Author Page for Andrew Gelman

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, University of Houston - Department of Political Science, Dartmouth College - Department of Government and George Washington University

Downloads 1,003 (24,547)

Citation 10

Abstract:

4.

Partisans Without Constraint: Political Polarization and Trends in American Public Opinion

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 03 Sep 2007 Last Revised: 21 Feb 2008

Delia Baldassarri and Andrew Gelman

Princeton University - Department of Sociology and Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Downloads 548 (55,799)

Citation 17

Abstract:

5.

Why are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls so Variable When Votes are so Predictable?

British Journal of Political Science, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 409-451, October 1993

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 17 Jan 2008

Andrew Gelman and Gary King

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Harvard University

Downloads 512 (60,802)

Citation 19

Abstract:

6.

A Default Prior Distribution for Logistic and Other Regression Models

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 11 Sep 2007

Andrew Gelman, Aleks Jakulin, Yu-Sung Su and M. Grazia Pittau

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Columbia University - Department of Statistics, Tsinghua University and University of Rome I

Downloads 381 (86,716)

Citation 10

Abstract:

7.

Fitting Multilevel Models When Predictors and Group Effects Correlate

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 03 Sep 2007

Joseph Bafumi and Andrew Gelman

Dartmouth College - Department of Government and Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Downloads 305 (111,351)

Citation 16

Abstract:

8.

Fully Bayesian Computing

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 11 Sep 2007

Andrew Gelman and Jouni Kerman

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Columbia University - Department of Statistics

Downloads 202 (168,082)

Abstract:

9.

Estimating Incumbency Advantage Without Bias

American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 34, No. 4, pp. 1142-1164, November 1990

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 17 Jan 2008

Andrew Gelman and Gary King

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Harvard University

Downloads 198 (171,321)

Citation 6

Abstract:

10.

Methodology as Ideology: Mathematical Modeling of Trench Warfare

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 30 Aug 2007

Andrew Gelman

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Downloads 192 (176,137)

Abstract:

11.

Pre-Election Survey Methodology: Details from Nine Polling Organizations, 1988 and 1992

Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol. 59, pp. 98-132, 1995

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 17 Jan 2008

Stephen D Voss, Andrew Gelman and Gary King

Univ. of KY Dept. of Poli. Sci., Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Harvard University

Downloads 162 (204,342)

Abstract:

12.

Sampling for Bayesian Computation with Large Datasets

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 04 Sep 2007

Zaijing Huang and Andrew Gelman

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Downloads 128 (247,231)

Citation 8

Abstract:

13.

Should the Democrats Move to the Left on Economic Policy?

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 30 Aug 2007

Andrew Gelman and C Jeffrey Cai

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and University of Pennsylvania

Downloads 100 (294,866)

Abstract:

14.

Estimating Partisan Bias of the Electoral College Under Proposed Changes in Elector Apportionment

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 28 Aug 2012

A.C. Thomas, Andrew Gelman, Gary King and Jonathan N. Katz

Carnegie Mellon University - Department of Statistics, Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Harvard University and California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences

Downloads 98 (298,664)

Citation 2

Abstract:

15.

Bridges between Deterministic and Probabilistic Models for Binary Data

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 28 Aug 2007

Andrew Gelman, Iven van Mechelen, Paul De Boeck, Iwin Leenen and Jeroen Poblome

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, KU Leuven, KU Leuven, KU Leuven and KU Leuven

Downloads 94 (306,835)

Abstract:

16.

Enhancing Democracy Through Legislative Redistricting

American Political Science Review, Vol. 88, No. 3, pp. 541-559, September 1994

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 17 Jan 2008

Andrew Gelman and Gary King

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Harvard University

Downloads 89 (317,550)

Citation 3

Abstract:

17.

Estimating the Probability of Events that Have Never Occured: When is Your Vote Decisive?

Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 93, No. 441, pp. 1-9. March 1998

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 16 Jan 2008

Andrew Gelman, Gary King and John Boscardin

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Harvard University and University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)

Downloads 86 (324,438)

Abstract:

18.

Who Wants School Vouchers?

APSA 2010 Annual Meeting Paper

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 19 Jul 2010 Last Revised: 07 Sep 2010

Yu-Sung Su and Andrew Gelman

Tsinghua University and Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Downloads 84 (329,179)

Abstract:

19.

Diagnostics for Multivariate Imputations

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 11 Sep 2007

Andrew Gelman, Marc A. Levy and Kobi Abayomi

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Columbia University - Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN) and Columbia University

Downloads 83 (331,583)

Citation 1

Abstract:

20.

An Experimental Study of Storable Votes

Downloads 77 (346,558)

Citation 22

3

An Experimental Study of Storable Votes

Columbia University Economics Discussion Paper No. 0304-01

Number of pages: 72 Posted: 28 Oct 2003

Alessandra Casella, Andrew Gelman and Thomas R. Palfrey

Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences

Downloads 42 (471,339)

Abstract:

An Experimental Study of Storable Votes

Number of pages: 73 Posted: 04 Dec 2003

Alessandra Casella, Andrew Gelman and Thomas R. Palfrey

Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences

Downloads 19 (605,115)

Citation 1

Add to Cart

Abstract:

An Experimental Study of Storable Votes

NBER Working Paper No. w9982

Number of pages: 71 Posted: 21 Sep 2003 Last Revised: 04 Dec 2003

Alessandra Casella, Andrew Gelman and Thomas R. Palfrey

Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences

Downloads 16 (626,877)

Citation 1

Abstract:

21.

A Unified Method of Evaluating Electoral Systems and Redistricting Plans

American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 38, No. 2, pp. 514-554, May 1994

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 17 Jan 2008

Andrew Gelman and Gary King

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Harvard University

Downloads 72 (359,974)

Abstract:

22.

What Does 'Do Campaigns Matter?' Mean?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 11 Sep 2007

Andrew Gelman, Joseph Bafumi and David Park

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Dartmouth College - Department of Government and George Washington University

Downloads 71 (362,651)

Abstract:

23.

A Simple Scheme to Improve the Efficiency of Referenda

Downloads 68 (371,223)

Citation 7

3

A Simple Scheme to Improve the Efficiency of Referenda

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 11 Sep 2007

Andrew Gelman and Alessandra Casella

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics

Downloads 30 (531,608)

Abstract:

A Simple Scheme to Improve the Efficiency of Referenda

NBER Working Paper No. w11375

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 04 Jul 2005 Last Revised: 02 Aug 2010

Alessandra Casella and Andrew Gelman

Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics and Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Downloads 21 (590,659)

Abstract:

A Simple Scheme to Improve the Efficiency of Referenda

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5093

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 05 Aug 2005

Alessandra Casella and Andrew Gelman

Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics and Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Downloads 17 (619,569)

Citation 3

Add to Cart

Abstract:

24.

Party Competition and Media Messages in U. S. Presidential Elections

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 07 Jul 2008

Andrew Gelman and Gary King

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Harvard University

Downloads 67 (374,169)

Citation 1

Abstract:

25.

Adaptively Scaling the Metropolis Algorithm Using Expected Squared Jumped Distance

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 11 Sep 2007

Andrew Gelman and Cristian Pasarica

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Barclays Investment Bank

Downloads 67 (374,169)

Abstract:

26.

Voting as a Rational Choice: Why and How People Vote to Improve the Well-Being of Others

NBER Working Paper No. w13562

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 31 Oct 2007 Last Revised: 24 Jul 2010

Aaron S. Edlin, Andrew Gelman and Noah Kaplan

University of California at Berkeley, Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and University of Houston - Department of Political Science

Downloads 58 (402,293)

Citation 1

Abstract:

27.

Splitting a Predictor at the Upper Quarter or Third and the Lower Quarter or Third

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 11 Sep 2007

Andrew Gelman and David Park

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and George Washington University

Downloads 50 (430,355)

Citation 3

Abstract:

28.

Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys

Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 93, No. 443, pp. 846-857, September 1999

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 16 Jan 2008

Andrew Gelman, Gary King and Chuanhai Liu

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Harvard University and Bell Laboratories

Downloads 45 (449,677)

Citation 8

Abstract:

29.

Systemic Consequences of Incumbency Advantage in the U.S. House

American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 110-138, February 1991

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 17 Jan 2008

Gary King and Andrew Gelman

Harvard University and Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Downloads 40 (470,569)

Citation 3

Abstract:

30.

Estimating the Electoral Consequences of Legislative Redistricting

Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 85, No. 410, pp. 274-282, June 1990

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 17 Jan 2008

Andrew Gelman and Gary King

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Harvard University

Downloads 39 (474,874)

Citation 1

Abstract:

31.

Income and Vote Choice in the 2000 Mexican Presidential Election

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 04 Sep 2007

Andrew Gelman and Jeronimo Cortina

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and University of Houston - Department of Political Science

Downloads 39 (474,874)

Abstract:

32.

Why Ask Why? Forward Causal Inference and Reverse Causal Questions

NBER Working Paper No. w19614

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 09 Nov 2013

Andrew Gelman and Guido W. Imbens

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Stanford Graduate School of Business

Downloads 38 (479,254)

Citation 1

Abstract:

33.

Why High-Order Polynomials Should Not Be Used in Regression Discontinuity Designs

NBER Working Paper No. w20405

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 25 Aug 2014

Andrew Gelman and Guido W. Imbens

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and Stanford Graduate School of Business

Downloads 37 (483,873)

Citation 140

Abstract:

34.

What is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference?

Downloads 36 (488,362)

Citation 16

2

What is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference?

NBER Working Paper No. w15220

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 18 Aug 2009 Last Revised: 05 Aug 2010

Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver and Aaron S. Edlin

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, affiliation not provided to SSRN and University of California at Berkeley

Downloads 35 (504,566)

Abstract:

What is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference?

Economic Inquiry, Vol. 50, Issue 2, pp. 321-326, 2012

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 19 Apr 2012

Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver and Aaron S. Edlin

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, affiliation not provided to SSRN and University of California at Berkeley

Downloads 1 (756,005)

Citation 5

Add to Cart

Abstract:

35.

Protecting Minorities in Binary Elections: A Test of Storable Votes Using Field Data

Downloads 14 (618,385)

Citation 1

2

Protecting Minorities in Binary Elections: A Test of Storable Votes Using Field Data

NBER Working Paper No. w14103

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 22 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 16 Jul 2010

Alessandra Casella, Shuky Ehrenberg, Andrew Gelman and Jie Shen

Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, Yale University - Law School, Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and University of California, Irvine - Department of Statistics

Downloads 10 (673,120)

Abstract:

Protecting Minorities in Binary Elections: A Test of Storable Votes Using Field Data

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6851

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 17 Jun 2008

Alessandra Casella, Shuky Ehrenberg, Andrew Gelman and Jie Shen

Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, Yale University - Law School, Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science and University of California, Irvine - Department of Statistics

Downloads 4 (721,281)

Add to Cart

Andrew Gelman

Columbia University - Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science

Professor

35

Top 6,686

7,278

Top 2,298

222

316

Scholarly Papers (35)

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

An Experimental Study of Storable Votes

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

A Simple Scheme to Improve the Efficiency of Referenda

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

Abstract:

What is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference?

Abstract:

Abstract:

Protecting Minorities in Binary Elections: A Test of Storable Votes Using Field Data

Abstract: