Franziska Ohnsorge

World Bank

Dr

1818 H Street, NW

Washington, DC 20433

United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London

United Kingdom

Australian National University (ANU) - Crawford School of Public Policy

ANU College of Asia and the Pacific

J.G. Crawford Building, #132, Lennox Crossing

Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 0200

Australia

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

59

DOWNLOADS
Rank 6,414

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 6,414

in Total Papers Downloads

12,292

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 3,536

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 3,536

in Total Papers Citations

395

CROSSREF CITATIONS

93

Scholarly Papers (59)

1.

The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

Number of pages: 62 Posted: 30 Jun 2015
John Baffes, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 2,480 (10,394)
Citation 200

Abstract:

Loading...

commodity prices, 2014 oil price decline, macroeconomic implications, supply factors, demand factors, unconventional oil production, global output, and global inflation

2.

From Low to High Inflation: Implications for Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 24 Apr 2022
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1,294 (28,620)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation, Commodity Price, War in Ukraine, Global Recession, Great Inflation, Monetary Policy Tightening

3.
Downloads 1,118 (35,284)
Citation 4

Understanding Informality

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 01 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 561 (87,712)
Citation 11

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, self-employment, employment, output, business cycles.

Understanding informality

CAMA Working Paper No. 76/2021
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 04 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 556 (88,900)
Citation 30

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, self-employment, employment, output, business cycles

Understanding Informality

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16497
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 22 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,133,852)
Citation 2
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

business cycles, employment, Informal economy, output, Self-employment

4.

Inflation: Concepts, Evolution, and Correlates

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8738
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 20 Feb 2019
Jongrim Ha, Anna Ivanova, Franziska Ohnsorge and D. Filiz Unsal
World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - European Department, World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 667 (71,397)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Loading...

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8761
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 01 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 09 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 460 (112,118)

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation, Macroeconomic Management, Inequality, Financial Structures, International Trade and Trade Rules

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

CAMA Working Paper No. 22/2019
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 56 (667,077)

Abstract:

Loading...

Prices, Inflation, Monetary Systems, Monetary Policy, Globalization

Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13608
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Globalization, inflation, monetary policy, Monetary Systems, prices

6.

The Global Role of the U.S. Economy: Linkages, Policies and Spillovers

CAMA Working Paper No. 13/2017
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 10 Feb 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Csilla Lakatos, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 457 (113,956)
Citation 8

Abstract:

Loading...

United States, Uncertainty, Trade, Business Cycles, Global Economy

7.

Understanding the Global Drivers of Inflation: How Important are Oil Prices?

Energy Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 19 Jan 2023 Last Revised: 22 Dec 2023
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Hakan Yilmazkuday
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 325 (167,775)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation; Oil Prices, Global Shock, Domestic Shock, FAVAR, Exchange Rates

8.

Global Stagflation

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 15 Jun 2022
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 310 (175,830)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation, growth, COVID-19, global recession, monetary policy, fiscal policy, disinflation.

9.
Downloads 307 (177,611)
Citation 1

Global Stagflation

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 17 Mar 2023
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 305 (177,606)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation, growth, COVID-19, global recession, monetary policy, fiscal policy, disinflation

Global Stagflation

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP17381
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 23 Jun 2022
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 2 (1,125,544)
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

COVID-19, Disinflation, Fiscal policy, Global Recession, growth, inflation, monetary policy

Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?

CAMA Working Paper 1/2016
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 14 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 22 Jan 2016
Tatiana Didier, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Lei Sandy Ye
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 277 (196,462)
Citation 19

Abstract:

Loading...

Emerging markets, growth slowdown, policy space, monetary policy, fiscal policy, structural reforms

Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11065
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 27 Jan 2016
Tatiana Didier, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Lei Sandy Ye
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,133,852)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

emerging markets, fiscal policy, growth slowdown, monetary policy, policy space, structural reforms

Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 09 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 235 (231,716)
Citation 7

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation; COVID-19; Global Recession; FAVAR; Oil Prices; Global Shocks

Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?

CAMA Working Paper No. 58/2021
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 12 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 40 (780,423)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation, COVID-19, Global Recession, FAVAR, Oil Prices, Global Shocks

12.

The Coming US Interest Rate Tightening Cycle: Smooth Sailing or Stormy Waters?

CAMA Working Paper No. 37/2015
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 12 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 13 Oct 2015
Carlos Arteta, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, Development Prospects Group, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 274 (199,853)
Citation 17

Abstract:

Loading...

Federal Reserve, liftoff, tightening, interest rates, monetary policy, emerging markets, frontier markets, capital flows, sudden stops, crises

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

CAMA Working Paper No. 34/2016
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 16 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 202 (267,299)

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal Space, Fiscal Policy, Developing Economies, Growth Slowdown, Fiscal Rules, Stabilization Funds, Expenditure Frameworks

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7725
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 19 Jul 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 58 (655,423)

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions and Volatility, Consumption, Industrial Economics, Economic Theory & Research

Challenges of Fiscal Policy in Emerging and Developing Economies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11347
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 27 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

developing economies, expenditure frameworks, fiscal rules, Fiscal space, growth slowdown, stabilization funds

14.
Downloads 238 (229,882)
Citation 2

One-Stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 24 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 153 (341,924)

Abstract:

Loading...

Prices, global inflation, deflation, inflation synchronization, global factor

One-stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation

CAMA Working Paper No. 59/2021
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 09 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 85 (528,270)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Prices, global inflation, deflation, inflation synchronization, global factor

15.

Fiscal Space: Concept, Measurement, and Policy Implications

World Bank Research and Policy Briefs No. 132195
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 29 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 27 Apr 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 230 (237,435)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Public Sector Economics, Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Economic Adjustment and Lending, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Economic Growth, Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Labor Markets

16.
Downloads 229 (238,434)
Citation 5

Debt and Financial Crises

CAMA Working Paper No. 9/2020
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 12 Feb 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 121 (411,931)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

financial crises, currency crises, debt crises, banking crises, public debt, private debt, external debt

Debt and Financial Crises

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9116
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 23 Jan 2020 Last Revised: 24 Jan 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 107 (451,816)
Citation 3

Abstract:

Loading...

Debt and Financial Crises

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14442
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,133,852)
Citation 4
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

banking crises, Currency Crises, Debt crises, External Debt, financial crises, private debt, public debt

17.

The Role of Major Emerging Markets in Global Commodity Demand

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8495
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 28 Aug 2018
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 157 (334,390)
Citation 5

Abstract:

Loading...

Energy and Mining, Energy and Environment, Energy Demand, Mining & Extractive Industry (Non-Energy), Primary Metals, Oil Refining & Gas Industry, Food Security

18.

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

CAMA Working Paper No. 19/2017
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 08 Mar 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Lei Sandy Ye and Ergys Islamaj
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 142 (362,961)

Abstract:

Loading...

emerging markets, developing economies, investment slowdown, policy space, infrastructure investment, monetary policy, fiscal policy, structural reforms

19.
Downloads 135 (377,377)
Citation 21

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7724
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 19 Jul 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus Jerome Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 88 (516,647)

Abstract:

Loading...

Industrial Economics, Consumption, Economic Theory & Research, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions and Volatility

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CAMA Working Paper No. 35/2016
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 16 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus Jerome Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 47 (723,205)

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal Multipliers, Fiscal Position, State-Dependency, Ricardian Channel, Interest Rate Channel, Business Cycle

Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11346
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 27 Jun 2016
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus Jerome Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 12
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal multipliers; Fiscal position; State-dependency; Ricardian channel; Interest rate channel; Business cycle

20.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

CAMA Working Paper No. 48/2017
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 04 Aug 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Sergio Kurlat, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 133 (381,791)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal policy, sovereign debt, fiscal deficit, private debt, financial crises, oil prices.

21.
Downloads 131 (386,211)
Citation 5

Global Inflation Synchronization

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8768
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 09 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 84 (532,245)

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation Synchronization

CAMA Working Paper No. 24/2019
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 15 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 47 (723,205)

Abstract:

Loading...

global inflation, synchronization, dynamic factor model, advanced economies, emerging markets, developing economies

Global Inflation Synchronization

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13600
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Advanced economies, developing economies, Dynamic factor model, emerging markets, Global inflation, Synchronization

A mountain of debt: Navigating the legacy of the pandemic

CAMA Working Paper No. 90/2021
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Oct 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 126 (401,819)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

COVID-19, fiscal policy, sovereign debt, private debt, deficits

A Mountain of Debt: Navigating the Legacy of the Pandemic

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16637
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 15 Nov 2021
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,133,852)
Citation 3
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

COVID-19, Deficits, Fiscal policy, private debt, Sovereign debt

23.

Understanding the Global Drivers of Inflation: How Important are Oil Prices? 

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 09 Mar 2023
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Hakan Yilmazkuday
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 123 (412,850)

Abstract:

Loading...

inflation, oil prices, global shock, domestic shock, FAVAR, exchange rates

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8093
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 13 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 63 (627,974)

Abstract:

Loading...

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

CAMA Working Paper No. 37/2017
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 May 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 53 (684,997)

Abstract:

Loading...

Business cycles, spillovers, external shocks, China, EM7, G7

How Important are Spillovers from Major Emerging Markets?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12022
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 08 May 2017
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,133,852)
Citation 11
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Business Cycles, China, EM7, external shocks, G7, Spillovers

25.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8157
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 03 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2017
World Bank, World Bank - Development Prospects Group, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 116 (423,437)

Abstract:

Loading...

Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Economic Insecurity, Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring, Public Sector Economics, Debt Markets, Economic Adjustment and Lending, External Debt

26.

From Commodity Discovery to Production

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7823
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 07 Oct 2016
World Bank, World Bank, Independent and World Bank
Downloads 111 (437,341)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Consumption, Energy and Mining, Industrial Economics, Economic Theory & Research, Energy Demand, Energy and Environment, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Economic Conditions and Volatility

27.

The Global Role of the U.S. Economy: Linkages, Policies and Spillovers

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7962
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 08 Feb 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Csilla Lakatos, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 101 (468,221)

Abstract:

Loading...

International Trade and Trade Rules

28.

Casting a Shadow: Productivity of Formal Firms and Informality

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8945
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 06 Aug 2019
Mohammad Amin, Franziska Ohnsorge and Cedric Iltis Finafa Okou
World Bank - Enterprise Analysis Unit, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 99 (474,632)
Citation 3

Abstract:

Loading...

Labor Markets, Employment and Unemployment, Plastics & Rubber Industry, Business Cycles and Stabilization Policies, Textiles, Apparel & Leather Industry, Pulp & Paper Industry, Food & Beverage Industry, Common Carriers Industry, Construction Industry, General Manufacturing, Educational Sciences

29.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years After the Global Recession

CAMA Working Paper No. 13/2020
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 21 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 98 (477,769)

Abstract:

Loading...

economic integration, international business cycles, financial crises, macroeconomic policy

30.
Downloads 97 (481,064)
Citation 13

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

CAMA Working Paper No. 24/2020
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 17 Mar 2020
Sinem Kilic Celik, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 50 (703,523)

Abstract:

Loading...

Potential growth, potential output, advanced economies, emerging market and developing economies.

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9177
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 11 Mar 2020
Sinem Kilic Celik, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 47 (723,205)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14527
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 25 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 06 May 2020
Sinem Kilic Celik, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 12
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Advanced economies, emerging market and developing economies, Potential growth, Potential Output

Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9166
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 29 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 94 (495,043)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14439
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 3
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

debt sustainability, fiscal balance, Government Debt, optimal debt level, private debt

Growing apart or moving together? Synchronization of informal and formal economy cycles

CAMA Working Paper No. 77/2021
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 04 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 48 (716,546)

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, self-employment, business cycle

Growing Apart or Moving Together? Synchronization of Informal and Formal Economy Cycles

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 01 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 43 (750,848)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, self-employment, business cycle.

Growing Apart or Moving Together? Synchronization of Informal and Formal Economy Cycles

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16498
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 22 Sep 2021
Ceyhun Elgin, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
Bogazici University, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 2
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Business cycle, Informal economy, Self-employment

33.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years after the Global Recession

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9148
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 14 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 15 Feb 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 80 (542,438)

Abstract:

Loading...

What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami

CAMA Working Paper No. 99/2021
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 20 May 2022
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 76 (565,672)

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal balance, government debt, private debt, global recessions, resolution

What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16775
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 11 Feb 2022
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 2 (1,125,544)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

fiscal balance, Global recessions, Government Debt, private debt, Resolution

35.
Downloads 78 (550,530)
Citation 5

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 14, pp. 637-663, 2022
Posted: 31 Aug 2022
World Bank, World Bank, Harvard University - Department of Economics and World Bank

Abstract:

Loading...

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

CAMA Working Paper No. 81/2021
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 24 Sep 2021
World Bank, World Bank, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)World BankCentre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)International Monetary Fund (IMF)University of Maryland - School of Public AffairsHarvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA)Harvard University - Center for Business and GovernmentPeterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 61 (638,789)

Abstract:

Loading...

Debt restructuring, growth, inflation, fiscal consolidation, financial repression, wealth taxes

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

NBER Working Paper No. w29266
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 20 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 19 Jun 2023
World Bank, World Bank, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)World BankCentre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)International Monetary Fund (IMF)University of Maryland - School of Public AffairsHarvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA)Harvard University - Center for Business and GovernmentPeterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (980,704)

Abstract:

Loading...

The Aftermath of Debt Surges

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16537
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Sep 2021
World Bank, World Bank, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)World BankCentre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)International Monetary Fund (IMF)University of Maryland - School of Public AffairsHarvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA)Harvard University - Center for Business and GovernmentPeterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 0
Citation 4
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

debt restructuring, financial repression, fiscal consolidation, growth, inflation, Wealth Taxes

36.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CAMA Working Paper No. 28/2019
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 27 Mar 2019
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus J. Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
International Monetary Fund, World Bank, ESSEC Business School and World Bank
Downloads 76 (562,878)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Loading...

fiscal multipliers, fiscal position, state-dependency, Ricardian channel, interest rate channel, business cycle

37.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8784
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 26 Mar 2019
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus Jerome Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 71 (580,158)

Abstract:

Loading...

Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction, Macro-Fiscal Policy, Public Sector Economics, Economic Adjustment and Lending, Macroeconomics and Economic Growth, Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Macroeconomic Management, Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring

38.

Arm's-Length Trade: A Source of Post-Crisis Trade Weakness

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8144
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 24 Jul 2017
Csilla Lakatos and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 70 (584,654)

Abstract:

Loading...

International Trade and Trade Rules

39.

Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7704
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 19 Jul 2016
Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 70 (589,199)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Loading...

Industrial Economics, Economic Growth, Debt Markets, Economic Theory & Research, Economic Insecurity, External Debt

40.

Potential Growth: A Global Database

CAMA Working Paper 20/2023 April 2023
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 18 Apr 2023
International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 67 (598,461)

Abstract:

Loading...

production function, filters, growth expectations, developing economies

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7990
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 13 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 03 Aug 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Lei Sandy Ye and Ergys Islamaj
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 66 (612,641)

Abstract:

Loading...

Economic Growth, Economic Theory & Research, Consumption, Industrial Economics, Fiscal & Monetary Policy

Weakness in Investment Growth: Causes, Implications and Policy Responses

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11886
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 16 Mar 2017
Ergys Islamaj, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Lei Sandy Ye
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 7
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

emerging markets, infrastructure investment, investment slowdown, policies, policy space

42.

Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7770
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 28 Jul 2016
Franziska Ohnsorge, Marc Stocker and Modeste Y. Some
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 62 (622,643)

Abstract:

Loading...

Industrial Economics, Economic Theory & Research, Economic Growth, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Consumption

43.

Can this Time be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

CAMA Working Paper No. 23/2020
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 17 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 56 (654,267)

Abstract:

Loading...

Financial crises, currency crises, debt crises, banking crises, public debt, private debt, external debt.

44.

Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch

Kose, M. A. and F. Ohnsorge. (2023). Falling Long-Term Growth Prospects: Trends, Expectations, and Policies. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Number of pages: 73 Posted: 31 May 2023
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 55 (659,818)

Abstract:

Loading...

production function, investment, trade, emerging and developing economies, potential growth

45.

What Explains Global Inflation

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 10 Jan 2024
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge and Hakan Yilmazkuday
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Downloads 54 (665,413)

Abstract:

Loading...

Oil prices; demand shocks; supply shocks; interest rate shocks

46.

The Global Role of the United States and China

Seoul Journal of Economics, Vol. 33, No. 3, 2020
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 21 Oct 2020
M. Ayhan Kose, Csilla Lakatos, Franziska Ohnsorge and Marc Stocker
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 53 (671,017)

Abstract:

Loading...

United States, China, Spillovers, Uncertainty, Trade, Business Cycles, Global Economy

47.

Can this Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9178
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Mar 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 52 (676,742)

Abstract:

Loading...

48.
Downloads 48 (700,591)
Citation 1

Implications of Cheap Oil for Emerging Markets

CAMA Working Paper No. 83/2020
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 22 Sep 2020
Alain Ntumba Kabundi and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 48 (716,546)

Abstract:

Loading...

Oil price decline, COVID-19 pandemic, macroeconomic implications, supply factors, demand factors, local projections model.

Implications of Cheap Oil for Emerging Markets

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15296
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 22 Sep 2020
Alain Ntumba Kabundi and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Covid-19 pandemic, demand factors, local projections model, macroeconomic implications, oil price decline, supply factors

49.

From Financial Development to Informality: A Causal Link

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 02 Nov 2022
Salvatore Capasso, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
University of Naples "Parthenope", World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 36 (782,303)

Abstract:

Loading...

Informal economy, financial development, cross-border financial integration, emerging market and developing economies.

50.

Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 18 Apr 2023
Sinem Kılıç Çelik, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 34 (797,458)

Abstract:

Loading...

production function, growth expectations, emerging markets, developing economies

51.

From Low to High Inflation: Implications for Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 29 Apr 2022
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 34 (797,458)
Citation 5

Abstract:

Loading...

Global Inflation; Commodity Price; War in Ukraine; Global Recession; Great Inflation; Monetary Policy Tightening

52.

Election-Induced Fiscal Policy Cycles in Emerging Market and Developing Economies

CESifo Working Paper No. 10868
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 Jan 2024
Jakob de Haan, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
University of Groningen - Faculty of Economics and Business, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 21 (909,406)

Abstract:

Loading...

political budget cycles, emerging and developing countries, democracies, autocracies

53.

Can this Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14528
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 25 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 06 May 2020
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 1 (1,087,879)
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

banking crises, Currency Crises, Debt crises, External Debt, financial crises, private debt, public debt

54.

Informality and Financial Development: A Literature Reviews

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16711
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 04 Feb 2022
Salvatore Capasso, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu
University Parthenope of Napoli, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0 (1,094,834)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

emerging market and developing economies, Financial Development, Informal economy

55.

Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16328
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 14 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0 (1,094,834)
Citation 5
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

56.

One-Stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16327
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 14 Jul 2021
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0 (1,094,834)
Citation 15
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

57.

Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years after the Global Recession

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14405
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 03 Mar 2020
M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge
World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0 (1,094,834)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

economic integration, financial crises, International Business Cycles, Macroeconomic Policy

58.

Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13648
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 09 Apr 2019
Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose, Jamus J. Lim and Franziska Ohnsorge
International Monetary Fund, World Bank, ESSEC Business School and World Bank
Downloads 0 (1,094,834)
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Fiscal multipliers, fiscal position, interest rate, Ricardian channel, state-dependency

59.

A Cross-Country Database of Fiscal Space

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12196
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 11 Aug 2017
M. Ayhan Kose, Sergio Kurlat, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara
World Bank, World Bank, World Bank and World Bank
Downloads 0 (1,094,834)
Citation 17
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

financial crises, fiscal deficit, Fiscal policy, oil prices, private debt, Sovereign debt