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Makram El-Shagi

Henan University

85 Minglun St. Shunhe

Kaifeng, Henan 475001

China

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

9

DOWNLOADS

558

TOTAL CITATIONS
Rank 45,624

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 45,624

in Total Papers Citations

54

Scholarly Papers (9)

1.
Downloads 142 (527,599)
Citation 30

Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism

Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91, pp. 386-402, September 2020 [10.1016/j.econmod.2020.05.018]
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 04 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 09 Feb 2025
Jonathan Benchimol and Makram El-Shagi
Bank of Israel and Henan University
Downloads 25 (1,445,011)
Citation 11

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Inflation, Exchange rate, Forecast performance, Terrorism, Market forecast, Geopolitical risks, Expert forecast

Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism

CFDS Discussion Paper No. 1-2017
Published version: Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91, pp. 386-402, September 2020
[10.1016/j.econmod.2020.05.018]
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 19 Dec 2017 Last Revised: 19 Sep 2024
Jonathan Benchimol and Makram El-Shagi
Bank of Israel and Henan University
Downloads 78 (833,655)
Citation 19

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inflation, exchange rate, forecast performance, terrorism, market forecast, expert forecast

Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism

Globalization Institute Working Paper No. 390
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 30 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 11 Jan 2022
Jonathan Benchimol and Makram El-Shagi
Bank of Israel and Henan University
Downloads 39 (1,238,337)

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inflation, exchange rates, forecast performance, terrorism, market forecast, expert forecast

2.

The Joint Dynamics of Sovereign Ratings and Government Bond Yields

Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 13/2016
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 21 Jun 2016
Makram El-Shagi and Gregor von Schweinitz
Henan University and Halle Institute for Economic Research
Downloads 103 (679,608)
Citation 3

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Sovereign Risk, Rating Agencies, Semiparametric Models, Nonlinearities

3.

Do Expert Experience and Characteristics Affect Inflation Forecasts?

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 201, pp. 205-226, September 2022 [10.1016/j.jebo.2022.06.025]
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 09 Aug 2023 Last Revised: 19 Sep 2024
Jonathan Benchimol, Makram El-Shagi and Yossi Saadon
Bank of Israel, Henan University and Bank of Israel - Research Department
Downloads 72 (867,774)
Citation 12

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Expert forecast, Behavioral economics, Survival analysis, Panel estimation, Global financial crisis., Inflation forecast

4.

The Income Elasticity of Import Demand: A Meta-Survey

CFDS Discussion Paper No. 2019/3, Center for Financial Development and Stability, Henan University, 2019
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 13 Aug 2021
Makram El-Shagi, William Charles Sawyer and Kiril Tochkov
Henan University, Texas Christian University and Texas Christian University - Department of Economics
Downloads 61 (970,490)

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trade, import demand, income elasticity, meta-analysis, survey

5.

Divisia Monetary Aggregates for Russia: Money Demand, GDP Nowcasting, and the Price Puzzle

CFDS Discussion Paper No. 2021/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability, Henan University, 2021
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 19 Jul 2021
Makram El-Shagi and Kiril Tochkov
Henan University and Texas Christian University - Department of Economics
Downloads 56 (1,031,043)

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Monetary policy, monetary aggregates, Divisia, nowcasting, Russia

6.

Revisiting the Relative Forecast Performance of Fed Staff and Private Forecasters: A Dynamic Approach

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 32, 2016
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 15 Oct 2020
Makram El-Shagi, Sebastian Giesen and Alexander Jung
Henan University, IWH and European Central Bank
Downloads 49 (1,086,013)
Citation 8

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Forecast performance, Forecast stability, Greenbook forecasts, Survey of Professional Forecasters

7.

Shadow of the Colossus: Euro Area Spillovers and Monetary Policy in Central and Eastern Europe

CFDS Discussion Paper No. 2020/7, Center for Financial Development and Stability, Henan University, 2020
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 19 Jul 2021
Makram El-Shagi and Kiril Tochkov
Henan University and Texas Christian University - Department of Economics
Downloads 46 (1,121,190)

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Monetary policy, spillover, Divisia, Central and Eastern Europe

8.

Has the Publication of Minutes Helped Markets to Predict the Monetary Policy Decisions of the Bank of England’s MPC?

European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 39, 2015
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 15 Oct 2020
Makram El-Shagi and Alexander Jung
Henan University and European Central Bank
Downloads 29 (1,345,526)
Citation 1

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Communication, MPC minutes, Monetary policy committee, Probit, Vuong test

9.

Does Inequality Lead to Credit Growth? Testing the Rajan Hypothesis Using State-Level Data

Economics Letters, vol. 148(C), pages 63-67.
Posted: 26 Aug 2018
Steven Yamarik, Makram El-Shagi and Guy Yamashiro
California State University, Long Beach - Department of Economics, Henan University and California State University, Long Beach - Department of Economics

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Rajan, Inequality, Loans, Credit, PMG