Celia Gaertig

University of California, Berkeley

310 Barrows Hall

Berkeley, CA 94720

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

6

DOWNLOADS
Rank 38,668

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Top 38,668

in Total Papers Downloads

2,547

SSRN CITATIONS

7

CROSSREF CITATIONS

1

Scholarly Papers (6)

1.

Combining Probability Forecasts: 60% and 60% Is 60%, but Likely and Likely is Very Likely

Forthcoming at Management Science, Johns Hopkins Carey Business School Research Paper No. 20-14
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 17 Sep 2019 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2020
Robert Mislavsky and Celia Gaertig
Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School and University of California, Berkeley
Downloads 1,503 (24,926)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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uncertainty, forecasting, verbal probabilities, combining judgments, combining forecasts, predictions

2.

Do People Inherently Dislike Uncertain Advice?

Forthcoming, Psychological Science
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 25 Sep 2017
Celia Gaertig and Joseph P. Simmons
University of California, Berkeley and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 482 (115,891)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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uncertainty, advice, overconfidence

3.

The Psychology of Second Guesses: Implications for the Wisdom of the Inner Crowd

Management Science, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 18 Sep 2020
Celia Gaertig and Joseph P. Simmons
University of California, Berkeley and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 202 (290,191)

Abstract:

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wisdom of crowds, estimation, crowd within, de-biasing, intuitive confidence

4.

Extremeness Aversion Is a Cause of Anchoring

Lewis, J., Gaertig, C., & Simmons, J. P. (2019). Extremeness Aversion Is a Cause of Anchoring. Psychological Science, 30(2), 159–173. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797618799305.
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 04 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 15 Feb 2019
Joshua Lewis, Celia Gaertig and Joseph P. Simmons
University of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School, Operations & Information Management Department, Students, University of California, Berkeley and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 167 (343,932)
Citation 3

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Anchoring, Extremeness Aversion, Insufficient Adjustment

5.

Decisional Autonomy Undermines Advisees’ Judgments of Experts In Medicine And In Life

Kassirer, S., Levine, E., & Gaertig, C. (2020). Decisional autonomy undermines advisees’ judgments of experts in medicine and in life. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences May 2020, 201910572; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1910572117
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 26 Sep 2019 Last Revised: 08 May 2020
Samantha Kassirer, Emma Levine and Celia Gaertig
Northwestern University, University of Chicago - Booth School of Business and University of California, Berkeley
Downloads 150 (376,288)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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autonomy; paternalism; ethics; medical decision-making

6.

How Should Time Estimates be Structured to Increase Customer Satisfaction?

Chicago Booth Research Paper Forthcoming, Forthcoming at Management Science
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 30 Aug 2024
Beidi Hu, Celia Gaertig and Berkeley J. Dietvorst
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business, University of California, Berkeley and University of Chicago - Marketing Management
Downloads 43 (788,040)

Abstract:

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uncertainty, time estimates, time perception, numerical cognition