Mark P. Taylor

University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Professor of Macroeconomics

Coventry CV4 7AL

United Kingdom

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

77 Bastwick Street

London, EC1V 3PZ

United Kingdom

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

41

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CITATIONS
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982

Scholarly Papers (41)

1.

Exchange Rate Economics: A Survey

IMF Working Paper No. 91/62
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Mark P. Taylor
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 849 (18,820)
Citation 19

Abstract:

2.
Downloads 780 ( 23,502)
Citation 26

The Crisis in the Foreign Exchange Market

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2707
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 22 Jul 2009
Michael Melvin and Mark P. Taylor
University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 780 (23,331)
Citation 26

Abstract:

financial crisis, foreign exchange, exchange rates, transaction costs

3.

The Monetary Approach to the Exchange Rate: Rational Expectations, Long-Run Equilibrium and Forecasting

IMF Working Paper No. 92/34
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Mark P. Taylor
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 608 (31,565)
Citation 24

Abstract:

4.
Downloads 350 ( 62,557)
Citation 2

Exchange Rates, Country Preferences, and Gold

IMF Working Paper No. 92/51
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Michael P. Dooley, Peter Isard and Mark P. Taylor
University of California at Santa Cruz, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 350 (66,231)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-Scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 31 Oct 2014
Po-Hsuan Hsu and Mark P. Taylor
University of Hong Kong and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 287 (83,180)

Abstract:

Data snooping, Foreign exchange, Technical analysis

Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-Scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10018
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 25 Sep 2014
Po-Hsuan Hsu and Mark P. Taylor
University of Hong Kong and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 1 (553,686)
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Abstract:

data-snooping bias, Foreign exchange, technical analysis, trading rules

6.

Modelling the Yield Curve

IMF Working Paper No. 91/134
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 267 (86,294)
Citation 5

Abstract:

interest rates, term structure, expectations, risk, market segmentation

7.

Why is it so Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Rorecast of Exchange Rates?

ECB Working Paper No. 88
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 27 Feb 2003
Lutz Kilian and Mark P. Taylor
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 232 (103,069)
Citation 75

Abstract:

Purchasing power parity; real exchange rate; random walk; economic models of exchange rate determination; long-horizon regression tests

8.

Purchasing Power Parity Over Two Centuries: Strengthening the Case for Real Exchange Rate Stability Reply to Cuddington and Liang

Journal of International Money and Finance, October 2000
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 07 Nov 2004
James R. Lothian and Mark P. Taylor
Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 231 (98,314)
Citation 5

Abstract:

Real exchange rates, purchasing power parity

9.
Downloads 218 (111,588)
Citation 76

The Purchasing Power Parity Debate

NBER Working Paper No. w10607
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 09 Jul 2004
Alan M. Taylor and Mark P. Taylor
University of California, Davis - Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 169 (141,676)
Citation 76

Abstract:

The Purchasing Power Parity Debate

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4495
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 07 Sep 2004
Alan M. Taylor and Mark P. Taylor
University of California, Davis - Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 49 (323,863)
Citation 76
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Abstract:

Purchasing power parity, exchange rates, real exchange rates, nonlinearity, long-run equilibrium

10.

Real Exchange Rates, Non-Linearities and Balassa-Samuelson Effects

Frank J. Petrilli Center for Research in International Finance Working Paper No. Lothian01
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 04 Nov 2004
James R. Lothian and Mark P. Taylor
Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 158 (147,064)

Abstract:

Purchasing power parity, real exchange rate, nonlinear dynamics, Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson effect, productivity differentials

11.

Global Political Risk and Currency Momentum

Number of pages: 95 Posted: 01 Nov 2014 Last Revised: 11 Mar 2016
University of Warwick, University of Warwick and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 152 (87,658)

Abstract:

Currency Momentum, FX Risk premium, Limits to Arbitrage, Political Risk

12.

Intervention, Interest Rates, and Charts: Three Essays in International Finance

IMF Working Paper No. 91/106
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 147 (152,754)
Citation 3

Abstract:

The Out-of-Sample Success of Term Structure Models as Exchange Rate Predictors: A Step Beyond

NBER Working Paper No. w8601
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 17 Nov 2001
Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences - Department of Eco, City University London - Sir John Cass Business School, University of Warwick - Department of Economics and Hong Kong Monetary Authority - Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (HKIMR)
Downloads 73 (263,385)
Citation 57

Abstract:

The Out-of-Sample Success of Term Structure Models as Exchange Rate Predictors: A Step Beyond

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3281
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 23 Apr 2002
Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences - Department of Eco, City University London - Sir John Cass Business School, University of Warwick - Department of Economics and Hong Kong Monetary Authority - Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (HKIMR)
Downloads 37 (363,805)
Citation 57
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Abstract:

Foreign exchange, term structure, forecasting, non-linearity, Markov switching

14.

International Liquidity Swaps: Is the Chiang Mai Initiative Efficiently Pooling Reserves?

International Journal of Finance and Economics, Vol. 13, No. 4, 2008
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 17 May 2006 Last Revised: 10 Apr 2011
Emanuel Kohlscheen and Mark P. Taylor
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 107 (201,500)
Citation 3

Abstract:

insurance, international reserves, liquidity, sovereign risk, swaps

15.

Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity and the Dollar-Sterling Exchange Rate in the 1920s

IMF Working Paper No. 90/118
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 106 (198,846)
Citation 16

Abstract:

16.

End-User Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics

Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 05/2007
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 10 Jul 2008
Mark P. Taylor, Markus A. Schmidt and Stefan Reitz
University of Warwick - Department of Economics, Deutsche Bundesbank and University of Giessen
Downloads 90 (221,638)
Citation 3

Abstract:

foreign exchange, market microstructure, end-user order flow

17.

Purchasing Power Parity and the Real Exchange Rate

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2913
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 22 Aug 2001
Mark P. Taylor and Lucio Sarno
University of Warwick - Department of Economics and City University London - Sir John Cass Business School
Downloads 80 (247,140)
Citation 48
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Abstract:

Foreign exchange, purchasing power parity, real exchange rate

18.

Japanese and Federal Reserve Intervention in the Yen-US Dollar Market: A Coordination Channel of FX Operations?

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 10 Jul 2008
Mark P. Taylor and Stefan Reitz
University of Warwick - Department of Economics and University of Giessen
Downloads 72 (252,759)
Citation 2

Abstract:

foreign exchange intervention, coordination channel, market microstructure, nonlinear mean reversion

19.

The Coordination Channel of Foreign Exchange Intervention: The Australian Case

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Jul 2008
Mark P. Taylor, Jan C. Ruelke and Stefan Reitz
University of Warwick - Department of Economics, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management and University of Giessen
Downloads 64 (267,055)

Abstract:

foreign exchange intervention, coordination channel, market microstructure, nonlinear mean reversion

International Capital Crunches: The Time-Varying Role of Informational Asymmetries

IMF Working Paper No. 02/43
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Ashoka Mody and Mark P. Taylor
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (346,052)
Citation 13

Abstract:

Capital flows, disequilibrium, rationing, asymmetric information

International Capital Crunches: The Time-Varying Role of Informational Asymmetries

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3757
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 14 Mar 2003
Ashoka Mody and Mark P. Taylor
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 17 (461,412)
Citation 13
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Abstract:

Capital flows, disequilibrium, rationing, asymmetric information

21.

Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market: Is it Effective, and, If so, How Does it Work?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2690
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 28 Feb 2001
Mark P. Taylor and Lucio Sarno
University of Warwick - Department of Economics and City University London - Sir John Cass Business School
Downloads 55 (302,077)
Citation 121
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Abstract:

Non-Linear Dynamics, Purchasing Power Parity, Real Exchange Rate, Test Power, Unit Root Test

22.

The Role of Asymmetries and Regime Shifts in the Term Structure of Interest Rates

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4835
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 26 Apr 2005
Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences - Department of Eco, City University London - Sir John Cass Business School, University of Warwick - Department of Economics and Hong Kong Monetary Authority - Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (HKIMR)
Downloads 42 (339,576)
Citation 18
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Abstract:

Term structure of interest rates, markov switching, forecasting

23.
Downloads 39 (349,145)
Citation 25

Is Official Exchange Rate Intervention Effective?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3758
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 10 Apr 2003
Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 20 (444,254)
Citation 25
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Abstract:

Real exchange rate, official intervention, non-linearity, mean reversion

Is Official Exchange Rate Intervention Effective?

Economica, Vol. 71, No. 1, pp. 1-11, February 2004
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 26 Mar 2004
Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 19 (450,098)
Citation 25
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Abstract:

24.

The Term Structure of Forward Exchange Premia and the Forecastibility of Spot Exchange Rates: Correcting the Errors

NBER Working Paper No. w4442
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 26 Apr 2001
Richard Clarida and Mark P. Taylor
Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences - Department of Eco and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 36 (339,576)
Citation 29

Abstract:

25.

European Policy Convergence and the EMS

IMF Working Paper No. 90/104
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Mark P. Taylor
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 35 (352,575)

Abstract:

26.

Purchasing Power Parity

Review of International Economics, Vol. 11, pp. 436-452, August 2003
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Sep 2003
Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 35 (363,113)
Citation 263
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Abstract:

27.

Option or Obligation? The Determinants of Labour Supply Preferences in Britain

Manchester School, Vol. 71, pp. 113-131, March 2003
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 20 Sep 2003
René Böheim and Mark P. Taylor
Johannes Kepler University and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 35 (363,113)
Citation 4
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Abstract:

28.

Non-Linear Dynamics in Deviations from the Law of One Price: A Broad-Based Empirical Study

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3377
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 21 Jun 2002
Lucio Sarno, Mark P. Taylor and Ibrahim Chowdhury
City University London - Sir John Cass Business School, University of Warwick - Department of Economics and University of Oxford
Downloads 27 (395,215)
Citation 17
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Abstract:

Law of one price, purchasing power parity, real exchange rate, threshold non-linearity, mean reversion

29.

Official Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Coordinating Signal in the Dollar-Yen Market

Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 73-82, February 2005
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 14 Mar 2005
Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 26 (399,880)
Citation 10
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Abstract:

30.

A Cross-Country Financial Accelerator: Evidence from North America and Europe

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5037
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 13 Sep 2005
Ashoka Mody, Lucio Sarno and Mark P. Taylor
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, City University London - Sir John Cass Business School and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 25 (404,541)
Citation 3
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Abstract:

Financial accelerator, credit cycle, international business cycles, Kalman filter

31.

Common Vulnerabilities

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3759
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 18 Mar 2003
Ashoka Mody and Mark P. Taylor
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 23 (414,320)
Citation 8
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Abstract:

Currency crisis, vulnerability, contagion, dynamic factor analysis

32.

Why is it so Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3024
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 13 Nov 2001
Lutz Kilian and Mark P. Taylor
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 23 (414,320)
Citation 92
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Abstract:

Purchasing power parity, real exchange rate, random walk, economic models of exchange rate determination, long-horizon regression tests

33.

Non-Linear Equilibrium Correction in US Real Money Balances, 1869-1997

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3249
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 09 Apr 2002
David A. Peel, Lucio Sarno and Mark P. Taylor
Lancaster University - Management School, City University London - Sir John Cass Business School and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 19 (434,808)
Citation 2
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Abstract:

Demand for money, adjustment costs, equilibrium correction, non-linear dynamics

34.

Are There Thresholds of Current Account Adjustment in the G7?

NBER Working Paper No. w12193
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 26 Oct 2012
Richard Clarida, Manuela Goretti and Mark P. Taylor
Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences - Department of Eco, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 9 (485,630)
Citation 13

Abstract:

35.

Modelling Portfolio Capital Flows in a Global Framework: Multilateral Implications of Capital Controls

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11689
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 12 Dec 2016
Gianna Boero, Zeyyad Mandalinci and Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick - Department of Economics, Queen Mary University of London and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 0 (536,299)
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Abstract:

capital controls, emerging markets, Global VAR (GVAR), Portfolio Capital Flows

36.

Technical Trading: Is it Still Beating the Foreign Exchange Market?

Journal of International Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 18 Apr 2016
Po-Hsuan Hsu, Mark P. Taylor and Zigan Wang
University of Hong Kong, University of Warwick - Department of Economics and The University of Hong Kong - School of Economics and Finance
Downloads 0 (28,040)

Abstract:

Foreign exchange, technical analysis, trading rules, data-snooping bias

37.

Common Macro Factors and Currency Premia

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10016
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 25 Sep 2014
Ilias Filippou and Mark P. Taylor
University of Warwick and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Downloads 0 (526,207)
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Abstract:

Carry Trade, Factor Analysis, Foreign Exchange, Forward Premium Puzzle, Momentum

38.

Private Consumption Behaviour, Liquidity Constraints and Financial Deregulation in France: A Nonlinear Analysis

Empirical Economics, Vol. 25, No. 2, 2000
Posted: 11 Sep 2000
Eric Girardin, Lucio Sarno and Mark P. Taylor
University Aix-Marseille 2 - GREQAM, City University London - Sir John Cass Business School and University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Abstract:

consumption, credit, liquidity constraints, Euler equation, financial liberalization, nonlinearity

39.

Estimating Growth Equations for Previously Centrally Planned Economies: Dealing with Dubious Data and Disparate Information

Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 21, No. 4, Fall 1999
Posted: 20 May 1999
Edward E. Leamer and Mark P. Taylor
University of California at Los Angeles and University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Abstract:

40.

Real Exchange Rate Behavior: The Recent Float from the Perspective of the Past Two Centuries

JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, Vol. 104, No. 3, June 1996
Posted: 28 Jun 1998
James R. Lothian and Mark P. Taylor
Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University and University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Abstract:

41.

The Term Structure of Forward Exchange Premiums and the Forecastability of Spot Exchange Rates: Correcting the Errors

Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 79, No. 3, August 1997
Posted: 30 Mar 1998
Richard Clarida and Mark P. Taylor
Columbia University - Graduate School of Arts and Sciences - Department of Eco and University of Warwick - Department of Economics

Abstract: