citation 3
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Business cycle, Informal economy, Self-employment

31.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years after the Global Recession

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9148
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 14 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 15 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 131 (456,136)

Abstract:

Loading...

32.

From Commodity Discovery to Production

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7823
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 07 Oct 2016
Tehmina S. Khan, Trang Thi Thuy Nguyen, Richard Schodde and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, Independent and World Bank
Downloads 131 (456,136)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Consumption, Energy and Mining, Industrial Economics, Economic Theory & Research, Energy Demand, Energy and Environment, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions and Volatility

33.

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

Downloads 128 (464,519)
Citation 16

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

CAMA Working Paper No. 24/2020
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 17 Mar 2020
Sinem Kilic Celik, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 73 (684,343)

Abstract:

Loading...

Potential growth, potential output, advanced economies, emerging market and developing economies.

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9177
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 11 Mar 2020
Sinem Kilic Celik, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 54 (800,484)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14527
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 25 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 06 May 2020
Sinem Kilic Celik, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,360,877)
Citation 12
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Advanced economies, emerging market and developing economies, Potential growth, Potential Output

34.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CAMA Working Paper No. 28/2019
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus J. Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
International Monetary Fund, World Bank, ESSEC Business School and World Bank
Downloads 128 (467,372)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Loading...

fiscal multipliers, fiscal position, state-dependency, Ricardian channel, interest rate channel, business cycle

35.

What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami

Downloads 127 (467,372)
Citation 2

What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami

CAMA Working Paper No. 99/2021
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 20 May 2022
M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 107 (536,078)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal balance, government debt, private debt, global recessions, resolution

What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16775
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 11 Feb 2022
M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 20 (1,141,318)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

fiscal balance, Global recessions, Government Debt, private debt, Resolution

36.

Casting a Shadow: Productivity of Formal Firms and Informality

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8945
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 06 Aug 2019
Mohammad Amin, Franziska Ohnsorge and Cedric Iltis Finafa Okou
World Bank - Enterprise Analysis Unit, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 122 (482,247)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Labor Markets, Employment and Unemployment, Plastics & Rubber Industry, Business Cycles and Stabilization Policies, Textiles, Apparel & Leather Industry, Pulp & Paper Industry, Food & Beverage Industry, Common Carriers Industry, Construction Industry, General Manufacturing, Educational Sciences

37.

Potential Growth: A Global Database

CAMA Working Paper 20/2023 April 2023
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 18 Apr 2023
Sinem Kılıç Çelik, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Franz Ulrich Ruch
International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 107 (531,978)

Abstract:

Loading...

production function, filters, growth expectations, developing economies

38.

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Downloads 106 (535,665)
Citation 9

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 14, pp. 637-663, 2022
Posted: 31 Aug 2022
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen M. Reinhart
World Bank, World Bank, Harvard University - Department of Economics and World Bank

Abstract:

Loading...

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

CAMA Working Paper No. 81/2021
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 24 Sep 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
World Bank, World Bank, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)World BankCentre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)International Monetary Fund (IMF)University of Maryland - School of Public AffairsHarvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA)Harvard University - Center for Business and GovernmentPeterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 73 (684,343)

Abstract:

Loading...

Debt restructuring, growth, inflation, fiscal consolidation, financial repression, wealth taxes

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

NBER Working Paper No. w29266
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 20 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 19 Jun 2023
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
World Bank, World Bank, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)World BankCentre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)International Monetary Fund (IMF)University of Maryland - School of Public AffairsHarvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA)Harvard University - Center for Business and GovernmentPeterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 31 (1,006,085)

Abstract:

Loading...

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16537
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Sep 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
World Bank, World Bank, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)World BankCentre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)International Monetary Fund (IMF)University of Maryland - School of Public AffairsHarvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA)Harvard University - Center for Business and GovernmentPeterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 2 (1,352,127)
Citation 9
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

debt restructuring, financial repression, fiscal consolidation, growth, inflation, Wealth Taxes

39.

Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch

Kose, M. A. and F. Ohnsorge. (2023). Falling Long-Term Growth Prospects: Trends, Expectations, and Policies. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Number of pages: 73 Posted: 31 May 2023
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 95 (577,420)

Abstract:

Loading...

production function, investment, trade, emerging and developing economies, potential growth

40.

Arm's-Length Trade: A Source of Post-Crisis Trade Weakness

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8144
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 24 Jul 2017
Csilla Lakatos and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 89 (601,331)

Abstract:

Loading...

International Trade and Trade Rules

41.

Election-Induced Fiscal Policy Cycles in Emerging Market and Developing Economies

CESifo Working Paper No. 10868
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 Jan 2024
Jakob de Haan, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute), World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 83 (627,123)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

political budget cycles, emerging and developing countries, democracies, autocracies

42.

One-Stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16327
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 14 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 81 (635,953)
Citation 16
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

43.

Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7704
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 19 Jul 2016
Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 80 (640,519)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Loading...

Industrial Economics, Economic Growth, Debt Markets, Economic Theory & Research, Economic Insecurity, External Debt

44.

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

Downloads 76 (659,006)
Citation 7

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7990
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 13 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Lei Sandy Ye and Ergys Islamaj
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 75 (673,997)

Abstract:

Loading...

Economic Growth, Economic Theory & Research, Consumption, Industrial Economics, Fiscal & Monetary Policy

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11886
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 16 Mar 2017
Ergys Islamaj, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Lei Sandy Ye
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,360,877)
Citation 7
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

emerging markets, infrastructure investment, investment slowdown, policies, policy space

45.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8784
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 26 Mar 2019
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus Jerome Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 75 (663,849)

Abstract:

Loading...

Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Public Sector Economics, Economic Adjustment and Lending, Macroeconomics and Economic Growth, Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Macroeconomic Management, Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring

46.

From Low to High Inflation: Implications for Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 29 Apr 2022
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 72 (678,755)
Citation 8

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation; Commodity Price; War in Ukraine; Global Recession; Great Inflation; Monetary Policy Tightening

47.

The Global Role of the United States and China

Seoul Journal of Economics, Vol. 33, No. 3, 2020
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 21 Oct 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Csilla Lakatos, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 71 (683,854)

Abstract:

Loading...

United States, China, Spillovers, Uncertainty, Trade, Business Cycles, Global Economy

48.

Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7770
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 28 Jul 2016
Franziska Ohnsorge, Marc Stocker and Modeste Y. Some
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 67 (704,980)

Abstract:

Loading...

Industrial Economics, Economic Theory & Research, Economic Growth, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Consumption

49.

Can this Time be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

CAMA Working Paper No. 23/2020
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 17 Mar 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 64 (721,694)

Abstract:

Loading...

Financial crises, currency crises, debt crises, banking crises, public debt, private debt, external debt.

50.

Implications of Cheap Oil for Emerging Markets

Downloads 61 (739,051)
Citation 1

Implications of Cheap Oil for Emerging Markets

CAMA Working Paper No. 83/2020
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 22 Sep 2020
Alain Ntumba Kabundi and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 60 (759,852)

Abstract:

Loading...

Oil price decline, COVID-19 pandemic, macroeconomic implications, supply factors, demand factors, local projections model.

Implications of Cheap Oil for Emerging Markets

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15296
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 22 Sep 2020
Alain Ntumba Kabundi and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,360,877)
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Covid-19 pandemic, demand factors, local projections model, macroeconomic implications, oil price decline, supply factors

51.

From Financial Development to Informality: A Causal Link

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 02 Nov 2022
Salvatore Capasso, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
University of Naples "Parthenope", World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 56 (770,415)

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, financial development, cross-border financial integration, emerging market and developing economies.

52.

Can this Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9178
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Mar 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 54 (783,671)

Abstract:

Loading...

53.

Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 18 Apr 2023
Sinem Kılıç Çelik, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 52 (797,506)

Abstract:

Loading...

production function, growth expectations, emerging markets, developing economies

54.

Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16328
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 14 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 44 (858,307)
Citation 5
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

55.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13648
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 09 Apr 2019
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus J. Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
International Monetary Fund, World Bank, ESSEC Business School and World Bank
Downloads 9 (1,242,472)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal multipliers, fiscal position, interest rate, Ricardian channel, state-dependency

56.

Can this Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14528
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 25 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 06 May 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Peter Stephen Oliver Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 3 (1,289,168)
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

banking crises, Currency Crises, Debt crises, External Debt, financial crises, private debt, public debt

57.

Informality and Financial Development: A Literature Reviews

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16711
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 04 Feb 2022
Salvatore Capasso, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
University Parthenope of Napoli, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,301,900)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

emerging market and developing economies, Financial Development, Informal economy

58.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years after the Global Recession

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14405
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0 (1,309,252)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

economic integration, financial crises, International Business Cycles, Macroeconomic Policy

59.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12196
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 11 Aug 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Sergio Kurlat, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0 (1,309,252)
Citation 17
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

financial crises, fiscal deficit, Fiscal policy, oil prices, private debt, Sovereign debt