Jeremy Piger

University of Oregon - Department of Economics

Assistant Professor

Eugene, OR 97403

United States

  • University of Oregon - Department of Economics

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

32

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SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 3,703

in Total Papers Citations

218

CROSSREF CITATIONS

131

Scholarly Papers (32)

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1.

Beyond the Numbers: Measuring the Information Content of Earnings Press Release Language

AAA 2008 Financial Accounting and Reporting Section (FARS) Paper
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 16 Jan 2006 Last Revised: 20 Jun 2011
Angela K. Davis, Jeremy Piger and Lisa M. Sedor
University of Oregon, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and DePaul University
Downloads 1,974 (8,909)
Citation 49

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disclosure, earnings press release, language, tone

2.

Identifying Business Cycle Turning Points in Real Time

FRB of Atlanta Working Paper No. 2002-27
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 19 Feb 2003
Marcelle Chauvet and Jeremy Piger
University of California Riverside and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 561 (55,890)
Citation 7

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Business cycles, real time forecasting, Markov switching, turning points

3.

Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies?

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 29 Jul 2004
Andrew T. Levin and Jeremy Piger
affiliation not provided to SSRN and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 414 (81,221)
Citation 1

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Inflation dynamics, Bayesian econometrics, largest autoregressive root

4.

Markov Regime-Switching and Unit Root Tests

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 12 Dec 2000
Charles R. Nelson, Jeremy Piger and Eric Zivot
Dept of Economics, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and University of Washington - Department of Economics
Downloads 265 (133,072)
Citation 3

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stochastic trends, deterministic trends, structural change, heteroskedasticity, unit root tests, and markov switching

5.

Explicit Inflation Objectives and Macroeconomic Outcomes

Number of pages: 64 Posted: 09 Dec 2004
Andrew T. Levin, Fabio M. Natalucci and Jeremy Piger
affiliation not provided to SSRN, U.S. Federal Reserve Board - Division of Monetary Affairs and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 252 (140,046)

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Inflation expectations, Consensus Forecasts, inflation persistence

6.

Bayesian Model Selection for Structural Break Models

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 15 May 2008
Andrew T. Levin and Jeremy Piger
affiliation not provided to SSRN and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 175 (196,723)
Citation 7

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Posterior Model Probability, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Inflation Persistence

7.

Permanent and Transitory Components of Business Cycles: Their Relative Importance and Dynamic Relationship

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 22 Jun 2001
Chang-Jin Kim, Jeremy Piger and Richard Startz
Korea University, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and UCSB
Downloads 157 (215,749)
Citation 4

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asymmetry, economic fluctuations, Markov-switching

8.

Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2003-011
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 17 Jun 2003
Howard J. Wall, Michael Owyang and Jeremy Piger
Lindenwood University - Center for Economics and the Environment, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 156 (216,924)
Citation 25

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9.

The Use and Abuse of 'Real-Time' Data in Economic Forecasting

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 08 Nov 2000
Evan F. Koenig, Sheila Dolmas and Jeremy Piger
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 153 (220,410)
Citation 17

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10.

A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2004-014C
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 28 Jul 2005
Chang-Jin Kim, James Morley and Jeremy Piger
Korea University, University of Sydney - School of Economics and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 146 (229,013)

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bayesian, counterfactual, structural change, volatility reduction

11.

Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 07 Dec 2000
Chang-Jin Kim and Jeremy Piger
Korea University and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 143 (234,177)
Citation 4

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asymmetry, business cycles, common shocks, Markov-switching, productivity slowdown

12.

A Comparison of the Real-Time Performance of Business Cycle Dating Methods

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2005-021A
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 28 Jul 2005
Marcelle Chauvet and Jeremy Piger
University of California Riverside and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 139 (238,277)
Citation 17

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Turning Point, Markov-Switching, Dynamic-Factor Model, Vintage Data

13.

Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information?

UNSW Australian School of Business Research Paper No. 2012ECON23
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 27 Mar 2012
James Morley, Jeremy Piger and Pao-Lin Tien
University of Sydney - School of Economics, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 117 (271,608)
Citation 18

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Business cycle features, nonlinear dynamics, multivariate models

14.

Inflation in the G7: Mind the Gap(s)?

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Bank Working Paper No. 2011-011A
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 23 Apr 2011
James Morley, Jeremy Piger and Robert Rasche
University of Sydney - School of Economics, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and Michigan State University
Downloads 117 (271,608)
Citation 1

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inflation gap, inflation persistence, natural rate, Phillips Curve, trend inflation

15.

Is the Response of Output to Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Evidence from a Regime-Switching Coefficients Model

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2001-022A
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2002
Jeremy Piger and Ming Chien Lo
University of Oregon - Department of Economics and Saint Cloud State University - Department of Economics
Downloads 105 (293,049)
Citation 16

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Asymmetry, Business Cycles, Regime Switching, Monetary Policy

16.

The Less Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth and Potential Explanations

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 27 Aug 2001
Chang-Jin Kim, Charles R. Nelson and Jeremy Piger
Korea University, Dept of Economics and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 103 (296,916)
Citation 20

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volatility reduction, stabilization, structural break, Bayesian

17.

Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment

Downloads 92 (319,405)
Citation 47

Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment

NBER Working Paper No. w16704
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 19 Jan 2011 Last Revised: 15 May 2014
Bruce A. Blonigen and Jeremy Piger
University of Oregon - Department of Economics and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 91 (324,173)

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Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment

Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, Vol. 47, Issue 3, pp. 775-812, 2014
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 09 Dec 2014
Bruce A. Blonigen and Jeremy Piger
University of Oregon - Department of Economics and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 1 (771,900)
Citation 18
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18.

Inflation: Do Expectations Trump the Gap?

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2006-013B
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 16 Apr 2006
Jeremy Piger and Robert Rasche
University of Oregon - Department of Economics and Michigan State University
Downloads 88 (328,578)
Citation 3

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Inflation persistence, Inflation forecast, Phillips Curve

19.

A Steady-State Approach to Trend/Cycle Decomposition of Regime-Switching Processes

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2004-006D
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 28 Jul 2005
James Morley and Jeremy Piger
University of Sydney - School of Economics and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 86 (333,226)
Citation 1

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steady state, trend/cycle decomposition, nonlinear, regime switching

20.

The Importance of Nonlinearity in Reproducing Business Cycle Features

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2004-032B
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 28 Jul 2005
James Morley and Jeremy Piger
University of Sydney - School of Economics and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 79 (350,518)

Abstract:

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business cycle, nonlinear, regime switching

21.

Structural Breaks in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach

Number of pages: 62 Posted: 08 Dec 2018
Adam Check and Jeremy Piger
University of St. Thomas and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 72 (369,428)
Citation 1

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posterior model probability, model selection, model uncertainty, changepoint, inflation persistence, Great Moderation

22.

Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 12 May 2008
Michelle T. Armesto, Ruben Hernandez-Murillo, Michael Owyang and Jeremy Piger
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 60 (406,278)
Citation 2

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data sampling frequency, textual analysis, DICTION, Beige Book

23.

Turning Points and Classification

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 22 Apr 2019
Jeremy Piger
University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 52 (434,251)

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machine learning, nowcasting, business cycles, recession

24.

Forecasting National Recessions Using State Level Data

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2012-013B
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 16 Nov 2013
Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger and Howard J. Wall
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and Lindenwood University - Center for Economics and the Environment
Downloads 49 (445,558)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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turning points, probit, covariate selection

25.

A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2007-003D
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 06 Feb 2007
Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger and Howard J. Wall
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and Lindenwood University - Center for Economics and the Environment
Downloads 49 (445,558)

Abstract:

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volatility reduction, state business cycles

26.

The Economic Performance of Cities: A Markov-Switching Approach

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2006-056A
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 25 Oct 2006
Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger, Howard J. Wall and Christopher H. Wheeler
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Oregon - Department of Economics, Lindenwood University - Center for Economics and the Environment and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division
Downloads 47 (453,346)
Citation 7

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Growth in cities, business cycle phases

27.

The 2001 Recession and the States of the 8th District

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2005-053A
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 28 Jul 2005
Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger and Howard J. Wall
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and Lindenwood University - Center for Economics and the Environment
Downloads 38 (491,819)

Abstract:

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Markov-switching, business cycles

28.

Identifying Asymmetry in the Language of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2007-010A
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 Mar 2007
Michelle T. Armesto, Ruben Hernandez-Murillo, Michael Owyang and Jeremy Piger
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (496,419)

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data sampling frequency, textual analysis, diction, Beige Book

29.

Discordant City Employment Cycles

FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2010-019B
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 Jul 2010 Last Revised: 20 Sep 2012
Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger and Howard J. Wall
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and Lindenwood University - Center for Economics and the Environment
Downloads 24 (567,100)
Citation 2

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City Employment Cycles

30.

Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners

NBER Working Paper No. w18032
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 16 May 2012
Bruce A. Blonigen, Jeremy Piger and Nicholas Sly
University of Oregon - Department of Economics, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 15 (626,668)
Citation 1

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31.

Contagious Switching

FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2019-14
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 15 May 2019
Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger and Daniel Soques
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, University of Oregon - Department of Economics and University of North Carolina (UNC) at Wilmington
Downloads 12 (648,182)

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time varying transition probabilities, NAFTA, business cycle synchronization

32.

Employment and the Business Cycle

The Manchester School, Vol. 81, pp. 16-42, 2013
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 31 Oct 2013
Marcelle Chauvet and Jeremy Piger
University of California Riverside and University of Oregon - Department of Economics
Downloads 0 (754,651)
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